Chris Urmson: Is Lidar a Crutch? | AI Podcast Clips
f3nF7sq1gKE • 2019-08-17
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Kind: captions Language: en [Music] he said leiter came into the game early on and it's really the primary driver of autonomous vehicles today as a sensor so how important is the role of light are in the sensor suite in the near term so I think it's I think it's a central you know I believe it but I also believe is the cameras are essential and I believe the radars is essential I think that you you really need to use the composition of data from from these different sensors if you want the thing to to really be robust the question I want to ask I see if we kind of tangle is what are your thoughts on the Elon Musk provocative statement that lidar is a crutch that is the kind of I guess growing pains and that's much of the perception tasks can be done with cameras so I think it is undeniable that people walk around without you know lasers in their foreheads and they can get into vehicles and drive them and and so there's an existence proof that you can drive using you know passive vision no doubt can't argue with that in terms of sensors yeah so yes sensors right so like there's there's an example that you know we all go do it many of us every day in terms of latter being a crutch sure but but you know in the same way that you know the combustion engine was a crutch on the path to an electric vehicle the same way that you know any technology ultimately gets replaced by some superior technology in the future and really what with the way that I look at this is that the way we get around on the ground the way that we use transportation is broken and that we have you know this this you know what was I think the number I saw this morning 37,000 Americans killed last year on our roads and that's just not acceptable and so tech any technology that we can bring to bear that accelerates the this techno you know self-driving technology coming to market and saving lives is technology we should be using and it feels just arbitrary to say well you know I'm I'm not okay with using lasers because that's whatever but I am okay with using an 8 megapixel camera or a 16 megapixel camera you know like it's just these are just bits of technology and we should be taking the best technology from the tool bin that allows us to go and you know and solve a problem the question I often talk to well obviously you do as well to sort of automotive companies and you know if there's one word that comes up more often than anything is costs and and trying to drive costs down so while it's it's true that it's a tragic number the 37,000 the the question is would and I'm not the one asking these questions I hate this question but yeah we want to find the cheapest sensor suite that the creates a safe vehicle so in that uncomfortable trade-off do you foresee lidar coming down in cost in the future or do you see a day where level for autonomy is possible without lidar I see both of those but it's really a matter of time and I think really maybe the I would talk to the question you asked about you know the cheapest set certainly I don't think that's actually what you want what you want is a sensor suite that is economically viable and then after that everything is about margin and driving cost out of the system what you also want is a sense suite that and so it's great to tell a story about how you know how it'd be better to have a self-driving system with a $50 sensor instead of a you know $500 answer but if the $500 sensor makes it work and the $50 sensor doesn't work you know who cares the long is you can actually you have an economic offer you know there's an economic opportunity there and the economic opportunity is important because that's how you actually have a sustainable business and that's how you can actually see this come to scale and and and be out in the world and so when I look at lidar I see a technology that has no underlying fundamentally you know expense to it fundamental expense to it it's it's going to be more expensive than an imager because you know CMOS processes or you know fab processes are dramatically more scalable than mechanical processes but we still should be able to drive costs down substantially on that side and then I also do think that with the right business model you can absorb more you know certainly more cost on the Bill of Materials yeah if the sensor suite works extra values provided thereby you don't need to drive costs down to zero it's the basic economics you
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