Jeff Bezos: Amazon and Blue Origin | Lex Fridman Podcast #405
DcWqzZ3I2cY • 2023-12-14
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Kind: captions Language: en the following is a conversation with Jeff Bezos founder of Amazon and blue origin this is his first time doing a conversation of this kind and of this length and as he told me it felt like we could have easily talked for many more hours and I'm sure we will this is the Le stre podcast and now dear friends here's Jeff Bezos you spent a lot of your childhood with your grandfather on a ranch here in Texas mhm and I heard you had a a lot of work to do around the ranch so what's the coolest job you remember doing there wow coolest um most interesting most memorable most memorable it was a it was real it's a real working Ranch um my and I I spent all my Summers on that ranch from Age 4 to 16 and my grandfather was really taking me those in the summers in the in the early Summers he was letting me pretend to help on the ranch cuz of course a four-year-old is a burden not a help in real life he really just watching me and taking care of me um and he was doing that because my mom was so young she had me when she was 17 and so he was sort of giving her a break and my grandmother and my grandfather would take me for these Summers but as I got a little older I actually was helpful on the ranch and I loved it I was out there like my grandfather had a huge influence on me huge factor in my life I did all the jobs you would do on a ranch I've fixed when Mills and laid fences and pipelines and you know done all the things that any Rancher would do vaccinated the animals everything um uh but we had a you know my grandfather after my grandmother died um I was about 12 and I kept coming to the ranch so it was then it was just him and me just the two of us and he was completely addicted to the soap opera the days of our lives and we would go back to the ranch house every day around 1 p.m. or so to watch Days of Our Lives uh like Sands through an hourglass so are the days of our lives just the image of that the two sitting there watching slow popper had big crazy dogs it was really a very formative experience me but the key thing about it for me the the great gift I got from it was that my grandfather was so resourceful you know he did everything himself he made his own Veterinary tools he would make needles to suit the cattle up with like he would find a little piece of wire and heat it up and pound it thin and drill a hole in it and sharpen it so you know you learn different things um on a ranch than you would learn you know growing up in a city so self-reliance yeah like figuring out that you can solve problems with enough persistence and Ingenuity and my grandfather bought a D6 bulldozzer which is a big bulldozer and you got it for like $5,000 cuz it was completely broken broken down it was like a 1955 caterpillar D6 bulldozer knew it would have cost I don't know more than $100,000 and we spent an entire summer fixing like repairing that bulldozzer we'd you know use mail order to to buy big gears for the transmission and they'd show up they'd be too heavy to move so we'd have to build a crane you know just that kind of kind of that problem solving mentality um he had it so powerfully you know he he did all of his own uh he just he didn't pick up the phone and call somebody he would figure it out on his own he doing his own Veterinary work you know but just the image of the two you fixing a D6 bulldozzer and then going in for a little break at 1 p.m. to watch so laying on the floor that's how he watched TV he was a really really remarkable guy that's how I imagine Clint Eastwood also in all those westerns when he's when he's not doing what he's doing he's just just watching soap poers all right uh I read that you fell in love with the idea of space and space exploration when you were five watching Neil Armstrong walking on the moon so let me uh ask you to look back at the historical context and impact of that so the space race from 1957 to 1969 between the Soviet Union and the US was in many ways epic it was um a rapid sequence of dramatic events for satellite to space first human to space first space walk first un crude landing on the moon then some failures explosions deaths on both sides actually and then the first human walking on the moon uh what are some of the more inspiring moments or insights you take away from that time those few years that just uh 12 years well I mean there's so much inspiring there um you know one of the great things to take away from that one of the great Von Brown quotes is I have have uh I have come to use the word impossible with great caution yeah yeah and so that's kind of the big story of Apollo is that things you know the uh going to the moon was literally an analogy that people used for something that's impossible you know oh yeah you'll do that when when you know men walk on the Moon Yeah and of course it finally happened um so you know I think it was pulled forward in time because of the Space Race I think you know with the geopolitical implications and you know how much resource was put into it you know at the peak that program was spending you know two or 3% of GDP uh on the Apollo program so much resource I think it was pulled forward in time you know we kind of did it ahead of when we quote unquote should have done it yeah um and so in that way it's also a technical Marvel I mean it's truly incredible it's uh you know it's the 20th century version of building the pyramids or something it's you know it's an achievement that um because it was pulled forward in time and because it did something that had previously been thought impossible it rightly deserves its place as you know in the pantheon of great human achievements and of course you named uh the projects the rockets that blue origin is working on after some of the folks involved I don't understand why I didn't say new gagaran I is that there an American bias in the naming I ologe very strange just asking for a friend clarify I'm a big fan of garens though and fact I um I think his his first words in space um I think are incredible he you know he purportedly said my God it's blue and that really drives home no one had seen the Earth from space no one knew that we were on this blue planet yeah no one knew what it looked like from out there and gagaran was the first person to see it one of the things I think about is how dangerous those early days were for gagaran for for Glenn for everybody involved like how how big of a risk they were all taking they were taking huge risks I'm not sure what the uh Soviets thought about gagarin's flight but I think that the Americans thought that the Allen Shepard flight the flight that you know new Shephard is named after the first American in space he went on his suborbital flight they thought he had about a 75% chance of success um so you know that's a pretty big risk a 25% risk it's it's kind of interesting that Alan Shepard is not quite as famous as John Glenn so for people don't know Alan Shepard is the first uh astronaut the first American in space American in suborbital Flight correct and and then the first orbital flight is then John Glenn is the first American to orbit the Earth by the way I have the most Charming sweet incredible letter from John Glenn which I have framed and hanging on my office wall what he say where he tells me how uh grateful he is that we have named new Glenn after him and they sent me that letter about a week before he died um and it's really an incredible it's also a very funny letter he's he's writing and he says you know this is a letter about new Glenn from the original Glenn and he's just he's got a great sense of humor and he's very he's very um happy about it and grateful it's very sweet does he say PS don't mess this up or is that no he doesn't make me look good he doesn't do that but wa but John wherever you are we got you covered good uh so so back to maybe the big picture of space when you look up at the stars uh and think big what do you hope is the future of humanity hundreds thousands of years from now out in space I would love to see you know a you know a trillion humans living in the solar system if we had a trillion humans we would have at any given time a thousand mozarts and a thousand Einstein um that would you know our solar system would be full of life and intelligence and energy um and we can easily support a civilization that large with all of the resources um in the solar system so what do you think that looks like giant space stations yeah the only way to get to that vision is with giant space stations you know the planetary surfaces are just way too small um so you can I mean unless you turn them into giant space stations or something but but yeah we will take materials from the Moon and from near Earth objects and from the asteroid belt and so on and we'll build uh giant O'Neal style colonies um and people will live in those and they have a lot of advantages over planetary surfaces you can spin them to get normal Earth gravity you can put them where you want them I think most people are going to want to live uh near Earth not necessarily in Earth orbit but in you know uh Earth but near Earth vicinity uh orbits and so they can move Qui you know relatively quickly uh back and forth between their station and Earth so I don't I think a lot of people especially in the early stages are not going to want to give up Earth altogether they go to Earth for vacation yeah same way that you know you might go to to Yellowstone National Park for vacation people will uh and the ad and no one and people will get to choose whether they live on earth or whether they live in space but they'll be able to use much more energy and much more material resource in space than they would be able to use on Earth one of the interesting ideas you had is to move the heavy industry away from Earth so people sometimes have this idea that somehow space exploration is in conflict with the celebration of the planet Earth that we should focus on preserving Earth and and basically your idea is that space travel and space exploration is a way to preserve Earth exactly this planet we've sent robotic probes to all the planets we know that this is the good one yeah not the play favorites or anything but but Earth really is the good Planet it's an amaz it's it's amazing the ecosystem we have here all of the life and the Lush uh the plant life and you know the water resources everything this planet is really extraordinary and of course we evolved on this planet so of course it's perfect for us but it's also perfect for all the advanced life forms on this planet all the animals and so on and so this is a gym we do need to take care of it and as we enter the anthropos as we get as we humans have gotten so uh sophisticated and large and impactful as we stride across this planet you know it's that that is going to as we continue we want to use a lot of energy we want to use a lot of energy per capita we've gotten amazing things we we don't want to go backwards you know if you think about um the good old days they're mostly an illusion like in almost every way life is better for almost everyone today than it was say 50 years ago or 100 years we all we live better lives by and large than our grandparents did and then their grandparents did and so on and you can see that in global illiteracy rates Global poverty rates Global infant mortality rates like almost any metric you choose we're better off than we used to be and we get you know antibiotics and all kinds of life-saving medical care and so on and so on and there's one thing that is moving backwards and it's the natural world so it is a fact that 500 years ago pre-industrial age the natural world was pristine um it was incredible and we have traded some of that pristine Beauty for all of these other gifts that we have as an advanced society and we can have both but to do that we have to go to space and all of this really the most fundamental measure is energy usage per capita and when you look at you know you do want to continue to use more and more energy it is going to make your life better in so many ways but that's not compatible ultimately with living on a finite planet and so we have to go out into the solar system uh and and really you can argue about when you have to do that but you can't credibly argue about whether you have to do that eventually we have to do that exactly well you don't often talk about it but let me ask you on that topic about the blue ring and the orbital Reef uh space infrastructure projects what's your vision for these so blue ring is a very interesting spacecraft that is uh designed to take up to 3,000 kilograms of payload up to geosynchronous orbit or in lunar vicinity uh it has two different kinds of propulsion it has chemical propulsion and it has electric propulsion and so it can you can be you can use blue ring in a couple different ways you can slowly move let's say up to geosynchronous orbit using electric propulsion that might take you know 100 days or 150 days depending on how much mass you're carrying uh and then and reserve your chemical propulsion so that you can change orbits quickly in geosynchronous orbit or you can use the chemical propulsion first to quickly get up to geosynchronous and then use your electrical propulsion to slowly change your ju synchronous orbit blue ring has um a couple of interesting features it's a uh it provides a lot of services to these payloads so the payLo could be one large payload or it can be a number of small payloads and it provides thermal management it provides electric power it provides uh compute um provides Communications and so when you design a payload for blue ring you don't have it's you don't have to figure out all of those things on your own so kind of radi tolerant compute is a complicated thing to do and so we have a an unusually large amount of radiation tolerant compute on board blue ring and you can your payload can just use that when it needs to so it's a uh uh it's sort of all these Services it's you know it's it's like a set of apis it's a little bit like Amazon web services but for face payloads that need to move about in Earth vicinity or lunar vicinity uh a WSS space okay so uh so Compu in space so you get you get a giant chemical rocket to get a payload out to and then you have these admins that show up this blue ring uh thing that manages various things like compute exactly and it can it can also provide transportation and move you around to different orbits including humans you think no but blue ring is not designed to move humans around um it's designed to move payloads around so we're also building a lunar Lander uh which is of course designed to to land humans on the surface of the Moon I'm going to ask you about that well let me let me actually just uh step back to the old days you were at Princeton uh with aspirations to be a theoretical physicist yeah um What attracted you to physics and why did you change your mind and not become why why you're not Jeff bezos's the famous theoretical physicist so I loved physics and I studied physics and computer science and I was proceeding along uh along the physics path I was planning to major in physics and I wanted to be a theoretical physicist and I and the computer science was sort of something I was doing for fun I really loved it um and I and I was very good at the the programming and doing those things and I enjoyed all my computer science classes immensely but I really was determined to be a theoretical physicist I it's why I went to Princeton in the first place it was definitely and then I realized I was going to be a mediocre theoretical physicist and there were um uh there were a few people in my classes like in quantum mechanics and so on who they could effortlessly do things that were so difficult for me and I realized like you know there are a thousand ways to be smart and to be a really you know theoretical physics is not one of those fields where the uh you know only the top few percent actually move the State ofthe art forward it's one of those things where you you have to be really uh just your brain has to be wired in a certain way and there was a guy named um one of these people who was uh convinced me he didn't mean to convince me but just by observing him he convinced me that I should not try to be a theoretical physicist his name was Yos Santa and Yos Santa um was from Sri Lanka and he's he was one of the most brilliant people I'd ever met my uh friend Joe and I were working on a very difficult partial differential equations problem set one night and there was one problem that we worked on for three hours MH and we made no Headway what soever and we looked up at each other at the same time and we said Yos Santa so we went to Yos Santa's dorm room yeah and he was there he was almost always there and we said y Santo we're having trouble solving this uh partial differential equation would you mind taking a look and he said of course by the way he was the most humble most kind person and so he took our he looked at our problem and he stared at it for just a few seconds maybe 10 seconds and he said coine and I said what do you mean yant what do you mean cosine he said that's the answer and I said no no no come on and he said let me show you and he took out some paper and he wrote down three pages of equations everything came cancelled out M and the answer was cosine and I said y Santa did you do that in your head and he said oh no that would be impossible a few years ago I solved a similar problem and I could map this problem onto that problem and then it was immediately obvious that the answer was cosine I had a few you know you have an experience like that you realize maybe being a theoretical physicist isn't your isn't what your your your what the universe wants you to be and so I switched to computer science and um and you know that worked out really well for me I enjoy I still enjoy it today yeah there's a particular kind of intuition you need to be a great physicist in applied to physics I think the mathematical skill required today is so high you have to be a worldclass mathematician to be a successful theoretical physicist today and it's not you know it uh probably need other skills too intuition lateral thinking and so on but without the without just topnotch math skills you're unlikely to be successful and visualization skill you have to be able to really kind of do these kinds of thought experiments and if you wanted truly great creativity actually Walter Ison writes about you uh it puts you on the same level as Einstein well he's that's very kind I have I'm an inventor if you if you want to boil down what I am I'm really an inventor and I look at things and I can come up with atypical Solutions and you know and then I can create a hundred such atypical solutions for something 99 of them may not survive you know scrutiny but one of those 100 is like hm maybe there is maybe that might work and then you can keep going from there so that kind of lateral thinking that kind of uh inventiveness in a high dimensionality space where the search space is very large that's where my inventive skills come that's the thing I'm if if I I self-identify as an inventor more than anything else yeah and he describes in all kinds of different ways Walter Ison does that uh creativity combined with childlike uh Wander that you've maintained still to this day all of that combined together is there like if if you were to study your own brain introspect how do you think what's your thinking process like we'll talk about the writing process of putting it down on paper uh which is quite rigorous and famous at uh Amazon but how do you when you sit down maybe alone maybe with others and thinking through this High dimensional space and looking for Creative Solutions a creative paths forward is there something you can say about that process it's such a good question and and I honestly don't know how it works if I did I would try to explain it I know it involves lots of wandering yeah so I you know when I sit down to work on a problem I know I don't know where I'm going so to to go in a straight line to be efficient efficiency and invention are sort of at odds because invention real invention not incremental Improvement incremental Improvement is so important in in every endeavor everything you do you have to work hard on also just making things a little bit better but I'm talking about real invention real lateral thinking that requires wandering and you have to give yourself permission to wander I think a lot of people um they feel like wandering is inefficient and should you know like when when I sit down at a meeting I don't know how long the meeting is going to take if we're trying to solve a problem because if I did then I'd already I i' know there's some kind of straight line that we're drawing to the solution the reality is we may have to wander for a long time and I do like group invention I think there's really nothing more fun than sitting at a whiteboard with a a n you know a group of smart people and spitballing and coming up with new ideas and objections to those ideas and then solution to the objections and going back and forth so like um you know sometimes you wake up with an idea and the middle of the night and sometimes you sit down with a group of people and go back and forth and both things are really pleasurable and when you wander I think one key thing is to notice a good idea and to to to maybe to notice the kernel of a good idea maybe pull at that string cuz I don't think uh good ideas come fully formed 100% right in fact when I come up with what I think is a good idea and it survives kind of the first level of scrutiny you know that I do in my own head and I'm ready to tell somebody else about the idea I will often say look it is going to be really easy for you to find objections to this idea but work with me there's something there there's something there and that is intuition yeah you because it's really easy to kill new ideas in the beginning because they do have so many so many easy objections to them so you need to uh you need to kind of forwarn people and say look I know it's going to take a lot of work to get this to a fully formed idea let's get started on that it'll be fun so you got that ability to say cosign in you somewhere after all maybe not on math in a different domain yeah there are a thousand ways to be smart by the way and that is a really like when I go around you know and I meet people I'm always looking for the way that they're smart and you find it is that's one of the things that makes the world so interesting and fun is that it is not it's not like IQ is a single y Dimension there are people who are smart and so such unique ways yeah you just gave me a good response when somebody calls me an idiot on the internet you know there's a thousand ways to be smart sir well they might tell you yeah but there a million to be ways to be done yeah right I feel like that's a Mark Twain quote okay all right you gave me an amazing tour of blue origin rocket Factory and launch complex in the historic Cape Canaveral uh that's where new Glenn the the big rocket we talked about is uh being built and will launch can you explain what the new Glenn rocket is and uh tell me some interesting technical aspects of how it works sure um uh new Glenn is a uh a very large a heavy lift launch vehicle it'll take about 45 metric tons to Leo very uh very large class um it's about half the thrust a little more than half the thrust of the Saturn 5 uh Rockets so it's about 3.9 million pounds of thrust on liftoff the booster has seven be four engines the each engine generates a little more than 550,000 lbs of thrust the engines are fueled by liquid natural gas liquefied natural gas LG as the fuel and locks as the oxidizer the cycle is an oxr stage combustion cycle it's a cycle that was really pioneered by the Russians it's a very good cycle um uh and that engine is also going to power the first stage of the Vulcan rocket which is the United launch Alliance rocket um then the second stage of new Glenn uh is powered by two b3u engines which is a upper stage variant of our new Shephard liquid hydrogen engine so the b3u has 160,000 lounds of thrust so two of those 320,000 lounds of thrust and hydrogen is a very good propellant for upper stages because it has has very high ISP it's not a great propellent in my view for booster stages because the stages then get physically so large hydrogen has very high ISP but liquid hydrogen is uh very is not dense at all so to store liquid hydrogen you know if you need to store many thousands of pounds of liquid hydrogen your tanks your liquid hydrogen tank it's very large so uh you really you get more benefit from the higher isps specific impulse you get more benefit from the higher specific impulse on the second stage and that stage carries less propellant so you don't get such geometrically gigantic tanks the Delta 4 is an example of a vehicle that is all hydrogen the booster stage is also hydrogen and I think that it's a very effective vehicle but it never was very cost effective um so it's operationally very capable but not very cost effective so size is also costly size is costly so it's interesting Rockets love to be big everything works better what do you mean by that you've told me that before it sounds epic but was it I mean when you look at the kind of the physics of Rocket engines uh and also when you look at parasitic Mass it doesn't if you have let's say you have an avionic system so you have a guidance and control system that is going to be about the same mass and size for a giant rocket as it is going to be for a tiny rocket and so that's just pardic mass that is very consequential if you're building a very small rocket but is Trivial if you're building a very large rocket so you have the parasitic Mass thing and then if you look at for example rocket engines have turbo pumps they have to pressurize the fuel and the oxidizer up to a very high pressure level in order to inject it into to the thrust chamber where it burns and those pumps all rotating machines in fact get more efficient as they get larger so really tiny turbo pumps are very challenging to manufacturer and any kind of gaps you know uh are like between the housing for example and the rotating impeller that pressurizes the fuel there has to be some Gap there you can't have those parts scraping against one another and those gaps drive inefficiencies and so you know if you have a very large turbo pump those gaps and percentage terms end up being very small and so there's a bunch of things that that you end up loving about having a large rocket and that you end up hating for a small rocket but there's a giant exception to this Rule and it is manufacturing so manufacturing large structures is very very challenging it's a pain in the butt and so you know it's just you know if you have if you're making a small rocket engine you can move all the pieces by hand you can assemble it on a table one person can do it um you know you don't need cranes and heavy lift operations and tooling and so on and so on when you start building big objects infrastructure civil infrastructure just like the launch pad and the you know all this we we went and visited I took you to the launch pad and you can see it's so Monument mental yeah it um and so just these things become major uh undertakings both from an engineering point of view but also from a construction and cost point of view and even the uh the foundation of the Launchpad I mean this is Florida like isn't it like swamp land like how deep go you have at Cape Canaveral yeah um in fact most ocean you know most launchpads are on beaches somewhere on the oceans side because you want to launch over water for safety reasons um the uh yes you have to drive pilings you know dozens and dozens and dozens of pilings you know 50 100 150 ft deep to get enough structural Integrity for these very large you know it's it's uh yes these turned into major civil engineering projects I just have to say everything about that factory is pretty badass you said tooling the bigger it gets the more the more epic it is it does make it epic it's fun to look at it's extraordinary it's humbling also cuz your humans are so small compared to it we are building these enormous machines that are harnessing enormous amounts of uh chemical uh Power um you know in very very compact packages it's truly extraordinary but then there's all the different components uh and you you know the materials involved is there something interesting that's you can describe about the materials uh that comprise the rocket so it has to be as light as possible I guess whilst withstanding the Heat and the harsh conditions yeah I play a little kind of game sometimes with other rocket people that I run into where say what are the things that would Amaze the 1960s Engineers like what what's changed cuz surprisingly some of Rocket tre's Greatest Hits have not changed they are still they would recognize immediately a lot of what we do today and it's exactly what they pioneered back in the 60s but a few things have changed um uh you know the use of carbon composits is is very different today um you know we can build very sophisticated you saw our carbon tape laying machine that builds the giant fairings and we can build these incredibly light very stiff fairing structures out of carbon composite material that they could not have dreamed of I mean the the efficiency the structural efficiency of that material is so high compared to any you know metallic material you might use or anything else so that's one um uh aluminum lithium and the ability to friction stir weld aluminum lithium do you remember the friction stir welding that I showed you this this this is a a remarkable technology it was invented decades ago but has become very practical over the just the last couple of decades and instead of using heat to weld two pieces of metal together it literally stirs the two pieces there's a a pin that rotates at a certain rate and you put that pin between the two plates of metal that you want to weld together and then you move it at a at a very precise speed um and instead of heating the material it Heats it a little bit because of friction but not very much you can literally immediately after after welding with stir friction welding you can touch the material and it's just barely warm um it's it literally stir the molecules together it's quite extraordinary relatively low temperature and I guess high temperature is what makes them the the that's the we that makes it a weak point exactly so in with traditional with traditional welding techniques you may have whatever the underlying strength characteristics of the material are you end up with weak regions where you weld and with Fric and stir welding the weld are just as strong as the bulk material so it really allows you and so because when you're you know let's say you're building a tank that you're going to pressurize you know a large you know liquid natural gas tank for our for our booster stage for example you know if you are welding that with traditional methods you have to size those weld lands the thickness of those pieces with that knockdown for whatever damage you're doing with the Weld and that's going to add a lot of weight to that tank I mean even just uh looking at the fairings the result of that the the complex shape that it takes and yeah and like what it's supposed to do is is kind of incredible CU so people don't know it's on top of the rocket it's going to fall apart that's its task but it has to stay strong sometimes yes and then uh disappear when it needs to that's right which is a very difficult task yes when you need something that needs to have 100% integrity and tell it needs to have 0% Integrity it needs to stay attached until it's ready to go away and then when it goes away it has to go away completely you use explosive charges for that and so it's a very robust way of separating structure uh when you need to exploding yeah a little tiny bits of explosive material um and uh it just it'll sever the whole connection so if you want to go from 100% structural Integrity To Zero as fast as possible possible is explosives use explosives the entirety of this thing is so badass okay so we're back to the two stages so the the first stage is reusable yeah second stage is Expendable second stage is liquid hydrogen liquid oxygen so we get take advantage of the higher specific impulse um the uh the first stage uh lands downrange on a landing platform in the ocean um comes back for maintenance and get ready to do the next mission um I mean there's a million questions but also is there a a path towards reusability for the second stage there is and we know how to do that um right now I we're going to work on manufacturing that second stage to make it as inexpensive as possible sort of two paths for a second stage make it reusable um uh or work really hard to make it inexpensive so you can afford to expend it and th that trade is actually not obvious which one is better even in terms of cost even like time even in terms of I'm talking about cost is you know space flight getting into orbit is a solved problem we solved it back in you know the 50s and 60s you're making it Sol easy the only thing that the only interesting problem is dramatically reducing the cost of access to orbit which is if you can do that you open up a bunch of new uh you know Endeavors that lots of startup companies everybody else can do so that's we really that's our one of our missions is to you know be part of this industry and lower the cost to orbit so that there can be you know a kind of a Renaissance uh a golden age of people doing all kinds of interesting things in space I like how you said uh getting to orbit is a solved problem it's just the only interesting thing is reducing the C you know you can describe every single problem facing human civilization that way way the physicist would say everything is a solved problem we've solved everything the rest is just uh what the ruford said that it's just stamp collecting it's just the detail some of the greatest Innovations and inventions and you know Brilliance is uh in that cost reduction stage right and you you've had a long career of cost reduction for sure and if you know when you what does cost reduction really mean it means inventing a better way yeah exactly right and when you invent a better way you make the whole world richer so you know whatever it was I don't know how many thousands of years ago somebody invented the plow and when they invented the plow they made the whole world richer because they made farming less expensive um and so it it is a big deal to to invent better ways that's how the world gets richer so uh what are some of the the biggest challenges on the manufacturing side on the engineering side that you're facing in uh working to get uh to the first launch of new Glenn the first launch is one thing we and we'll do that in 20124 coming up in this coming year the real thing that's the bigger challenge is making sure that our Factory is efficiently uh uh manufacturing at rate so rate production so consider if you want to launch new Glenn you know 24 times a year you need to manufacture a upper stage since they're Expendable uh every you know twice a month you need to do one every two weeks so you need to be you need to have all of your manufacturing facilities and processes and inspection techniques and acceptance tests and everything operating at rate and rate manufacturing is at least as difficult as designing the vehicle in the first place and the same thing so every every uh uh upper stage has two b3u engines so those engines you know you need if you're going to launch this the vehicle twice a month you need four engines a month so you need an engine every week so you need to be that engine needs to be being produced at rate and and that's a um and there's all the things that you need to do that all the right Machine Tools all the right fixtures uh the right people process Etc so it's one thing to build a first article right so that's you know we to launch new Glenn for the first time you need to produce a first article but that's not the hard part the hard part is everything that's going on behind the scenes to build a factory that can produce new glends at rate so the first one is produced in a way that's enables the production of the second third and the fourth and the fifth and sixth you could think of the first article as kind of pushing it it pushes all of the rate manufacturing uh technology along you know in other words it's kind of the uh you know it's the test article in a way that's testing out your your Manufacturing Technologies the manufacturing is the Big Challenge yes I mean I don't want to make it sound like any of it is easy I mean the people who are designning the engines and all this so all of it is hard um for sure but the but the challenge right now is driving really hard to get to uh is to get to rate manufacturing and to do that in an efficient way again kind of back to our cost point if you get to rate Manufacturing in an inefficient way you haven't really solved the cost problem and maybe you're haven't really moved the state-ofthe-art forward all this has to be about moving the state-ofthe-art forward there are easier easier businesses to do I always tell people look if you are trying to make money you know like start a salty snack food company or or something you know you you write that idea down like make the Lex Friedman potato chips you know this don't don't say it the people going to steal it but yeah it's hard you see what I'm saying it's like there's nothing easy about this business and um but but it's its own reward it's it's it's uh it's fascinating it's worthwhile it's meaningful and so you know I you know not I don't want to pick on salty snack food companies but I think it's it's less meaningful you know at the end of the day you're not going to you're not going to have accomplished something amazing yeah there's even if you do make a lot of money out it yeah there's something fundamentally different about the quote unquote business of space exploration yeah it's for sure it's a grand project of humanity yes it's one of Humanity's Grand challenges and especially as you look at going to the moon and going to Mars and building giant O'Neal colonies and unlocking all the things I you know I won't live long enough to see the fruits of this but the fruits of this come from building a road to space getting the infrastructure I give you an analogy when I started Amazon I didn't have to develop a payment system it already existed it was called the credit card I didn't have to develop a transportation system to deliver the packages it already existed it was called the postal service and Royal May and Deutsche Post and so on so all this heavy lifting infrastructure was already in place and I could stand on its shoulders and that's why when you look at the internet um you know by the way another giant piece of infrastructure that was around in the early I'm taking you back to like 1994 people were using dialup modems and it was piggybacking on top of the long-distance phone network that's how the internet that's you know how people were accessing servers and so on and that again if if that hadn't existed it would have been hundreds of billions of capex to put that out there no startup company could have done that and so the problem you know you see in if you look at the dynamism in the Internet space over the last 20 years it's because you know you see like two kids in a dorm room could start an Internet company that could be successful and do amazing things because they didn't have to build heavy infrastructure it was already there and that's what I want to do I take you know my Amazon winnings and use that to build heavy infrastructure so the Next Generation you know my the generation that's my children and their children these you know th those Generations can then use that heavy infrastructure then there'll be space entrepreneurs Who start in their dorm room yeah like that that will be a marker of success when you can have a really valuable space company started in a dorm room then we know that we've built enough infrastructure so the Ingenuity and Imagination can really be Unleashed I find that very exciting as they will of course as kids do uh take all of this hard infrastructure ability for granted of course which is the entrepreneurial Spirit that's a um an inventor's greatest dream is that their inventions are so successful that they are one day taken for granted you know nobody thinks of Amazon as an invention anymore nobody thinks of customer reviews as an we pioneered customer views but now they're so commonplace same thing with oneclick shopping and so on but that's a compliment that's how you know you you you invent something that's so used so beneficially used by so many people that they take it for granted I don't know about nobody I every time I use Amazon I'm still amazed how does this work the logistics that proves you're a very curious Explorer all right all right back to Rockets timeline you said 2024 uh as it stands now are both the first test launch and the launch of Escapade explorers Tom Mars still possible in 2024 yeah I think so um for sure the first launch and then we'll see if if Escapade goes on that or not I think that the first launch for sure and I hope Escapade too hope well I just don't know which Miss it's it's actually going to be slated on so we also have other things that might go on that first mission oh I got it but you're optimistic that uh the launches will still oh the first launch I'm very optimistic that the first launch of new Glenn will be in 2024 and I'm just not 100% certain what payload will be on that first launch are you nervous about it are you kidding I'm extremely nervous about it oh man 100% I've you know every uh every launch I go to you know for new Shepard for other vehicles too I'm always nervous for these launches but yes for sure a first launch to have no nervousness about that would be you know some sign of derangement I think so well I got to visit the launch but it's pretty um I mean it's epic you know we have done a tremendous amount of ground testing a tremendous amount of uh simulation so uh you know a lot of the problems that we might find in Flight have been resolved but there are some problems you can only find in flight so you know cross your fingers uh I guarantee you you'll uh you'll have fun watching it no matter what happens 100% when the thing is fully assembled and comes up yeah the the transporter erector just the transporter erector for a rocket of this scale is extraordinary that's an incredible machine vehicle uh travels out horizontally and then kind of yeah you know comes up over a few hours yeah it's a beautiful thing to watch uh speaking of which if that makes you nervous I don't know if you remember but you uh were aboard a new Shepherd on this first crude flight uh how was that experience were you were you terrified then you know Strangely I wasn't you know I you ride the rocket okay watched other people ride in the rocket and I'm more nervous than when I was inside the rocket myself um it was a difficult conversation to have with my mother uh when I told her I was going to go on the first one and Not only was I going to go but I was going to bring my brother too this is a tough conversation to have with a mom and there's a long pause told her she like both of you um H it was an incredible experience and we were we were were laughing in inside the capsule and you know were not nervous um the people on the ground were very nervous for us um U it was actually one of the most emotionally powerful parts of the experience was not happened even before the flight at 4:30 in the morning brother and I are getting ready to go to the launch site and Lauren is going to take us there in her helicopter and we're getting ready to leave and we go outside outside the ranch house there in West Texas where the launch facility is and all of our family my kids and my brother's kids and our you know our our parents and uh close friends are assembled there and they're saying goodbye to us but they're kind of saying maybe they think they're saying goodbye to us forever and you know we might not have felt that way but it was obvious from their faces how nervous they were that they felt that way and it was sort of powerful because it allowed us to see it was almost like attending your own memorial service or something like you could feel how loved you were in that moment um and it was uh it was really amazing yeah and I mean there's just a epic nature to it too the asent the floating of zero gravity I'll tell you something very interesting zero gravity feels very natural I don't know if it's because we you know it's like return to the womb it just confirmed You're an Alien but that's I think that's what I think that's what you just said feels so natural to be in Zurg it was really interesting and then what people talk about the overview effect and seeing Earth from space I had that feeling very powerfully I think everyone did um you see how fragile the Earth is if you're not an environmentalist it will make you one uh the the great Jim level quote you know he looked back at the Earth from space and he said he realized you don't go to heaven when you die you go to heaven when you're born and it's just you know that's the feeling that people get when they're in space you see all this Blackness all this nothingness and there's one Gem of life and it's Earth it is a gem uh what you know you're you've talked a lot about decision- making throughout your time with Amazon what was that decision like to uh to ride to be the first to ride your Shepherd like what just be before you talk to your mom yeah what what like the pros and cons like actually as one human being as a as a leader of a company um on all fronts like what was that decision make you like I decided that first of all I knew the vehicle extremely well I know the team who built it I know the vehicle um the uh I'm very comfortable with the like the Escape system we put as much effort into the Escape system on that vehicle as we put into all the rest of the vehicle combined it's one of the hardest pieces of Engineering in the entire new Shepard architecture can you actually describe what do you mean by Escape system what's involved we have a solid rocket motor in the base of the crew capsule so that if anything goes wrong on asent you know while the main rocket engine is fired Ing we can ignite this solid rocket motor in the base of the crew capsule and escape from the booster it's a very challenging system to build design validate test all of these things it is the reason that I am comfortable letting anyone go on new Shephard so the the the booster is as safe and reliable as we can make it but um we are harnessing whenever you're talking about rocket engines I don't care what rocket engine you're talking about you are harnessing such vast power in such a small compact geometric space the power density is so enormous that it is impossible to ever be sure that nothing will go wrong and so the only way to um improve safety is to have an escape system and you know and historically Rockets human rated Rockets have had Escape systems only the space shuttle did not and um but Apollo had one um the you know um all of the previous you know Gemini Etc they all had Escape systems and uh we have on new Shephard unusual escapes most Escape systems are Towers we have a pusher Escape system so the solid rocket motor is actually embedded in the base of the crew capsule and it pushes and it's reusable in the sense that if we don't use it so if we have a nominal Mission we land with it the tower systems have to be ejected at a certain point in the mission and so they get wasted even in a nominal Mission and so again you know costs really matters on these things so we figured out how to have the Escape system be a reusable uh in the event that it's not used you can reuse it um and have it be a pusher system it's a very sophisticated thing so I knew these things you asked me about my decision to go and so I know the vehicle very well I know the people who uh designed it I have great trust in them um and in the engineering that we did uh and I thought to myself look if I am not ready to go then I wouldn't want anyone to go a tourism vehicle has to be designed in my view to have very to be a safe as one can make it you can't make it perfectly safe it's impossible but you know you know you have to you people will do things people take risk you know they climb mountains they you know they Skydive they you know do deep underwater scuba diving and so on people are okay taking risk you can't eliminate the risk but it is something because it's a tourism vehicle you have to do your utmost to eliminate those risks and I felt very good about the system I think it's one of the reasons I was so calm inside and maybe others were just calm they didn't know as much about it as I did who was in charge of engaging the Escape system did you have it's automated okay the Escape system is visualizing is completely automated automated is better because it can react so much faster so yeah for for tourism Rockets safety is a huge huge huge priority for space exploration also but a a tin you know a Delta less yes I mean I think for you know if you're doing you know there are human activities where we tolerate more risk if you're saving somebody's life you know it um if you are you know engagin
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