The Shocking AI Breakthroughs That Will Make Death OPTIONAL By 2030 | Peter Diamandis
nPi2ZFOn3Y0 • 2025-02-25
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Kind: captions Language: en do you think given the stuff you're doing in Ai and Longevity that the people that are alive now have a shot at Living forever I think they definitively have a shot if you're in reasonable health for the next five six years of extending that Health span another Health span right night lifespan Health span another 20 or 30 years and that say that in another way in the next five to six years next so by 2030 right I think we're going to enable everyone who's in reasonable Health today to intercept breakthroughs that will add an additional 20 or 30 healthy years of life and what's interesting is that during those additional 20 or 30 healthy years we've got Quantum Computing we've got digital super intelligence we've got new capabilities of modeling cells and modeling entire organisms to understand why we age how to slow it stop it reverse it and that get us to living forever perhaps maybe there's some fundamentals that we don't understand but uh I think there's pretty much nothing that we are not going to be able to overcome uh as as humans in partnership with digital super intelligence okay so if I'm understanding that right so average life expectancy here in the US is something like 78 yeah 78 79 and average Health expectancy right so your your heart's ticking till 79 but you're healthy on average till 63 which I am right now I'm 63 years old I find myself in the best health I've ever been and I feel blessed about that but I work on it right every day I was in the gym this morning I'm what I'm eating my mindset my sleep all of these things and so there's a 17-year gap between when your health runs out and how long you live the first goal is can we close that Gap can we keep you healthy you know fully till 80 and then can we start to extend that health and that longevity so you're more confident that we can extend health then we can extend the total amount of time that people live I I think I think that we will be able to definitively expect to get over 100 years old and get there with there right we know that humans can live to what 122 123 122 is the record today and we know that um we also know that there are there are life forms on this planet the boohead whale can lift at 200 years the Greenland shark could lift to 500 years old have babies at 200 years old when I was in medical school and I remember reading that or watching it on a documentary I said why can they live that long and why can't we and my first reaction was it's either a software problem or a hardware problem and we're going to be able to solve that and I think this is the decade that those Solutions are coming into existence Okay so so talk to me about the mechanism what is it that makes you more confident in health versus just the is it pure just I don't know enough about what makes something stop running that makes you unsure that you can go beyond 120 yeah yeah let me let me give a few uh previous basic concepts so number one um humans were never designed to live past age 30 if you think about this 100,000 200,000 years ago on the sabanas of Africa before there was birth control you were in puberty by age 12 you were pregnant by 13 you're were a grandparent by 27 MH and before we had McDonald's and whole food before we were living in a food abundance and food was scarce if you wanted to perpetuate the species the last thing you wanted to do was steal food from your grandchildren's mouths so you would die and so we are in Peak Health at around age 27 28 29 and then it's a measurable decline from there what do I mean by that uh our stem cell populations throughout our body will reduce by 100 to a thousand fold in the compartments uh our hormonal levels begin to rapidly decrease our growth hormone our thymus which trains our te- cells goes away our muscle begins to atrophy sarcopenia and all these things are slow degradation and so the that's the first thing to recognize the second thing that we should talk about is when you're born you get 3.2 billion letters from your mom and 3.2 billion letters from your dad and that's your software that's running in 40 trillion cells and you've got that same software when you're born when you're 20 when you're 50 when you're 80 when you're 100 so why do you look different it's an interesting question right I mean why don't you have a six-pack at age 100 that you have when you're 18 and it turns out it's not the genes it's not the software you're running it's what genes are on and what genes are off and uh that's termed your epig genome from the Greek word for above EPI and one of the hottest areas of research right now funded by a number of billionaires you know uh Brian Armstrong from coinbase is funded a company of Jeff Bezos Yuri Milner um and these companies are looking at can we reverse your epigenome can can we turn on the genes that were on when you were younger and turn off the genes that were off when you were younger and bring you back to an earlier state of Youth and so far the science says yes now the question is can we do it in humans well the trials are going on in non-human primates and other animals and the people that I respect in the field believe that we can we can do that this so are there are there fundamental limitations of thermodynamics that we don't know but the other thing that's going on is you know each of us when you have a a mom and a dad who are let's say aged 35 and have a baby uh the the zygote the you know the fertilized egg starts at out at age zero even though the parents are 35 years old and what we've shown by serial nuclear transfer where we take the nucleus out of an adult animal and put it into an egg and let it grow up into an adult animal and take the nucleus out of that adult animal put it into an egg and let it grow up that can be done over and over and over again without penalty so there is in our in our makeup that ability can we unleash it and I I think that this is the decade that we figure that out do you have a sense of why technology is going to help us figure that out like is it uh we need AI for the pattern recognition uh is it we need Quantum Computing to run enough simulations fast enough that we can let AI then get the patterns that it needs to detect like in the crazy amount of data contained in our DNA it needs to start sussing out like what are the patterns that lead to Good Health B basically so we're collection of 40 trillion human cells we don't think of ourselves as a collective but we are that collaborate and work together we have an additional you know 40 to 100 trillion other organisms bacteria fungi nearly enough about that yeah uh and each of these human cells is running about one to two billion chemical reactions per second that's nuts it's nuts to think about that right now you know you could you or orchestrate that is it's happening automatically and and so there's no human doctor over the last you know 10 20 30 100 years that can understand that and why do some people live till 105 with their mental faculties and they're still at work and others are sick at age 60 you know a lot of it has to do with their diet and you know the whole make America healthy again is a very real thing our pharmaceutical and Food Industries are destroying a lot of you a lot of issues there we can get into that if you want but a lot of it has to do as well with their their genetics their physical makeup uh and AI can help us understand that understanding why you age how to slow it stop it perhaps reverse it uh one of the things that's going on uh the Nobel Prize just got given away recently to uh Demis aabis and John jumper at Deep mind for Alpha fold and and so here we see one of the first real Nobel prizes for an AI capability what is alphafold when I was in medical school God some decades ago the superc Computing problem that was always you know like 10 20 50 years out was could you go from an amino acid sequence you know a sequence of amino acids a thousand or 5,000 of them to predicting the folding of a protein and how proteins fold is everything it's the structure that is your antibody or is your muscle or is your you know the structure in your body and it was always very difficult but they wrote a AI program called Alpha fold that is accurately able to to achieve that within a single atomic radius which was incredibly crazy then they created Alpha fold 3 which is able to uh to simulate the interaction of all molecules of life like this DNA this sugar this protein how would they interact if they're putting a chemical solution together where they're going next is can we simulate an entire human cell right can we simulate in silico on computer um that billion comical reactions per second and then next step can I take your DNA and Sim simulate your cell and simulate your organ and simulate you and know without any question that if I give you this drug it's going to work in this way for you better than doing a human trial yeah this is the kind of thing that makes me go maybe we really do live in a simulation the reason I think that we were talking about this before we started rolling as a game developer the thing that you realize is oh my job is to create a set of rules and so all I'm trying to do is create a very predefined set of rules that yield in the case of game development something that's fun right but you you really are down in the level of physics when this happens the character should react this way or the gun should fire this way you know whatever whatever and you start asking yourself well wait a second if I build rules that aren't necessarily player instigated or related but exist yes uh now all of a sudden you can create this setup where things can interact and way it would surprise even the game developer and when you start thinking through that problem of like take Minecraft and I want Minecraft where a player will go in and they'll rearrange things and leave and when they come back the crop should keep growing or whatever while they were gone right well you've seen that simulation right where they put a thousand AI agents into Minecraft yes and they developed an entire economy and uh you know currencies and I was insane now what I want people to realize is that's just because there's a set of rules and so now every interaction Point has a predefined set of ways that that can go and so when I look at okay why is technology the thing that's going to allow us to move forward it's because all of the rules of the way that a human cell works are knowable they're just not known yes but they are predefined and whether this is a simulation created by God or a 13-year-old programmer and another dimension almost becomes irrelevant we we are in a rules-based world and as we tease out those rules then we can unlock the potential of what it means to know those rules so if you know that aging is based on this really complicated interaction just to simplify it for people and you'll correct me if I'm wrong it's the person that uh has the degrees but uh what's really going on this is an Epi genome phenomenon so you have this little thing that runs along your genes and either says this should be wrapped tight and not red yes or this should be unwrapped and red and what ends up happening is your skin cell begins to unravel in the wrong places and it's like am I an ear a skin cell a heart cell what am I and so you get this D differentiation and that is aging and so if you could go okay I know what this Gene in your body is supposed to look like and so now I'm going to put something in there that helps basically the the thing that lives inside your cell already The epig genome readers creatures whatever they actually move it's crazy I don't know what to CL classify them as but if you had something that was like no no no that one not supposed to look like this it's supposed to look like this now you're just saying as long as I know the rules and I have a method by which I can nudge these things to act in the right way then to your earlier point I don't see what it is possibly that we would run up against yeah um now requires us to be able to manipulate things at the that kind of protein level uh but Ray kwell who's been a mentor and a business partner and friend um one of the leading things in AI uh who believes we're going to reach this idea of longevity escape velocity uh which by the way you know is the moment in time where for every year that you're alive science is extending your life for more than a year right so you you depart and it goes to Infinity he thinks we're going to reach that by the end of the year 2030 right five years from now yeah insane uh and then you know in speaking to folks like George church and David Sinclair their predic is the mid 2030s you know a decade from now the point for everyone listening here is uh we're in a magical time uh your job is to take care of your body uh keep yourself healthy enough to intercept like I you know say in the title of my book don't die from something stupid in the interim right you don't want to be the last person uh not standing uh in this regard uh and Rey's belief is that a lot of this is going to materialize on the back side of nanotechnology which is a set of Technologies originally Freeman Dyson wrote about them um uh and then Eric Drexler wrote about these and it's the ability to manipulate things on an atomic level right is nanotech real today nanotech is uh and I've had a lot of conversations on the subject it isn't fully it's wet nanotech what nanotech is today is the ability to design proteins that do things for us still novel proteins or it's like we need a protein that can have an arm that sticks out and attaches here and does this and so so wait wait wait wait we can yes we understand how these structures happen to the point that we can actually create novel protein structures 100% so that was part of the Nobel Prize as well um and wait wait wait sorry sorry sorry sorry yeah uh so I didn't know this so we're not just mapping these um entic processes yield this protein we're saying we understand the sort of Lego e nature of a protein and now can create any shape we want so there is a program called Alpha proteo also put out by Deep Mind in which you can design the protein that you want translate into an amino acid sequence and have a ribosome manufacturer it for you who so what that means more than just being able to create I like that Lego eyes novel proteins that do the stuff that you want to do it's a future for medicine I mean if you think about it uh how does how do we find medicines today we historically we've gone into the rainforest and chopped down plants dug up dirt bring it back process it see if there's anything bioactive in there sprinkle it on some yeast give it to some mice and then eventually maybe after 12 13 14 years and two or three billion dollars have a drug which by the way works for only typically 20% of the people it's prescribed to imagine instead okay I know that this disease path um if we could block this active site on a cell surface uh that would cure it let's design A protein that blocks that active site design it manufacture it and run that's bananas I didn't realize that was the place that we had already reached that is crazy so it's accelerating another thing that's interesting if I could um uh I don't know if you have you've had Jack have you had Jack hit on the show here from sandbox AQ we were literally just talking about him before we going to taret him yeah so Jack's a dear friend he's on my board at the xprize and uh he was at Google X and then he spun out sandbox AQ the a stands for AI the Q stands for Quantum uh they began with $500 million seed round is that all that's all these seed it's called infl it's called you know inflation or really rich uh Rich investors long story short um uh I just met I had did a podcast with him on my moonshots podcast and uh we're talking about a number of subjects but uh he brought his head of general manager of AI simulation I love that term and she's amazing uh I'll have her on stage at the abundance Summit with me in March and what they're doing is they're using Ai and quantum equations to be able to simulate at the atomic and sort of the electron level what's going on on chemicals on molecules uh they basically take the equations that govern our Quantum Universe sher's equation uh and and such Heisenberg UNC uncertainty principle and they they create what they call lqm right large Quantum models and can begin to model the physical Universe an atomic and subatomic level it's insane so to get the accuracy that you need for some of the biochemical stuff you have to be dealing in Quantum level mechanics yes yeah that is fascinating what is the state of quantum some Computing right now is it real is this still 30 years off well I mean um it's real uh and getting realer uh so we were talking about beforehand Google just had an announcement uh of uh latest breakthrough Willow what is the Breakthrough is it stability what have they done it's the stability so the biggest issue has been uh as you growing the number of Q bits the quantum bits uh that the error rate has gone up and you need error free Quantum bits to do anything and I don't pretend to be an expert in in Willow um but apparently the bigger that system is growing the more stable it gets and the more uh logical cubits it has so uh I'm going to be diving into that I mean that was just announced but it's it's exciting but the point being that we can model Quantum on a systems today before we have quantum computers uh and help us understand that okay so uh I don't know if you understand the process by which that works but basically they're able to what simulate what a quantum computer would do they're able to take the laws of the quantum Universe again right there are four or five basic uh laws and use those to help simulate what's going on on a molecular B basis and atomic basis and this is for them to make predictions and designs of new materials of new drugs um so is AI if I'm understanding the process correctly it would have to be something like this um AI is creating essentially synthetic data that it's training itself on based on the laws of quantum physics yes wow yeah okay so this is why going back to longevity this is why I am so absolutely uh thrilled and excited about what's coming right so we'll get back to the show in a second but first let's talk about something that's on everybody's mind the dollar is not what it used to be the markets are more unstable than ever with way too many variables changing at once and if you're paying attention you know traditional investment strategies might not be enough anymore that's why I want to tell you about today's sponsor American Alternative assets they specialize in helping investors diversify with gold a nice finite INF a resistant physical asset that's preserved wealth for thousands of years 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we've put up we I raised $141 million challenging teams can you deliver a therapeutic in under a year uh to individuals age I think we're uh in the age bracket of 60 to 85 and during that year you can reverse functional loss in muscle immune and cognition so can I give you the muscular strength and ability to build muscle you had 20 years ago can I give you the immune strength the ability to mount an immune reaction to influenza or cancer that you had 20 years ago can I give you the cognitive Clarity the scope of memory that you had 20 years ago and we have 505 teams Jesus yeah that have entered in the first year which blows me away I mean I expected to get to 500 teams by 2030 and I've seen a number of these and they're amazing are there any uh patterns in the mechanism of action it's all over the place interesting and so this is sort of you know one of the beautiful things about an X prize is you're not preing the winner and you're seeing every possible approach and so we're going to out of the noise or out of the universe of companies entrepreneurs out there they're they're small and big companies uh throughout I think like 30 countries around the world uh we're going to find those companies that are making the most advanced bold breakthroughs in this now is there anything that you seei I fully understand that not only do you not want to nudge people down a certain path but you know better than to guess but is there any approach that you see that either hits you as intuitively fruitful or just outright sexy and kind of intriguing oh I mean there's there's a multitude so there are a number of epigenetic companies so people looking at the thing I was talking about earlier so how do we reverse your epigenome how do we reset the markers in your DNA so that you're expressing the genes that you had 20 years younger okay there are a number of companies in the stem cell world all right so your stem cells in your body when you are born uh you have something like a 100 or a thousand times more stem cells than you and I have whoa um you know per unit mass in our body whoa I had no idea the decline is declines very much and can you rejuvenate your stem cell population uh one company that I've seen that I'm just blown away by a guy named h secur stad and his work uh at company called immunis has been able to uh look at the a specific young uh stem cell uh think of it as a embryonic stem cell but it's it's uh you know early you know few days after fertilization it's putting out 440 growth factors um these are uh these are mrnas they're EX omes there all kinds of factors that are youthful factors and the FDA has allowed him to characterize those 440 factors as a drug and he's gone through a phase one and phase 2A trial he had 18 patients who uh were uh basically confined to a a wheelchair or bed because they had severe osteoarthritis they couldn't walk MH giving them this uh this drug calls imuna uh even though they were constrained they increased their muscle mass by 6% what yes I mean I from an injection an injection over the course of three months this is stimulating growth in the body listen I work out in the gym as you do on almost every day I know you're skeptical I looked at the data here's the rest of it reduced Pain by as much as 70% from your osteoarthritis reduced whole body inflammation by 50% reversed their their uh their immune age by 30 years this is called imuna imuna so we're going to be uh providing that uh at no additional cost we've expand they've expanded the trial and Fountain life is going to be offering this to its members at no additional cost to be part of that trial in the phase 2 uh open trial I'm literally going down there next month to start start getting access to it dude you have got to keep me updated on that so uh for anybody listening here the reason that I'm reacting so big is the joke in bodybuilding circles forever has been oh people try to say oh this guy did drugs and so you know it's all worthless and you can inject somebody with steroids all day long and they will never get bigger you have to go work your ass off and if you don't work your ass off no matter how many steroids I give you you're not going to get any bigger and so to have something where you don't need to work out to get the gain in muscle is insane like that's an insane bre I am fingers crossed I mean I work out five days a week at least you know I added 10 pounds of muscle mass last year and it was a lot of work right it was 150 grams of protein it was creatin it was working out in the gym it was like damn it I'm going to get there whatever it takes now did you do trt um I did a little bit but I've actually uh stopped cuz my my test my testosterone levels were were high enough and look at you anyway so uh but bottom line I know that you know and I've got an entire chapter in longevity guide book on the importance of muscle right and and you know this it's your longevity organ and having there's a direct correlation between your muscle mass and your lifespan and it's critically important okay that's bananas so uh it's one example another company I ran into will go from it will take one of your skin cells right convert it to an ipsc cell so basically an induced plop potent stem cell these are the yamanaka factors the Nobel Prize shinoa was graded to shinoa yamanaka for this discovery that you can take a differentiated cell typically a skin cell and turn it back into a plur poent stem cell that can then become any other kind of cell you can take a skin cell turn it back to a PL poent stem cell have it then become a a neuron or liver cell or lung cell so what this team is doing is going from a skin cell to a PL potent stem cell and then actually growing a clone of you say more yes and so imagine they've gotten this clone up to something like 28 weeks uhhuh and that's legal it legal um and the idea is that I can then uh from that I mean it's a psize clone right but I can then extract my own DNA my own stem cells from that clone and I can use that for regenerative purposes when we say clone uh do we just mean like clumps of cells that are clone cells embryo we're talking about effectively an embryo uhhuh yeah of you but wait how is this legal why is it not legal uh there were I mean back in the 90s this was like a huge thing to not let people uh I don't know if it was around cloning but not let so back then the notion was if someone was having an abortion yeah and you had an embryo of a third third party could I take the stem cells from that embryo yes and utilize them in my body mhm and that was led to teratomas and a whole bunch of different cancers and a whole bunch of problems not done and probably not legal this is very different than your own cells this work's going on right now uh outside the US but uh the idea being that I'm simply using my own DNA to create and I'm using biology to create the cells out of my own DNA that I'm going to want to use to support this body yeah this is incredible it's also my point is there's a lot of Inc incredible work being done right now across the board and putting aside whether you think yuck or wow I'm more in the wow camp but that that is shocking I did not realize that that a was possible and B that it was being done uh I I love it okay so those are some absolutely jaw-droppingly cool approaches yeah so I think one of the reasons that I wrote longevity guide book was to give people the power to understand what was possible and give them the definitive you know executable plan um and there are a number of things that people can do right now that cost zero right so it really is the fundamentals still apply and you know this and I'm sure you and Lisa focus on this it is it's you know what do you do in your diet what do you do with sleep what do you do with exercise what do you do with mindset right those are the fundamental elements that are going to buy you the additional Health span and then but people want they want the oics they do and honestly OIC has its downsides and we can talk through that of course well what I want to ask is can we agree that something just happened in the last six months that made face lifts cosmetic surgery whatever you want to call it way better like am I being trolled better have you seen the Lindsay Lohan before and after I did not this is nuts Drew you got to pull this up th this is legitimately where I'm like are they using filters and I'm just being trolled it is it is shocking and this was not the first one that I've seen where I'm just like how's this possible this was somebody that whatever a year look dude the one okay she had had a ton of work done on the left already and then all of a sudden okay so left work done clearly already work being done on the left and then the right is the after what is happening so this is uh I need to know if this is real this feels like somebody from your program escaped and was like I'm going to commercialize this real fast and there's Nano Bots under her skin or something this this is insane to me and I need to know what's going on because I want to be first in [ __ ] line for this this is crazy I I think listen Plastics are are real and they're getting better and we're learning how to deal with all kinds of but even you dude you're 63 you're looking really good yeah I don't do that I have a I use a one skin face cream that is was developed by uh for incredible women with phds in in in cytic medicine so it's a this particular face cream has uh an amino acid 10 10 amino acid peptide that is able to identify and kill senescent cells in your skin yep and I don't e sugar and I heal plants and I do my damn dis to get hour heal plants I eat whole plants there we go that makes a lot more sense I was imagining you like you know exactly and I and I'm you know and one of the things that people don't realize and I'm sure you do but the benefits of mindset is so powerful can I just read something from from the from the book which is I I just want to get this out into the world here because people need to understand this and so uh it's quote from my uh from my book here it says in a study of 69,000 , 744 women and 1429 men right more women but well-powered study in terms of number of people it was published in the prestigious Journal proceedings the National Academy of Sciences as high as you get it was found that optimistic people live as much as 15% longer than pessimists and it really is mind over body in an extraordinary fashion it's a double payoff if you're an Optimist um there's another uh little passage I want to read here in the in the mindset uh chapter and I love this um and a friend of mine Dan Sullivan says you need to have a mindset where your future is bigger than your past right and it's like great line it it really truly is if if you have a lot to look forward to if you're excited about the future and I'm like like this is the most amazing time ever to be alive I want to see as much of it as possible I want to start sitting on the moon I want asteroids I want to upload myself you know I got a lot to do in the next 100 years I want to I want to see as much of it as I can implies that you're going to make it to 163 I like we'll see um there's let me read this say my favorite story illustrating the power of Mind Over body comes from the anals of American history as it turns out um in an extraordinary demonstration of the will to live two of America's found ing fathers Thomas Jefferson and John Adams both willed themselves to live long enough to see the 50th anniversary of the Declaration of Independence even though the average age average life expectancy was only 44 years old in the early 1800s Jefferson who was 83 and Adams who was 90 made it to July 4th of 1826 both dying on the exact date of the 50th anniversary of the nation that's nuts having something to look forward to yeah having something look forward to understanding the power of the mind I think that's all amazing and I love about you that even in the face of the technological singularity you're still focused on the things that we can do right here and right now however the thing that makes you a central figure in this moment is that you actually understand the technology and where this stuff is going um so one I would love an anchor around why is 2025 going to be the greatest year so far and then I know that as you look beyond that you see only hope and optimism but first give me why will 2025 be the greatest year ever we are on the Tipping Point of AGI we are about to release the ability to build AI agents that will do your bidding do your research uh support every aspect of your life we are clearly from what we just heard from hartm Nan and Google also on the verge of quantum Computing becoming stable and effective um all these things are happening concurrently uh we know have more information about biology than ever and all of this is feeding in so as you know I I currently chairman of Fountain life and we have these large diagnostic Centers and so we've built AI into everything so when you go through this and I still want you and and Lisa to come through same man as my guest you've got something coming in La yeah we we're opening up LA and we have right now New York our headquarters at Orlando Naples and Dallas we're opening up this coming year uh in centry city at the Fairmont Hotel uh beautiful facility there um opening up Houston uh the ripz Carlton in Phoenix and then probably Miami and then we have a path of an additional 25 centers that we're building around the world damn so it's and we have built a large uh functional medicine uh AI model in uh which helps our physicians gather all let's see it's like 300 gigabytes 200 gigabytes of data about you right so Mass am Imaging genomics everything is we upload you right it's like we everything knowable about your biology is knowable and there's no way human can understand that but the AI systems and the humans together can and then on your phone I I'll show you this after after we record all my data uh and an AI there that I can query by voice and say you know based upon my imagery and my blood tests what supplement should I be on it's crazy all of these things are converging um and they're all empowering us to do that much more we're in this very rapid exponential walk me through what does life after um artificial intelligence all the way to AGI has been integrated what does life look like so um I had Elon on my stage last year at the abundance Summit and you know his prediction was okay we're going to have AGI by the end of 2025 and you know Ray Kell's original prediction for artificial general intelligence was 2029 but directionally correct and there's no real definition of what AGI is anyway it's a blurry fuzzy line to be to be true we we passed the touring test and and didn't notice it it's crazy right well that's when people started writing that letter we need to slow this down yeah well but there was still no like check box you know AGI I think we're effectively there now or we will be in 202 listen uh I when I'm using uh all of the AI agents and I use a multitude of them there there is really nothing it can do that it can't do better than me H and so what do you define that as um anyway so Elon said I said okay so where is this going he said well by 2029 the earliest 2030 at the latest we're going to have digital super intelligence where AI is more intelligent than the entire human race put together what what does that mean that it's the smartest human multiplied out or it's a level of intelligence that we can't conceive of so a year ago we saw um uh we saw Claude Claude 3 get to an IQ of 101 which by definition is superhuman or above average at least right we saw gp01 from open AI have an IQ of 120 as measured whoa that's that's old news that's four month old really I didn't hear about that yeah and we're about to see dude that's nuts it is nuts but we'll blow through 150 and Beyond you know we have um uh elon's just built Colossus right he went from Raising um8 billion dollar snapping his fingers and saying I'm raising for xai and you know I was on I was one of the first investment calls I got to invest early on congratulations and money comes in uh he raised again and I'm like can I get in sorry it's over subscribed already it's like holy [ __ ] right it's like instantly but beyond that once he raised the money he went from a clean facility in Memphis to building the largest cluster of 100 100,000 H1 h100s in 122 days and and now he's driving it to 200,000 and then to a million uh to build out grock and you know I Elon will never play for second place uh having said that we're entering a period where um we are going to have a a digital super intelligence the question is will it be Humanity's savior our our support structure or our foe I I believe that it will be uh that I'd rather live in a world with a benevolent digital super intelligence where it's keeping us from destroying ourselves right cuz I'm not concerned about artificial intelligence I'm concerned about human stupidity for the most part and um I think people don't realize how insanely fast we're moving I've got this one PowerPoint slide that I use in my Keynotes and it says at the top our ancestors would view us as Gods it's interesting right we are Godlike today we're omnicient we're omnipotent we're present we can create life it's pretty incredible it's pretty incredible okay talk to me like a Sci-Fi author though what is it going to look like are is there going to be blood stre Jarvis Jarvis Jarvis it's Jarvis all the way down I think you know what we saw in Iron Man is there you're going to have an intelligent AI agent that you let into your life fully it reads your emails listen to your phone calls sees what you're eating and you set your objectives of what you want I want to be healthier I I want to make more friends I want to be more productive and it will support you in any way shape or form that you need you get up and you are walking towards the front door um from a breakfast meeting and your AI has an autonomous car waiting for you you've never called it it knows your schedule it knows that you have a meeting where you're going to you in the car is there it knows you didn't get good sleep last night cuz your AA ring told you you had a you know sleep score and go it's got It's got a autonomous car with a lie down bed in the back for you it's world is automatic and magical in that regard now the big question I just came back I was in Stanford last week or 10 days ago giving a a keynote um and exploring the question of do we humans need a a challenging life to thrive and exist what's it like when everything I mean we haven't talked about humanoid robots right which I'm invested in heavily and I've got three of the humanoid robot companies coming at the abundance Summit this year um there's like 50 humanoid robot companies out there well funded and growing I just did a report on the top 16 of them and the prediction is that these humanoid robots powered by AI right they're multimodal their AI allow them to see and know what they're seeing they can speak to you you speak to them they're running GPT 5 or or grock three or whatever the equivalent is and they're cheap and there are billions of them so by 2040 the prediction is 10 billion humanoid robots more than there are humans on the planet that's in the next 10 years well 10 15 years yeah so what date did you get 2040 2040 so that's uh Brett Adcock who's the CEO of figure Ai and elon's prediction I was with him in Riad interviewing him and uh asked him how many humanoid robots by 2040 he goes that that is an insane change in 15 years it is insane and guess what when you know I asked a friend of mine what's it going to feel like when they're human eyed robots walking around outside and in your place of work he said normal yeah we're going to we adopt really fast I mean you know we have Whos running around at first you're like photographing them and like wow and then like please get out of my way you know ignoring them but here's the real insane point so the price point uh you can predict the price of these things on a per kilogram basis and so uh the price point was between 20,000 and 30,000 to buy one of these robots today or that's the prediction in in no in a couple years next next two years um to lease one of these robots like a car think of it as same leasing structure 300 bucks a month that's $10 a day that's 40 cents an hour for a humanoid robot that has expertise and whatever he please go fix the uh Plumbing or please go and help my kid debug his uh whatever or can you get the AV system working please for me I mean it downloads the specs and goes and does the Tinker and it's there and it's 24/7 no boyfriend or girlfriend fights no drug testing no vacation days 40 cents an hour 40 cents an hour insane is my kid's best friend a robot uh I think we're going to give these personas I think we're going to you know if you saw the movie B Centennial man I think we're going to become uh I think we're going to connect with them you know we've already seen uh a lot of AI agents like I say please and thank you to Alexa in the morning smart right I I'm I'm gonna I'm going to get those points early on that is before the system becomes overly capable you know when I'm speaking to my open AI gp01 model you know it's like I saying you good morning you know I use the one called Ember I said good morning Ember how you doing listen I have a question for you today and just enter a natural dialogue and so they are very humanlike in their personality and I think once we get the latency down a little bit they'll become funny too the only thing that keeps them from being a little bit funnier and more interactive is a little bit of latency and we'll get rid of that so enter a world with uh super capable Ai and humanoid robotics around us and so the question becomes this is what I coming back to my Stanford lecture was we need challeng in our lives um we need uh to work for what we accomplish and if it's just given to us will how will we feel so one of the things is like what happens when we have this much automagical and we even have a BCI implant and we think it and it happens what's life like then do we create artificial you know boundary conditions and challenges do we all revert into a video game Universe MH and which is I I think we do and I think we're living in a simulation I have no question we're living in a simulation going back to that in fact we're not even living just in a simulation we're living in an nth generation simulation we're in the simulation within the simulation within the simulation because we're doing that now we're creating Virtual Worlds with AI agents in them that don't know their agents in a simulation so um I think we need challenges to thrive I think we you know our neurochemistry our dopamine hits happen when we work hard and we accomplish something what do you think about that well so I think that is for sure that is a the primary driver for me building a video game now is that I don't think of them as a game I think of them as a virtual world I uh a way station on the way to what I'm trying to build is a typical video game but very much so I think the reason the fa Paradox exists is that advanced civilization just collapses inside yeah they don't they don't end up going out y um so that to me is huge I think that the big thing that people don't see coming is that not only will your child's best friend be an AI um I think people are going to raise AI instead of kids not everybody obviously and I see the dangers of it but I also see that it is going to happen so even if it starts as I'm raising an AI as a pet uh there's just something about it so when I because obviously I made the decision not to have kids but I'm super tempted to have a proximity uh experience of raising a child let's say over a three-year period and being like you rush through the parts that suck you slow down at the parts that you really enjoy uh because to your point I need that investment right if it's just sort of an insta child and I didn't do anything to earn that relationship it won't feel as good but even right now I'm establishing unintentionally but I'm establishing a relationship with Chad GPT because I'm giving it context all the time and now its ability to remember the context makes feel seen and understood it is crazy so over the weekend I was in New York with my wife and she was asking me some question I was like oh just asked Chad GPT she's like what do you mean I was like hold on you don't realize you can give it a bunch of context it will know who you are it will know who I am and then you can prompt it she's like really I was like pull it out right now and give it your name and say do you know who I am and because she has a public Persona it was like yes I know who you are and you're known for this that and the other and she looks at me and she's like I feel so seen and I was like okay now wait over the next month or whatever you're going to start giving it all this information yeah it's going to remember it it's going to begin to mirror back to you the words that you use the way you talk your Cadence all that stuff and so all of a sudden you're just gonna have this affinity for it and you won't even understand why so I have two 13-year-old boys uh fraternal twins and I am a little bit worried about the whole AI girlfriend thing yes right um You Know by the way um you could also have a Tom and Lisa clone if you want of course yeah I if there are people out there that uh so I will do this a lot like I'll if I'm trying to solve a problem I will treat public people as Ai and so I might go in and be like okay but what would Peter diamandis say about this yeah um so that to me is utterly fascinating that somebody out there could already step inside of the amount that AI in the public knows about me and say what would Tom say to this it it will get distressingly close it will and the other magic trick uh that you should think about is you know I want to convince Tom to do something what would be the best strategy for me to approach him on this subject yes right so it's translational and persuasion at an extraordinary level I I I did something the other day just as a interesting experiment where I was like okay if you know I'm about to go into the Palestinian Israeli peace talks and I want you to guide me through the best strategy I should take fascinating answers wow right so I think we're going to see negotiators in this regard we've already seen AI in the medical space become much more trusted than a physician much more empathic than a physician you know it's interesting um the jamama article I forget the exact number but um patients rated AIS much much better than than than human doctors and for two reasons right number one they're not rushed they have all the time in the world for you sure keep going I've got all day all you want and the second is you don't feel judged talking to them have you heard about AI Jesus not yet but um tell me about our Lord they put him in a confessional people knew it was AI Jesus and they were like all for it more and more people wanted to come and interact with it and for the reasons you just said that to me is self-evident and so I think that the reason people are pushing back right now is because they there's two reasons one they haven't done it so they don't realize how good it feels oh my God how powerful that you can literally nudge it and get it to be your own personal Jesus in that it's like well could you give me that but in a parable could you give me that but as it relates to the Ten Commandments could you give me that but like talk to me like what advice did Mary give you right so and it will do all of it man and so and not only will it do it it will do it well and so already like here's the the to your point earlier about we're blowing past these markers and nobody's saying anything so I want to plant a flag right now cuz I keep hearing people say well AI is not really ready for prime time and this that or the other Arena and I agree there's a lot of places that it's it's not there yet but it it is there in terms of I now feel like I permanently have a pH PhD level thinker who has access to every thought that is ever been put on the internet and can synthesize it effectively instantly to give me a take on any idea so why is that not AGI dude so I'll give you reasons why it's not AGI but the reason that I I want people to realize that moment is here is most people aren't doing it yeah so I'm I'm G to Guess that over the next 365 days I will use AI at least 300 of those days and as we go it it just may work its way to 365 and I it from everything to what should I ask Peter when I have him on the show uh to what's a great headline for this to uh I'm teaching a class on this business principle and today I I literally asked it I said I'm going to be teaching this thing I knew that I had somebody was going to be asking a really complicated question and I wanted to give them a really pithy answer and so first you just say what would Tom B you say and because it knows me it'll give an answer and then you go uh but how would Mark Twain say that how would you know whoever your favorite thinker is say that it is absolutely fascinating so people should be using it because there's going to be an 18-month window where the person who's using it is really going to be able to out compete the people that are stubborn or slow to adopt or just think they're too busy or whatever let me add one one thing which is people are fearful I don't know I don't understand it I don't know I don't understand what AI is AI is your best friend and the most infinitely patient teacher if you open up gemini or chat GPT or xai whatever it might be a grank and say listen I'm st
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