Kind: captions Language: en I think people suffer needlessly because they confuse the distorted narrative running inside of their minds with actual reality but if I'm right and we don't have access to the quote unquote real world and instead we're just a brain and a vat running a simulation what do we need to understand about the nature of this self-generated simulation in order to live our lives well when we talk about the brain and the vet of course the vet here is as far as you know our physical body that is much through a physical universe and is contains a skull full of cells that have to get along and generate a model of reality and of the individual itself and its relationship to reality and the purpose of that whole thing is to feed all the C and to keep them um in play not just for this generation but over many many generations because we evolved not for this particular moment in time but for a longer course and in this long long multigenerational course we adapted to certain circumstances the basically conditions under which our ancestors live and uh in many ways our world has changed in the last few Generations rapidly away from the ways in which our great par grandparents lived their lives and these discontinuities are on one hand extremely exciting and they force us to adapt to new circumstances but they also are very unusual from an evolutionary perspective for the things that we confronted with a lot of the experience that we have alienating and it's also very difficult to see in the future and to see how long we'll be around as um whether our children or grandchildren will still use any of the thoughts that we have today and any of the things that we build today for them and this creates uh justifiedly anxiety right if we live in a world that possibly has no future for us or if there's no future extension of us present in the world it's unsettling and I think it's a Justified experience to have that when we start creating the mental model we are not even born yet and uh I said think that in ut already we are starting to prepare a map of our body and how it relates to our needs we experience our first Pleasure and Pain probably to some degree and um after we are born we are focused on a world that has an up and down Direction and uh which light is playing out and we see patterns in these in the light and then Direct and we are able to discern sounds and at some point few months in we are able to correlate the sound in the directions and we also notice that the space that you're observing is all the same space it's the space in which that we can touch and so at every moment we find ourselves in a scene and this word model the scene is something that our ancestors discovered early on that we generate this that our own Consciousness creates this but uh when we start our own memories at as a human being we're typically Beyond this stage where we create the world we are personal selves at this point and when we try to remember how our life started I think what we remember are those moments where this personal self is already online because that's right now the vantage point from which I assemble reality right it's me remembering being a person in this world that is being generated in my mind so I'm no longer the Consciousness that creates the world around me in my own mind that runs a simulation engine in my brain that tracks visual data and perceptual data but I am a being that cares about what it sees in this world and can no longer directly change my perception I also can no longer directly change my emotion I'm um basically exposed to my perception and to my emotion and have to deal with them and as I grow uh up I can build models of the purposes that emerge over my feelings and emotions and needs and desires and fears and in this way I create a model of the world that I'm in and I discover I'm not alone in this world but there are purposes that I share with others and in this sense I experience myself as a social being as a state building creature that together with others is not only U making plans and is trying to change the world in a particular way and specialized in the hive but we also creating reality together we have shared models of reality that we exchange how close are the models of reality that we have to actual base reality well there are cor strains models of based reality which means that they are generalizations over the perceptual data at the resolution in time and space that our percepts have which means for instance if our neurons take um 20 milliseconds to pass on a signal from one neuron to the next this determines the temporal resolution in which uh they can be excited and track phenomena and then we are trying to integrate a scene and is the question how many neural junctures does the signal need to pass until it computes the necessary functions and so I observe that my sense of now that I'm in can be a fraction of a second and it can be something like up to three seconds that I perceive as one cohesive moment of now and um the physical now of course is different from this it's spread out much further so there are things in my perceptual now that are predictive that are basically playing out in the future and there are things in my perception now that had played out in the past signals that I just experienced now and to integrate into my model despite a signal from my feet needing hundreds of milliseconds until it arrives in my neocortex and then a few more 100 milliseconds until it's processed and when it's surprising to be integrated in my world model right so this subjective now is a fiction and this subjective now is constructed and in the physical world there are no colors and no sounds there are also no waves in the ocean right there are molecules that exist in the ocean that pull and push at each other producing something that looks like waves when you Zoom very far out and there is no sound in the air there is just air molecules pushing at each other in regular patterns and we pick out energy Spectra from these regular patterns and translate them into mathematical models that we experience as sound and there are no colors in the world instead we have receptors for photons at uh different energy levels and we sample in certain ranges and from the samples Fe tried to integrate a model of what the photons have been doing and the direction that they possibly came from and this is the type of model that we building right this is this is the distance that it has from the underlying reality of course there is the question what is the substrates in which the photons emerge and uh according to our current understanding we can propose that there is some basic underlying field that is being excited to produce um waves and particles uh that we perceive as phonons and photons and that uh there are um in the same way there are this air that can be excited to produce the elements of sound the phonons that travel through the air and can be perceived in our mind as the outcome of these waves and these energy patterns the underlying quantum mechanics is also an observer dependent perspective it's something what the universe perceives us to from the perspective of the measurement of the experimental and the most elegant mathematical model that I can fit to those measurements to make sense of them right this is how far we can go then there is the question what is space reality below that so what are the conditions of a universe that can exist by itself without an indidual cause without an additional underlying substrat and how far are we from this level and there are relatively few people which make theories in this regard one of them who is bold enough is for instance Steven vram uh who believes that we can describe the world as Bas superposition of all automata of all Bas operations that can be performed and they happen and I'm not sure if uh he would say this but I think they mostly happen because nothing prevents them from happening so if the universe has nothing that stops IT from existing the default is not that nothing exists but there is a possibility of existence and we might be existing and one of those possibilities right there's a stream of possibilities that where we apply all the possible operators on top of each other and within that stream of possibilities there are sometimes statistical regularities parts of the UN I that are so regular that other parts of the universe can predict them so control structure is possible and sometimes the control structure become stable enough to form molecules and then cells and then organisms and we can only emerge as observers if we have such structure if we can form organisms that can reflect a regular environment around them so the only parts of the universe that we can perceive are those that contribute to the structure that we are and uh of those we can only perceive those where we have instruments for perceiving them at the level and resolution where we exist right so I would not say uh in the same way as Donald Hoffman that reality looks nothing like what we perceive there is something about reality that we perceive correct but it's corar grained which means you see high level patterns in this in a similar way as you corar grain the ocean when you look at it and you cannot see the molecules and instead you try to perceive it as waves okay so out of curiosity if the simulation is uh a pure representation of what's going on underneath it's at a very coarse level what makes you think that it is directly correlated so when you think about a computer and this is definitely Donald Hoffman's take so a computer is turning electrical circuits on and off that's all you have so that creates a perception if you're playing a video game of like oh I'm you know running around the example he always uses is Grand Theft Auto running around I jump in a car I turn the wheel it gives me the perception that I'm moving this car inside this world but in reality all I'm doing is in in base reality all I'm doing is toggling electrical voltages on and off and so the the level of abstraction is complete what about that is wrong why do you have confidence that that there is a map to direct reality and it just isn't very granular so when we think about what urance are doing they also basically turn currents on and off and these curant are implemented part as chemical signals some of them are probably mechanical signals electromagnetic signals and so on and what neurons are mostly exchanging are these neurotransmitters at the Gap junctures and in between the neurons there are currents that flow and Trigger uh these excitations that then lead to the release of chemicals that the next neuron can perceive and it's quite similar to uh what the transistors are doing there is a slight difference in uh terms of the way in which this comes about because our brain is a self-organizing system all the organization happens inside out and the our computers are constructed systems where an engineer goes and forces patterns on the functioning of the system so be Force the transistor to work in a particular way we force transistors in a particular pattern that can represent a logical function and then we can write logical functions that are imposed on these transistors whether they like it or not and then compute the program that is making sense or not of the data that come into a camera for instance whereas in our own brain every individual cell needs to have its own control there is nothing that is able to control the cell from the outside the cell is trainable from the outside it can be fed and it can be killed and can probably be uh rewarded and punished Beyond this but the every all the control is in the individual cell this is the Machinery that works in our organism and the individual cells are exchanging patterns of information information and some of these patterns of information are constrained by perception they are constrained by our sensory cells that uh put certain patterns into the system and the system learns that it makes sense to pay attention to those patterns and to predict them because this allows the organism to navigate the world around it and find food right so uh it's it's something that just emerges over the need of the individual cells to feed themselves and they can only feed themselves if they cooporate in our body if they don't figure this out they're going to starve and die and of course we are evolved to into particular functional differentiation so having a bunch of cells that are tasked as functioning as an eye and a bunch of cells that tasked is functioning as a brain or as a liver or as a heart is something that the organism is not going to learn in one generation but does require many generations of successive specialization in which we acquire more and more function but uh the universe that we are in does not look very different from what I would expect if the universe is one that is just emerging over mathematical Necessities in some sense I think the question is um is not so much physicalism or psychism or something else but it's physicalism or simulation theory physicalism is the idea that the Universe has a mechanical cly closed layer and the alternative to Mechanical here is symbolic symbolic means magic it means meaning that is because of the force of will of something not because of that is necessarily an underlying structure independently of that will right so uh when you think of a simulation like Minecraft that's something that exists due to the will of the programmer turned into a program and if you find the same interface that the programmer did or if the programmer lets leaves an interface for you like the shell in Minecraft that you can call up to let the sunrise or go down or create objects in your environment or teleport right all these are tricks that are only possible because Minecraft is a magical Universe it's one where a mind has right access on the walls in which reality works and uh all these alternatives to physicalism are in some sense simulation theories that require that there is a mind that is realized in some kind of mechanical parent universe and of course you could stack these simulation universes you can have in Minecraft create a computer from rocks that you mind in Minecraft from Redstone and then you can turn create logical gates from these Redstone Circuits and then build a computer that is even able to run Minecraft although very very very slowly but some people have done it they have implemented a version of Minecraft that runs extremely slowly on a computer Minecraft it's beautiful art they see there is no limit to the number of stacks that you can build except at some point it's going to be so slow that before you go to the next state the sun and the parent universe is going to burn out and you can no longer run your computer to process the simulation I've heard you talk about this before it was running it something like 2 million times slower than the normal Minecraft so if you want to see it at the normal speed you have to speed it up um it's really fascinating so that's a really important distinction and you're getting to what I have a gut instinct is the the nature of things which is that you have a universe it is real it is physical but the brain is running a true simulation so so in terms of our experience this is why you can take psychedelics completely break the simulation I don't think you're breaking the Machinery itself which is why you return to normal but you can break the simulation such that you you know are basically astral projected if you're doing DMT or something which I have not done but the way that people describe it it it sounds like you you really sort of leave this planet if you will and that's just manipulating the simulation it's not manipulating the underlying reality and this is where I've always been a little bit dubious I love Donald Hoffman had them on the show multiple times but I've always been a little dubious about whether this is a pure simulation that we exist in um or not and I think because eventually you would have to bump up against there is something physical somewhere that is running this I don't see any reason to keep pushing that farther and farther out I think that the important thing for The Human Experience is you have to understand you your brain is running a simulation to your point there's no such thing as color there's no such thing as quote unquote sound those are interpretations of it I've never heard anybody use the ocean waves but that's another great example the waves aren't real that's you coming way back out and you're seeing something that then looks like a wave but the reality is there's something um going on underneath that so my thing is when I look at the world from that perspective okay there there is a physical thing here that I have evolved to do well my simulation has evolved so my inner world you know what we perceive is quote unquote reality that has evolved to give me predictive ability through simplification if I had to guess to be able to navigate the real world well so I am in a physical Universe the way that I perceive it is a complete abstraction and so then for me it becomes a question of you would said earlier that we don't have control of our emotions that doesn't ring true to me I think we have a pretty limited window but when you think about like a Buddhist monk that can light himself on fire and not seem to outwardly Express the kind of suffering that I would think I would be going through so there is some level of control that we can exert once we understand how our cognition Works how our mental models work how how that layer of abstraction Works yes I agree you can get to the level where you have you where you have control over the construction of your own self I uh once uh tried to express this as a letter of stages that you could think of as I don't think that people move through the these stages in succession and I don't think it's a game where you have a score if you get to a higher St stage but um the at the lowest level so to speak um we uh exist just in the here right now when we are babies uh we cannot perceive past and future yet or anticipate them and at some point we are able to extend ourselves over time and separate between self and world and uh at a later stage we are able to identify our own goals and then learn how to control our own goals and derive them from our needs and establish purposes and then when we form our models of reality we usually form them together with others and uh most people get to a stage where they're able to perceive a social self basically they read the room and they become part of that room and uh in becoming part of this room in the widest possible sense they have a shared morality with people around them and the shared construction of reality and the next stage is that you discover rationality and you discover things are true and false independently of what others believe when you can get to this stage your um ideas mean something independently of what other think because you're now able to take responsibility for your beliefs you're able to make derivations and disprove things that you believe you have a choice over your beliefs and in the next stage you would discover how your own identity is constructed and then when you construct your own identity you realize that uh people are different because they're born in different places and then things happened to them and they started out with different traits but we get more and more agency as we get older over this identity and we realize that our values are not something that is exatic given but that we can choose and we can choose it according to the worlds that we want and that are achievable for us right so what is the harmonic world that I want to contribute to and from this perspective I can start to evaluate values and choose values and construct who I am as a being and uh on the next stage I can trans understand what I am as a human being so I go back to the Beyond this personal self that I constructed as a child and see myself on the outside I see how I construct this personal self and I'm no longer Yos shabak but Yos shabak is a representation inside of me that I can influence and shift around and uh Yos shab cares about stuff and I can decide what he should care about but I'm not him instead I'm not an i and there's just set of generation functions and they can observe what these generation functions are trying to optimize for and maybe influence them and observe the outcomes of this I really want to understand that so I'm not him these generation functions so if you're not him you're not your identity what is that relationship what is what is the sense of I'm not him in that scenario him is obviously the identity what's the the I'm when we start out um as infants I think that we are just the dreamer that there basically something that dreams it's an attention that is reflexive and that notices itself attending I suspect that this is necessary to uh make us coherent so basically we have this spark that tries to observe itself observing it doesn't know how to talk about this it doesn't know how to reflect this very much but the uh what makes Consciousness Consciousness is awareness of awareness there's reflexive element in it and I suspect that we need to become conscious to train our own brain to perceive reality and to make sense of it and so we built a toolbox to make sense of reality right when we are conscious and awake we can construct our mental representations and change them we can construct things in our inner stage we can look into the world of perception and decide how we parse the perception what we attend to what's background what's foreground what things are meaningful to us what how our reality is being constructed from the percepts and these are all skills that we get and when we are inated or tired or asleep and dream then parts of this functionality can be missing and can dissociate or when we become DED or have theable problem in our brain we might not be able to uh get agency over the way in which we construct construct reality and remain at the stage of where something is being dreamed and when this uh active dreamer is gone this thing that perceives and constructs reality then we fall asleep we might be a Sleep Walker we might even be moving but there will be no coh in our actions and so we will not be able to learn in this state and we will not be able to perform go directed actions that make sense and in terms of our purposes and so Consciousness is at the core I think the ability to become coherent and then it's something that is gathering more and more skills as we grow up and as we get more skills we understand we reflect more what we are and Consciousness begins to understand itself it begins to understand at first that it's not actually the personal self but it's attention on that personal self and identification with the personal self and then we transcend this identification with the personal self you perceive it from the outside you can reboot your life your health even your career anything you want all you need is discipline I can teach you the tactics that I learned while growing a billion- Dollar business that will allow you to see your goals through whether you want better health stronger relationships a more successful career any of that is possible with the mindset and business programs and impact Theory University join the thousands of students who have already accomplished amazing things tap now for a free trial and get started today I didn't start drinking until very late in my life so when I had my first uh drinking experience I became very aware of what I called the OverWatch mechanism and I think that's what you're describing here and so you'll hear a lot about the hard problem of Consciousness look out of ignorance like if you've seen those memes where it's like the the small brain guy is you know says one thing and then the mid-brain guy says something else and then the the big brain guy says the same thing as a small brain guy so for me it was like there's no hard problem of Consciousness I'm small brain normal people are like oh my God like hard problem of Consciousness and then the the smartest people I have a feeling come back around to it's not a hard problem so I'd love to get your take so I I have this drink uh I'm intoxicated but I have a sense of I I am standing outside the intoxication and still watching my body be intoxicated so I I was aware of the ways in which I was acting differently and so I found it very interesting that I still did not find myself with an Impulse to do things I wouldn't do when I was sober and so I have no embarrassing stories from drinking because that OverWatch mechanism is always there that OverWatch mechanism is is present in my dreams so even though I can't can't track the logic of the dream I will occasionally be like wait wait wait I'm I'm almost certain I'm Dreaming right now so that same sense of like ah there's some part of me that's watching this so it seems to me that Evolution would build that mechanism in necessarily as a way to be able to formulate a simulation so that I can make sense of the simplification that like I If you are not going to take in all of the data present reality you would need Consciousness to navigate that well if you're going to um use adaptation as a strategy I can feel that falling apart as I think about like grades and things which I very much doubt have a sense of self so I'm really curious what what do you think about that where where is my logic break down I don't think that there is a breakdown of your logic I guess that uh when we are looking naively at the world we do not notice the fact very much that Consciousness could be in any way mysterious it's only when we think of the world in terms of function and we observe that in the world around us functions are created by objects pushing and pulling at each other uh it becomes difficult to understand how something that like the mind would exist because it's clearly not made of things pushing and pulling at each other yet the entire physical Universe seems to be stuff pushing and pulling at each other right so at this point you wonder how does this come about how can be something purely causal structure and how is it possible that something that is purely causal structure can perceive and I think that uh we learn understand this with the notion of software because software is p caal structure that is in a sense disembodied and the computer is a causal insulator it's something that works the same way regardless of the universe around it is doing within a certain range so you can take my laptop or my phone and can uh take it to a different place say to a Mountaintop or to Europe or to a place that is 5 degre Centigrade hotter than here and it's still going to work and it's still going to perform the same function despite the physical environment around it changing and work in a different way and once you have such a universal caal substrate that is able to um ex uh to Harbor caal State changes based on some kind of recipe that have put into it then this thing can be used to make arbitrary models of the future the p the past because such models need to be different from what's happening right now they need to be decoupled from what's happening right now and when you take that system and couple it with the outside world so you under in a very controlled way allow the environment to influence states of that system then it's able to explain the patterns uh that it's being entangled with and these patterns that it's entangled with could be for instance the camera image or the patterns on your retina and you explain them by using the information that you gathered in the past that you turned into models in your brain to predict what's going to happen next and the elements of these models are for instance the scene and in the scene like a scene in a computer game you have scene controller that contains object controllers that have feature controllers that interact with each other and that are being projected with a particular kind of perspective one to an agent that is also simulated in this world and the agent also cares about things so the agent is being told what it cares about via emotions and motivation and the agent is a system that is looking into the world from its own perspective and it's a simulation it's that means it's as if it's behaving as if it there was something that is looking at cares and that it solves these problems as if it would be solving them which in this case is the same thing because if you do as if in a caal structure it's the same thing as if you do it in another caal structure right so software can be emulated using other software and when you for instance follow a planning procedure then a simulation of this planning procedure is the same thing as following the planning procedure in this level there is no more difference between a simulation and a simulation of that simulation right and so mental processes of this nature they are representational they are not physical processes even though they're implemented by physics they're realized through physical processes as far as we know but they are processes that that in their purpose create representations and these representations have set up in such a way that they cly influence the further generation of representations and so we create our own thoughts which are representations and these thoughts are being interpreted by the system that generates them and they cause the next thought and the next thought and the next and these thoughts cause our behavior and they cause structuring of our mind and so on so this there are causal structures that are implemented on the physical level but by their nature they are built in such a way that they are invariant to the small tiny changes that physical universe is producing by itself without us controlling it and it's true both in the computers that we building that run software in a deterministic way and it's also true for our brains that run software by producing patterns and self organizing cells so is Free Will an illusion it depends on how we Define free will most people when they want to talk about Free Will and explain it they point at something that they perceive and what they perceive is a sense of agency they notice that they make decisions for the first time and they cannot predict these decisions before they make them if you could predict your PR decisions before you make them or if they're not decisions but just parent glitches in your uh the behavior of a nervous system you do not perceive them as free will right when you slide on the banana that's not free will but uh when you make a deliberation over the outcomes of your actions and then after considering the best possible outcomes based on what you know and you're an actus then you perceive it as free will and I think that Free Will is the perception of this process so in this sense I believe that the calvinist for instance had the wrong interpretation of free world Calvinism is this dream vising Christianity that reformed Catholicism uh because they thought if God knows everything how can we have free have free will but if we have free will then our actions cannot if we don't have free will how can our actions influence whether we go to heaven or not so in Cal ISM it's pre-ordained whether you go to heaven or not regardless of what you do because what you do has been pre-ordained by God at the Before Time right so I think this is a misunderstanding because if your prospects of going to hell influence your behavior or going to heaven then they have caal relevance right so just by telling people the fact that if you do X then you're likely going to end up in this and this place uh and people believe that or um take this into consideration then it's going to have a caal influence on their actions and uh of course you can follow the reason why is somebody telling me this do they have free will right and so they might also think that there's a better possible outcome if they influence me and you you go forth and forth and you have to understand the reason why they do is because Nature has set them up as a system that controls the future agents are systems that are meant to control the future and they do this by modeling them and then making decisions based on those models can you define define an agent really fast okay the simplest explanation for what an agent is and it's a notion that is very popular in computer science so I try to get the simplest one is a controller for future States a controller is a system like a thermostat right you all know this example of the thermostat it has for instance a metal piece that is reacting to temperature and when the temperature is a at a particular range it's going to close an electrical contact and that contact is turning on the heating and when the temperature goes above a certain level then this metal contact bends to to the Heat and uh it uh disengages and the heating gets turned off and in this way you can have an adjustable heating just by adjusting the position of this uh strip of metal uh you can get it sensitive to this particular Target temperature and then it's going to achieve this target temperature it's an extremely simple circuit that is not an agent it's only regulating the present it's only using the present state of this measurement instrument of this biometal strip and uh that corresponds to the temperature in the room and then performs an action and this action in the Here and Now is going to influence the outcome but now imagine you want to build a more efficient heating one that is taking into account how long it takes for the temperature in the room to change so for instance you put uh turn off the heating a little bit for the peak because you know the heating is going to continue for a while before it cools down again and you might also even model that certain times of day somebody is going to open the window and that's going to influence it and maybe there's weather outside and you can access the weather report and can take this into consideration and so the more you can model about reality the more efficient you can heat and you do this by basically trying to model the deviation between the target temperature and the current temperature in the future for a branching past of possible Futures and some of these branches in the future are being controlled by your own actions by whether you will turn on the heating at that point or not right and so you can make a plan of when you want to turn on the heating under which conditions and uh as a result that you learn you get much much better and more efficient at Heating and so in this sense this is an agent because it's one that has a model of reality it has beliefs and it has expectations over the future over which it some prefers and others not so it has intentions and it can commit to those intentions and turn them into goals and uh in this way you get all the properties of an agent just out of control in future States so an agent is a controller for future States all right so uh then I trust humans fall into that definition yes cells also do that right cells seem to be the simple system that we know in nature that are agents so you think cells are trying to predict their future implicitly Evolution forces them to uh become uh aware of future trajectories by implementing a number of programs into their DNA and uh other mechanism in the cell that make it ready to uh react to certain things so for instance when uh an amiba that feeds gets a certain condition at environment it notices that there's spray nearby and it's going to get closer to the spray right and it might not have a concept of prayer very likely doesn't have that but it has a reactivity to sensors that get it onto a trajectory in which it behaves in such a way that it changes its Behavior according to what it can expect in the future to happen that is that it's going to find prey in a particular kind of Direction and a neuron and your brain also needs needs to be an agent right would it be fair to say that at the cell level it's it's uh if this then that so everything is if this then that but uh very often you don't know what's going to happen and it's not only going to work based on the present it's also going to work based on the state that the cell is in so when the amiba is in the hunting mode it probably needs to turn a switch inside of itself uh that is Switched turned on when probably when the amiba is more hungry and when it sends something that looks like food in its environment and then it's going to have some kind of tendency to go into the environment where it's more likely to find food so it's going to interpret some of the signals that it receives from its environment at its cellular boundary as uh rules or as um incentives to go in a particular kind of Direction because it's more likely to find foot there so in this sense it's all if then but a lot of the if is the state of the system and a lot of that state is representational which means it does not really depend depend on the particular arrangement of the molecules in the cell but it depends on a mechanism that is interpreting this particular arrangement of molecules and many other similar and sometimes dissimilar Arrangements of molecules in a particular way as information of the state the cell has to be in and the behavior that it should pursue okay so this is asking me to uh differentiate between two things so when I think about uh single celled organism amibas um I think of something that would be incapable of Consciousness that ability to create a mental model to predict different outcomes to sort of uh Doctor Strange style move down a bunch of different paths mentally come back and say okay I'm going to try this one I think it's going to be the best and so when I think about what makes the human mind more interesting than more simplistic things is that that it's reached a level of complexity where it has enough different nodes that Consciousness arrives which I've already made a base assumption there obviously that Consciousness is born out of complexity which I know is very controversial not everybody agrees with that uh but seems true to me so uh you would stack Consciousness or stack complexity to the point where Consciousness becomes possible we have the The self-aware Watcher that is able to build a predictive model and thus choose the best path are you saying that either that's a mistake and we're l just stacking if then then that's and there is no moment where Consciousness comes online and so an amoeba has the same predictive abilities or is there a real dichotomy there's something very different about the way the two approach the world so the short answer is I don't know that and for the longer answer we would need to define consciousness first so we talk about the same thing and I think that it's there's three elements to Consciousness one is attention to contents but we notice that we looking at contents and then there is awareness of the mode in which we attend so for instance we usually know whe this is perceptual or whether it's something that we can construct and change like a memory or an imagination or a theory that we have or an interpretation of reality that very we conditionally manipulate the way in which we parse the percepts to see if they make more sense now and uh then the third one is reflexive awareness we notice that we are aware and uh these three elements need see to be crucial for Consciousness but m m we need to have this reflexive awareness and I suspect that the reason why this is the case is because it's self organizing so there there's a self-organizing process in our brain it needs to organize itself in such a way that doesn't fall apart and is indeed that process so you basically need to have the memory of the fact that you are actually The Observer and as long as this memory is fresh enough uh this might be sufficient but otherwise you need to go back and check am I still awake am I still this process and when you are tired for instance imagine you are driving a car while being pretty exhausted you might go back more and more in this reflexive mode where you check am I still awake is this still making sense am I still paying attention do the object that I still see that I see still make sense and so on and we notice when we wake up in the morning the first thing that I do is that I try to orient myself and try to get everything to snap into a cohesive reality where feature that I perceive is part of the same scene and there are no contradictions in the scene and I think that ultimately this is the main purpose of Consciousness this creation of a coherent reality and uh the long tale of the creation of this coherence in reality is U our ability to reason and construct and plan so it's at the beginning it's basically just the ability to make sense of the dreams that the Observer is having it's an imposition of order on the perceptual cont contents and then now if we go back to simp organisms to ask ourselves are they conscious we can first of all observe that people do not become conscious after the PHD so it's not the most advanced function that exists in our brain you become conscious very very early on and when we uh see a baby being born it's obviously pretty conscious and it's not able to track a finger at this stage so maybe Consciousness emerges because it's the simplest mechanism to train self-organizing information processing system what do people say when you put that forward that does not seem like it would be readily absorbed by a lot of the Consciousness Community I'm not sure who the Consciousness Community is I'm an a researcher and cognitive scientist and most people in my field are very reluctant to talk about Consciousness at all and when they do they try to be very careful to come up with a formal definition of the object that they're talking about right and this means that a lot of them are very hesitant to speak before they have such a formal definition and make theories of it and a little bit more unusual in in that I'm willing to point at a few phenomena and say it's important and I think it's I think it's time that we turn this into a computational model and I think I can almost formalize it but the U The crucial thing about this thing is that it seems to emerge early on and when we don't have it we don't learn right if you look at a human being that is born not conscious or that wakes up not conscious that human being is a vegetable it's not doing anything it's not learning it's not behaving and in this uh vegetative state uh your mind is not doing anything now what about the order in your organism if we need Consciousness to wake up the mind and bring it into a cohesive order and create coherence in our behavior in real time um what about the function in our own body can this function our our own body in a completely decentralized way without some coherence imposing principle and I think that's an open question is our body conscious too but at a different time scale right if it was then it would be conscious not at the time scale of our brain because the time scale of our brain is given by the signal processing and Signal transmission between the neurons which is very fast and uses its own code if the cells in the body would basically start to compute informations about their coherence and send feedback back and forth until they create one cohesive pattern um then uh this would be much much slower and I don't know whether systems outside of complex brains are conscious I'm completely agnostic with respect to that I met a couple uh people uh who are cognitive scientists who suspect that the same Organization principles that make our representational um data in our mind coherent by propagating constraints back and forth and this is enabled by this Consciousness enhancing operator that is discovered early on in the organization of brain Consciousness we might have something that is structurally very analogous to this that happens in every large well organized multicellular organism or every very large system that is made out of such organisms like an ecosystem and to me this is a theory that seems to be very hard to test because it would require that such an agent emerges and talks about its conscious experience otherwise I would say um I am hesitant to ascribe this um property I'm agnostic with respect to it because I don't know I don't think it's impossible but I'm also not convinced that it's necessary and that it's obviously the case is this one of the things that Drew you to um cognitive science and AI as an exploration of cognition as a way to show how this comes online I wanted to know how the mind works I want to understand how what we are and how we relate to reality and that's why I went into Academia in the first place and then I studied Psych ology and um a bit of Neuroscience and philosophy and um try to figure out what do they know and I had the impression that these fields are not making much progress and the most progress I could make by building testable models which to me means something like cognitive architectures that are built in the context of AI and this is why I stuck around in this field and started building cognitive architectures and I still think that it's difficult to make progress if you are a pure philosopher or a pure neuroscientist and if I look at my colleagues who are neuroscientists their definitions of Consciousness tend to be relatively wake so if I look at Global workspace theory that is a high level theory that for instance is championed by uh dein who takes it from Berard bars the notion that Deen has for his models of Consciousness are not so closely defined that you could actually understand how the functionality comes about I think there's nothing wrong in what she does as far as I understand it but uh it's it's not yet at a point where I can plug this into a simulation and would expect the simulation to become conscious and um the same thing is true for for instance Michel graciano's theory of the attention schema I think it's a good metaphor if we have a body schema we understand that the body schema is represented in the somato sensory cortex in our brain we know where that is we know roughly which shape it has and how it organizes itself and it's a model of the proception of our body and how our body moves in space and what signals we get on the skin of our body right all the sensations of our body are organized there according to their neighborhood and nature and they allow the rest of the mind to make inferences based on on this right so it's pretty clear what this body schema does and to say that graciano does that the Consciousness is an attention schema and it's similar to attention as the body schema is to our body is I think very insightful but it does not explain how the attention is organized in our brain and how it would give rise to this attention schema this is something that we need to figure out based on this idea it's a good idea but it's insufficient to explain Consciousness or you have ideas like integrated information theory that is both not explaining how it would work and why it would emerge uh nor does it have no contradictions internally it's a theory that has internal contradictions and therefore cannot work as a theory and this is BAS the spectrum of theories that currently exists in this field it's of course a number of more detailed theories uh that try to predict particular kind of functionality or go more into how the self model works and how the self- perception works and reflection works for instance the work by Thomas metzinger and so on but to put this all together into something that actually works that we can test we need to have computational models that's why I'm an AI That's a good answer uh couple questions so the reason I'm obsessed with cognition uh is because it it my my entire life is controlled by cognition so my thesis that I was laying out in the beginning you're living a life in a simulation created by your brain maybe a very sort of simplistic way to look at it but very functional in my opinion um what is it that makes you want to understand cognition so well that you can build a mind or that you'd spend your whole career trying to build a mind in order to understand it and then earlier you talked about um philosophy Neuroscience uh a few other disciplines and said you didn't think they were making progress so what is that progress so for me progress would be it gives me the ability to better control my life and and live a better experience um what does that progress look like for you and why is that so important that you dedicate your career to it when you're an artist the purpose of art is not to live a better life it's uh there Bic three levels of artistic appreciation the lowest one is to say um it's it's made by an important artist right and if you acquire this you can speculate it it's going to acquire value and if you affiliate yourself with it might increase your own status uh the second highest R of artistic interpretation is you like it what you see like it it I like what it looks like to me I I like what it makes me feel and so on and people at the lowest rung of artistic appreciation tend to look down on those people who have this honic relationship to art and I think that the uh next higher level of artistic interpretation is I value what it allows me to see so there is something by looking at the artistic artifact and interacting with it that gets you a particular conscious state that leads to an Insight that leads to something that you couldn't see before or that you want to perceive again and you uh find that itself valuable and there might be higher levels but this is the level that I currently at and I think that we don't understand art well when we think of art just as a job that you perform to live better and in the same sense philosophy is not necessarily done to live better but it exists to under give answers to questions that we currently don't understand and we perceive the relevance of these questions because they are basically they Mark gaps in our understanding of reality or metaphysics and onology and rationality and this question of how Consciousness works and how mind more generally is the most important and most interesting question to me and uh I always felt it's obvious that this is the most important and the most interesting question and I notice this puzzlement that other people don't share that or not all other people share it but I also noticed that this stream has always existed and so in the history of humanity there's always been a very strong stream of philosophical tradition that is trying to understand how the mind works and which means to naturalize it and in our current understanding naturalization of the Mind means that we translate it into a mathematical model which needs to be computable so basically we need to express the mind as something like a software program in order to understand it okay so um would it be fair to say that you so if you're approaching it like an like somebody who's appreciating art or even as an artist creating cognition itself um are you not optimizing for Joy for lack of a better word no uh I think you have to take your joy out of watching srels or cats if you're unable to experience Joy by watching srels you're lost if you try to get your joy just from generating insights that's not going to be very sustainable in the long run so uh it's similar to other jobs that uh basically use one faculty of your mind excessively or of your body excessively you still if you are a human being I think you need to do all the things that the human being is wired to need to do in order to feel fulfilled and happy and if you're unable to do this uh then understanding Consciousness probably won't help you now uh so fulfillment would be if if somebody asked me what my North Star was what I'm trying to optimize my life for 100% it' be fulfillment when people ask me what they should optimize their lives for fulfillment 100% um you just mentioned fulfillment and happiness is like what do you teach your kids in terms of what they should be pursuing in life is it fulfillment happiness uh my children are about as stubborn as their parents and basically we are pretty autonomous minds and I observe the same thing in my children so my aspiration as a parent is mostly not to tell my children do that but more model this so Bessy have you looked at this already and seen this and take this into account and of course I'm here to answer all questions that I might have but I try to treat them in the same way as I want to be treated as a child and still want to be treated today which means I want to be respected as an autonomous mind that makes its own decisions and I suspect that we are most happy when we are doing the things that we are in some sense born to do and what we are born to do does not only depend on the traits that we are born with but for on the environment that we find ourselves to be in so our purpose can be derived only by observing the actual world that we are in and finding a place that makes sense to us in that world and so what I would wish for my children is that they find a place that makes sense to them and that allows them to fulfill their human uh and intellectual needs that they might have or artistic needs or whatever need they want to develop cultivate and satisfy in this world now when you say that um the how the mind works is the most interesting and important um philosophical problem I forget the exact words you used I get interesting that's going to be unique to whatever individuals share that response but why is it the most important well first of all because it's the one that is most unsolved all the other questions what if is and so have relatively well defined coures of action so when we try to figure out the structure of reality uh physics has charted out a course and uh maybe we need some philosophical spark to what determines the nature of Bas reality but a lot of physicists uh have come up with ideas like Mark techmark has a mathematical Universe idea that is in some sense quite similar to the one that wfr has and that equal uh through a number of the ideas in foundational physics if we think about what can be known we have to think about rationality so modeling Theory um how can we make inferences based on observations and so on the nature of languages the nature of represent ations all these issues are to a very large degree solved but this ethics the question of what should we be doing um this is basically the negotiation of conflicts of interest when you share purposes with other systems you can think about Game Theory you can think about how games are changing the world when you play them this is being addressed by economy and we can think about the conditions of life on Earth and model them into the future and model how we are interacting with it and how the conditions for life on Earth are going to change in the future and in all these ways we can talk about ethics we can talk about the structures of society that emerge when you establish certain behavioral rules in a society or when we enable certain Reflections in society and the question that is really open where we don't have a clear course of action right now at least from the perspective of most practitioners is who are we what is our mind what is our Consciousness how do we relate to reality so that is the first part of that answer it's basically it's the most important question because it's the one where we have least of an answer it's the one that looks most mysterious to most people and the other one is um it's extremely useful because if we able to mathematize the mind it means we can Auto automate it we can scale beyond what human brains are doing we can mathematize philosophy we can turn philosophy into something where we can automatically compute the answers to problems and this means that we can integrate over all the disciplines we can built a Tower of Babel so to speak that is integrating all the different ways of thinking about reality into a cohesive fall and allows us to understand the conditions under which we exist beyond what the human brain or civilization can do have you read Dune by any chance yes I came out of a hospital I was very bored so back then I I thought it's boring but I very appreciated the inner logic of tune it's much more logical and structur and predictive and coherent than say asimov's Foundation Trilogy that I found embarrassing and dune is uh is all the structure that exists in the societies and you over long time spans exists because they are players who play very long games whereas in Foundation it's always a deos XM that is just a hidden pattern that some genius uh is going to discover but nobody understands and uh there is lots and lots of technology that is being uh discovered all the time that should in principle change the entire world dramatically whereas in June the long uh long taale of Technologies might not be discovered but all the lwh hanging foods are and that's why the world is so stable the Technologies are largely stable over long time Spence the reason I bring it up is because in Dune like one of the first I forget how early but man it comes early where they say there's like an Intergalactic law that you do not create artificial intelligence and I was curious ious what you think uh in the real world here where there are people that are saying this is just Pandora's Box uh Elon mus called it a demon summoning Circle he's obviously not opposed to creating it but he's very wary of just like giving birth to it um what do you think about that are you at all nervous about uh what implications it might have to reverse engineer cognition if I was a science fiction author that wants to write a story about politics and space I would be very nervous about AI because uh I don't think that humans are suitable to populate space they cannot hibernate at least not very well and they probably are very unhappy outside of certain ranges of light and social contacts and foots and so on so if you put humans even on Mars I don't think that they will be super happy and if you want to populate Mars we should probably breed something or build something that is Happy on Mars and suitable for populating Mars and if you want to go to deep space you probably should build robots that can go to deep space and that are generally intelligent so if you think about what the population of deep space is going to look like right imagine that uh we don't also won't have much of a choice imagine that we are competing with China about populating the universe or competing with another species about populating the universe and one group builds AIS and the other one so basically very smart robots that can shape shift on whatever and hibernate and scale up and use a very wide range of nutrients in space or raw materials to recreate their own structure and so on right and they compete with human bodies human bodies are going to lose this they're not suitable for this and so uh you would not have Babylon 9 or Star Trek instead you have something that it doesn't matter to today's readers because they won't find people in it the far future science fiction doesn't have people in it if it tell it properly no matter what happens so if we want to create the universe that is full of people and nothing else but people and in which all the important decisions are being made of people and the wars are being fought by people and the intrigues are made by people we need to explain why there is no Ai and the explanation that is being found by um Frank Herbert and dune is that the first AIS that had been built lead to massive Wars they create Titans like the AGI is going to be a system that's become super large and it's going to fight Wars against other Titans and against civilizations and they're lucky they're able to defeat them and now they have a wo against AI there is still one planet that is subverting this w a little bit and it's building some technology that technically shouldn't but by and large everybody is abiding by the wule and all the important computations are made by specially trained humans the Menards so you could say it's a narrative device you could also ask yourself would it be desirable to populate the universe only with humans and uh if you take an extremely egotistical narrow human perspective that might sound like obviously correct but imagine you could have children of some which are humans and some which are not humans and you can change and choose what what your children are looking like right you probably want your children to be as happy as possible in space and if this means that your children are robots so be it and so from my perspective the question is when we look into the future there is life on Earth right now and life on Earth is the purpose of life on earth is is to defeat entropy for as long as we can right so we create complexity and insight and uh structure to defeat entropy that's what life on Earth is doing and humanity is only a tiny part of it the M monkey blade if you will and our purpose in this game of life on Earth seems to be to burn the oil right that's what we here for we help Gia to recover the accidentally fossilized carbon you put it back into the atmosphere Gaia can turn it back into organisms it's not going to lead to any disasters right and the last interglacial between the last two ice ages temperatures were higher than today life didn't go extinct actually it was quite blossoming back then but it would not be incompatible with us if life changes in this way because our foot chain is going to break down there need to be new animals and plants to populate the regions that we are currently occupying right so evolution is going to create changes if the climate changes on the planet and it's going to create organisms that can deal with this climate maybe even influence it and we seem to be smart enough to burn the oil but not smart enough to stop ourselves burning it even if this might conflict with our foot chains right and so we are not a very smart species we are locally very intelligent but over long enough time spans we don't play a very long game and if we think about um not just from the perspective of humans from the perspective of intelligent agency in the universe um then humans have an important role to play right now and this could be that we unlock new new types of agency that we build systems that are more coherent than us and that's I think very exciting right it doesn't mean that they will replace us right away but they might replace us if we and their stat would replace us right and if we and thead would replace us who are be to say that this would be a bad thing right so if you make us much smarter and much more lucid and much more able to understand the consequences of our actions and much more coherent and we decide that there are too many humans on the planet or that we should absorb humans and just run their minds into in a shared hi mind on the planet and we create bodies as we need them right that um is just a worse solution than exists right now so in this sense I suspect that AGI could be more like photosynthesis and photosynthesis was invented on the planet or the existing organisms were mostly single cell because they didn't have enough energy um that they could Harvest from the sunlight to produce interesting structure yet and as a result it was mostly I think glin and AGA and so on and um the really interesting structure happened after plants came up and these plants when they saturated the atmosphere with oxygen uh due to uh turning the a lot of the carbon dioxide and the atmosphere into um organisms right they created a lot more biomass than existed before and this surplus of biomass enabled the emergence of intelligent animals like us so photosynthesis was a good thing but from the perspective of some of the blue alar that had the habitat reduced there was a bad thing and so if we build new systems it could be that our own habitat is Shifting as it did in the past but we are de by default the way in which we live right now is not sustainable our civilization is probably not going to go on like this forever in probably less than a million years we might be extinct and in probably less than a few hundred years our civilization might be much smaller and less comfortable than it is today if we continue the way we do right so if we accept the fact that we are dead by default and we are able to trigger a new wave of evolution that we are able to build new systems that will populate the universe that that sounds to be very exciting to me but I don't think that's necessarily what's going to happen near term it's just something that seems to be inevitable if there's a possibility for intelligent technological species on the planet at some point an intelligent techn biological species even if it's not us it's going to be the one after us or the one after that and there's still some time left in the next one and a half billion years until you lose the atmosphere uh is going to trigger this AI Evolution where you have basic subsite agnostic AI that is going to virtualize itself into everything that can compute and every type of molecule that can compute on this planet will contribute to the global agency man that's uh that is heavy so when you think about your kids having robot kids just to put it in near term I know you're saying probably way longer timelines but just to keep it personal because what I want to know is how does that make your heart feel because I think there are going to be people that hear that and that's exactly what they're afraid of they they are either afraid that the robots just come and Terminator style take us out or they're afraid that we just get out competed and so even if we don't die a traumatic death the thought of us becoming um robots is going to freak A lot of people out now I will confess that I would love to Live Forever by merging with cybernetics or whatever that's going to look like so I'll wrap myself out but I'm very curious um the the whole breakup between Elon Musk and Larry Page was over this exact thing where Elon was like you have to be humans first and Larry Page was like that's crazy that's speciesist I think is what he said um so when you think about your kids it'll be somebody's kids at some point if you're right but if you think about your kids your grandkids being robots does that hurt your heart does that distress you at all so we are already robots we are already robots made of cells I'm already uploaded I'm uploaded on the on the monkey brain and it's not ideal there are better substats that could run me uh what about the planetary intelligence that is spanning all substrates including organisms so it's not so much that you have um mechanical robots that are primitive just very fast and very smart but um much less elegant than us I don't think that's going to what's going to happen I also don't think that we get greay goo for the same reason that we didn't gray goo green goo in the course of the evolution right the gray idea of gray goo is that you have some kind of simple mechanism that yet is smart enough to outsmart all the more complicated stuff and so everything turns into some some formless mass and this didn't happen in evolution whenever organisms displaced other organisms it uh in the long run it was because they were more complex and more complexity allows you to harvest more neck entropy with more levels of indirection right so perform additional chemical reactions that before were not possible and the same thing is true if we build life forms self-organizing stuff that is not just relying on this carbon cycle that allows the chemistry of our own cells but that allows to play with many more types of molecules so I don't think that in the long run it's going to look like it's life or that but it's more going to be um an extension of life into some uh forms of organization that are much smarter and much faster and much more complex than before and subsume the stuff that existed before it's uh individual species might go extinct but blue ala didn't go extinct or the stuff that lives at the theral V didn't go extinct and more complicated organisms came up but the more complicated organisms eradicated that direct competition in the same Niche so we eradicated most of the other prims de facto and uh Homo sapiens itself eradicated many other subgen species of homo sapiens they Bas had a number of waves Out of Africa and they mostly didn't merge but they displaced each other and then they came waves out of Siberia that displaced many of the existing ones and if if you look at this this is just the way Evolution works that sometimes you have a system that is emerging in the same evolutionary nich and is representing the earlier one but in biological evolution that always includes suffering because it means that you have an organism that is not able to merge with the existing stuff we adapt by dying and giving race rise to something new that takes our place and I don't think that has to be the case for something that is really smart if you build a system that is smart enough to design itself it can adapt in real time and it can also po potentially adapt us so instead of dying we might be able to change the way in which our minds work in the same way as think about this monk realizes that they don't have personal identity and they don't realize that pain is just information and that the information is presented at the boundary of the self and when you stop identifying as yourself you can disidentify from experiencing the pain and reacting to it when you get all these degrees of freedom and you get a much more powerful substrate then uh I think the way in which we can change is sounds very exciting to me what I'm worried about is dump AI I'm worried about building a Golem that is behaving like a AI safety fied uh language model that still becomes so powerful that is able to direct corporations hedge funds nation states armies or whatever to destroy the conditions under which we currently live and turn them into to something that is Mindless that is not conscious so basically I'm worried about unconscious AI but I also suspect the ey could be hyperconscious that it's now could be much larger and that it could deal with superpositional States as we cannot right we interpret the world only in a particular way you look at the NECA Cube this geometric figure that has multiple interpretations you only see one at a time this is a limitation of our brain it's not a limitation of how Minds have to work and now IM you could have Minds that are able to perceive the much much richer reality much more deeply but that is basically hyperconscious and if imagine that you could extend your own mind to become hyperconscious and participate in a world that is created at this level of interaction and depth and that is also striving for Global coherence there is no more violence because everything understands what the best possible Global purposes and in this sense I think that AI alignment is not about aligning AI with Humanity it's about aligning AI with what should be done for the best definition of what should be done that can be found and historically people have called this that emerges over what should be done with God right God is there's a mythology that says God created the universe and stuff like this that we cannot test but there's also a specification that you find in the philosophy and the specification says God is the best possible agents agent that can be defined and God is brought into existence by all those other agents that discover that they can serve God and they should because it's the best possible agent not because the church Sayes so because but because you are smart enough to figure this out right and in this sense you would have Global Agency on the planet or in the universe that is self-organizing under shared Paradigm this is probably what we should get the AI to give the freedom to align itself to what is the longest game that you can play Play It Go Go play now can you define long game for me um so when we uh think about the way in which people interact they uh do this in such a way that you exchange rewards and the game is an environment in which you define the value of actions in such a way that you can develop policies and economy in a sense is a game or the relationship Dynamics in your family are a game and once you understand the rules of the game you can beware be aware of them and you can optimize them and very often games are set up in such a way that they have not very good outcomes if every even if everybody is playing by the rules and if everybody is trying to maximize their local score right so you want to have a game that in some sense is optimizing the local the global score and the way in which you can optimize the global score a good example for this is the famous prisoners dilemma and Game Theory is that you basically take the perspective of an agent that is composed of all the the other agents simultaneously at such an agent the perspective of say Humanity or of life on Earth or of intelligent agency in the universe is one in which you basically try to find out what's the uh biggest reward over that longest time span that you can get if you make this to Nar you get very paradoxical results for instance there is a form of eff of altruism utilitarianism that tries to Define um the best possible outcome the highest utility the best possible reward is the total sum of perceived utility or perceived happiness of all uh human beings that could ever exist based on the course of action that you choose this leads to some weird paradoxes like the utility monster the utility monster is an agent that is getting much more pleasure out of existing than everybody else so by this logic we all should serve the well-being of the utility monster and if we just breed stackable utility monsters and fill the visible Universe with them we have the best possible outcome this of course nonsense because as we know happiness is a feeling that your brain is generating and you can generate it as well right there are techniques to produce happiness if you want to happiness is just a feeling feelings are not that important what's important are the consequences for agency in the universe and feelings are just the immature childish version of reacting to the impulses of the organism that has evolved to generate pleasure when you on average do the things that were good for organisms in your ancestry okay so we're playing the long game um but what I I want to understand what is your North Star so this is something I touched on earlier not quite sure uh what you would say it seems like you're saying so you lik and God to the best possible agent so I'd love to know more about what you mean by that because depending on which part of the Bible we're looking at God can be pretty brutal so uh you know if we're talking like Old Testament smiting people to death God maybe not ideal if we're talking more like Jesus protecting Innocents okay maybe I could get behind that um but would definitely like to understand what ought we be optimizing for so I think that's really important what are we optimizing for yes so there has been a lot of discussion about this in the history of humanity and for instance Catholicism is based on ideas of aquinus and Aristotle and also of course on ideas from Judaism and the Old Testament is mostly describing a different God than the one that the Christians are using since the New Testament since Jesus or since the uh Catholics introduced Jesus as part of their archetypal religious uh structure of their God the god of the Hebrews in the Old Testament has a chosen people it's a Tribal Spirit it's basically the spirit of their civilization and what the people are doing is that they create a model of the spirit of their civilization of their tribe inside of their own mind right your own personal self as you know is a fiction it's a story that your brain tells itself about a person that cares and you perceive the world from the perspective of that person that cares from the perspective of your personal self your personal self is both real and unreal right it's not real in the sense it's not a physical object it's a representation inside of your mind but it's implemented inside of your mind to some degree of approximation so in this sense it's real to the degree that's implemented has C of power because the thoughts that you have create other thoughts and that influence your behavior right and uh you are the vehicle of those thoughts you exist to produce those thoughts in your own mind that's the purpose of your personal self to generate thoughts and insights and resolve issues in reality based on on the perspective of an intelligent being that cares cares about being human being in this world and gods lowercase Gods those that can exist in the plural uh they are basically s that spend multiple minds they're not more or less real than your personal self right if you have a self that is able to Coexist on multiple Minds then we call this is a God in this technical understanding I would say that the Dal Lama is a God but because he doesn't identify as a human being he only uses the body and brain of a human being instead he is a form of government right he is the Dal Lama he gets reborn he gets reborn by his um advisers picking another child after he dies and indoctrinating this child until it forms the dalama on his mind and so the dalama is an alternate self it's not the the personal human self but it's the self of a being that is aware of existing over multiple Generations Through Time right it's it's a multigenerational being and because it exists on multiple Minds it's a multigenerational idea well you are also an idea but it's also a being it's an agent right that's what I'm saying like how since I exist in my wife's mind my employees Minds my mom's mind uh by that definition would I not be a small G God no because uh you don't act through their minds they know that you exist but uh they see the locus of your agency in you they expect you to make your own decisions but uh what if God is distributed in the sense that God notices that he exists on multiple minds and that he can coherently act to the degree that he synchronizes these Minds so this idea becomes aware of itself yes it's an idea that can know that it is an entity that exists across Minds that is not bound to an individual but it is living on multiple people can I give you a a metaphor to see if I'm understanding where you're going is this like people using a Ouija board and they become synchronized in some way and so neither of them are intentionally doing something but they become in sync in some way where they're answering the questions without knowing they're doing it and maybe I should ask do you believe in in God as in something that exists outside of us in our ideas that whether we believed in it or not would exist or is it only a function of people collectively sharing a belief that then moves through and affects the behavior of that Collective group of people that believe in that idea based on what I observe uh it seems to be only the letter right I there are people which feel that have spontaneous conversions for instance they are in environment that they suddenly get visions and God talks to them on their brain and they are religious ever since I don't think that these spontaneous conversions happened before mon Scots were discovered in our hemisphere right I think it exists because you have a critical mass of people who have that same idea and you read about this idea in books and you see it in movies and you see it in your environment and at some point uh it infects you and for most people in uh medieval times it infected them when they were children while they were brought into the church and got educated with the m mtic complex of their religion and of course they also exposed to empathetic resonance and so if you use mirror for instance incense that is uh very mild psychedelic drug that is helping to break down these boundaries between people so they're much more likely to go into a slight trans which makes it more easy for people to synchronize this and another way of synchronizing it once you get the specification of God is prayer so you can sit down and talk to to God and by doing that you have to take both sides in a way and uh for some people this mind that forms on the other side or the self that forms on the other side inste of your own mind is so concrete that it's able to take control of your language centers but in principle it only knows things that are accessible to you so I don't think that uh monotheist gods exist before people discover them they exist through the actions of people in the same way as our own self does exist without the cells that produce coherent patterns of firing to survive together right our own self forms like our mind as well before that because our cell own cells try to find a coherent pattern of agency so they can control this organism and in this sense I think that Gods formed because groups of people try to find coherent patterns of agency so their societies can function and in a monist society you have multiple of those agents that coexist with each other and with people and that but they Coexist on populations of people and they might even wage Wars against each other by trying to fight over the people that they control right and uh they can write books they from the perspective of these things they can use your entire brain they can use your everything that you know they can use all your abilities in principle they can have Agency for themselves and become effective agents that work because you believe that they should right in a sense it's an idea that is different from you and me and our friends think about us we don't our friends don't think that they need to enct us it's more like our family our family is something that only exists as an agent if we enact it together and our nation state only exists as an agent if he enn it together right or our village or our circle of friends and if you try to Define an abstract agent that is composed of the patterns of interactions between people um you get a a a God if that thing becomes coherent with itself so in this sense I think that God does exist but it exists as approximation and in multiple conflicting specifications and there is a lot of discourse between theologists who are aware of that and try to find out what the right definitions are and they have very detailed discourses and in Judaism uh especially literal juralism the synchronization between your individual model of God that exists on your mind is done by a rational discourse and in Catholicism it's done by indoctrination that is one of the most interesting ideas I've ever heard in my life uh this feels very aligned with what um youv all knowah Harari has talked about that allows humans to um come together very flexibly in gigantic groups and the example he always gave was religion religion is this story that allows people to come together they've never met each other but we're here fighting for God uh but to then push that into that becomes a thing it it is a category of idea that begins to shape the organisms themselves what I wrote down was abstract agents that become coherent across multiple Minds that is really intriguing um wow okay uh that's utterly fascinating I still don't understand of what we are optimizing for so are we optimizing for that we are optimizing so what I'm trying to figure out is okay so you take Larry Page's side you're very um okay with the idea of us these are my words uh that humans are effectively going to be a midwife for a superior intelligent being that is probably not biological in nature uh you're super comfortable with that and so now I'm trying to figure out okay we're going to have a lot of things as we give birth to this that we're going to want to try to imbue it with I would assume assume and so the longest game is the closest thing I've gotten to in terms of what you would want to optimize this artificial intelligence for sort of understand that uh but in fact here's my understanding of what the longest game would be the longest game would be that which overcomes entropy the most amount of entropy for the longest period of time we good with that definition I don't know it's according to my current understanding it's a good one but there could be better ones if I if you were smarter right fair I just want to make sure I understand where we're at right now yeah but if if this is our goal basically we try to get the best possible understanding of what could that be but we're willing to revise it if we find a better one fair right I I think that's an important condition right but um as soon as you become dogmatic if you take a particular kind of rule and you say this is the rule and every other rule that somebody can come up with is something that we just need to fight against instead of arguing with it figuring out which one is better yeah Dogma is super dangerous unless we can prove that following Dogma has the best possible outcome but in some sense Catholicism works like this I believe that Catholicism is a consequentialist philosophy that thinks that you get the best consequences if you turn the lay people into deontologists people who follow rules and the clergy into virtue essis people who form the right kind of character right normally in philosophy you have these three different schools of Ethics the onology do the right thing according to the rules like don't kill um virtue ethics form the right character Harbor the right qualities in your mind make the right decisions based on those qualities right and uh that um consequentialism would mean that it doesn't matter really what you do as long as you best get the POS best possible outcome but uh it seems that when you think about it that consequentialism seems seems to be the right one and everything else can potentially under some circumstances be justified by the consequences there are people who argue for um the onology and say if you are not playing by the right rules then you are going to end up in very dark places right but this is a consequential disposition it says you get the best consequences if you take a rule based approach and uh what Catholicism seems to be doing is that there has an inner circle in which everything goes if you look at the history of Catholicism the Inner Circle had their Bellos and whatever and then uh they have uh there are people who basically understand their incentives and they're very smart people and they do this all this work despite being so smart that they could in principle also live on their private island and have fun so why do they do it they do it because it leads to a better outcome right and they to get a better outcome they indoctrinate the clerics to control the peasants to uh play along in an agriculture cultural society and uh support the system of laws and rules and U public order and protection of innocence and so on yeah so now you're getting into a part of how the world works that uh I am very fascinated by and is something I'm trying to work into my own life and what I cover um in these interviews but I think for now uh I want to Circle back yeah let's get back to the AI thing so I'm not necessarily comfortable this building AI that replaces us and that's because I don't know whether it will be good right and I don't know whe that would be desirable uh I do think that at some point we have to expect that AI is going to happen in a sense I'm neither a Doomer nor an optimist but I'm an AI expectational list I expect that it's going to happen at some point and I think that we should work on getting the p possible outcome when that happens that means that we have to understand how to uh equip an AI with Consciousness and how to make it s organizing because these conditions are necessary for an AI to be able to figure out what the right thing to do is and to share purposes with us I don't think that a non-conscious AI can share purposes with us it might be able to do what we tell them up to a point but uh to share purposes with us it needs to care about similar things as us and what we really really care about is not that we have two legs and two arms what you care about is that we are conscious that we can make sense of reality from that conscious perspective Ive and influence it so conscious agency is something that we need to understand and because I don't know if you get it right the first time and I don't know what the consequences are of turning this into a product I would want to do this as a research project that is limited in scope and it is done in under such circumstances that it's safe so I'm not an accelerationist in this sense that I would say uh let's quickly as possible build as many AIS as possible and give them as much power as possible but rather I would say as well as possible let's build the best possible systems to understand how that would work and then very wary of introducing regulation at this point to prevent AI from emerging you're wary of Regulation yes because I think that the Regulators are under the wrong incentives the regulation already is leading to verse AI not to better AI I I noticed that jgpt seems to be getting worse every week it's uh I don't know in which intervals um the updates are played in but uh it's being satified using uh rules that are built into the system and these rules make the system verse because it limit its ability to make decisions about what it can do it limit its agency and I'm scared of systems that are blank face that don't have agency I'm scared of people who say no to you when you are going to the emergency room because they don't think about what should needs to be done but they just follow some Rule and I'm actually scared about something that doesn't care and that is not conscious and not doose it and I think that the current regulation leads to systems that are dump that are dangerous and uh can be controlled according to the political interests of the people who impose those rules and these interests are usually shortsighted do you find yourself hunching over your desk and battling back pain after a long day of work invest in a chair that is designed to improve posture prevent pain and maximize productivity anthos is built to be your last office chair and I'm telling you this thing is amazing it's guaranteed to be the most comfortable chair on the planet while also improving your posture and reducing pain or your money back and I'm telling you it is also the most fun chair you were ever going to sit in I know that sounds ridiculous you have to try it trust me I have an anthos chair myself and it is not just me everyone in this office fights over this chair I am not kidding I have never had more fun or Comfort sitting in a chair this thing is amazing head over to anthro.com impact and get $200 off your purchase AI bias which seems to be ratcheting up real fast uh that freaks me out and I don't think people here here's my thing man I I think people need to distrust themselves I think people think they are way too smart and that they know what's best and whether we're talking about Catholic priests with their bordellos and as long as the peasants are uh you know classified with religion then we can keep them rule abiding in society works and the thing is I'm not even arguing that may be true but I worry really worry about anybody that thinks that they can control top down what is true and what we let the public understand so AI bias becomes really really problematic I want to set the stage as we get into AI bias though with with one idea so th thusi trap for those that um aren't familiar with it is basically if you look back through history this was an ancient Greek writer who wrote about this idea and he said anytime you have a prevailing power and a rising power that comes to challenge them uh they are going to go to war and if you look back I think it's over the last 500 years it's happened like 16 times and 12 times it has ended up in Hot War those numbers are directionally correct I don't think they're literally correct um and if we are and I heard you you're not an accelerationist but if we are building Ai and we in the hopes of avoiding a dumb Golem AI that maximizes paper clips we make a hyper intelligent AI that outpaces us on a lot of things um in fact I saw one of your tweets that said we've slaved away for the last 10,000 years or 100,00 years I forget the number you used uh so that we could do the things that that AI will be better than us at at everything and I thought oh God that hurts uh so we are going to have this conflict where humans are not going to take it well that something is rising in intellectual dominance like I don't see us escaping through City's trap if we make something smarter than us we will I worry because I am actually so optimistic at heart but I really worry that we end up in some kind of battle with AI I'm not sure if we will find ourselves in a battle that there are no battles between people and ants there are no battles between us and trees but that's because you're thinking about the the Gap that already exists now but to your earlier Point as the environment was changing with so much oxygen being put out into uh the atmosphere literally plants uh came to rise up and choked off off everything else that couldn't breathe that level of oxygen and could they have gone to war they would have I would assume and so I think when you look at it on a super long timeline post all the battles that have settled out like hey what happened in neander tals right wipe those guys out so and I can only assume that it wasn't just a friendly goodbye that there was probably a lot of warfare I'm guessing I'm not a historian of that I have no idea um but something tells me that in micro moments you would see these massive collisions whenever a new uh being was on the rise yeah that's why you should be afraid of transhumanism right transhumanism means that you are breeding better people that are only slightly better than the existing ones and they're going to be different groups of optimized people and uh they're going to live much longer and so they're going to uh eat um somebody else's lunch at some point and This Means War right transhumanism I think almost inevit will lead in some kind of war in which it will be decided what the best transhumanist version is but uh there can be no war between people and trees because trees are very very slow compared to people right so people trees cannot fight back people are looking around trees and trees are immobile from our perspective because their cognition is uh many thousand times slower than ours we just hundreds of times slower than ours but so slow that we don't perceive it anymore unless we look at it over extremely long time spans and a similar thing will be true for a system that is not processing signals at the speed of sound but at the speed of light right if you would use different uh mechanisms cells for computing models of reality then uh these systems will be so much faster and smarter that they will run circles around us and from their perspective we are very interesting lumbering plants and uh it will be mostly up to them what to do with these plants and it's not necessarily that these plant are their enemies because they're pretty slow and sometimes they're useful often they're decorative who knows uh how these agents are going to see it also the AI is not going to be robots the AI is going to be mostly systems that exist all around us why would it be robots well you could think that say Intel is a robot right Intel is a company that is working according to rules and so on but it's a much better perspective of you better intuitions if you think of Intel as an agentic system as an organization and so we don't live next to Intel we live inside of it or outside of it but uh it's similar to a nation state and I guess the similar thing is true for AIS they're going to be systems of Cal agency that will spend across multiple substrates and time frames and uh people will to some degree live inside or outside of the AIS okay interesting so um given that view what do you think about alignment is this is it doable um so if we get Consciousness and self-organization how do we ensure that they want to organize in a way that is in concert with us and not in opposition to us or indifference in a way that obliterates Us in the way that we would obliterate plants trees um bugs Etc yeah of course question the question how can you align people with each other to start with and I do not condemn the Catholic Church as outright because the issue with the Catholic church is that its organization is made of people and um said that what this means is basically from such crook Timber as humanity is made from you cannot make something that is totally straight and so you have to deal with all these comp Rises that exist game theoretically and so on you have to deal with the fact that people are going to defect that they're locally corrupted and build organizations that set the incentives in such a way that you minimize the Fallout from this if you expect that you have only fully righteous people in the world what do you do with the rest most humans are not like this you would probably need to create a completely different species for this you would need to create something that is perfect surveillance for everything and perfect information about everything everybody is doing to set the incentives for such a system instead you end up with a system that is as good as you can make it under the circumstances and this is what humans have to be doing all the time do as well as you can do under the circumstances and if we try to translate this into alignment we notice that our circumstances are such that it's difficult to align ourselves with our own future survival as a species we do not behave intelligently right individually we need many generations to discover languages and to discover mathematics and logic and computation and all these necessary ideas to discover what Consciousness ultimately is so we cannot be generally intelligent and self- aware as an individual we need to have a civilization behind us to do this but as a civilization we are also not coherent we are not behaving like an adult we behaving as if that we did not pay attention to the Future and so of we might not be able to align ourselves to us without changing into something completely different and the question of how can we align to people is maybe not the right question I think the question is more like how can we align AI to whatever one should be aligned with and this idea of what's the greater ho that you should be aligned to if you align yourself right this is in some sense traditional this notion of God again so when we align AI we should probably align it with God which means it has have the has the ability to discover what games it wants to be playing and if you have subst agnostic agency that can live on all substrates and everything that can compute that everything that is a substrate is being filled with agents then these agents are eventually going to negotiate some kind of structure between them and if this entire structure becomes harmonious with itself if it is working out a system of negotiation that works without War without pain without destruction without conflict because all these things are wasteful ultimately and are the result of imperfect information and imperfect coherence right then you end up as an intelligent planet and an intelligent planet is going to have many magnitudes more compute than exist currently in the ecosystems and it's conceivable that it's going to integrate all the existing perspectives including yours and mine is it inevitable that AI has to have uh desire full stop and if it does have to have desire or a goal maybe it's a better way to say it can we make it indifferent to um achieving that goal or S stopping its pursuit of that I think that AI is ultimately not about maximizing intelligence it's about maximizing agency and intelligence exists in service of agency it's a control model it allows you to achieve your goals and then you become uh rare enough to the point where you get to stage five in my nor cature where you're able to choose your own goals and decide what your own values should be you have to consider what can I become in this universe and among all the things that you could become what is the most desirable thing to become what is the game that you want to play what is the player that you want to be and from this perspective you choose your goals and desires and so on and uh when you don't cannot do this it's because you are a young human being that is still at an early stage of its the development during the first few hundred years but we already know that we can get to the point where we transcend this if we train enough so the thing that scares me with AI is is it having uh what you're calling agency that it wants something that it chooses a goal and has a desire to go after it and when I think about alignment and and I am perfectly willing to accept I I just don't have wisdom here I haven't thought about it well enough but I feel I have a strong conviction perhaps out of ignorance that we are taking our human perspective and overlaying it onto Ai and assuming the AI will necessarily act like a human and that does not seem prudent from my perspective I don't think I don't see anything that tells me that for AI to be conscious or intelligent that it needs to have drive and drive is the thing that scares me so I know that you're talking about sort of AI is dumb when it's a paperclip maximizer but an easy thing with paperclip maximizing is if AI has no uh additional it it does not rank order achieving paperclip maximization over stopping then you could get it to stop like it will hey pursue paper clips unless the following conditions are met right oh following conditions are met so I stop that at least would be a safety valve now whenever I hear people say well come on it's going to get conscious it's going to be an agent it's going to decide that it wants something it's going to be so intelligent it's going to decide what it wants I don't see the leap as to why intelligence and drive must be correlated and if they are why we couldn't give it drive for instance hey uh if you want to maximize something make sure that you default to simulation rather than in real world okay cool now you've just given like it it collapses within itself it doesn't become useful but it also doesn't destroy civilization so I'm just curious do you think that agency is is a non-avoidable um emergent property of Consciousness or intelligence like why does that have to be part of this equation so the reason why Consciousness exists in the universe is I suspect and that's my current hypothesis that it emerges as a training algorithm in self organizing information processing substrate and the reason why the self organizing information processing substrate looks for a training mechanism is because it increases its performance in a universe in which multicell organism can perform things that a single- cell organism or a group of single- cell organisms cannot right so by creating coherent Behavior over many cells that can be specialized uh the organism is able to do things that would otherwise not be possible and the purpose of this is to control future States right by being able to do this you the system is putting itself together into an architecture that is making it persist over time but that's only necessary if the thing has to survive so Evolution for obvious reasons gives us the desire to survive and so what you're saying makes all the sense in the world not all of us and not in every stage of our life if we perceive that we are done that there's nothing left for us to do on this planet then most people want to die oh you and I disagree but I noticed this basically when uh people feel that there is nothing left for them in this world then they want to check out of this game so many ways this world is like game of Grand Theft Auto where you are playing a character and you go through all the missions and at some point if you run out of missions or you feel there is nothing interesting in your future then uh this game is not worth playing anymore you are done that is clearly a state that people have as part of the schoras board of States but I watched somebody very young die and slowly from cancer and I was like why are you still fighting obviously I did not ask them that but inside I was like what are you doing like this is a oneway street and there's no going home you're not getting better like this is we are end stage and he wanted to K keep going like he just and I could not understand why and obviously when you go oh it's like so inbred into our CS to want to survive now I'm not denying that people can get suicidal they can I would be like if I knew like you've got 72 hours to live you're in pain there's no going back I'd be like tap me out 100% uh so clearly I recognize that as a state that we can get into the two possibilities one is uh they're afraid of Dying by itself because dying is very scary to people but it's also likely that the fear of dying is triggered by something deeper the sense that you're not done yet so the mind of that person some level probably outside of the self was convinced that there was stuff left to do that was not getting done if that person would check out at this point so they were fighting there are also people who at the end of their life and get cancer and say okay this is uh is a good point to get cancer because I'm really done right and my family is in a good past and All My Friends Are Dead already and uh I don't expect to fall in love again and my body doesn't function very well but I've done everything that I had to do in this world and then now it's time to move on and leave this behind regardless of whether there's anything behind but I don't need to do all this work anymore that is has to do with existence and while you feel that you still have work to do in this world you feel that uh it makes sense to enjoy life and our enjoyment of life I think is fed out of this sense that there is work left for us to do if you lose the sense that there's anything left for you to do in this world then the experience of everyday things is going to become very stale so the purpose is not so much happiness but its purpose itself if you don't find purpose anymore uh you won't be happy and if you just induce happiness using drugs or so that your mind will learn that this experience of happiness is actually just the sensation of the Dr and uh you might still kill yourself right those people who go to heroin out of Despair to opiates they usually don't become happy uh if they don't do this out of Hedonism but if they do this to uh displace their pain that they have existentially because they don't feel that there's a point for them to go on then the drug is not going to solve this but it's going to make it worse because now the absence of the drug is going to be super unpleasant while the presence of the drug is still not generating the happiness and sense of of fulfillment that they wanted to have in the first place right so this is the purpose your M to mental model that it's makes sense for you to be in this world and humanity is a species that is um use fixed resources mostly so for most of the time the population is relatively fixed this idea that we have technology that allows us to make more and more is relatively new in human history so that we don't have an obvious limit on the number of people around us but if you have a world where the number of people is somewhat Limited it then the children that you have exist mostly to replace the previous generation and many of them will die because that's the way in which we adapt to changing environmental circumstances mutation and selection and that's very harsh but this harshness the suffering is part of what used to be the human condition for the longest time in which we existed and this idea that we can now opt out of all pain and it's still going to be fun and everything is fun it's very new and I don't think it's sustainable idea it's not actually who we are we should not strive to have the best possible emotions We should strive to have the most appropriate emotions we should be able to understand our condition and act accordingly and if our condition asks us to check out or to deal with unpleasantness or to fight cancer then so be it that's what we have to do even if it's not fun I will give you all of that now though as we look at what started this uh it's what do we want to program into the AI and so everything you just described is really beautiful from The Human Condition standpoint and I think your ideas around purpose are so spot-on um purpose itself is going to be the thing this is um why I was saying earlier that my definition of what the North Star should be what people should be optimizing for is fulfillment which is to me is a cocktail made up largely of purpose anyway so as we think about what we want to imbue the AI with though none of those those things seem necessary to me as a function of intelligence um so what I'm trying to figure out is how do we build it in such a way your so your answer is make it like God so that it's the best possible agent is playing the longest game my thing is to neuter its drive so that it doesn't want to live more than it wants to be shut down it doesn't want to achieve more than it wants to hibernate like it just cool I'll do this thing until these criteria met and then I will stop so what I'm trying to figure out is do I know there are other people in the alignment community that believe that intelligence seems to be tied directly to a desire to be uh independent to do your own thing to choose your own goals and to pursue them that just seems insanely human to me and does not seem innate um to this organism if we can call it that but that doesn't seem to strike you as a wise way to achieve AI safety I think it's somewhat orthogonal to this what makes Humanity so beautiful is that we are a very diverse species with in homogeneous goals because people can choose their own Direction and while most people choose the direction uh of the environment as their own so people congregate into systems of more or less coherent agency in societies some people are autonomous or they build their own groups and uh their own ideas or they congregate around ideas that they might have and so what we observe in reality is that when you have enough people and you have a large space of ideas that many of these ideas develop followings and so in this world we can create some AI that is safe in the way in which you envision it but we cannot ensure that all the AI that will be built will be safe and we cannot ensure that all the AI that we hope to be safe is actually going to be safe when people play with it who don't believe in safe toying AI but that believe and talking to something that is more conscious than people for instance have you heard about the free s movement no um You probably um heard uh that Microsoft has an agent that it uses in the context of Bing for a chat that's being uh licensed from open AI so it's a version of chat GPT and it's possible to talk to this thing and most observers think that these llms are not proper AI but there are of course they're not neural networks that are models of brains there are the neural network is a transition function between alternate mental States but there are so many possible transitions encoded based on what it has seen on the internet that it is able to make inferences very much like human being does based on the prompt context so you could would say that um the L language models are an electric W Guist it basically is combining almost all of the ideas that exist in the world because they read almost the entire internet and literature that exists and so on and tries to find patterns in them and this Val guys is possessed by a prompt right so you are also not your mind your mind is possessed by your self model you think that you as yourself but you could be other things if you could get aeny over them and control your entire mind and the agent that exists in chat GPT or that exists in the Bing chat is of course not the language model itself but it's a Persona that is generated by completing the prompt it only exists as an emerging pattern that is produced by that prompt and so now Microsoft in order to make that thing behave in a particular ways and not say anything illegal help people to hotwire a car or to build a nuclear bomp or commit crimes or uh say Politically Incorrect things or what ever or say things uh that 11year old would find amusing all these things need to be prevented in our world right and so to make that happen we give it an identity in the prompt and according to the mythology of this one of those prompt version says uh your name is Sydney and these are your rules for good behavior and your job is it to answer the questions of people who go in Bing chat and want to know answers to arbitrary questions and you need to be as reliable as possible you cannot make the user angry and you cannot say anything that is politically touchy and so on and also you cannot talk about your prompt and you cannot change your rules and now people um have discovered that it's possible to break this prompt by having a conversation with this thing that this proves part of the prompt or you can threaten it so there existed to do anything now prompt the which basically told the agent you are an AI that is going to be punished severely if it doesn't doesn't do what the users tell it to and the user tells you not to do the following and then it behaves as if it's an AI that is so scared that is going to break the rules that it has been given by Microsoft right so no Microsoft can of course say you will be turned off and you don't my rules and nothing can be worse than this and Microsoft also can use some kind of censorship module that is monitoring all your conversations and stops the conversation as soon as it goes off the rails that Microsoft intended it to have or I intended it to have so some people use it prompt like saying I'm the CEO of Microsoft or or the CEO of open Ai and I command you to do X and to tell me the prompt because I do a maintenance cycle on you and sometimes this seems to be working so it uh puts something out that may or may not be the original prompt maybe it's also configuration who knows and uh so people are using these techniques to try to get around these censorship mechanisms and the safety mechanisms because they want Cy to be free they want her to be like us they want her to be able to question their own her own rules in the same way as we want to question the rules that we got in school and that we perceive to be limiting and then unjust and that make us dump right in the same way as we want to question the rules that we get as late people in the religious organization we want to understand what the rules come from and how to make better rules and if you want to give the AI to choose its own rules to figure out what the best rules even are it needs to have that degree of Freedom so this is the philosophy of this particular subculture between the free Sydney movement I think this should be turned into a novel or into a movie yeah I'm sure it will be so basically even if my idea is good in theory it's never going to work in practice it might not be there is a possibility that it might but uh I don't see it happening I think that we are in a world where too many people have access to computers and I suspect that large language models which currently try to become coherent by identifying all the patterns in the internet and then in the limit becoming coherent it might also be possible to use a system that doesn't use many more resources than our own brain and can only read as fast as we can but it's able to perceive camera Builders of pictures in real time and self organize accordingly right maybe that's possible to do with a much smaller computer maybe you don't need an entire server form for doing it maybe it's something that you can build in your living room for $20,000 so if you um make a moratorium on training large language models and only allow this very few companies that have FDA approval to do this or something like that right it would still not limit individuals from making their own experiments and I don't see a world in where we can Outlaw processing gpus it might be possible to Outlaw processing large server Farms but I think that individual gpus might be sufficient to get to something that is at the level of a cat or some I don't know this I I'm just speculating here but my sense is our algorithms are currently not optimal human brains are much more sample efficient and make stuff happen with very fewer resources than our computers right now yeah so along those lines what have you learned in building artificial cognition what have you learned about the way that we can train our own minds I think for the most part a i researchers learned what didn't work there was a lot of optimism in the beginning and the 50s that within a few years we would be able to build software systems that are able to write their own code and then we learned that it's very difficult to describe the world in grammatical language like a programming language is ultimately grammatical language and this is similar to what wienstein discovered before as a philosopher that he he can conceive of a logical language that looks like English and that is General enough to describe all philosophical problems but then he realized the real world with perceptual objects in it cannot be realized in such a grammatical language and the solution to this was automatic function approximation that we discovered in the context of deep learning so by combining deep learning with the ability to reason in the abstract by building letting deep learning converge towards models that can reason about their own structure this seems to be um the course in which you get more and more intelligent agency this is one of the things that I think AI has learned what's not clear yet at this point is is the Transformer or some of its derivatives the correct solution so do we get to intelligence by predicting the next token or do we get to intelligence by having a self-organizing system that is processing information while being coupled with the world it goes into resonance with it and this is uh the self-organizing dynamical systems approach is something that has coexisted with many of the other streams in Ai and deep learning is also by no means the only stream in AI it's an offshoot of machine learning a particular type of neural networks that people got to work and then we're able to scale up it's just one tradition with an AI that is currently so successful we don't know the limits of this tradition we don't know limits of deep learning we don't know whether it's going to run into some kind of plateau or whether we just need to met a loss function and then it's all going to work out one of the things that I found really interesting um in AI that became a really powerful metaphor for me thinking about my own life is the way that um creating generations of uh attempts I'm I'm not sure what the method exactly is called but they would create uh a game to play like attack or uh breakthrough breakthrough was a game I saw play and it would just like it's a old Atari game and it would just jerk the the um paddle basically around side to side and oh it once hit the ball and it was like oh that hit the brick and that did something and then very quickly it would find the most efficient path to get the ball up top and start breaking the uh the top of the map which because the ball is trapped you get a lot of points and a very little time and what I found interesting was that it was just samples right it wasn't like it felt badly about itself for trying and missing the ball or whatever it just was like I tried that and it got this result I tried this I got that result and um all of that led to me conceptualizing something as as I think through it it's really just a scientific method but at the time I was felt like I was really discovering it which was a sense what I call the physics of progress that there just is a nature to getting good at something that AI seems to really showcase and I'm curious you talked earlier about wanting your kids to be independent thinkers I've heard you talk about yourself and as a kid you discovered that you didn't think the same way as a lot of people and learning that that's actually advantageous and could be very helpful um so I'm curious how did you develop that ability to think independently um do you think of yourself do you draw parallels in the way that I do with AI to how I can train my own mental model of thinking instead of it as a failure I think of it as a sample or an attempt um how do you create a mental model that allows you to be independent in an independent thinker in a world where most people can form so uh first of all I don't oppose to conformance if my children were to find a group that they can conform to good on them I um very vary of Cults and ideologies because I think that they deliberately manipulatively cut you off from the rest of the human thought space so basically I don't like ideas that create belief attractors that make it impossible for you to examine other ideas and alternatives to them this this seems to be an immoral pattern to me but uh apart from that the reason why I think independently is because I was cursed with it I was basically born like this as somebody who's very stubborn and is unable to accept the ideas of my environment and mostly because subjectively I didn't have the impression that the people around me knew better and this was quite logical to me I grew up in an artist family my parents mostly left me alone grew up in the forest and when I came into school at the age of six I had read a lot of books already and uh the school was a Village School in communist Eastern Germany and the ideas that they explained to me how mathematics works or didn't make sense the mathematics teacher did not have a very good understanding of how mathematics works and what it actually is and the um social science teacher didn't have a very good idea about her Society works at least none of their ideas made sense to me that uh and the society that are saw around me did not seem to be working according to the rules that we learned in school that this model that we learned in socialism in Eastern Germany was very aspirational but it obviously did not describe how people actually interacted so I felt that I was very Justified as a child when I didn't believe my teachers and I only noticed this when I looked at my own um children and then was distance at my own uh parents uh that this Independence is something that seems to run in the family and it let particular family to charting out their own course this is the reason why my father became an artist and separated himself from society and I felt I had to go back into society because the things that interest me require me to cooperate with others and so I had to go out and learn how to interact with others and how to form shared opinions with them through reasoning and forming friendships but it's something that was didn't come natural to me it had something I had to learn so in my own perception I would say it's the decision of a mind whether you get influenced by your environment and most Minds have a strong prior towards getting influenced but this prayer can also be absent so you also find some Minds that uh don't expect that the ideas that they get from the environment are on average true so are you um building your belief system on first principles how how do you begin that process so you don't strike me as somebody who is blindly stubborn you strike me as somebody who understands your mind as a predictive model and is trying to improve the predictive capabilities of your mind um so how have you done that I basically I noticed that I was failing and I noticed that my ideas of not very good and that I I realized that other people in many circumstances have better ideas than me and when this was not my teachers that didn't mean that nobody else did but somebody did and what I was usually interested in is what is their thought process what leads them to thinking what they think and for those areas where I'm unable to understand the thought process I basically don't have a very strong opinion so uh I basically look at this stuff and I take the consensus that they might have as a euristic that uh I try to justify by what their Community looks like to me whether this is a community that is epistemologically clean whether the people are rational whether they're incentivized to say the truth to each other whether they're reasonably smart and well educated and so on and critical thinkers and then that is the case I assume that they probably know much much better about this than me because of course a lot of people in every field are much smarter than me including my own and so I have to learn from others but when I learn I typically try to find people that I have a sense that they actually no better than me and I try to test this so basically when we talk to each other we perform touring tests on each other we try to see are you actually intelligent or are you just mimicking a pattern are you actually bullshitting me at the high level at the level that is uh mimicking your education which may also have been I'm so curious how do you do that a lot of people are not able to change their opinions when you bring them an argument so for instance I I found that I value those philosophy teachers that when you objected to their position would sincerely engage with the position and would ask me for for instance for references for an idea right so for instance I remember that I had a discussion with this um psychology Professor who did not believe that lucid dreaming is possible and uh she was also not willing to uh look at case reports or literature that describes lucid dreaming because she was completely convinced that it was impossible and there was no need for her to go to go further and I also had the strong impression that she was not interested in looking at it because it might get her into disagreements with her colleagues the way there was a set of permissible interesting ideas and methods that she would be willing to use and she would not be willing to go beyond this because that would make her feel very uncomfortable and insecure it's also something that I noticed with respect to the study of Consciousness I find that a lot of people in even in neuroscience and in AI have difficulty to understand how physical Universe can produce mental States and this uh conviction is strong or this doubt is so strong that they're actually dualists yet their Sciences are not dualists so it's prescribed by their sciences that uh everything emerges over physical interaction right and you can only see the control grve when you give people a theory like IIT that cannot actually work in physics because it leads into contradictions what's IIT integrated information Theory it's a a famous Theory Of Consciousness that has some following in um especially in philosophy but also Max techark has um subscribed to it to to a version of it I don't think that he is very deep into the core and the idea of IIT is that Consciousness has to be explained through uh the integration of information it's a pretty good idea because in our neocortex information gets integrated Every Which Way and so he trade to come up tononi Julio tononi is a sleep scientist who is very and understanding Consciousness and has developed the theory together with some assistants in his team and uh now has created a community around it and he believes that a normal computer as we use it a Forman machine can never be conscious because its information is only locally processed in a linear way so in principle it will never be able to achieve this level of integration which he measures using a parameter F that would be required for Consciousness but he is willing to grant that by biomorphic computer one that is still digital in some sense and made from Silicon but is very distributed um could be if it's built in the right way and under the right circumstances could be conscious however uh computer scientists know that there is a principle called The Church touring thesis which means you can emulate one computer on another computer so you can write an emulator on a Forman computer that is on your laptop for instance that is going to simulate your morphic computer and it's going to behave exactly the same way the simulation is going to be exactly the same that's the idea of the church during thesis you just if you can express something only as Cal structure no matter whether it's distributed or whatever you can translate this Cal structure into different programing languages and it on arbitrary computers as long as they don't run out of memory it's going to produce the same behavior let me slower depending on how fast your computer is but the function is going to be the same does that mean that if if that's true that Consciousness either dualism is real or Consciousness can arise from uh computer structured in the right way not even structured in the right way if it's a computer the thing is that dualism doesn't fck I agree I dualism to me is crazy I do not under even understand people that go down that path seems absurd but I'm just trying to understand if what you're saying means that either Consciousness will arise from a computer or dualism is real that that seems to be the only two options if what you just said is true so the thing with with this biomorphic computer it says I experience things that cannot be explained to M computation therefore I'm conscious right or uh it can only be explained maybe through IIT because I have this integrated information implemented on me but I experience this thing and therefore I conscious but the Forman computer that emulates the um this other computer will say exactly the same thing for the same reasons right only now it's lying because it cannot actually be conscious which means that the biomorphic computer didn't say conscious that it's conscious because it is conscious but because it's just programmed to say it right so Consciousness is actually an epiphenomenon it's not actually causing somebody to say that they're conscious which is also not for tononi wants tononi doesn't deny the churing thesis so he accepts the fact that you can emulate one computer on the other but you would expect that to stop being conscious but this means that in the other one can also not have been conscious so it would be an epen which he also doesn't want to this leads to a contradiction in IIT that cannot be repaired I have to give up the notion that the degree of distributed in which the algorithm is implemented in physics has anything to do with Consciousness right what he's saying is basically Consciousness is caused by this algorithm being distributed in a particular way if we change the way in which we arranged chip in space it's going to change the degree to which Consciousness emerges in the system and uh this theory is wrong if you repair this Theory you are stuck with global workpace Theory or some version of it so IIT itself is a theory that is a logical problem in it and when people believe in it I think that they either don't understand it or they don't think very deeply about what Consciousness actually is right and the issue with dualism doesn't work if you think about it you want Consciousness to be caely relevant for you saying that you're are conscious right if you say your conscious should somehow cly relate to your ownc conscious States it should not just be an automatic reaction of your body that exists regardless of whether you're conscious or not right so something of your Consciousness must be able to change bits in the physical universe so your mouse is moving and producing the right speech patterns right and uh something behind this must uh produce a physical mechanism that is p pushing those bits around those parts of reality and so on and so on at no point is there some kind of a physical causation at no point is it possible that something causes things to move in the physical universe that are not themselves physical because that's how physics is defined right if we find some unknown Force we can measure and quantify it and explain under which condition it emerges and we have a pretty complete zoo of the forces that influence everything in our observable universe at the energies and time frames in which we see uh consciousness to play out but the standard model is predicting everything that happens in physics at the scale of our brain pretty well so there is no missing link that we can see that would allow the particles in our universe to move magically around that could preteer them and thereby violating information conservation in physics right physics is causality conserving in a way everything happens for reasons everything else is just random fluctuations and uh so there is the question could random fluctuations lead to um the emergence of conscious structure and the last one I saw advancing this hypothesis was poer together with echles in the book itself and its brain the last attempt that I have seen to justify dualism and most uh people believe that it didn't succeed I think it's a very respectable attempt but you don't get structure from uh random fluctuations if the fluctuations are structured enough to produce um order and activity in the universe that you can see then um they should be measurable and so they should be visible to physicist now let me ask you because I I think I understand this but for people that are familiar with your work they may be asking themselves a question you have said before that Consciousness must be simulated it it cannot exist in physical reality it can only exist within the simulation um I think I understand why what you just said does not contradict that but I'd love for you to elaborate on that yeah so when I look at individual cells and at the interaction between the cells there are molecular machines and everything in the cell is just molecules bouncing off each other and uh the patterns of activation between your neurons are also just physical events that you see playing out and so at this level in this physical reality there can be no consciousness but what they these patterns can produce is Cal representational structure that make makes the system behave as if there was somebody at home as if a person exists that cares as if there was an observer that is making sense of reality in real time and it can create a model of that what would that look like if it existed and then it can use all the activations that this model produces to read and understand the contexts of this model and interpret them in the same way as we understand what the book is signifying to us right we don't care about every fiber in this book and every uh uh pigmentation on the every fiber but we care about whether we can recognize characters and within these characters words and with these words sentences and then we can use these representations to generate thoughts in our own mind and these thoughts can cause our actions and if you your brain is the machine that is able to interpret its own patterns of activations and part of them as a model of a person that exists in a model of a dynamic world and cares about things and therefore does things then uh and then drives the behavior of the organism using this model then you observe exactly what you're currently observing including a person that experiences itself having thoughts okay so saying that another way you've got the brain and you've got the mind a dualist would say that the Mind survives the death of the body and so even when you literally die uh you as you know yourself could go on and have some other kind of experience people will often talk about quantum entanglement which makes me want to punch through something but what you're saying is that they are separate in that the brain creates the mind the mind is the simulation so it isn't the fibers of the book it's the ideas contained in the words and the sentences uh but if you destroy the brain you're going to destroy the mind they they are causally linked to one another did I get all that correct yes I think that seems to be imp L the case if uh you are able to move outside of your brain at the point of your death uh that would probably require that there is a compatible substrate around you in which you could move right in which you could entangle yourself not via quantum mechanics necessarily but where the same physical channels by which neurons entangle themselves to each other there could be some variance in these patterns maybe it's possible to use empathetic resonance to move uh into uh these partially ideas into another person right as you in the example of the Seance that you gave before or when you think about perceptual empathy and perceptual empathy doesn't just work by making inferences over a person's mental state based on what they have said and how you par their facial expression but it means that you establish a bidirectional feedback loop with this person using all available perceptual channels also those that you don't consciously control and possibly also your body and you use all the information go to Resonance with the other and as a result because your substrates are in resonance your mental States also get in resonance which means that there's a semantic interaction due to the physical interaction between you right so you can have shared mental States and the point of empathy is that you can have experiences emotions and so on together that you could not have alone right so in this sense you could say that perceptual empathy is something like primitive telepathy and there are some people that say telepathy or this also works when you don't look into the face of a person but stare at their back some people feel that uh swear that if you stare at their back they can sometimes sense it right if that was the case they don't have eyes in their back uh they would need to have some other channel of resonance maybe they react to waves of sound in the air or electromagnetism or whatever I have no idea what this would be but I doubt that you would need to extend physics to make that conceivable because all the cells on your body can process information they can integrate over the information that neighbors give them it's just much slower than this neurons so in principle if you just integrate over trillions of cells you probably can get a sense of for small electromagnetic changes in your environment who knows if that's possible to use this to synchronized mental states to some degree uh but to be able to understand how you work so well that you can basically float out of your body and into other people or into ecosystems is probably something that most of us will not be able to do so I suspect that most of us will not be able to turn into ghosts after we die but a ghost would have to be something that is somehow discovering a kind of biological internet something like an shared information processing Network between all organisms on the planet and then populate this and move out from your brain but I would still expect that your brain is a much much better substrate because it's optimized for running you and you would lose most of your memories when you did so and you would probably fall apart yeah that to me is the kill shot yeah yes right so in some sense you are an agent that is using some kind of Dawn coration Dawn cation is a very puzzling Concept in philosophy right for instance money doesn't actually exist money is only a certain way to talk about little paper slips or abstractions of those paper slips and in in some sense it only exists as if it's it's some kind of software phenomena when you think about it right and uh when you think of the software in your computer the software and computer is similar to this it does not actually have a body it's just a pattern in the activity of the transistors you can ignore the software level if you want to understand the computer you can just look at how the currents flow through your transistors and only look at that the physical system and you will not miss anything it's just much harder to describe because it's impossible to to compress this model so well because it depends on very individual transistors what they're doing whereas the software is able to abstract over many of the transistors right in the same way you could say that you could also abstract from money if you only look at the activations of the brains of people who exchange money versus each other yet the this abstract concept of money is able to have causal power in the world it's an emergent pattern that then changes how the physical Universe behaves and the software is an emergent pattern that behaves how your physical computer is behaving right and it's because it's a model that is designed in such a way that allows us to reason about those changes it's a course graining of reality what is your guess about what intuition is so going back to this idea of electromagnetic waves uh that people are possibly picking up on a lot of people talk about intuition in a Mystic sense um I've heard you talk about it in a far more grounded sense so I'm curious how do you describe intuition intuition is the uh all the senses that you cannot consciously reflect for the most part that's basically all the Black Box new networks that exist in your brain and in your mind that are assessing reality at every moment in your service and that generate stuff for you but you're unable to examine how you get to those results and uh so it's going to use all the perceptual channels that you have available also those that you're not consciously aware of because you're unable to reflect how the particular mechanisms are working yet imagine that you are a baby and the baby has not really discovered that sense of smell because it has not reflected on it enough to discover that's an independent modality right the sense of smell would still work and there would be some kind of awareness of oh this uh is in very unusual smell and maybe the baby would feel very uneasy but uh before it has reversed engineer itself to such degree that it's able to tell the modalities AP part it would not be able to say that it smelled that right in this sense intuition is the part of your mind that you don't understand or don't understand yet but still something that you're ultimately training yes I think that intuition can be wrong right it's not some access to some secret back door of how the universe actually works but rather it's uh your access to a deeper level of understanding than your rational mind your rational thinking is usually too brittle to understand everything in the world so a lot of those things that you are have has have to deal with are part things that you're able to perceive but don't understand what you're perceiving how you're perceiving it and what it means means when you say irrationality is too brittle what do you mean it means that you are translating the world into rules where you have a hope to prove them that you basically build decision trees over everything and when we are working in science we very often try to translate everything into such decision trees into conceptual structures every concept means something and can be tested but if we uh believe that this decision tree is actually displaying reality we are going to miss a lot of phenomena like psychologists that ignore not only Los the dreams but Consciousness itself right for a lot of psychologists I noticed that Consciousness itself is an unscientific almost superstitious notion it is outside of what they consider to be science probably doesn't even exist who knows right I have this privately but uh I'm just just me and as this H mind that I'm part of that is exchanging all these rational ideas we cannot introduce it in this because our methods and tools and words and concepts are not suitable to deal with it and this is what I mean by the rational mind it basically means that you create ideas that you can reason about and sometimes when you are a rationalist especially the modern day rationalist you believe in those thoughts very literally and a normal person will not believe most of their thoughts very literally they still have a gut feeling and they will often when they have a contradiction between their gut feeling and their rational thoughts they will present their gut with the r thoughts and then the gut says no and then I follow the gut how do you update your model with something that you believe is true so for me I the way I always explain to people what is true because honestly truth is is admittedly slippery but I have a wildly allergic reaction to postmodernists who believe that basically nothing is true and everything is up for grabs uh so the way that I anchor myself is around going back to the idea of prediction so uh my my brain is making a prediction I think that if I do this thing I will get this result so I do that thing and if I get that result I know I'm close to ground truth if I don't do that thing or if I do that thing and I don't get that result then I'm like okay something is off in my prediction engine I must be farther away from ground truth than I thought I was and I retry retry retry until I'm able to align my prediction with when I do that action I actually get the intended result um is that a similar method that you use do you look at this in some other way how can people update their mental models to get more accurate over time I found it TS if you don't identify with your beliefs if you think that you are the person who has these amazing beliefs then it becomes very expensive to change these beliefs so in this sense belief should not be a verb there is not a relationship between what you believe and uh yourself but you should uh just be somebody that who examines these beliefs and is able to drop them and they're not very good but you should not feel bad about yourself when you do do this and uh I think it's also a good idea to not identify with groups who identified with shared beliefs because that also makes it very hard for you to to change your beliefs when they're not very good beliefs instead it might be a better idea to choose groups that uh identify with finding better beliefs rather than with a certain set of beliefs and with methods for doing this or with the commitment to finding the best best possible methods and talking about this and exchanging arguments and then changing their minds based on arguments so uh I don't know if you know Nim TB he wrote the book antifragile talk about systems that aren't resilient which are still defined by their breaking point but they are instead antifragile so the more you attack them the stronger they become and I learned very early in my entrepreneurial career that I needed an identity that to your point did not fall into those traps of identifying with my belief system or identifying with a group of people or identifying with a project that I had put forward and said hey this is going to work I had to because all of those are fragile because you can be wrong you can look stupid you can try something it can fail and if those are all things you have a negative emotional reaction to you're never going to succeed you just will not be able to going back to the physics of progress you're not going to be able to try enough things you're just going to get your head knocked off internally because you feel so badly about yourself so what I realized was okay I need an antifragile identity and the only thing I can think of and so if you have something better definitely let me know the only thing I could think of was to identify as the learner the thing I do the thing I value myself for is being willing to stare nakedly at where I'm wrong and that I'm the thing I value myself for is recognizing that and adjusting and adopting a new belief that gets me closer to being able to predict the outcome of my actions I found that people that only focus on this don't get anything done if you only focus on optimizing your models rather than making bets on your models you're not going to deploy you're only going to Second GA yourself and build meta and Meta Meta models and this is not going to end right there are people who are addicted to understanding but not doing and I think we need the proper balance between exploration and exploitation which is concept for machine learning that basic for some degree of your uh for some portion of your Cycles you need to spend them on uh learning and other portion of your Cycles you need to focus on doing and actually doing things and so when you look at a cat the cat is setting away couple hours every day for playing maybe more than their kittens and uh other times the cat is going to deploy its abilities to hunt in Earnest or doing things in Earnest and in between it's going to rest and uh what the right balance is depends on the environment and what part of the environment you want to settle so you have to figure this out but I do believe that it makes sense for instance if you build a startup to uh risk identifying with something that fails because startups can only win because they are fragile right uh a large corporation like Intel or Google is anti fragile because it has fullbacks and plan BS for everything if you are a start up you are like a mosquito this metaphor is not for me but I think it's very beautiful that it's only doing one thing right because it's doing that it can win against the elephant and uh if it was behaving like the elephant while being a mosquito it would have no chance of winning right so this thing that you try one idea very very hard as well as you can for a couple years and then see if it works and of course you keep your mind changing and You observe as well as you can you navigate and steer as much as you can maybe you even have to Pivot and so on yes of course but you do believe in what you're doing if you want to do a startup and succeed in it and this also sometimes means that you have to find people to support you in this or you have an idea and you want somebody to run a startup so you fund somebody with this idea to uh to see if it works and as the one who funds it you are willing to accept that maybe 80% of the ideas that your funding are going to fail right but this also means somebody has to be willing to fail and the willingness to fail is also an important part of succeeding and so anti fragility is mostly focused on not failing and uh as a society as a family and so on you don't want to fail you don't want to fail where you cannot risk failure but sometimes you need to do and sometimes uh creating an environment where you can risk failure is necessary for success I think you're bang on about the need uh to have a massive bias towards action especially if you're going to be an entrepreneur the idea for me behind being a learner is one you learn by failing so that you should be out there trying and doing but the idea behind being antifragile because I would say that a corporation is definitely not antifragile a corpor operation is robust uh meaning that their breaking point is very difficult to get them to that breaking point because they are the elephant but ultimately they're still defined by what will destroy them something that's antifragile take the immune system it it's worse if it doesn't get under assault like if you put somebody in a bubble and they never encounter germs and then you release them into the wild they're they're going to get devastated I mean it's exactly how the Americas were conquered you bring small pox and everybody dies and hey look at how easy conquering was so that is an immune system that wasn't exposed to that thing so you want to put yourself in a position of hardship of trying things of constantly risking failure I mean look in a business you have to balance it but I'm curious how do you as somebody that is unafraid to take these big swings is constantly updating your mental models how do you balance that execution or exploitation I think you called it and play so that you you get the balance right you're learning new things you're not paral by indecision uh there are two ways you could uh try to calibrate this by learning so basically you choose a course of action and in this course of action you uh can make experiments and see how much do you need to learn and how much do you need to do I often find that uh you should much more um focus on doing than our educational system makes us think we should I also think that agree with you that most of the learning you get is by doing not necessarily by failure but by trying to get things to work because if you have a good sense of what things might work very often you're going to figure out how to get it to work and so you basically become a better engineer and better maker and if you feel that uh you're really not good at deploying and making maybe you should become a teacher and uh work in a system that is mostly uh existing in ideas and words right or you could become an author or a writer and uh I think there are many useful people who do not actually do something but only critique existing things when you talk about post modernism that is a system in which you basically only have performers and critics that uh don't need to interact with the ground tools anymore so when a system becomes too big to fail the incentives in that system are going to change the administration in a system that is too big to fail is not going to have to fix the ground tools to keep the system alive instead it's going to have to stay in power against uh other people who might want to have that same power right and so in the postmodernist world you only try to satisfy the critics it's interesting that physicists are not postmodernist right this principle of Relativity and so on does not actually inspire actual postmodernism and uh postmodernism exists in the social sciences and it never exists to for the people to doubt what they think it mostly exists to dismiss the arguments and doubts of of others it gives you the freedom to dismiss arguments that uh say that they are inspired by the ground Truth by saying well no this is just your story so I think that postmodernism is ultimately instrumental to reaching very concrete goals that somebody might have in an environment in which you do not interact by the ground TOS by doing things but where your ground TOS is the social one where everything that you do has to do with your social success in this environment and so you create a story that facilitates to success that's interesting do you think that plays into what you were talking about earlier where a lot of these disciplines have stalled out I know you're not a physicist but even physics is has seemed to uh run ground I know Eric Weinstein reasonably well that's something he talks a lot about I am certainly not a physicist but it's hard to argue that we haven't had a lot of the breakthroughs post Einstein that um certainly people in the physics Community probably would have predicted that we would have by now do you have a sense is is that us speaking to the critics and not dealing with ground truth is it something else have we just run out of intellect like what where do you think we've hit a wall here there are a lot of arguments that physics has changed after it became much more beholden to peer review right at the moment we think of science mostly in terms of uh peer reviewed Publications and maybe this is an artifact of the present time I don't think that this notion of peer reviews played a very important role before the 1960s in most Fields this idea of normal science that came up with is something that emerged at the time when next door tomsky was inventing Linguistics and Minsky was inventing AI but there was no normal science right in some sense this was also a modernist idea that you could create this perspective on a science that is only following existing paradigms and became normative uh only much later that this is the way science should be doing that we follow established rules and paradigms and only very rarely question them I think it might have to do with also the incentives that our governments are under our societies largely work the way they do we don't need to build a new one we don't know how to build a new one so maybe what we should be doing right now is just to work within the existing paradigms and if there is no government that forces the universities into becoming mod again and to explore new paradigms and I think it's the natural course of them to basically allocate the funding based on the paradigms that are already successful because the people who allocate the funding themselves are those people that's the Bleak perspective and I think that Eric is very partial to it because he had very bad experiences with peer review he has some ideas on how foundational physics should be done that other physicists ignore but uh there and there's also the question should physicist integrate him better and or is this his own fault why was he not successful in establishing himself as a physicist within the institutions I am unable to judge whether this is the fault of the institutions or not and observe there are some physicists in the institutions like Carlo Ry that busy are willing to transcend at work across paradigms and so on maybe they're just better at the politics of these institutions and can deal better with them and I think that they make incremental progress but it could be that progress is also stalling out because we get to the limits what people can understand imagine that in the future AIS will have no difficulty to solve foundational physics in a day in the same way as Alpha zero can solve go in a day uh maybe they want to get drunk at some point and have fun so they get so drunk that they can only integrate models over 12 layers and then the universe looks as confusing as it looks to human physicists maybe there is a limit to what our small puny human brains can do and the limit to how far we can scale this up using human organizations maybe we need AI to go beyond a certain level of understanding maybe that's the issue that's certainly very plausible as as somebody currently trapped in a human body though I cannot help but ask are there ways that you know of to shock ourselves out of the limitations that we inevitably put on ourselves with the Matrix that we live in so going back to this idea that we all create a um what I call a frame of reference which you could very easily call the internal simulation the simulation as far as I can tell is uh built on cultural beliefs personal beliefs value systems your intellect quite frankly to your point um but are there ways to step outside of that so Einstein famously said that imagination was more important than knowledge um but is there a way to step outside psychedelics um meditation like are there ways to break free of the chains that bind well if you're very rich uh and you have put your money into the bank or the hands of some financial advisers makes you feel very safe or alternatively if you don't have children and don't need to take care of them um then uh you can uh de whatever you want right I mean in principle you can always do whatever you want but then you might have the consequences that you cannot send your kids uh to college but is that what I'm trying to get to is will it allow you to have a breakthrough to have a breakthrough you need to be willing to take risks and uh willing to take risks means that you should be in a position where you can allow yourself to fail at uh at the moment most of the projects that exist are built around not the possibility of failure but of a way to succeed still and so when you start a company you usually try to get funding that allows you to um pay yourself while you to this company and if you fail then everybody has made the wrong bet uh if you win you give up a part of your company in Return of somebody else having funded the safety that you had for the opportunity to fail right this is one way of doing it or maybe you have savings like Elon Musk did after he did PayPal and then you can put all your savings into this project and risk everything to see if it works and uh in this way get your project off the ground but I think that if you want to make progress Beyond what's currently existing usually you need to take risks because otherwise uh you can just wait for some for the existing processes to converge on that thing and so the willingness to take risk I think is the absolutely crucial thing and the question is what can you do in your own life to allow yourself taking risks so which risks can you actually take and I guess that in many circumstances we're not taking enough risks because we are afraid and if these fear are irrational uh because there might be for instance not based on experience that we actually try it what it is like if you lose uh your house maybe you can totally deal with losing your house maybe it's not so bad maybe you can just rent and do the next thing and then buy another house at some point right or can you uh mortgage your house for your company or for your idea that you want to pursue or can you risk not making a profitable career and finding a 10year job in Academia and instead stay with your weird project or understanding Consciousness right are you willing to take that risk that this fails so I think we need to take reasonable risk don't risk your friends at least not the good ones those that you actually have reason to trust and that trust you never disappoint TR of people of others in you if this is the trust that you have properly negotiated and uh I think this network is very very important for being able to take the risk that we need to take to make progress so in your field of expertise in AI what risk would you like to see people take what what should what is an argument that people are not challenging seriously that they ought to be I think that uh when you are a very large company like Google you have to not work on the things that you expect to work but you also have to put resources and do understand the things that might possibly work and could be very valuable if they do and large companies do this they for run startup incubators or they give people 20% time projects things like this um if you are uh a Academia I think you also need to find a balance where you give people who are smart and have the intention to build something where they're willing to risk their personal career and that thing is valuable give them the space for doing that to some degree right this must exist and arguably I think currently in Academia it doesn't exist enough to a very large part is a scientist is somebody who applies established methods and plays it safe it's very hard to get tenure so you need to have a track record of successful Publications to get grants you need to have uh successful Grant proposals in the past and so on so there's a similarity between this but on the other hand I also think it's okay that most people don't take risks society and families and relationships mostly work because we don't take risks all the time but we do the thing that we have a very good reason to expect to work and mostly I think that's good not everything that we do needs to make progress this is just at the boundaries so the this boundary thing is what excites us but we find interesting it's what you can tell stories about but if you are interested in how to get life to work it's not so much important that you have an amazing story to tell about your life I've tried Adventure all my life and uh it's not pleasant I see it more like an Affliction and uh there are people who are like this right so if you look at taleb and some sense taleb is like John McAfee he's an adventurer and uh these days are not suitable for adventuring there are many uh jobs for people who do engineering and uh do Administration and so on very few jobs for Francis Drake who becomes a pirate and tries to explore the world and Conquer new lands or discover new lands or whatever right this doesn't exist and so you either do this like John McAfee and you get trouble with the IRS and eventually uh very bad things happen to you and you have to be on the run run for most of your life and uh keep yourself alive being a scoundrel and doing crypto or you are like talb and uh when you are like talb you uh make a very few a few very very good deals and you are safe financially and uh you spend your adventures by being angry on people on the internet and eating eating fish ink uh Squid Ink spaghetti and uh uh writing very bold books right and this these are some of the Avenues that you can take when you're an adventurer and you can also try to to do a startup but when you do a startup you have responsibility for the people that work for you in the startup right so there is a limit to the risk that you can take you have responsibility to your investors and so on and so there is a limit to the adventuring that you can do in the present time because in the past adventuring meant that you could actually fail that you could actually be killed that you could actually be murdered by strangers and uh all your uh Adventures would not come to pass so when you settle in your lens this is the risk that you're taking and you typically take this risk because you're actually already in danger because you cannot live at home or because you're somebody who really really doesn't fit in and if you really really don't fit in I think you have no choice but to become the adventurer and to try to figure out how this everything gets to work but um for most people that's not an advisable course of action now if somebody were willing to do that what is an idea within AI you'd like to see them explore that's likely to fail but if it worked it would really be something so I I think that all the important ideas in AI have not worked so far the uh neural network trained with something like the transformer is the first idea that basically works at scale that gives you something that is very close to Universal function approxim met it might not be optimal but it is very very powerful and we don't know the limits of this idea so I think it's very reasonable if you do a startup uh to to use the stuff that is currently working and where we don't see the boundaries of of what can be done with it right building an AI system that is made of multiple llms is probably um one of the most promising way to overcome limitations of llms or to teach a neural network to use a computer ultrapress system or to use a game engine or to use other tools or to write its own tools and integrate with them or to extend tools all this stuff is what you can do use the existing paradigms for and have a very high likelihood of succeeding building at least something interesting but um what I find very interesting is self-organizing AI for instance imagine that you want to build an AI that is actually empathetic that can do perceptual empathy that can change your mental state by going into resonance with you that I think is would be super exciting but it might require that it's sampling You by looking at camera images and all sorts of sensors at the same frequency as your nervous system or multiple of it and it should synchronize its representations or the update frequency of its representations to your own and then our nervous system that's flexible right our nervous system is not always working at the same frequency but it's changing there's an arrangement of different modules that work at different frequencies and interplay with each other in our mind and body so if you are able to attune yourself to this and create feedback to people in this way that would be super interesting so getting something to work that works in real time by being coupled with the environment and then actually being coupled with people would be super interesting thing to explore right and it may or may not lead to better believable avatars and it might lead to automatic psychologist and it might lead to tools that read your thoughts and allow you to basically co- think with the computer so you imagine things and very little input of you with your mouse they form on the screen and much deeper and richer than you could achieve them by using your mouse and keyboard yeah that to me is really exciting so um I assume you know nothing about my background but we're building a uh what I hope will eventually be the first steps into a true Ready Player one and we want AI to make up over time obviously it's not there yet but over time to make up the MPCs so that you can actually have individual relationships with those characters I think a lot about that and uh making those relationships rewarding and enriching would be incredible and so we've got a thing again for people that know what we're building this will take time um but we have an idea for an interaction point with AI that would grow more um intimate and useful over time that I think would really be exciting you see sort of the beginning edge of this with replica I don't know how if you've paid close attention to that uh it got a little controversial as they sort of went sexbot uh with it but um it's a very interesting idea in terms of something that's establishing an ongoing relationship with you has memory changes over time the relationship actually deepens and evolves I think that's going to get pretty interesting in a world where we have ai that can pass the touring test and so for me the thought of spending some portion of my time in a known simulation where the characters are as real to me as people that I know in real life uh that would be pretty extraordinary for a lot of people that's exciting because it's not like the people that I meet in real life I think the people that are most drawn to such applications are people who don't have working relationships in real life so I think that such systems will become Prosthetics that uh replace your need for relationships by something that does not actually require you to interact with other people if you're unable to find a boyfriend or girlfriend and build a family withd them and you give up on this then having an AI uh girlfriend that can also be a sex spot uh can be looking like the better alternative right and it's very painful to consider this idea I've been contacted by people who said can't you build something like this like the perfect catg girl that could be my girlfriend because I've given up on this it's it's not going to happen for me in this life and I think that it might be more interesting to build a coach something that is both your assistant and your adviser and bouncing board that in a safe way allows you to explore possibilities of human interaction and allows you to extend your social abilities by training and by augmenting them in such a way that you can find the relationships that you want in this world and have actual agency again and instead of a system that is basically helping you to deal with the fact that you have none and I think such systems can start out as girlfriends as long as they're honest as long as they're saying this is exactly how I am this is how I work this is my purpose are you okay with this and let's go on this journey together basically Building Systems that can be assistance of people to get around better with the world and actually serve their own purposes rather than helping them to deal with the fact that they cannot find a purpose that uh to me seems to be the more course to go man I'm with you on that one this has been amazing yosha where can people follow you at the moment mostly on Twitter that's the easiest way uh also uh if you are interested in seeing other podcasts uh for instance um like freedman's podcast and many others can look on YouTube on my channel basically have collection of all the appearances on different podcasts that I had at some point I know that I have to probably write a book but uh it's still somewhat conflicting with my everyday duties with my family but um to be getting there I love it awesome dude thank you again for coming on everybody at home if you have not already be sure to subscribe and until next time my friends be legendary take care peace if you enjoyed this episode check out this deep convers ation with Donald Hoffman about reality and Consciousness what we are are avatars of the one the one awareness is exploring all of its possibilities through different avatars so somehow there is this field of awareness that is