"How The US Destroyed Men's Futures." - DEI, Population Collapse, Gen Z Men | Richard Reeves
Kra4ZpBYy3Q • 2024-08-13
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Kind: captions Language: en if you want to put a human being in Hell Rob them of meaning and purpose and don't let them kill themselves the political class as a whole has fundamentally failed to recognize the real problems of poys and Men there's lots of discussion of AI girlfriends not much discussion of AI boyfriends which I think is pretty good evidence that there are differences between men and women the MTV show 16 and Pregnant had a huge impact on pregnancy rates much more than any any recognizable government policy I want to start with just a a simple question men are struggling right now what has the US done to set men up for failure right with the US is uh actually by paying not enough attention to what's happening to workingclass men especially in terms of their employment by neglecting ISS Rising issues of of men's health um basically turning a blind and eye to the way men have fallen behind in higher education so I guess what I would say is the way you frame the question is more like a sin of commission right is more a kind of deliberate thing and I think it's much more an accumulated set of sins of omission I think it's the neglect and the failure to address what were obvious and growing and real problems facing boys and men that has allowed them to deepen and fester in many cases now it's still a sin the sin of omission is is a sin as well as a sin of commission but it's important to the the way I think about this not to immediately start with a sort of finger pointing right or or or to assume that it was somehow kind of deliberate I think it was more you know so I think it's more an act of neglect than or of kind of malice if I can put it that way interesting so this is something that drives my team here at impact Theory crazy but I'm a big believer that you point fingers you need to point fingers not with malice but so that you can understand uh before we get to the the people what kind of sin this is I would love to get into the weeds of uh so you gave us some highle stuff of of the omissions but what are the problems help set the table for where men are today the boys and men have have to fallen way behind in education every stage from prek to postgrad you see big gender gaps and that in every single case is with boys and men behind so in the average school district in the US now the boys are almost a grade level behind in English and literacy uh if you take the top 10% of high school students measured by GPA twoth thirds of girls onethird of boys among the 10% of high school students who do the worst twoth thirds of boys a third of girls that plays out in College college campuses are 640 female male now uh and in fact there's a bigger gender gap on college campuses today than the was in the early '70s in 1972 when we passed Title 9 to help women into college since then the gaps closed and then reopened and so that the specific data point is that women are about 16 percentage points more likely now to get a college degree than men whereas in the 70s it was 133% per more likely that men would get a college degree than women so we've reversed the old gender gap and and then widened it and so what we see is a growing Gap in the share of men and women who have gone to college graduate so educationally we just see huge drop and and it's not just in relative terms since 2010 college enrollments dropped by about 1.2 million and that's for all kinds of reasons good and bad uh but of that drop a million is meant so of the 1.2 million drop million of its men whoa It's much wider HBCU so actually this is some work we haven't published yet but there are actually fewer black men going to HBCU colleges historically black colleges today than they were in 1976 whoa and there are there are as many non-black students going to historically black colleges non-black students than there are as many as there are black men uh and so when you to look at it by race it gets kind of worse and then just kind of briefly on a couple of other areas one is that employment we've just seen male wages stagnating in the middle of the distribution and at the bottom a little bit better in recent years actually we've seen some good wage growth at the bottom of the distribution just in the last few years but over the last few decades seriously stagnating wages for men and then in Family Life we've just seen an absolute transformation in family life I'm sure we'll get to this but for most um for most people who don't have a four-year college degree uh the norm is now for children to be born outside marriage Jesus so that's just and that's a transformation right so we only have to go back you know two or three decades um when that wasn't the case but it's now more usual for a kid to be born out outside marriage than inside marriage unless they have a mom with a four-year college degree now among those with four-year college degrees it's only 10% of kids born outside marriage but it's the majority of those outside much higher for black kids of course when you think about race and so across these different dimensions what you're seeing and we can get into some of the things that maybe lie Behind these These are the data points that I sometimes see as like the it's the it's the eruption of the volcano or it's the Tremor of the ground but there's something happening beneath that there are some tectonic plates shifting which I think are more cult and I'm pretty sure we're going to get into that but but the data points that kind of Pop to the surface of just cratering uh educational achievement certainly relative to women really really low wages I should have added declining employment as well so lower labor market participation men less likely to work than their fathers and then just this dramatic shift in family life which has left a lot of men uncertain about what their role is in the family in 20124 yeah that that I think is going to be a big part of this story um so when you think about the first Domino because I think you're right there's culture there's policy uh if I think from a policy perspective do you think that title 9 with obviously wonderful intentions was the lead Domino that began the rise of women and the unintended consequences became the downfall of men or is it something else so I think what Title 9 has done has mostly been good in terms of just trying to raise the educational aspirations expectations and opportunities for girls and women I think that's it's important to kind of recognize that that was that was part of the mission of the women's movement and the same the same with the rise of women's economic independence the way I think about this is that not enough attention was paid to a well what if the line keeps going what happens if the gender gap flips and will we update our view of the world quickly enough when that's when that happens and in education I think what's happened is that the view about about what gender equality looks like on college campuses now has not updated with the data now it's interesting that actually Title 9 itself doesn't specify women and so you're now seeing more and more sex discrimination claims under Title 9 being brought on behalf of men in college campuses and with some success so Title Nine is actually now becoming a bit of a double-edged sword if you're a women's rights campaigner and but I'd see the kind of deeper Point here is that there has been a failure to recognize that as we've seen kind of women rise in education and we've seen a massive decline in the share of male teachers and Men falling behind we need to change our approach we need to start worrying more about the men we need to start thinking about men as the ones who need more help and unfortunately for a generation who are kind of raised in the world where all the attention needed to go to women and girls it's incredibly hard to update your priors I think this is a big theme that might underpin a lot of what we're going to talk about Tom which is that just it's very hard to update your view of the world when the data changes especially if it changes quickly and I just think there's a lot of people who are who are stuck in their view about what gender equality looks like and they're stuck in the 80s or the 70s or 90s or whatever and they just haven't updated it for what the real world looks like in 2024 and that applies to title N9 yeah that's a a note I've taken here in Mark twice now is we're getting the data points but we're not we're either not responding or the narrative that we're talking about with the data points to your point isn't updating in a way that makes any sense um so getting to the underlying drivers my base assumptions are that when you try to top down manipulate a system through incentives you will get second and third order consequences that are very surprising and often horrific uh and we are now engaging in Social Engineering in the same way that we've engaged in financial engineering and I think I I can give you a very compelling argument on the financial side that we have a moral obligation not to manipulate the the currency and to at a minimum have a non-inflatable currency I think there's a a moral argument to be made there um what is your argument on cultural manipulation should we be trying to say hey we need more women in education in stem in firefighting in fighter jet Pilots we need more men in heel which you'll know the acronym better than I but education uh nursing things like that where traditionally you won't find men do we actually need to intervene or should we leave it alone well that's a great question that we could SP we could spend a lot of time on and and the way I think about this is Ideal World we shouldn't need to intervene we should be confident that the patterns that we see emerging are the result of people having pretty unconstrained choices and that they're revealing their preferences in a way that is consistent with their own ideals and their own values and their own skills so the question then so I think the the default should be non-intervention so I think we'll probably share that default the question then is okay where are there circumstances where you would want to intervene socially engineered to use that term and I think that that the bar for that should be when you've got pretty strong evidence that there are some artificial barriers here uh to people right so you would worry if you see for example only 5% of Engineers are women right you'd worry about that you might not necessarily conclude that's a problem but you might conclude it is a problem you might say it matters that engineering has more diversity or you might not or you might say well how on we suspect that we're leaving some Talent on the table here we ECT there are actually more women who' be good Engineers than is being represented by that 5% so let's go find out and I'm very struck by a couple of pieces of evidence here one is that in this is the so-called stem Paradox which uh you may have heard of David gir and others done this work where you actually find that in countries that have done the most in terms of gender equality the Scandinavian countries you start to see a slight decline in the share of women going into stem and it's a paradox because it say well hold on you'd expect actually that as you become more and more gender equal that the share of women going to stand would just increase but it looks like it just kind of levels off and even drops a bit and their interpretation of it is that that probably just means that you're now reflecting actual levels of Interest right you've reached a point where you can feel confident that actually if women in Sweden are choosing not to go into engineering it's not because they're being discriminated against or being discouraged from becoming Engineers it's because they don't want to be Engineers um and so that's a point at which you can kind of chill a little a little bit perhaps and not say everything has to be 50/50 and so I think it's partly an empirical question which is like you look at a pattern and you and you look at the evidence for it and you say a does that pattern look like it might just be emerging as a result of natural choices and B um do we care and the other piece of evidence is some work by some psychologist James rounds and the lead author is wrong Sue where they actually looked at personality differences between men and women and interests especially on the people versus things Dimension which people talk a lot about on average men are a bit more into things women are a bit more into people that's true but of course it's an average and the distributions overlap so they said look imagine a world where that was driving your choice to either be an engineer or a nurse what percentage of Engineers would be women and what percentage of nurses would be men and it was about 30% 25 25 to% to 30% so if you assume that that personality distribution is accurately capturing the preferences of men and women for people and things and that nursing and Engineering are accurate proxies for people and things then actually you should start to chill about 25% 30% men in nursing and 25% 30% women in engineering but you shouldn't chill at 5% and you shouldn't insist on 50% and of course that's a very nuanced position to take where most people would say it's either 50% or there's something wrong or yeah 5% is fine you know women's Brains don't work that way which is what I think the men's rights people make the mistake of of doing so on the one hand you get people who o overstate the role of biology and natural differences between men and women in explaining these differences and others who understate it so to Circle all the way back I actually think that the case for intervention has to meet a couple of criteria and this is helpful I'm thinking out loud here but is that one you should feel like there's something there that suggests there some artific artificiality something getting in the way of personal preferences right and then secondly it's an area that we care about so we might care about nursing we might care about engineering but we might not care about deep sea fishing right which is almost all men and we might decide as a society the fact that deep sea fishing like off Alaska these kind of long trips or my other favorite example is smoke jumping do you know what smoke jumpers are I do y they're people who there people who jump out of perfectly serviceable airplanes into a raging Inferno to give people an idea David gogin is a smoke jumper so that's the kind of oh yeah yeah yeah yeah you want to talk about somebody fin absolutely does not need to do that and yet does it it tells you a lot about the type of person that's drawn to that yeah and it just turn and it's basically almost all men uh there's a few women and it turns out that if you have an occupation that that asks you to you know jump out of an airplane into a Inferno you just select on certain characteristics which are almost entirely male now let's it's hard to get good numbers on it but let's say 2% of smoke jumpers of women right so you can be a smoke jumper if you're a woman there's nothing stopping you and you know they get encouraged if they do it but as a society how much do we care about the fact that most of our smoke jumpers are men I would suggest we don't care very much all we care about is that they go and put the fire out and God bless them and we should honor their courage um but I don't think that is a societally there isn't a social welfare issue at State there in gender balance but I think of things like politics in stem you know Tech interested in your views on Tech like I think it's it does matter to have some representation um for social reasons and so that's the second test like do we care yeah do we care so I will say that I think you put your finger on the right thing which is what we should care about is whether there are barriers to entry but I think and this is a problem I see in companies this is a problem I see in government you need to state in a very simple sentence this is the barrier to entry name it don't don't be vague don't say there are barriers to entry this is the barrier to entry it's Tech is an all boys club uh women are more drawn to people and not things cool list them out and then it becomes a question of okay well how do we remove those barrier entries so now if people want to go in they can what I have a problem with is I think that incentives come from the right place I'll just assume incentives come from the right place I won't even get into the nuttiness of people that are drawn to politics I will just assume that people have good intentions but the second and third order consequences of incentivizing something I think is where you get derangements uh I don't want to turn this into uh an episode about financial stuff but you need only look at the financial markets to understand how massively you can derange them by trying to meddle with them in the hopes of stopping there being a big crash and in the hopes of helping their only ever being soft Landings and avoiding bad things I get it but you completely the the system that we have financially is to steal from everyone to protect wealthy people from Ever experiencing a crash that's what's happened to the financial system and I'm speaking as one of the wealthy people and I'm just telling you it's a terrible system so now I think you will run into those same second and third order consequences but at a minimum you need to name the barrier not insist on outcomes which is how we're steering now and then read the data so if we see data points that say Hey this is working for women that's super helpful but oh by the way this is devastating to men it's like okay now we have to figure out what we're going to do in the face of that um what if you had to put name to it what are and I'll let you pick whatever you think is the most obvious the least controversial but what are the barriers to entry for women that we were trying to overcome and what policies actually overcame them yeah so in the case of of women uh the question is probably a little bit easier than it will be maybe if we turn to men um going the other way because for a long periods of human history of course women weren't allowed to do some of these jobs so the barrier to entry into certain professions was you weren't permitted to do so right and so women couldn't go to medical school for until the second half of the 20th century right so this is why the women's rights movement kind of makes sense as a phrase and the men's Rights Movement doesn't right because women did actually lack rights they couldn't you know get a credit card without their husband's permission until 1974 still B um and you see like and it's really interesting I talked to a friend recently and like her mom was the kind of first chemistry professor at at a kind of college right and she my friend is a dean of a school at a university and no one thinks twice about the fact that 50% of professors of women now increasing like getting towards 50% and presidents of colleges no one thinks anything of that but a generation ago it was hard for women and they actually faced Leal so in some case there were literally rules laws laws and or institutional laws preventing the second barrier was that because those professions yeah that's take any any you want but science Etc because they were so male and had been so male they had a male culture now what does that mean know very hard to measure but is some pretty clear evidence that until you get to about 30% representation and both ways by the way an occupation will tend to have a culture that is a bit more male and a bit more female in in communication style in the level of competitiveness Etc um and so like being the one woman in a engineering class of 100 that was hard right just as it's hard to be the one man in a education school now so I think there was second barrier was just that that there were these culture and there was some stigma and resistance um I actually think those have both been largely addressed so then the third question is are there barriers for women say in Tech or in some consulting or law Etc which I would say now they're less about them as women and more about the fact that women have very different patterns of caring and working especially in their 30s um and there I think it's less about fact they're women but they disproportionately affected as women because they still do most of the early years child care and so that is preventing a lot of women rising up career Ladders because those career ladders were designed for people who didn't have caring responsibilities and again that's no one's fault it's not some plot it's not a plot to exclude women at this point and it's not active discrimination right the evidence that women are discriminated against in any of those spaces is is now zero right so we're not talking about a discrimination problem anymore we're not talking about a rule problem now we're talk about either a cultural problem or the inadvertent consequence of career ladders that are just designed for people who who don't have kids basically um or who don't have to worry about their kids and so that's now the new Battleground I think but as I say I'm very struck by the fact that's true of Single Sex parents as well right so that's not about women anymore that's just about having caring responsibilities getting in the way of your career uplift and that's a diff that's a kind of different question so that would be my sort of three-fold attempt to to is this kind of History really of the barriers that kind of women have faced and a history of progress that we've made over the last 50 years extraordinary progress on getting women into those professions like half the doctors half the lawyers half the scientists are now women that's an incredible achievement in a very short short period of time okay so it's interesting a lot of this comes down to what are the goals you're trying to achieve when I hear you talk and as somebody who uh is married to a very successful female entrepreneur who does not have kids we certainly don't have a traditional family structure yet when I step back and I look at everything that's happening um at a societal level birth rates dropping which um not to over dramatize but literally the human civilization cannot move forward if we don't continue having kids and if you look back over different Empires that have crumbled it's almost always tied to a radical decrease in population either because of birth rate uh famine um pandemic whatever the case may be but when you have a precipitous drop in birth rate you are really in trouble uh and when I look at what's happening right now this is a tale of second and third order consequences so we give um rightly so we pursue women being able to control their own reproduction I love that the most is somebody who leveraged birth control very effectively to create the life that I want uh I'm not mad about it but at the same time um you now have this breakdown in what is the male role and I think that that's the thing that lurks behind the scenes in terms of what's going wrong for men you remove these barriers for Women Amazing they're able to control their reproduction amazing they go into the workforce to your point about getting um access to all that Talent not wanting to leave anything on the sidelines amazing um however it's broken the the way that the um the way that religion and the family transmitted a set of values that said this is everybody's role this is what you do and this is how you please God uh and I'm not religious but I see the value in the transmission of that Meme and so everybody understands what their role is there are some frustrations obviously um but as that narrative breaks down because when it to a woman it's like there's nothing you can do God has touched you with this blessing of being able to create a child to have children is to honor God and what what a magical role that you play man you are here to protect your family to provide for your family and that is how you honor God okay cool like everybody knows what they're supposed to do now all of a sudden you make progress and religion starts to diminish uh in certainly Western culture in terms of people following those precepts in order to live the good life so people are not as many people are living in accordance with the teachings of the religions you begin to have a breakdown of what is my role highquality protein is the most important part of any diet that's why you'll always find my freezer stocked with butcher box they deliver it right to my doorstep and the shipping is always free in my family it is critical that we know exactly what's in our food we trust butcher box because their cuts are mainly raised with no antibiotics or 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know how you frame this which is you you talked about the the rise of women in two important ways one in terms of control of fertility and the second in terms of kind of control of economic Destiny because of the rise of economic power for women and you said amazing amazing amazing and then you said however what does that mean about the change in roles what does it mean for the roles of men Etc and the amazing however move that you just made there is what's been lacking and that there's a real resistance to the idea that you can have changes in society that on net amazing but that still have second or third order consequences which can be challenging difficult and that it's it's the ultimate cultural naivity to think that massive social and economic changes don't come they you don't break some glass along the way right and you have to deal with the negative consequences of even overall positive social changes there's a kind of blindness to that which is a real problem and in this case I think I think you're right that what's happened is that the the sense of what the roles were that they that's just been absolutely transformed incredibly quickly The more I've thought about this the deeper I think this transformation really goes since the 60s and the 70s so since since the changes in in ability to control fertility you've mentioned and the economic rise of women so just to put a point like 40% of women today in the US earn more than the average man so that's not 50% it's not full equality but that compares to 133% of women in 1979 and so just since 1979 you know the the the chances of a woman being earning more than the average man has quadr almost quadrupled it's tripled right and it's gone from being quite unusual to being pretty normal and the result of that has been I think to just completely upend the traditional scripts the scripts that were provided sure by religion but I think more importantly in this case by kind of family role so my dad like he knew his role he was all kinds of things but he knew his basic core role was economic provider that was his core role and my mom knew her core role which was to raise the kids and be the main person on the domestic front she also worked they had an incredibly equal relationship but it was an equal relationship based on almost unquestioned roles right they as you said they knew their all I think what's happened is that we've expanded the script for women we've said let's ter this old script of wife and mother and replace it with a new script of you can be whatever you want to be right the sky the limit massive empowerment a hugely positive message of empowerment you go girl you know Etc and that has just I think been wonderful to watch and so what we've said to girls and women effectively is like you're not trapped by the old script that your mom's or Grandmom's had you can be anything we've replaced the old female script with a new script about empowerment and indep attendance we've replaced we've torn up the old male script protector provider bread winner and we've replaced it with absolutely nothing there is no new script there is no new role and and and and we've just I think we're in this really difficult transition phase now and what I would say is that there's a real difficult balance now because a lot of people are hearkening back to the era when we knew our role we knew our place when things were clearer you know when we had institutions telling us what to do and the hankering for that is real and in many cases Noble but it is ill I think it's ill- fated turning the clock back is not generally very successful so I think on the by contrast we should be going forward we need to keep going and we need to adjust our views about the role of men in accordance with the rise of women rather than thinking that for men to rise we need to kind of somehow turn back the clock on women that is in my view not effective but also immoral so we are where we are and right now we're in a really difficult moment right the average 27y old guy has much less of a clue about what he's supposed to be doing he has a pretty good clue about what he's not supposed to do interestingly now we have a long we do have a long list of don'ts for young men but he has a very little sense about what as a man he's supposed to do and that's created a huge vacuum in our culture and it's been filled in some unfortunate ways in many many quarters because there a M there's a massive cultural question hanging over the role of men which we're not responsibly answering okay so this idea moving forward I think is really important um I'd love to get clarity from you about what a positive vision of masculinity looks like um one thing at a high level I want to see and as an entrepreneur this is how I engage with this debate uh which I want to see men and women compete all out on a fair playing field and right now there's a sense of like men should not be pushing as hard don't follow those Natural Instincts for competition or for really responding to gamification uh which I think is a big part of why more men play video games man I just I hyper respond to gamification in a way that my wife just does not and I have a feeling that that is uh that will carry out across the broad population um one how do you feel about just like all right boys and girls go at it in a fair fight but go at it full bore every individual regardless of male or female you should be trying to win your ideal job um and if that isn't part of the path forward of defining um masculinity in a positive sense what is yeah so the way I think about it h is well there's so many things I could say here the first thing is to not end up sort of shrinking ourselves I think there been this dangerous Trend in some quarters to say that somehow for women to rise and to expand men need to fall or to contract that men need to become less in order for women to become more less you know sure of themselves less assertive less competitive um no less physical that whatever just to be just don't be less of you right I think that's one of the problems of some of the tropes we see around kind of toxic m masculinity and mansplaining and so on which is not to say there isn't some substance there but that the the message that too many kind of men are getting is could you just be less you could you be less male and instead I think what we need to be doing is kind of creating a situation where like we're in shared environments and if there is ways in which on average kind of men act in a particular way um as opposed to girls or women that's okay it's just as okay and one example from that you just alluded to is the men and boys are on average a bit more competitive right and they respond this is why the gamification thing is important they respond a little bit better to competition um and they're more seeking that kind of competition well and girls and women a little bit less so right the evidence that is really clear men are Al men and boys are also quite a bit more risk-taking on average than women and girls is one good or is one bad no is the answer but what we don't want is to lose some of that magic right some of that magical Difference by somehow saying there's something wrong with attribute a or b risk-taking or competition because it's associated with men what we need to do is to say those are not the only attributes that matter and those shouldn't run the whole economy so I'll give you two examples one one is uh from business which is uh we may have talked about this before but there's some evidence that companies that are run by women uh with CEO CEO and coo uh CFO uh female they're a little bit less profitable but they're also less likely to go under those that are run by men are on average a bit more profitable but they're also a bit more likely to go under so know there's a little bit riskier right now so you could conclude from that you could say oh we shouldn't have women in leadership because their companies are just boring right we don't get the kind same entrepreneurship we don't get the risk taking um you know sure it'll be fine but the profits will never be that great so you could say like you shouldn't have women in the boardroom but that reason or you could say look these guys are just recklessly acting out and doing Boyhood fantasies and they're crashing all our companies yes sure they're more profitable when they work but look the heck how many companies or or you could say maybe we need a bit of both maybe that's a reason why you need a mix in a boardroom right and here again I'm I need to say that the distributions overlap example I was in a school recently and this female cor Coral teacher said she needed the boys as a middle school she needed the boys to sing soprano and none of the boys wanted to do that they're very self-conscious they're going through puberty and they didn't want do that and didn't want and the girls were around as well and so anyway so she did two things she kicked the girls out and just said okay I'm just going to work with the boys and then what she said was we're going to have a competition to see who can sing the highest and I'm going to give a prize to the boy that can sing the highest immediately they're all doing it so I love that story because what's that saying if here's a teacher that's recognizing sometimes there's a space for single sex but also okay so boys are more competitive let's use that instinct for more competitive for a positive end rather than saying it's bad to be competitive let's say okay boys are more competitive how do we channel that to good social ends um and that was a long kind of slightly rambling answer but there's something there about just not apologizing for those differences and finding ways to channel that energy in those differences in ways that kind of benefit all of us rather than pathologizing either so a patriarchy might be a society where more typically feminine traits are seen as lesser than and matriarchy would be where it was the other way around and we don't want either of those things we we really don't want a patriarchy or a matriarchy we want a society that genuinely honors the differences and I talked about risk and courage you talk we talked about smoke jumpers awesome that that we have people that are willing to do that and the fact that they're almost all men amazing and we shouldn't have any apology about saying that yeah totally agree so when you were talking about the business corporations run by women are going to be less profitable but more stable and and the flip for ones run by men uh and then you said what we want is a little bit of both or maybe what we want I think is what you said we want a little bit of both how do we decide because as somebody who builds companies invests in companies um I would say I literally do not care if the person running the company is male or female I care very much about the metrics that we agreed that we are going to hit and who is more capable of hitting those metrics so um I I don't care if every single Fortune 500 company is run by a man I don't care if every Fortune 500 company is run by a woman what I care about is whether those people were allowed to compete in a relatively unbridled fashion I I'm not a no government guy uh so I do believe in in sensible regulation um so with within sensible regulation I would want them to really be able to go in and compete um would you be uncomfortable in a world where the men and women were allowed to compete sensibly with an even starting point of Education I'm talking when they're five years old uh but that all Fortune 500 companies in the end are run by men would that bother you it would bother me for the reasons that we talked about earlier which is let's assume that there's a certain set of attributes that make you more likely to be a good CEO of Fortune 500 company right and let's assume let's assume that the market is selecting reasonably rationally on that right and so that the people who are getting to be CEOs are being selected against a certain set of characteristics if if every single one of those CEOs is male then I think you'd have very good reason to worry that the the number of women who also have those characteristics is not being reflected in those numbers that something is happening to artificially hinder the progress of women up the corporate hierarchy such that we are missing some potential leadership Talent all right but if you looked at everything and you did not see any barriers to entry uh would it bother you um if you didn't see any barriers to entry well this is where I think things get a little bit difficult around representation I'm thinking about politics as well right maybe you could apply this to politics but I don't want to seem like I'm kind of moving away from the question um I'm just thinking of other areas where does representation matter in and of itself in certain roles because the absence of women in CEO positions whether we like it or not sends a cultural signal to other women and to girls that that's not a job for you but where do you think we should solve that problem so here would be my pitch uh that is that is true I think representation actually matters but I don't think it matters enough to engage in Social Engineering except at the family level at the family level I want to see parents tell their kids hey just because you don't see somebody that looks like you in this thing I assure you this is about can you get so good at something that people can't stop you from doing it and look at Mom and Dad like we do these things that are very unexpected and we did that because we got so good that people couldn't stop us from doing it now if that message were propagated with ferocity and then people were educated in a way that didn't make me want to headbutt uh the head of the educational system then I I would be here for it but the thing I worry about is people are so concerned about their being representation that they end up doing the social engineering that has all these crazy distorting KnockOn effects that end up ultimately being worse okay yeah I think that's right and I think that's why in the end um end up being against as a general proposition quoters whether they're kind of hard or soft quoters obviously that can work in different ways in say a business setting now of course in Europe and many countries there are you quotas soft or hard that are set and in some Scandinavian countries by law a certain percentage of the directors of publicly traded companies have to be women now um and so you do get these kind of that's a hard quer system but you also get soft coder systems where it's kind of implicit that you're trying to get to certain number so I that's not the solution because it doesn't actually address the problem IT addresses the symptoms of the problem artificially um by by actually it actually skips over the problem so rather than asking ourselves the question if we think that the representation of a certain group and it could be people of color it could be whatever uh in a certain if we think it's suspiciously low right it's low enough to make us think that doesn't look like it could have happened unless there going on here like if all of the members if all board members of Fortune 500 companies are white men I wish they were not that long ago that's reason to be suspicious about the fact that there are things getting in the way of uh black Hispanic women uh and men getting into those no could that be the education system all the way back maybe could it be what happens in the labor market maybe could it be middle management maybe could it be discrimination in hiring whether adverse maybe let's go find out and let's try and do everything we can to kind of remove those artificial barriers but you wouldn't solve that by saying okay we're just going to have x% of that group in there because actually in the end that doesn't solve what might be leading to that outcome and I think it's just so it's impr practical but in politics I feel different because in a representative democracy the people who are making the decisions about the laws under which we live I think there's a strong moral case that there should be decent levels of representation in a representative democracy and so there I think there's a case for some pretty strong social engineering in order to try and get to that and get to it quicker than might happen naturally but I don't think that that argument that I would make in politics and in representative democracies applies to say boardrooms or or other places where I think the argument would go the other way okay so how do you social engineer then when are you going to go to a district and say you guys have to elect a woman that's what the labor party did in the UK where I'm I'm from it's be very interesting to see what happens now this is actually this is a really good test case actually of the theory so let's put it on the table so when Margaret Thatcher became a uh prime minister only 5% of members of parliament were women so that tells you something about Margaret Thatcher no kidding uh at the time right I mean this is extraordinary for all kinds of reasons but just to come from like one in 20 of even MPS were women and she managed to become not only leader of the conservative party but prime minister for most of my childhood um now it's about a third of MPS are women and the majority of all the other parties except the conservatives uh are now women so actually this is above 50% women in in all the other parties but the labor party still has a policy of women only short lists and so in certain constituencies or districts to use the US language they actually they actually say that District can only have a woman and so it's exactly what you just said which is that like you have to so the primary in The District in the US would would could only be women and so it's very interesting now now that the labor party is actually slightly more female than mail what do they do about that policy and that's something that's being kind of discussed right now and I think you can let get rid of the policy my view is well mission accomplished right um but once the policy's in place it's really difficult to get rid of and so I would I was in favor of all women short lists at the time to just try and move the needle a bit on women's representation in Parliament but job done and pretty pretty quickly in terms of labor party so like great now we can get rid of them but they haven't gotten rid of them yet and so that's a good test of whether or not you were serious about this just as a means to an end rather than an end in itself wow uh I am I am shocked that you were for a where you are quite literally distorting the Democratic process now this may be your British upbringing uh but to an American ear that hits gnarly that people I already have a problem with the way that the two-party system works and the way that like we effectively just witnessed uh the Democratic party give no option like hey it's going to be kamla Harrison that's that I hope you enjoy um that's really bad if people are like you can vote for anyone as long as it's a woman it's like the um the Henry Ford quote you can have any color you want for your car as long as it's black it's like whoa that in politics man that's that's pretty crazy so make me a Believer how is it possibly a good idea to tell the voting public you guys are too stupid to elect the right person and so we're going to artificially narrow the choice to one gender yeah so of course what they could do is in in these seats where there was a woman only short list and so the labor candidate was going to be a woman in those constituencies so you could of course vote for the Conservative candidate or the Lial Democrat candidate who might be male but you're right that what's happening there is that the party is deciding that it cares sufficiently about representation that it's going to change its own internal processes it's going to socially engineer its candidate selection process to significantly increase the share of women because what they were finding is that that the constituency parties the districts who who made the decision so it's not like a primary system it was it was made by kind of a pretty small group of kind of local party members but they were kind of they weren't choosing that many women and so there was some top- down social engineering now of course that's been true in lots of countries actually why why is Mexico uh 50/50 female male in its Parliament now because of quotas and so it's something that's not very controversial in other countries the reason I was in favor of it was because yeah yeah wow okay um it's very common um and it's actually one of if you look at kind of if you look at the countries that are just like Rwanda Mexico um that have just made massive just like overnight almost changes in the share of women in politics they've almost always had some sort of quota system put in place um as an accelerant uh to get there and it clearly works as an accelerant now are there downsides we can obviously discuss that but the reason I was I was in favor of it until now now now I think the mission accomplished and so it can go now is because it just felt a bit stuck it felt like the political system was stuck and that the lack of representation of women in politics specifically just in politics in a representative democracy was a problem in and of itself it wasn't just a it wasn't just a symptom of a broader of another problem which is what we've been talking about up to the point it was a problem in itself but how do we have a representation problem when Margaret Thatcher was prime minister it it's the same way that it feels to me when we say that racism is as bad in America as it's ever been oh except for the fact that we just had a two-term black president it's like I cannot reconcile that those two things are true I can say hey it's still a problem and we need to keep going yeah word but I cannot say that it's just as bad as it's ever been so anybody African-American would look at that in America and be like oh my God this is amazing uh representation in the extreme anybody that's a woman in the UK looking at Margaret Thatcher being in office not briefly being in office for a long ass time at the like one of the most pivotal moments in the history of most people that are alive today right so obviously post World War II but this was not a flash in the pan this was not just sort of a forgotten time in history I mean the Faulkland War like this is this is somebody that was like in the thick of it so any young girl growing up is like I can be that obviously so why in a postm Margaret Thatcher world would we need quotas quotas to up that number yeah and to be clear again it's quotas at the party level it's because despite Margaret Thatcher and her rise the share of wo
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