Fiona Hill: Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump | Lex Fridman Podcast #335
vNhSCF9i8Qs • 2022-11-04
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Kind: captions Language: en we've got to have strategic empathy about Putin as well we've got to understand how the guy thinks and why he thinks like he does you know he he has got his own context in his own frame and his own rationale and he is rational he is a rational actor in his own context we've got to understand that we've got to understand that he would take offense at something and he would take action over something it doesn't mean to say that you know we are necessary to blame by taking actions but we are to blame and we don't understand the consequences of things that we do and act accordingly or you know take preventative action or recognize that something might happen as a result of something what is the probability that Russia attacks Ukraine with the tactical nuclear weapon the following is a conversation with Fiona Hill a presidential advisor and foreign policy expert specializing in Russia she has served the bush Obama and Trump administrations including being a top advisor on Russia to Donald Trump she has made it to the White House from humble beginnings in the north of England a story she tells in her book there's nothing for you here this is the Lex Friedman podcast to support it please check out our sponsors in the description and now dear friends here's Fiona Hill you came from Humble beginning in a coal mining town in Northeast England so what were some formative moments in your young life that made you the woman you are today I was born in 1965 and it was the period where the whole coal sector in Britain was in Decline already and you know basically my father by the time I came along had lost his job multiple times every coal mine he worked in was closing down he was looking constantly further work and he had no qualifications because at age 14 he'd gone down the mines his father had gone down the mines at 13 his great grandfather you know around the same kind of age I mean you had a lot of people you know at different points going down coal mines at 12 13 you know 14 they didn't get educated beyond that period because the expectation was pay you're going to go down the mine like everybody else in your family although they didn't really have any other qualifications to you know basically find another job Beyond something in manual labor so I worked in a steel works that didn't work out a brickworks that closed down and then he went to work in the local hospital part of the National Health Service in the United Kingdom as a porter an orderly supposedly somebody's just pushing people around there was no opportunity to retrain so the big issue in my family was education you've got to have one you know you've got to have some qualifications the world is changing it's changing really quickly and for you to kind of keep up with it you're going to have to get educated and find a way out of this I'm very early on my father had basically said to me there's nothing for you here you're going to have to if you want to get ahead and he didn't have any kind of idea that as a girl I wouldn't I mean actually in many respects I think I've benefited from being a girl rather than a boy there was no expectation that I would go into industry uh there was you know some kind of idea that maybe I you know if I got qualifications I could be a nurse my mother was a midwife and so she'd at age 16 left school and gone to train as a nurse and then as a midwife I had other relatives who'd gone to teach you know in local schools and so there was an idea that you know women could get educated and there was a kind of a range of things that you could do but the expectation then was go out there do something with your life but also a sense that you'd probably have to leave so all of that was circling around me particularly in my teenage years as I mean I was trying to find my way through life and looking forward first of all what does that even look like uh getting educated given the context of that place you don't know there's a whole world of mystery out there so how do you figure out what to actually do out there what was there moments formative moments either challenging or just inspiring where you wondered about what you want to be where you want to go yeah I don't want me to a number of things I mean I think like a lot of kids you know you you talk to people and particularly from Blue Collar background you said what did you want to do boys might say I wanted to be a fireman you know or you got you know kind of I at one point is a little girl I wanted to be a nurse and I had little nurses uniform like my mother I didn't really know what that meant but you know I used to go around pretending to be a nurse I even had a little magazine called nurse Nancy and I used to read this and you know kind of that was one of the formative ideas we also it was a rural area semi-rural area and you know I'd be out in the the fields all the time and I'd watch Farmers you know with their animals and I'd see vets coming along and you know watching people deal with a livestock and there was a kind of a famous story at the time about a vet called James Harriet um it became here in the United States as well and was a lot of TV mini series he'd written a book and he was the vet for my uh one of my uh great aunt's dogs and people were always talking about him and I thought oh I could be a vet and then one day I saw one of the local vets with his hand up the back side of a cow in a field and he got his hands stuck and the cow was kicking him and I thought yeah maybe maybe not actually no I don't think I wanted to be a vet so I cycle through all of these things about okay I could get an education but the whole sense was you had to apply your education it wasn't an education for Education sick it was an education to do something and when I was about 14 or 15 my local Member of Parliament came to the school and it was one of these you know pep talks for kids in these you know deprived areas he had been quite prominent in local education and now he was a member of parliament he himself had come from a really hard Scrabble background and had risen up through education had even gone to Oxford and done philosophy politics and economics and he basically told my class even though it was highly unlikely any of us were really going to get ahead and go to Elite institutions look you can get an education you don't have to be held back by your circumstances but if you do get an education it's a privilege and you need to do something with it so then I'm thinking well what could I do okay an education is a qualifications to do something most people around me I didn't I knew didn't have careers I mean my dad didn't really have a career he had jobs my mom you know thought of her nursing as a career though and it genuinely was and she was out there trying to help women uh survive childbirth my mother had these horrific stories you know basically over the dining room table I wish he'd stop she'd leave out her nursing books and I'd tell you if everyone had had my mum as a as a mother there'd be no there'd be no reproduction on the planet it was just this Grim horrific stories of breached births and fistulas and all kinds of Horrors that my sister and I would just go oh my God you know what please stop so I thought well you know I don't necessarily want to go in that um in that direction but it was the timing that really cinched things for me I was very lucky that the region that I grew up County Durham despite the massive Decline de-industrialization and the complete collapse of uh the local government system around me still maintained money for education and they also paid for exchanges and we had exchange programs with cities in Germany and France also in Russia in Costa Rama near Yaris level for example no textile Town similar you know down in its kind of region but you know quite historic in the Russian context in fact the original uh birthplace of the Romanov Dynasty and customer just as County Durham and it was quite a distinguished historic area in the in the British context and so it was an idea that I could go on exchanges I could learn languages I studied German I studied French and then in 1983 there was the warsker basically provoked by the Euro methyl crisis so the station of new categories of strategic nuclear weapons and intermediate nuclear weapons in Western Europe and in Eastern Europe during the height of the Cold War and the zero Missile Crisis over ss-20 and Pershing missiles went on from 1977 so when I was about 11 or 12 you know all the way through into the later part of the 1980s and in 1983 we came extraordinarily close to a nuclear conflict it was very much another rerun of the Cuban Missile Crisis of 1962 so 20 years on same kind of thing the Soviets misread although I didn't know this at the time I know a lot of this you know after the fact but the tension was palpable but what happened was the Soviets misread the intentions of a series of exercises uh operation Able Archer that the United States was conducting and actually thought that the United States might be preparing for a first nuclear strike and that then set up a whole set of literal chain reactions in the Soviet Union eventually it was recognized that you know all of this was really based on misperceptions and of course you know that later led to negotiations between Gorbachev and Reagan for the intermediate nuclear forces the INF treaty but in 1983 that tension was just acute and for as a teenager we were basically being prepped the whole time for um the inevitability of nukaramageddon there were TV series films in the United States and the UK threads the day after we had all these public service announcements telling us to seek Sanctuary or cover and the inevitability of a nuclear blast and you know my house was so small they said look for a room without a window there were no rooms without Windows my dad put on these really thick curtains over the window you know and said if there was a nuclear flash you know we'd have to you know get down on the floor not look up but the curtains would help and we were like this is ridiculous dad and we would all try to see if we could squeeze in the uh space under the stairs a cupboard Under the Stairs like Harry Potter I was all just you know totally nuts or go or you had to throw yourself in a ditch if you were outside and I thought well this this isn't going to work and one of my great uncles who had fought in World War II said well look you're good at languages Fiona why didn't you go and study Russian try to figure it out figure out why the Russians are trying to blow us up because you know during the go talk to them they're exactly during World War II yeah the United Kingdom the United States and the Soviet Union had all been wartime allies and my uncle Charlie thought well there's something gone wrong here maybe you can figure it out and as you said you'd go talk to them so I thought okay I'll study Russian so that's really how this came about I thought well it's applying education I'll just do my very best to understand everything I possibly can about the Russian language and the Soviet Union and I'll see what I can do and I thought well maybe I could become a translator so I had visions of myself sitting around you know listening to things in a big headset and in a basically translating perhaps at some you know future Arms Control Summit so how did the journey continue with learning Russian I mean this early dream of being a translator and thinking how can I actually uh help understand or maybe help even deeper way with this conflict that threatens the existence of the human species um how did it actually continue well I mean I read everything I also actually possibly could about you know nuclear weapons and nuclear war and you know it started to try to teach myself you know Russian a little bit it was a losing context of nuclear war it was very much in the context of nuclear this particular point but also in historical context because I knew that the United States and the United Kingdom and the Soviet Union had been more time allies in World War II so try to understand all of that and also um you know I like many other people I read you know Russian literature in Translation I'd read War and Peace and you know I'd love the book actually I mean particularly the you know the story parts of it I wasn't one really at that at that time when I was a teenager I thought Tolstoy went on a bit you know in terms of his theories of the great man and of history and you know kind of social change though now I appreciate it more but when I was about 14 I was like this man needed an editor you know could you have just gone on with the story from an amazing story what an incredible you know kind of book this is I still think he needs another book I think his wife tried didn't you but um he got quite upset with her and then I kind of thought to myself well how do I how do I study Russian because there were very few schools in my uh region you know given the impoverishment of the region where you could study Russian so I would have to take Russian from scratch and this is where things get really quite interesting because there were opportunities to study um Russian at universities but I would need to have first of all an intensive Russian language course in the summer and I didn't have the money for that and the period is around the miners strike in the United Kingdom in 1984. now the miners of County Durham that very interestingly had exchanges and ties with the miners of donbass going back to the 1920s and as I studied Russian history I discovered there was lots of contacts between you know Bolshevik Soviet Union the early period after the Russian Revolution but even before that during the Imperial period in Russia between the northern England and the Russian Empire and the old industrial areas basically big industrial areas like the northeast of England and places like Don bass were built up at the same time Often by the same sets of industrialists and danetsk in the donbass region used to be called husicka because it was established by a Welsh industrialist who brought in miners from Wales to help you know kind of develop the coal mines there and also the the steel works and others that you know were gearing about all the time and so I got very fascinated in all these linkages and you know famous writers from the early parts of the Soviet Union like give Guinea zamyasin worked in the shipyards in Newcastle upon Tyne and there was just this whole set of connections and in 1984 when the miners strike took place the miners of donbass along with other miners from famous coal regions like Duro Valley for example in Germany or mine is in Poland sent money in solidarity to the miners of County Durham and they've been these exchanges as I said going back and forth since the 1920s formal exchanges between miners you know the region the miners unions and I um heard again from the same uh great uncle who told me to study Russian that there were actually scholarships of the children of miners it could be former miners as well for their education and I should go along to the miners Hall Players called Red Hills where the the minders of country Durham had actually pulled all of their resources and built up their own Parliament and their own you know kind of players that they could talk among themselves to figure out how to enhance the welfare and well-being of their communities and they'd put money aside for education for minors there was all kinds of lecture series from the miners and all kinds of other activities supporting soccer teams and artistic circles and writing circles for example people like George Orwell you know were involved in some of these writers circles in other parts of Britain and Mining communities for example and so uh they told me I could you know go along and basically apply for a grant to go to study Russian so I show up and it was the easiest you know application I've ever come across that just asked me to my dad came along with me they asked me to verify you know that my dad had been a minor and they looked up his employment record on little cards you know kind of a little a little tray somewhere and then they asked me how much I needed you know to uh basically pay for the travel and some of the basic expenses for the um the study and they wrote me a check and so thanks to the miners of donbath and this money that was deposited with the miners of County Durham with the Durham miners Association I got the money to study Russian for the first time uh before I embarked on my studies at University as you're speaking now it's reminding me that there's a different way to look both at history and a geography in the different places is um you know this is an industrial region that's right and it echoes in the experience of living there is more captured not by Moscow or Kiev but by at least historically but by just being a mining town and Industry that's right in the place itself yeah yeah I mean there are places in the United States and Appalachia and West Virginia and in Pennsylvania like the Lehigh Valley that have the same sense of place on the northeast of England you know was the Cradle of the Industrial Revolution it was the Industrial version of the silica of Silicon Valley which has its own I would say Contours and frames and when you come to those industrial areas your previous identities get submerged in that larger framework I've always looked at the world through that lens of being you know someone from the working class the blue collar communities from a very specific place with lots of historical and economic connotations and it's also a Melting Pot which is the problems that the donbass has experienced uh over you know the last 30 years that people came from all over the place to work that of course it was a a population that one might say is indigenous you know might have gone back centuries there but they would have been you know in the smaller rural farming communities just like it was the same in the northeast of England and people in the case of the northeast of England came from Wales they came from further in the south of England the Midlands they came from Scotland they came from Ireland um I have all of that Heritage in my own personal background and you've got a different identity unless when somebody else tries to impose a den an identity like on you from the outside that things go awry and I think that that's kind of what we've really seen in the case of Don bass it's a place it's a part in many respects historically and in terms of its Evolution and development over time and you know particularly in the case of you know Russia uh the Russians have tried to say well look you know because most people speak Russia there as the lingua Franca I mean in the northeast of England because everyone spoke English but lots of people were Irish speakers you know garlic Irish speakers or you know some of them might have um certainly been Welsh speakers there was lots of Welsh miners who spoke Welsh as their first language who came there you know but they but they created a an identity it's the same in Belfast in Ulster you know the northern province of um of the you know the whole of the Irish Island another part of Ireland that is still part of the United Kingdom that was also a heavily industrialized area um High manufacturing Mass manufacturing shipbuilding for example people came from all over there too which is why when Ireland uh got its independence in the United Kingdom Ulster Belfast and that whole region you know kind of clung on because it was again that Melting Pot it was kind of intertwined with the larger industrial economy and had a very different identity and so that you know for me growing up in such a specific place with such a special in many respects Heritage gave me a different perspective on things when I first went to the Soviet Union in 1987 to study there I actually went to a translators Institute what was then called The Morris serez which is now the Institute of foreign languages um I was immediately struck by how similar everything was to the north of England because it was just like one big book in class culture that sort of broken out onto the national stage everything in northern England was nationalized we had British steel British coal British Rail British shipbuilding because after World War II the private sector had been devastated and the state had to step in and of course the Soviet Union is one great big giant nationalized economy when I get there and it's just the people's attitudes and outlooks are the same people didn't work for themselves they always worked for somebody else and it had a quite a a distortion on the way that people looked at the world do you still speak Russian I do yeah it would be a big mystery for everybody and you have an advantage on me because your native language as well for people wondering the the English speakers in the audience you're really missing a lot from the few sentences we said there um yeah it's it's a fascinating language that stretches actually geographically across a very large part of this world so there you are in 1987 an exchange student in the Soviet Union what was that world like well that was was absolutely fascinating in that period because it's the period That's just around the time of the peak of perestroika and mikhil Gorbachev's uh role as president um while he wasn't quite present at that point it's all Secretary General of the Communist part of the Soviet Union trying to transform the whole place so I arrived there in September of 1987. just as Gorbachev and Reagan sign the INF treaty just within you know kind of weeks of them about to sign that which really ends that whole period that had shaped my entire teenage years of the end of the euromissile crisis by finally having agreement on you know basically the reduction and constraints on intermediate nuclear forces and also at this point Gorbachev is opening the Soviet Union up so we got all kinds of opportunities to travel in ways that we wouldn't have done before um not just you know in Moscow which is where I was studying its translates into people to the Caucasus to Central Asia I went all the way to uh habarovsk in the the Russian Far East all the way around you know kind of Moscow and there was at this point it was also the uh Krish which has become very important now this is the anniversary the thousandth anniversary of the christianization of um of Russia which of course has become a massive Obsession of Vladimir Putin's but you know 988 because I was there 87 to 88 and at this point the Russian Orthodox Church is undergoing a Revival from being repressed during the Soviet period you suddenly have the church stepping out as a non-governmental organization and engaging in discussions with people about the future of religion uh so that um was you know something that I wasn't expecting to to witness also I mean being in Moscow this is the cultural capital of a vast Empire at this point I'd never lived in a major city before it's the first big city I lived in I'd never been to the Opera you know I I the first time I got an opera it's at the ball joy and I'd never seen a ballet I mean I was not exactly steeped in high classical culture when you're kind of growing up in a in a mining region you know there's very limited opportunities for this kind of thing I've been in an abuse Orchestra and a used choir my parents signed me up property everything you know they possibly could education wise but it wasn't exactly any exposure to this so you know I was kind of a standard by the sort of wealth of the cultural experience that one could have in Moscow but the main thing was I was really struck by how the Soviet Union was on its last legs because this was Moscow you know I got this image about what it would look like I was quite to be honest terrified at first about what I would see there if you know the big nuclear superpower and as soon as I got there it was just this like as if a huge weight that I'd been carrying around for years in my teenage years just disappeared because it's just ordinary people in ordinary players not doing great this is the period of you know what they call deficit you know so the period of deficits but there's no food in the shops there was you know very little in terms of Commodities because the um supply and demand parts of the economic equation were out of whack because there's a total Central planning you know you'd go into you know a shop that was supposed to sell boots and there'd be just one pile of boots all in the same size in the same color I actually looked out because once I was in this um Hungarian boot shop that was right next to where my hall of residence was and I was looking for new pair of boots and every single pair of boots in the shop were my size and they're all women's boots they're not men's boots at all you know because if it's been a nervous supply of boots and that size production but you could really kind of see here that there was something wrong and you know in the north of England everything was closed down the shops were shuttered because there was no demand because everybody lost their jobs it was massive employment you know when I went off to University in 1984 90 youth unemployment in the UK meaning that when kids left school they didn't have something else to go on to unless they got to University or vocational training or an apprenticeship and most people were still looking you know kind of months out of leaving school and so shops were closing because people didn't have any money you know I had 50 male unemployment in some of the towns as there's still works closed down and the the wagon works for the railways for example in my area but in Moscow people in theory did have money but there was just there was nothing to buy the also the place was falling apart literally I saw massive sinkholes open up in the street balconies fall off buildings you know one accident after another and then there was you know this real kind of sense even though the vibrancy and excitement and hope of the Gorbachev period a real sense of the the Soviet Union had lost its way and of course it was only a year or so after I left from that Exchange program and I'd already started with my degree program in Soviet studies at talford that the Soviet Union basically unraveled and it really did unravel it wasn't like it collapsed it was basically that there were so many debates that garbage offered sparked off about how to reform the country how to put it on a different path that you know no one was in agreement and it was basically all these fights and uh deep debates and disputes among the elites of the center as well as you know basically a loss of faith in the system in the periphery and among the general population that in fact pulled it apart and of course in 1991 you get um Boris Yeltsin as the head of the Russian Federation then a constituent part of the Soviet Union together with the presidents of Ukraine and Belarus all of these being individual parts of the Soviet Union getting together and agreeing and essentially ending it and gorbachevino so basically I'm there at the the peak of this whole kind of period of experimentation and thinking about the future and within a couple of years it's all kind of gone and it's on a different track entirely well I wonder if we re-ran the 20th century a thousand times if how many times the Soviet Union will collapse yeah I wonder about that too and I also wondered about what would have happened if it didn't collapse and Gorbachev had found a different direction I mean you know we see a very divisive time now in American history the United States of America has very different cultures very different uh beliefs ideologies within those States but those are that's that's kind of the strength of America's there's these little Laboratories of ideas until though that they don't keep together I mean I've had colleagues who have described what's happening in the west right now was a kind of soft secession with States you know going off in their own Direction well you know these kinds of conceptions that we have now are divisions between red and blue States because of the fracturing of our politics and I'd always thought that that wouldn't be possible in somewhere like the United States or um you know many other countries as well because it wasn't that ethnic um uh Dimension but in fact many of our the way that people talk about politics has given it that kind of appearance in many respects because look I mean we know from the Soviet Union and the Soviet period and from where you're from you know originally in Ukraine that language is not the man to signify of identity and that identity can take all kinds of of other forms that's really interesting I mean but there has to be a deep grievance of some kind if you took a poll in any other states in the United States I think a very small minority people would want to actually succeed uh even in Texas where I spend a lot of my time yeah I I just I think that there is a common kind of pride of nation you know there's a a lot of people complain about government and about how the country's going the way people complain about the weather when it's raining they say oh this stupid weather it's raining again but really what they mean is we're in the smoke together there's a together there that I I also feel that when I go around because I mean I've spent a lot of time since I've um my book my book last October and this last year going around I find I find the same feeling but you know when I traveled around the Soviet Union back in the late 1980s I didn't get any kind of sense that people wanted to see the end of the Soviet Union either it was an elite project there's a a really good book called Collapse by vladislav zubuck who is a professor um at um London School of Economics at LLC and zubock is pretty much my age and he's from you know the former Soviet Union is Russian and I mean he describes it very quite aptly about how it was kind of the elites you know that basically decided to pull the Soviet Union apart and there was a risk of that you know here as well when you get parties on politics and people forgetting you know they're Americans and they are all in this together like a lot of the population thing but they think that their own you know narrower parties aren't ideological precepts you know camp for more and in the Civic case of course was also a power play you know in a way that actually can't quite play out in the United States because it was the equivalent of Governors in many respects who got together three of them you know in the case of um the heads of Russia Ukraine and Belarus who then you know got rid of you know the basically their Central um the central figure of Michael Gorbachev it would be a little difficult to do that the dynamic is not the same but it does worry me of having seen all of that close up in the late 1980s and the early 90s and I was I spent you know a lot of time in the uh in Russia uh as well as in Ukraine and caucus and Central Asia and you know other places after the collapse of the Soviet Union but that you you kind of see the same Elite divisions here in the United States pulling in you know in different uh in different directions and straining you know the overall body politic and the way that National politics gets imposed on local politics and where's that it certainly wasn't when I first came to the US in 1989 I didn't honestly in 1989 when I first came here I didn't know anybody's political affiliation I mean I rarely knew their religious affiliation and and you know obviously race was a was a major phenomenon here that was a shock to me when I when I first came but many of the kind of the class Regional Geographic you know kind of political Dimensions that I've seen in other places I didn't see them at play in the same way then as I do now and you take a lot of Pride to this day of being nonpartisan that said so you served uh for the George W bush Barack Obama and Donald Trump Administrations uh always specializing in uh Eurasia and Russia you were the top presidential advisor to president former president Donald Trump on Russia and Europe and famously testified in his first impeachment trial in uh 2019 saying I take great pride in the fact that I'm nonpartisan foreign policy expert so given that context what does nonpartisan mean to you well it means being very careful about not putting any kind of ideological lens on anything you know that I'm analyzing and looking at or saying about foreign policy for one thing but also not taking you know kind of one stance of one party over another either to be honest I've I've always found American politics somewhat confounding because both the Democratic and the Republican Party are pretty big tents some of their coalitions you know in Europe it's actually kind of in some respects easier to navigate the parameters of political parties because you you know have quite clear platforms um you know there's also a longer history in many respects obviously I mean there's a long history here in the United States as a development of the parties you know going back to the late 18th century but in the United Kingdom you know for example in the 20th century the development of the mass parties you know it's quite easy to get a handle on you know at one point in the UK for example the parties were real genuine Mass parties with people who are properly members and took part in regular meetings and Paid Dues and you know it was easy to kind of see what they stood for and the same in Europe you know when you look at France and in Germany and Western Germany of course Italy and elsewhere here in the United States it's kind of pretty amorphous you know the fact that you could kind of register you know randomly it seems to be a democratic Republican I trumped it at one point is Democrat next thing is Republican and then you kind of usurp a party apparatus but you don't have to be you're not vetted in any way you're not kind of you know but they don't check you out to see if you have ideological coherence you know you could have someone like Bernie Sanders on the other side on the left you know basically calling himself a socialist and you know running for the the Democratic uh presidential nomination so you know kind of in many respects parties in the United States are much more loose movements and I think you can you know it's almost like a kind of an A La Carte menu of different things and that people can pick upon pick out and it's more over time as I've noticed um become more like a kind of an affiliation even with a sporting team I mean I get very shocked by the way that people say well I couldn't do this because you know that's my side and I couldn't do anything and I couldn't support someone for the other side I mean I have a a relative in my extended family here who um is a um you know died in the more Republican and on you know family holiday there's a book on their table said 100 reasons for voting for a Democrat and I said hey are you um thinking of Shifting party affiliation then I opened the book and it's blank it was pretty funny I had to laugh I thought well there you go then there's just there's no way that you know people can pull themselves out of these frames so for me it's very important to have that independence of thought I think you can be politically engaged on the issues but you know basically without taking you know a stance that's defined by some ideological ideology or some sense of kind of parties on affiliation I think I tweeted about this maybe not eloquently in the statement if I remember correctly was something like if you honestly can't find a good thing that Donald Trump did or a good thing that Joe Biden did you're not uh you're not thinking about ideas you just picked the tribe I mean it was more eloquent than that but it was it was um is basically this is a really good test to see are you actually thinking about like how to solve problems versus like your dread team or blue team like a sporting team can you find a good idea of Donald Trump's that you like if you're somebody who's against Donald Trump and like acknowledge it to yourself probably oh that's a good idea I'm glad he said that or he's even asking the right kinds of questions which he often often actually I mean obviously put them in a way that most of us wouldn't have done but there was often kind of questions about why is this happening why are we doing this and you know we have to challenge ourselves all the time so yeah actually why are we doing that and then you have to and really inspect it and say whether it's actually worth continuing that way or they should be doing something differently now he had a more kind of destructive quality to those kinds of questions you know about maybe it's the real estate developer in him that's you know taking a big wrecking ball to all of these kinds of you know sacred edifices and things like that but often if you really paid attention he was asking a valid set of questions about why do we continue to do things like this now we didn't often have answers about what he was going to do in response but those questions still had to be asked and we shouldn't be just rejecting them you know out of turn and you know the the another strength the thing that people often that criticize Donald Trump will say is the weakness is his uh lack of Civility can be a strength because I I feel like sometimes bureaucracy functions on excessive civility like uh actually I've seen this it's not just it's bureaucracy in all forms like um in tech companies as they grow everybody kind of you know you're getting pretty good salary everyone's is everyone's comfortable and there's a meeting and you discuss how to move stuff forward and like you don't want to be the in the room that says what this is why are we doing this this way this is um on this could be unethical this is hurting the world this is totally a dumb idea like I mean I could give specific examples that I have on my mind currently that are technical but the point is oftentimes the person that's needed in that room is an yeah that's why Steve Jobs worked so Elon Musk works you have to roll in that's what first principles thinking looks like the one bit when it doesn't work is when they start name calling you know kind of inciting violence against you know the people that we disagree with so that was kind of a problem because I mean often one you know I when I was in the administration I had all of Europe in my portfolio as well as Russia and there were many times when you know we were dealing with our European colleagues where he was asking some pretty valid questions about well why should we do this if you're doing that you know for example the the Nordstrom 2 pipeline the United States has been opposed to Europe's Reliance on gas and oil exports from uh Russia you know the Soviet Union since the 70s and 80s and Trump kept pushing this out idea about so why are we you know spending so much money on NATO and NATO defense and we're all talking about this if y'all then you know basically paying billions you know to Russia for gas isn't this you know contradictory and of course it was but it was the way that he did it and I actually uh you know one instance had a discussion with a European Defense uh Minister who basically said to me look he's saying exactly the same things as people said before him including you know Former Defense secretary Gates it's just the way he says it you know so they took offense and then as a result of that they wouldn't take action because they took offense at what he said so it was a kind of then a way of could you find some other means of you know massaging this communication to kind of make it effective which we would always try to focus on because it's it's a kind of the it was the the delivery yeah but but the actual message was was often spot on or in those kinds of issues I mean he was actually highlighting you know these ridiculous discrepancies between what people said and what they actually did it's the the delivery the Charisma in the room too I'm also understanding the power of that of a leader it's not just about what you do at a podium but in in a room with advisors how you talk about stuff how you convince other leaders yeah you don't do it through gratuities insults and excitement to violence that's one of the things you just say you don't get anywhere on that well I mean it's possible tough measures and maximum pressure often though it does work right because there were you know often times where you know that kind of Relentless you know nagging about something are constantly raising it actually did have results where it hadn't previously right so there's you know the maximum pressure if it you know kind of kept on it in the right way and you know often when we were you know coming in behind on pushing on issues you know related to Nato or you know other things in this same sphere it would actually have an effect it just doesn't get talked about because it gets overshadowed by you know all of the other kind of stuff around this and um the way that you know he interacted with people and uh treated people what was uh the heart the key insights to your testimony and that impeachment look I think there is a straight line between that whole series of episodes and the current war in Ukraine because Vladimir Putin and the people around him in the Kremlin concluded that the US did not care one little bit about Ukraine and it was just a game the trumpet was personal game he was basically trying to get Vladimir zielinsky to do him a personal favor related to his desire to stay on in um in power in the 2020 election and generally they just thought that we were using Ukraine as some kind of proxy or some kind of instrument within our own domestic Politics as that's what it looked like and I think that he knows the result of that Putin you know took the idea where that he could you know do whatever he wanted we were constantly being asked even prior to this by people around uh Putin like you know Nikolai Patricia of the head of the national you know security uh Council equivalent in Russia we met with frequently what's Ukraine to you we don't get it you know why do you even care so they thought that we weren't serious that we weren't serious about Ukraine's territorial integrity and its independence or or it is the National Security player and Putin also thought that he could just manipulate the political space in the United States actually could because what was he was doing was seeding uh all this dissent and uh fueling you know already uh in a debate inside of uh U.S politics the kinds of you know things that we see just kind of coming out now this kind of idea that Ukraine was a burden that Ukraine was you know basically just trying to extract things uh from the United States the Ukraine had somehow played inside of U.S politics Trump was convinced that the ukrainians had done something against him that they had intervened in the elections and that was kind of you know a combination of people around him trying to find excuses to you know kind of what had happened in the election to kind of divert attention away from Russia's interference in 2016 and the Russians themselves poisoning the world uh against Ukraine so you had a kind of a Confluence of circumstances there and what I was trying to get across in that uh testimony was the National Security imperative of basically getting our act together here and separating out what was going on in our domestic politics from what was happening in our national security and foreign policy I mean I think we contributed in that whole mess around the impeachment but just the whole parallel policies around Ukraine to the war that we now have confronting signaling the value we place in peace and stability in that part of the world or the reverse by saying we don't care yeah we seem to not care it was just but I mean the the U.S role in that war is very complicated one that's one one that's one of the variables um just on that testimony did it in part break your heart that you had to testify essentially against the president of the United States or is that not how you saw it I don't think I would describe it in that way I think what I was was deeply disappointed by what I saw happening in the American political space I didn't expect it look I was a starry-eyed immigrant I came to the United States with all of these expectations of what the place would be I'd already been disabused of you know some of the um let's just say Rosie uh perspectives are held in the United States I'd been shocked by uh the depths of racial problems it doesn't even sum up the problems we have in the United States I mean I I couldn't get my head around it when I first came I mean I'd read about you know slavery in American history but I hadn't fully fathomed you know really the kind of the way that was ripping apart the United States I mean I had to read Alex's you know to talk Phil and he'd commented on this and it obviously hadn't you know kind of changed to the expect the way that one would have expect all this time you know from the 18th you know Century onwards so that was kind of one thing that you know that I realized the Civil Rights uh movement and all of these you know acts of expansion of suffrage and everything else were imperfect at best you know and I was born in 65 the same same time as the Civil Rights Act it was heck of a long way still to go so I wasn't let's just say you know as Starry Eyed about everything as I'd been before but I really saw an incredible competence and professionalism in you know the US government it was gonna and the election system and the Integrity of it and I mean I really saw that I saw that the the United States was the gold standard for you know kind of some of its you know institutions and I worked in the National Intelligence Council and I'd seen the way that the United States had tried to address the problems that it had um at first and it was just whole botched uh analysis of Iraq and this terrible strategic blunder of um honestly a crime in my view of invading Iraq and but the way that people were trying to to deal with that in the aftermath I mean I went into the National Intelligence Council and the dni the director the officer Director of National Intelligence when they were coming to terms with what had gone wrong in the whole analysis about Iraq in 2003 you know in the whole work of people trying to pull together after 9 11 and to learn all of the lessons from all of this and I saw you know just really genuine striving and deliberation about what had gone wrong what lesson could we learn from this and then suddenly I found myself in this I couldn't redescribe another word it's totally crazy locking glass thinking of you know Alice in Wonderland Alice Through the Looking Glass version of American politics I mean I'd seen everything starting to unravel over a kind of a period of time before I'd been asked to be in the administration but I did not expect it to be that bad I honestly didn't I mean I had been warned you know by people that this was you know kind of really a very serious term that the United States had taken but I really thought that National Security would still be uppermost in people's minds and it was when a lot of the people that I work with but what I found you know if you want to use that in a term of heartbreaking was the way in which all of these principles but I uh really bought into and tried to uphold in the United States uh government and then the things that we were trying to do with me and my colleagues was just being thrown out the window and that you know I would have to step up in defense of them and in defense of my colleagues who were being lambasted and you know criticized and given death threats were actually standing up and doing their own jobs in particular on the topic of Ukraine uh not just on Ukraine but a national security overall so I mean I'd gone through this whole period even before we got to that point I'm seeing non-partisan government officials being attacked from all sides left and right and but especially the right and being basically accused of being partisan hacks in a deep State yes coup plotters you know you name it they're um patriotism being questioned as well I know a lot of people I work with in government like myself naturalized Americans a lot of them are immigrants many were refugees and many people had fought and and was uh on behalf of the United States and Iraq and Afghanistan being blown up and you know they put their lives on the line they'd put their family lives on the line you know because they believed in America and they were just they were reflections of Americans from all kinds of works of works of life is what really made you know that cliche of America great it wasn't you know whatever it was it was being you know banded around in these crude crass political terms it was just the strength of an incredible set of people who've come together from all kinds of places and decided that they're going to make a go of it and that they're going to you know try to work towards the whole bit of idea of the Preamble of the Constitution towards a more perfect union and I you know I saw people doing that every single day despite all of the things that they could criticize about the United States still believing in what they were doing and believing in the promise of the country which is what I felt like and then here we were people would just treating it like a game and they were treating peo
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