Transcript
DXu1xP1j1CU • Why America Faces Its Most Dangerous Moment Yet! The Doomsday Clock Explained | Tom Bilyeu Show
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Kind: captions Language: en the bulletin of atomic scientists moved the Doomsday Clock closer to midnight than ever before deep seek tries to Gaslight users Trump forc fed deportees back to Colombia by threatening president Petro with a tariff stick people say foreign gangs are trying to destabilize America and Elon has a wild solution for how to stop it air travel goes supersonic for the first time in decades proving Innovation isn't dead but Whos are getting attacked on the streets of LA it is another busy day in a world of transition Drew welcome to the Future it's here it's amazing but there are some challenges yeah 89 seconds man I feel like I'm I'm on the clock I got to speed some things up there a lot happen seconds to midnight for people that don't know the Doomsday Clock I was just about to say give us that breakdown I know about the Oppenheimer days of it but in 2025 bring us up to speed where are we at right now with it yeah so uh when we made nuclear weapons the bulletin of atomic scientists was born and they decided to track how close we were to self Anil uh it's gotten a lot broader in recent years before it really was just nailed down to that How likely are we to um experience nuclear Armageddon uh they had a whole announcement press conference where they were talking about it uh and they listed out a bunch of the different things that they think are the things pushing us closer to midnight again than ever before uh and they were um uh global warming or climate change I forget the word that they used uh misinformation which I thought was a little bit crazy that felt a little political uh but we put down a whole list what were all the things pulling out of the Paris climate agreement withdrawing from the wh and AI was also mentioned as well as the nuclear war threat still yeah but that was the last thing that they listed which I thought was very you should have start with that one but yeah yeah so well it's uh is nuclear the biggest threat that we face right now so Eric Weinstein who a longtime listeners of this show will know I have just un ending amounts of respect for still thinks that that is the threat people are not paying attention to at one point he said do we have to start testing these things out in the open air again so that people see just how devastating they are uh to get people scared of them again uh so I don't want to dismiss that because it just has sort of low PR value but may still be the thing that we have to worry about the most um but seeing climate change and misinformation be at the top of their lips did not feel like the right way to prioritize the threats that we face I believe in humanity I don't think that we are going to self annihilate but when I look at the things that worry me the most it is the um the immediate term existential dread that's going to be brought on by AI I think that is going to be the most disruptive thing that we're going to face so again overplayed to call it doomsday but that's the thing that people are going to pay attention to whether they want to or not and that's why I know at some point we're going to be talking about the weo thing um this is that those little glimmers of the pockets of violence that I think that we're going to see coming up in the next couple of years uh beginning to rear its head now but I do think it is worth talking about that the bulletin of atomic of the atomic scientists uh are messing with that clock yeah it's it felt political just in its presentation because to your point if AI was number one with everything that happened in deep seek deep seek we're seeing a bunch of misinformation coming from is this CCP controlled all these things like that so I wouldn't understand if they had AI technology nuclear Wars and then climate change things like that but kind of leading with like the two things that Trump signed in as an executive order a week ago as like oh because he did that we have to take the time down it felt kind of political and that just we had our our interview on Tuesday with Jank released and I just love that interview because he kind of broke down that there's this overp politization of like media in the sense that like we want it to be left versus right so bad that in the in them kind of stamping their flag and putting this out here that hey we're getting closer than to midnight but they're doing it because I think it's more of a nod at Trump versus it's actual hey Humanity we're getting worse like it seems kind of weird in that way uh I agree very much that we are that their announcement is tied more to that than say what's going on in Russia Ukraine where we have an actual Hot War that's escalating or could things break out farther in the Middle East that stuff didn't trigger them Ai and a potential fast takeoff didn't trigger them them uh or made it way deeper into their announcement uh certainly says that I think if we looked at the donation patterns of the people uh in the group we might see uh that it leans a little blue but I'm not mad at that I think people really should speak up for what they believe in but that's where I get into the whole misinformation thing winds me up because everybody has a frame of reference everybody sees the world through their lens uh and when you can't see that that's when I get troubled so my thing is people should distrust themselves uh if people think again I I'll repeat this one until I'm uh blue in the face the way people should interpret me or anybody else that puts out these very strong opinions is that I'm an AI I am simply giving you a sincere strong take that you should be aggregating a bunch of different people that are looking at this thing we call the truth from a bunch of different angles all doing our best to try to figure out okay what is this thing what is the thing that gives us the highest predictive validity uh and that I don't want I don't even over index on my own thinking I'm constantly looking for dis um things that disprove the things that I already believe and so uh something like that to list misinformation and not realize that all of us intentionally or otherwise are going to end up putting out something um that is reflective of what we believe but does not survive an encounter with reality we shall see we shall see um somebody else who is kind of putting their thoughts into things is El youer I was so close well I'm not even sure I'm pronouncing that 100% correct but that that'll get you close yeah so this is interesting and you and I debate it off camera whether we put this in conspiracy corner or not um I think in his own comments he would admit now that uh his initial tweet which is as uh follows uh I heard from many people who said an Nvidia drop meaning drop in the stock market price makes no sense as a deep seek reaction um and therefore they're buying Nvidia uh so those people this is his tweet continued so those people have now been cheated by Insider counter parties with political access um at first I was not sure what he was trying to say and going in and reading all the different comments what he's saying is that uh because this was tied to a video of trump making an announcement um about how we're going to be tariffing the chips that are coming out of Taiwan and what he was saying was no no no the dip in the Nvidia price wasn't really tied to the Deep seek announcement the dip in Nvidia price is insider trading of people who knew that this announcement was coming and they needed the cover story of deep seek to dump their shares basically um and in his comments somebody pointed out Trump's been talking about this since previously he talked about it on the Joe Rogan podcast uh and elizer admitted that he didn't realize that so I think he would walk that back I don't know we'll see over time um but I think Trump actually has a better take on the Deep seek thing which is hey look this is genuine Innovation now should we as Americans be like hey we need to uh treat this as the um Sputnik moment and yes I know Sputnik was unmanned thank you everybody in the comments uh to take it as that moment to let it be a kick in the ass to really ignite in us this desire to compete and to win in this space versus is look at this and say okay this is an insider trading moment um because we saw the drop in the Nvidia price prior to Trump's announcement when Trump's announcement came out I don't think they're related at all but the price then very shortly after started going back up I mean this is just news cycles and so to me it makes a lot more sense that somebody saying oh nvidia's stock price is tied to um people needing the chips that Nvidia makes deep seek has come out and said you need a fraction of what everybody thought we were going to need in order to get the AI wins that we want and therefore somebody whose uh price is predicated on needing just a gaggle of these chips uh they're not going to be as valuable that that makes a ton of sense to me um and Trump making good on something that he's been talking about for a while being cover story I just think it's the wrong read so as people look at the shifting Sands in the technology space um deep seek in particular I think there's really two things to take away from that uh one is let this be our um Sputnik moment where we are really amping ourselves up to compete um and then two understanding that um ultimately this is a wonderful Innovation and this is actually going to be better for us um yeah I think that's let's jump into what Trump's comments have done they went crazy last week I signed an order revoking Joe Biden's destructive artificial intelligence regulations so that AI companies can once again focus on being the best not just being the most woken today and over the last couple of days I've been reading about uh China and some of the companies in China One in particular coming up with a faster method of AI and much less expensive method and that's good because you don't have to spend this much money I view that as a positive as an asset so uh I really think if it's if it's fact and if it's true and nobody really knows if it is but I view that as a POS positive because you'll be doing that too so you won't be spending as much and you'll get the same result hopefully I I think it's interesting though because everybody's talking about the Nvidia read to me that says Stargate out of anything should be on notice that they just announced 500 billion for a million square foot data center where deep seek kind of says we might not need that so I'll be really interested to see so I have a working hypothesis now that I've heard from many other people that's not me making it up uh that the only difference between um say a monkeys and humans is the amount of compute that the human brain is able to do so if you simply stack neurons on neurons on neurons on neurons that you eventually do get more intelligent if that's true then these gigantic centers again if that's true then these gigantic centers are still going to pay off but you're able to get these huge wins on much less meaning that if it's way more efficient and you're able to build these gigantic centers then you ought to be able to push intelligence just way way way way way farther now we talked about this in our last episode the only thing that remains to be seen is if people realize oh no no no the game is inference the game is focusing all of our attention on rationality so uh the training data is about meaning the the Big Data Centers are about training so training is studying the world and saying this is what the world is actually like and that's incredibly expensive and if doing that is not as beneficial as the far cheaper thing of going well we already have a picture of how the world works and now let's just get really good at giving you really useful insights from that picture of the world um that would be the inference part of this then people may not want to spend money in scaling up these data centers and trying to get more and more intelligent they're just trying to be more and more um useful in what they extract from the models that already exist if that plays out then okay the gigantic data centers aren't going to matter but I hope that it is true that you can um keep making the data centers bigger and bigger and bigger and thusly they will become more and more intelligent and with the increases in efficiency now with something as big as these data centers that you can be orders of magnitude more intelligent than the human mind that would be the ideal right because there are things that the human mind currently cannot grasp we do not understand quantum physics as just one easy uh example so um one of the big things that people have always said is there's something wrong about our approach the AI because the human brain is packed in these tiny little centers that we actually carry around in our skull and we're able to do things that AI with these gigantic data centers are unable to do so if it is true that what deep seek has really done is best thought of as a compression algorithm it may have been a step closer to mimicking what the human brain is actually doing because we need far smaller uh in terms of physical um space we need far smaller data centers in order to produce these huge huge leaps in intelligence so if you put those two together it would be extraordinary for us to daisy chain the efficiencies with the size of compute again this I'm speculating at this point nobody knows what the real answer there is going to be uh but those are the two things on the table so my hope is that this takes us a step closer to being as efficient as a human mind yeah and I'm looking forward to that I kind of push back on the humans versus monkey brain thing but I think meaning you don't think that it's just raw stack more neurons get more intelligent I don't think it's that like one for one so but I but that's intuition just out of clarity yes because I think same thing with like AI there's something fundamentally different about how humans process information that like yes we use tools and they use tools and yes we have mates and other animals have mates and I'm not saying animals can't love or anything like that but there is a special sauce that separates how the brain works so efficiently as a human versus in other animals and other parts of the animal kingdom agreed but so it's a twofold question number one is Will stacking the equivalent of neurons will that allow for more intelligence okay that's part number one part number two is are there algorithms or compression efficiency maybe the most simple simple way to say that um will the efficiencies get us to the human level or is it a combination of efficiency and just scale because honestly the goal from where I'm sitting is ASI artificial super intelligence the goal shouldn't be in my opinion to only get as smart as humans so I get why that would be far more comforting to people but if we really want to have the kind of breakthroughs that get me excited like when I talk about pushing energy cost to zero that requires Innovation uh we're already seeing people go back to nuclear huge wind that will drive the cost of energy down but that's nothing compared to getting to zero getting to zero would require Innovations in things like Material Sciences that allow us to better capture the energy of the Sun solars when I it will drive energy cost zero I'm assuming that we transcend human level intelligence and that we're able to just iterate super rapidly um now it's still wildly beneficial to have something as smart as humans and just have a whole lot more humans looking at that map of okay this is what the real world is and what are all the insights that we can glean from that um but I think ai's promise isn't met until we get something that is far far far more intelligent than humans yeah yeah we're definitely seeing breakthroughs in software we also seeing a new breakthrough in Hardware where boom is the officially is the officially first independently developed supersonic jet um some people are calling this the next business class where you'll be able to kind of fly long distances for short periods of time there's not going to be an exorbitant new cost for these tickets do you think that the future of air travel is Supersonic and this is where we're going well the last time they tried this the record blew up in midair and really freaked people out uh and so that curbed that really fast we we are living through a really interesting moment again um Eric Weinstein I'll I'll quote him here he was on the trigonometry podcast shout out to those guys who I have a lot of love for um saying basically that Trump and this was back in November so I would assume Trump when they recorded it Trump had already won the election uh but obviously wasn't in office yet but his idea was Trump 2.0 is not going to be a continuation of his first term this is going to be something totally new and the totally new thing is basically a renegotiation of everything uh now what does that mean I will not uh say that I can speak for Eric but I will say when I look at that um the Overton window got blown apart when Trump got reelected and so now we're able to talk about things that we weren't talking about before and I think we're going to see that renegotiation and everything from immigration policy to um pushing uh deregulation to promote entrepreneurship to really unlock Innovation and the things that we're seeing now are obviously not a response to that way too fast just like it would be a mistake to blame the cost of eggs on Trump you know whatever 12 days into uh his term uh but it would also be a mistake to give him credit for the innovation of the supersonic Jets it's not a response to him uh but we are seeing just a level of innovation in the last I don't know we're going to stretch it out probably 15ish years um in everything that we're seeing Elon do even if you set Tesla aside and just look at what he's doing with SpaceX um neuralink um starlink like it's really really an incredible amount of um Innovation that pushes back against the Peter teal idea of we were promised flying cars and all we got was 140 characters and we're really seeing like an outpouring of incredible Innovation and so to see jetco supersonic again is really exciting and I hope as a part of this renegotiation a that if you look at Trump as a um a byproduct of culture having come to the conclusion that all of these things need to be renegotiated and not the person who's causing the renegotiation to happen I think you will far better understand what's actually going on right now um this was all just sort of tamped down as people were told they couldn't talk about certain things everything was outside of the Overton window um Meritt sort of took a back seat again Trump as an expression of a cultural phenomenon I think is better and people are just like not here for that definitely want to see people innovating uh and you've seen these tremendous entrepreneurs pushing back on that and bubbling up despite all the regulations and all that stuff and so um I hope that supersonic is the future I hope that it's a leading indicator of a lot of incredible Innovation that's about to break through um we'll see but it certainly is exciting to think that we're able to dramatically reduce the time spent um traveling you know say Coast to Coast would be massive and as somebody married to a Brit oh boy would I love it if you could get to England a lot a lot faster yeah I took that trip uh for the first time last year and yeah that was a lot that was a lot not fun you you went uh to like e what's like the longest plane you've been on ever ever ever ever uh when I flew to uh where was I taipe that was the farthest I'm pretty sure that was the one that was brutal there were two that I did one to taipe and these were a long time ago so this isn't coach baby coach uh I flew to Taipei uh and then I also went to the Philippines both of those were pretty brutal um but yeah like actual time sitting in a seat more than 17 hours if I remember right plus an8 hour layover uh yeah not a lot of fun yeah that's tough that's tough um but going to your point about Trump's term 2.0 being the great renegotiation we've seen that live and in person this weekend where it was Colombia V Trump where Colombia has sent a military plane filled with deported immigrants back to Colombia they denied the flight Trump just mentioned in one true social post 25% emergency terrorists closing the embassy and a bunch of other kind of restrictions immediately about an hour and a half later the president changed his mind and sent his plane back to the us to pick up the Deportes um is that a win for Trump is that him showing the art of the deal like how do you look at this it's definitely a win for Trump the only question mark that I have is how many people can you threaten with the Tariff stick before people really start to create problems for you people just people are people man and if you do that to enough people like take Taiwan at some point people go all right brah like at we're not going to keep being uh an easygoing Ally of the United States so when you already have a hostile relationship okay it can be useful um and I think I I am really interested to see how tariffs can be used in a positive way but if he's using them always and forever as an aggressive posturing um I don't know I don't know what the KnockOn effect is going to be now I'm as excited as anybody else to see tariffs be used in uh an intelligent way to be able to reduce income tax and I love the idea of an external Revenue Service to reduce the amount of the IR rest taking out of people's paychecks um but I'm also aware that if you bully enough people you're going to get into trouble okay setting that aside for a second what the thing that I think people are missing and that hasn't been a part of the political landscape certainly not over the last four years probably skipping Trump for a second in his first term before that either is a real visceral understanding that Americans should have of what it means to be such a powerful economy MH and what we saw in Colombia is Colombia realizing hold on a second maybe we make what does Colombia make up 1% 2% something like that of our economy um I'm guessing I have no idea what the literal number is Drew is typing it in thank you drew uh we're going to not make uh we're not going to repeat mistakes so um they're they're whatever the real number is they're a very small part of our economy we're a very large part of their economy and so if we were to tariff them and essentially deny them access to our economy certainly at the the rates that they were getting it at getting it before it would be very detrimental their to their economy and so you see somebody who understands that they understand with their point of leverages and in any negotiation you need to understand your point of Leverage so this is you know when you're an entrepreneur you're always saying okay I'm coming into this negotiation do I actually have leverage here or not do they want something from me when they want something from you now you're in a great negotiating position and if they want something from you that's more than what you want from them you really have leverage and if you're actually willing to walk away from the deal now you're in an incredible position and what Trump is showing is because of the size of our economy that the whole world basically wants access to our economy wants access to China's economy the two biggest economies in the world by a lot and it's very effective to say no I'm going to deny you that but again there's going to be some sort of cumulative effect and um I don't yet know what it's going to be maybe it'll be fine and maybe it will just be well okay I've got to put up with this from him but I get access to this gigantic economy that's making my the lives of the people in my country better we'll see we'll get back to the show in just a minute but first while everyone else is paying taxes on their crypto gains the smartest investors are using itust capitals Roth IRA to grow their wealth taxfree after what happened in crypto in 2022 you all know security matters itust Capital keeps client funds off balance sheet and are never co-mingled never ever your Investments are held in regulated custodial accounts completely separate from their business they've also eliminated all the barriers of a traditional Roth IRA no monthly fees just straightforward pricing 1% for crypto transactions and transparent rates for Precious Metals Plus you can buy or sell 247 as part of our collaboration with itust capital they're offering our community an exclusive bonus use code impact when you sign up and fund your account to get a $100 bonus just click the link in the show notes and use code impact don't miss out on taxfree gains choose I trust Capital this has been a paid promotion now back to the show to me it's it works with Colombia it works with Guatemala some of these smaller South American countries that are relying on other IND industrial Powers I'm interested for this tough talk when he brings it to Russia when he brings it to China where he brings it to somebody who has economic and maybe military backing and just see if his his noise changes because to your point when you have leverage it's easy to bully the little guy I want to see how he applies that leverage or what leverage he thinks we have when we start kind of hitting these other states and these other places these other countries around the world I don't think you're going to see a lot of change in rhetoric with Russia because the Russian economy is not very big uh you will see it with China China is a pure competitor and there are ways in which China has a stronger economy than the us so that one that's why I say um this is a cold war that matters a lot and one thing that people need to read about is something called thusi trap and THD trap is when you've got a country on the come up China going against an established power that's on the decline the established power that's declining just cannot allow itself to be overtaken by the upand comer but the upand comer is like yo I'm not going to be treated like the redheaded stepchild anymore like we're way too powerful for that and so you're going to get this collision and many people have said look America and China are on this path to thus CD's trap we've got to back out of it because you do not do not want America and China in a kinetic War uh so hopefully we can resolve this just amicably wouldn't that be nice I don't see that happening uh if we can't do it amicably hopefully we can do it at the level of economic Warfare way better than kinetic Warfare uh and that's the game that we're about to watch play out and I think AI is going to have a central role in that because if AI is able to be super intelligent now you run into this idea of fast takeoff slow takeoff um which is interesting because actually we have a tweet from Sam actually it was from somebody else um showing something that Sam Alman said I think now would be a wonderful time to show that clip I have never believed in the like one day or one month takeoff um for for a bunch of reasons but like one of which is how incredibly long it takes to build new data centers bigger data centers like even if we knew how to do it right now just like waiting for the concrete to dry getting the power into the building this stuff takes a while the reason that I think that's interesting is going back to deep seek and what it represents is uh you've got the U bulletin of the atomic scientists saying hey we're closer to midnight but they're really pushing AI way down the level of risk part of the reason that I think that that might be a more immediate risk is what deep seek is proving is hey you may not need these gigantic centers for us to get something that is more intelligent than humans uh and so you've got one of the number one figures in AI telling you that uh well the reason that I'm not worried about a fast takeoff the reason I don't think that this is going to be as destructive to uh mankind as people think is because data centers take forever and then Elon builds a gigantic data center like the biggest data center ever in six weeks and then deep sea comes along and says oh by the way you don't even need data centers that big uh so it it is a it is not wise to brush all of this stuff off and if we see that China is better at these compression algorithms better at getting efficiency out of AI um and or is able to get access to the chips that they need to build these gigantic data centers then now you're back into this race of like yo we really have to get AI nailed down uh and it is going to if we get into a thus cidi trap moment where each of these people each of these countries see the other as an existential threat that has to be dealt with then we're on a collision course um and I think it would be very easy to find very notable public intellectuals who are extremely well versed in this that will say yeah we're racing towards that yeah I agree we don't need any more war I'm all for the peace guys but we already seeing new tactics where a Fox News correspondent brought in a a crime expert and from his perspective he's saying we're being infiltrated by the gangs with the point of destabilizing a Nation let's take a look at this clip let's bring in Joseph hum the executive director at secure free Society you've also written a big report about tread de araga published on her AG .org that the Heritage Foundation here's what you said in part quote with a documented presence in no fewer than 20 US states the TDA is terrorizing Urban and Suburban communities throughout America for the Venezuelan regime that's the Maduro regime the TDA is a tool of asymmetric Warfare to destabilize countries while maintaining plausible deniability so you're saying that this isn't just a bunch of people who are out there uh engaging in criminal activity they're doing it at the behest of the Maduro regime team to try to destabilize the US absolutely John what you're seeing today not just with TDA but with all the cartels is they're not working like cartels anymore they're working like weapons of warfare like soldiers on a battlefield to invade territory capture territory steal the sovereignty uh of countries all throughout the Western Hemisphere so TDA is the latest one that we've seen but we also seen the Mexican cartel we also see MS13 and what president Trump did with his executive order of designating the cartels and other tcos as foreign terrorist organizations as he brought counter transnational organized crime to the 21st cury for the longest time fighting terrorism was a top priority of the United States but fighting these cartels has to be a top priority because they work with terrorists and in that order he mentions aetric Warfare he mentions crime Terror convergence and he mentions conflex adaptive systems these were Concepts that were once only discussed within the intelligence community and the academic world now they're at the front of the executive power and I think we're going to use all the elements of National Power to go after them Tom homman was sitting where you are about an hour ago and he said to me it was off camera he said that's why the president is invoking the alien enemies act because gang members are acting at the Beast of a a foreign power yeah in the alien enemy act they mentioned something called predatory incursion that's basically infiltration of a foreign country sent by aliens of another country Venezuela is basically infiltrating the United States through its TDA members and they're spreading there's no way a gain goes from like a couple States in one year and within a couple years goes to about 23 States in a matter of months that's not normal it took the MS13 decades to do that so this is something that's been put on steroids by a specific governments that are basically weaponized migration to bring down the the United States and I think now we have a night and day difference because now Tom homman and others president Trump are taking the fight to these cartels and they're doing it a very smart way so how do you feel about gangs being used to destabilize Nations I'll need more time to see if this is really true it's certainly an interesting hypothesis and I think this is why people need to really be paying attention to what happened during a period of having an open border is if you are uh take Colombia you just got threatened with the Tariff stick you're probably not loving that you're being pushed around if other governments are saying hey there's a way for us to go in and destabilize America let's do it it will um release some of the hold that they have on us a weaker America gives an opportunity for a stronger Fillin the blank whatever country they are uh and now you just have your opportunity to fill that power vacuum and and rise up uh now whether that's actually what's going on or not uh we'll see that's going to play out in the fullness of time but that to me is why the open border was so terrifying it wasn't just that people are coming here they want a better life I get that I get why people would want to do that uh and anybody with compassion is like yeah I want to see um I get why people would want to be here and I want to see those people have a better life however uh first of all unchecked immigration is just a bad idea because of the need to assimilate the need to maintain cultural uh consistency I think all that stuff really matters um so when people flood in it just it can make it very difficult for people not necessarily make it difficult but um there will be a lot of people who don't assimilate and then you begin to fragment your own culture and you can run into problems uh you need look no farther than what's going on in Europe right now to see exactly what that looks like um but setting all of that aside and just looking at this was an opportunity for people to send um agents of their own government that remain true to the government that they left so uh maybe conspiracy theory but there was a lot of talk that China was using the Darian Gap to send people into America to effectively be this is my word but like sleeper agents much like Russia was doing back in the 80s with the Cold War uh we were sending spies there they were sending spies here that all that stuff is real I guarantee we're still doing it to other countries other countries are trying to do it to us so this idea that these gangs and these cartels are also functioning as agents of the governments that they left and he's specifically referring to the venezuel gang TDA um and the need to police that the need to take that seriously I think is really um it's something that we ignore at our own Peril now how we go about doing it is going to be the question and that's what everybody's pushing back on right now is does that look like racial profiling does that look like going after uh people that are here legally is it a bunch of sweeps where we're just going through and it's like uh Germany during World War II where it's like show me your paper that kind of stuff um we certainly don't want to end up back there but knowing that these are in some cases the equivalent of a paramilitary group well-armed well-funded specifically through drugs and human trafficking here inside the borders of the United States and fiing this stuff out is not going to be easy um that is all I think very real now the thing that I find fun funny I don't know or if I should be horrified is something called letters of Mark um somebody had sent around a tweet the Tweet if I'm not mistaken has massive um views on it like 29 million when I saw it earlier today 27.9 to be very specific the idea of a a letter of Mark is a very fascinating thing that goes back I don't think we've written a letter of Mark in over a hundred years but the idea was uh in an age of piracy where you've got a bunch of people out there that are um hijacking ships stealing all their cargo and you as the government are having a hard time policing this that you can write a letter of Mark to private citizens and say hey if you're able to stop a pirate and basically be an anti-pirate pirate uh or a sanctioned pirate then we'll give you some of the booty that you're able to capture and uh Elon tweeted that this would work very fast now to be very clear you'd be sanctioning there would be rules but you'd be sanctioning normal trained let me be very clear trained people that meet certain qualifications but you'd be sanctioning private citizens that meet certain qualif open coms now I would have to see what the rules that they put on them before I give uh too much of a strong take but I will say that just strikes me as wild west like good Lord what could go wrong going to the the most well-armed populace in the world I think if we're not number one we got to be Clos number one well per capita I think there actually is like Norway or something oh God people are going to light me up but there there's a country that is on par or more per capita we certainly have more gun violence anyway we'll look it up we'll figure out uh what the answer is there but um such an armed populace as America is it us we're number one okay all right uh so that just strikes me as a recipe for disaster I think it is far wiser uh to make sure that we have a coordinated effort by the government to deal with that stuff but I like the signal that are coming out by designating them terrorists that we are going to take care of it yeah I I wasn't surprised when I heard this story you can look as far as ha or every other developing nation in the Caribbean and afro America you you'll see a lot of um insurrections coups and then you start to realize how was a poorest country in the Western Hemisphere have all these guns and you start to kind of connect the dots and this is kind of similar to my JFK moment from last week where I was like it came from inside the president and you're like yeah and then now they're like there's gangs that are using to destabilize the nation I'm like yeah that's that's a play that's been used since the' 60s um so I'm personally sensitive to that so when I seen this in what way you're not surprised at all that the um other governments are sending in these essentially paramilitary groups or something else yes because I have this is just Andrew St justing I have evidence or I have seen enough dots that I'm connecting and that created my frame of reference that I have seen Western countries send in people in these other poor developing nations to destabilize those Nations can I say it in more direct way and see if this is what you're saying America has done this to so many other people you're not surprised that people are doing it to America yes okay yeah but I mean America yes but Britain is up there too France is not clean of blood on their hands too so it it's a long list of countries so that's why I'm like oh yeah America's now finally getting it back to them um but to your point we were doing this to Russia as far as two decades ago let probably I don't know that so paramilitary groups feels like a totally different thing to me um than just spies but yeah spies be everywhere uh that is for sure especially trained operatives might be I guess I'm grouping them all together like interesting so I read these very differently and uh this could be my movie brain kicking in but when I think about these gangs and the way that they're able to cordon off neighborhoods stop the police from coming in there um leveraging uh this was something really interesting to hear I'm almost certain that I heard it from Rick Caruso uh in the episode that he did recently with Sam Harris uh please forgive me if this isn't accurate but I'm almost certain that it is and he was talking about um that he had put forward the uh change I believe it was in the chief of police here in Los Angeles uh I think Bratton was the guy's name but anyway comes from I think the NYPD they bring him to La very unpopular but the reason he was doing it is what was happening in Los Angeles was the gangs understood that if you complained about a cop that they would be put on basically administrative leave their career would be sidelined while they investigate it that the investigation could take a year or two years and so these neighborhoods that were overrun by gangs as a way to keep the police out they would file a complaint the police would go offline and so people just got the message don't even bother going into those neighborhoods and so when I think about um these are not dumb people they may be violent they may be evil but they're not dumb and so if you allow them to come in and I know for at one point there was like a couple buildings that have been taken over in or and so it was like what like that to me is crazy that's the kind of thing do you have to nip in the bud you've got to be very aggressive about clearing them out because they will um create real problems for you and you want to talk about what is the role of a government it is protecting its citizens and uh if you are allowing things like this to pop up it's like little tumors all over the place uh and so that one freaks me out not that I'm not freaked out by spies freaked out by spies but nowhere near the way that I'm freaked out by people going into um underp policed areas taking over entire buildings um terrorizing the citizens around them that just that really freaks me out you just describe Porter Prince the last year and a half really yeah so it's one of those things where I'm super again I'm super sensitive to it um so I noticed that so when I see these things happening on the Western Front I'm like oh that's interesting that if this is true that it's from Venezuela South America like these governments are plotting against it now it's like okay it's coming back to America now we have to be on defense so I'm still empathetic for I'm not say oh yeah let America burn I'm not one of those people but it's one of those things like oh the tactics are now kind of coming back home to roost and that point yeah hum's gonna human and if it's a useful tactic people will exploit it there's no doubt about that yeah speaking of humans going human a lot of politicians are trying to cast their vote and hide their hand um there's some noise out there I I pulled up the Charlie Kirk tweet rumors rumors for now let's just be clear while we're filming this uh yeah Charlie Kirk said about um oh God Tulsi gabard uh I'm told that the vote for Tulsi gabard might be done privately in an SCI if I don't know if it's pronounced CIF but seif with the vote Tally's kept secret from the American people uh I forget what seif stands for we should probably look it up but it's like basically something where you're allowed to cast your vote in secret is the punchline uh now if this is happening stands for sensitive compartmented information facility it's a very weird way of saying in secret uh so I could not hate this anymore if I tried I think that Congress and the Senate should be absolutely forced to vote transparently for everything y I don't think they should be able hide anything that they do in an official capacity Agreed 100% I think if you are an elected official people put you in there you should be able to stand on your record and you have to hide your record you shouldn't be there so we'll see where are we at with RFK he's this is his week yeah interesting but he in the same he's I'll be so sad if he doesn't get in uh which I have no doubt will be nice and controversial but man he won me over I was ready to cast a vote for RFK I did vote for RFK brainworm and all um yeah RFK cash Patel Tulsi is this week so we'll see we'll keep an eye out we'll follow those confirmations um Trump got a lot of his other guys in Marco Rubio um Pete the got did theth yeah Pete HTH is in there um so he nobody other than Matt gate stepped down so we'll see this week if if he'll have any more wins um in other news you're a Marvel guy right you love Captain America I do dude I'm I am a comic junkie in ways that I think would unnerve people uh I'm admittedly now more into manga that's a long story I should do a treaties on that at some point uh but yes very much so nice let's check in on Anthony Mackey who's the star of the new Captain America movie coming out in February he had some uh Choice comments that some people didn't like for me Captain America represents a lot of different things and I don't think the term you know America should be one of those representations like uh it's about uh a man who keeps his word who has honor dignity and integrity uh someone who is trustworthy and dependable um you know it's uh it's it's kind of this is kind of like a uh an aspect of a dream coming true you know when I was a kid you know all of us as actors I believe want to get back to that day before someone told you no when you look out your door and you see a 5-year-old kid with a stick and he's slaying dragons to save the princess in the tower that k really believes their dragons out there that stick is really a sword and he's really trying to save that princess and then one day somebody told him no there no dragons that's not a sword and that princess is not there and all of his little dreams were dashed so you know as an actor I feel like our job is to get back to the day where we see that dragon and we slay that Dragon to save that princess and uh that's kind of what this movie was for me yeah look we live in an age where everybody has a voice and social media is a real thing and so you're going to see a lot of um movie stars popping off about something related to their movie and just destroying Goodwill for these movies um I hate every word out of his mouth but I have such a soft spot for him he's in one of my favorite all-time Christmas movies I think it's called the night before uh it's him Seth Rogan and the kid with three names Joseph Gordon levit uh that movie just absolutely [ __ ] kills me so anyway uh got a warm spot for him here here's the thing in a world where you're counting on a bunch of your money coming from China I get why he is trying to make this Universal but oof you've got a movie called Captain America you've got a fan base that loves what America represents in their minds um if they grew up reading Captain America man like they're really G to have a hard time with this because it was like it's part of that thing like yeah America I love America and as somebody who is just die hard I love America um I hate every word out of his mouth um but you have to put it in context of this is somebody who's trying to sell a movie who's trying to be inclusive I get it I know people hate that woke [ __ ] but the reality is that his job is to promote the movie and to get as broad of an audience as possible now if I could help him out and then I'll be very curious to hear what you think about this this is what I would said if he came to me and said Tom look I need some consultation how do I handle this if somebody says something about America I would say look man America is an idea it's a country for sure love it proud to be an American but it's also an idea and there's a reason that we've been this Beacon to the rest of the world and so many people have wanted to come here from um fleeing religious persecution when we were a nation of settlers because there was no country there was no rule of law uh as well as immigrants coming all throughout the history of America Post Its actual founding wanting to come here land of opportunity and that's the ethos that we're built on um that idea is something that I hope resonates for people even if they don't live in America that I would love for people to like this is a concept that Tom billu has thought a lot about what I call foreign born Americans people that were born in a different country but they just have that pull towards Freedom Liberty um and Entrepreneurship and the drive to be great and personal responsibility and to be able to see how far they can push themselves and develop themselves and being uh an individualistic Society versus a collectivist society like all of that I love it whether you're born in America or not so I if you're trying to expand the people that can resonate with an idea of Captain America uh you want to acknowledge that America is a place and it's a place that people want to go to for a reason and that reason is the set of ideas that anybody the world over can Embrace and would love to see more people understand that idea and uh feel a sense of Pride when they hear it because America as an idea is and then you cut to his thing about it's somebody who stands up for what they believe in it's somebody who has Integrity like all of those things and that's all true um but to say Captain America doesn't stand for America like godamn like what are you doing yeah um I don't know I don't know I okay this is let's go for it I think the word America to your point it's a triggering word it's a loaded word because I think there is an idea in about America there is the stars and stripes and Rolling Hills and fireworks and star Tangled Banger and football and hot dogs but there is when other people hear the term America they might not necessarily go to those words first so to me when he says it he I think he was saying it from his standpoint of like this is not about America the real actual history that's filled with bones and blood and persecution and all these other types of things but it's about the honor and the integrity and it's the ideas that a lot of people who migrate to America Chase and I think that now especially in the last couple years we have seen this kind of weaponization of America and I'm not one of those people that like America's the worst and needs to go to like it's the best country in the world how comma however as much as I love it just like I love my daughter I hold her accountable when she does things wrong I want her to be the best human to be I'm constantly pushing her to be better than what she was yesterday and I think that America ourselves we should have that same type of perception to it so if he would have got on stage like yeah this is all about America and beer and football and I love it and like yes a lot of people would have high-fived and that American Pride would have felt good but it would have been disingenuous to at least not acknowledge that the word America doesn't instantly transport people to those Sunny positive like images okay so let me I'm Consulting again for our boy uh Mackie uh what I would say is okay I respect that if you're worried that the word America Falls on people in a way that like you've got to compensate for then I would hit them with this you get what you focus on and if you look at life and you w to or look at America you look at America and you want to see tragedy you're going to be overwhelmed by it there there are plenty of things that are there uh as as somebody who has read a lot about the I'll use the word conquer the Conquering of America it is a wash in Blood and just heinous [ __ ] comma however if you focus on the way that we have become a beacon for the world that we have built the strongest economy by focusing on the individual by creating a space where individuals can really expand their abilities to eek out every bit of greatness in their life to um build and create and innovate in a way so spectacularly that we have built to your own admission the greatest country on Earth and if you look for that you will also be overwhelmed 100% And what's interesting is if we tell the story over and over and over and over and over of let's focus on all the things that America did wrong all of a sudden the word Falls in a weird way and it hits people and it feels some kind of way but if we focus on the positive aspects of America if we POS if we focus on the things that America has done well and hold her feels right to me hold her accountable to getting better and drawing more people in and making sure that Prosperity is there for everybody regardless of race um regardless of class which I honestly think at this stage in our development is the far more troubling part um then we can continue to get better but if we're looking if if we focus everybody's attention on the bad part now all of a sudden there is no impetus to make it better the impetus becomes to burn it down and when you have the impetus to burn down the greatest nation on Earth to me you're just moving in the wrong direction hold her accountable look at the things that we have done well look at the things that we have done poorly but if you focus everybody on optimism if you focus everybody on um when you pursue greatness when you because I assume this is what you're telling your daughter is and I don't know how you break on the we're not blank slates I don't think we're blank slates and I think science will back up that we're 50% hardwired and we're 50% malleable so if I had had kids I would have said uh don't worry about the part that's hardwired M okay there there's going to be realities face we all hit our limitations but focus on the 50% that's malleable and what makes America so great is you're going to have the opportunity to push that skill set as far as you can forget the education system is going to fail you okay fine you've got access to the internet you can learn you can read you can push yourself and as Kobe Bryant said boo don't block dunks and so you live in a country where the government is not going to [ __ ] you up trip you up uh Force they they may under serve you but they're not going to cap you yeah and so now it becomes a question of how far can you push it so what because I've lived through both in the 80s when it was like America was the greatest thing ever and it was just on everybody's lips oh my God this is the best place ever and we got to defeat Russia they're evil and we're amazing we embodied that and it was like oh my God like this is our shot this is our opportunity we can do anything we want and so from the time I was little I was just steeped in I could be anything I wanted it wasn't just my parents saying it it just felt like it was everywhere yeah and so I was just naive enough to believe them and so we were talking before we started rolling when I was a kid I I this is GNA sound misleading but I would smoke in a pig Barn okay so now I was not a smoker at 7 or 8 or whatever but we would collect cigarette butts on the side of the road and we would smoke them in a Pig barn and when I say that I'm like yeah that's actually how I grew up and here I am now in one of the biggest cities on planet Earth and all kinds of success because I had a distorted but positive view of the country that I lived in so I get it's propaganda but it's propaganda that empowers and it's all propaganda the there was a book called The daing and when I first read it when I was 15 or 16 whatever there was a line that like sounded cool but I didn't really know what it meant and it's the da that can be spoken is not the Eternal da now Dow translates is the way so you could read it as the path that can be explained is not the real path okay [ __ ] facts whatever I say about America is going to be a lie because the second I articulate it I've reduced this insane complexity down to something that is artificial so I get that but no matter who speaks whether you're saying negative things or you're saying positive things they they are fake both are fake so now the question becomes which path leads to the elevation of the human Spirit which one leads to your daughter having unlocked potential as much as any of us do and seeing how far she can push herself is it America doesn't want to see you succeed or is it hey you can do anything here in this country I would put all my chips on if you focus her on booze don't block dunks this is the country where you can find out how far you can push it then she's going to lean into that 100% 110% no notes nothing like that and the fact that we had this argument on or this conversation on a political show makes the utmost sense did you just call this a political show I'm sorry on a show that talks about politics occasionally trying to keep it to 20% like Anthony Mackey should have said what you just said America is beautiful I know it had some struggles but hey Man Captain America is supposed to be a symbol of hope he's not supposed to give the the pessimistic answer cuz you're in a movie you're not running for office you're not you want tickets and seats like that's what you're worried about you want popcorn you want people to like this movie you want Harrison Ford to come back for your sequel like that's what you're chasing so I completely get what you're saying I'm not saying that in a sense to validate what he's saying or to take the onus off of it because at the very at the very end of the day he's trying to get more people to see his movie about Captain America so you should have America in a positive light like full stop please what he said now wrong place wrong time I do think though I empathize with what he's saying because I seen those people who see the other side of America that's why it's like okay I understand I think he's getting taken out of context and villainized I don't think that's the right mod or that's the right mood but at the same time you are just selling a movie bro like just get excited get more tickets in the seats like that that's what you that's what you're really like chasing no yeah I'll be interested to see how people respond to this like I said I have soft spot well some people aren't responding well uh I'm very curious to see how people take Snow White because when I say I know nothing about the movie but boy oh boy is the vibe negative so we'll be interested to see if um if they pull it off and it's great and people love it uh and same here I would love to see this succeed um soft spot for Anthony Mackey as an actor I am absolutely obsessed with comics comics though and part of the reason that I'm now into um manga is that the Japanese did not get the memo that um you should be appropriate to political correctness in your stories and so that that was one of the reasons that I softened on American Comics it was just all aimed at like political issues it was just exhausting it was moralizing uh and when you look at the way that the Japanese handle it it is it's not Universal they're not a monolith all that all that but um if a comic is written for a 12-year-old boy it's going to have the bombast and the enthusiasm of something that a 12-year-old boy is going to be into uh and so they just told really awesome stories and for anybody that wants an example read my hero Academia Jesus dude if I there of all the IP I've encountered that's the one that I wish impact Theory made and for people that my my life is so fragmented people don't even understand that impact Theory uh has done Comics because of AI we're going to stop but um we've done comics and when I look at my hero Academia it it's just incredible it conveys these incredible lessons uh without moralizing yeah and I think that's really important but anyway I hope people will forgive Mackey I hope people will judge the film for the film and if the film is uh Mor ing trash then it will suffer as it must um but hopefully people don't just latch onto that and just want to brow beat him to death yeah it's that's not fun and I agree I think movies you can tell a movies Comics anything you can have a political message you can tell a narrative that's fine every writer should have that impulse that's what makes them like have to write it but don't Foods don't uh force feed me don't SPO feed me like hide the the sugar in the medicine a little bit like don't don't necessarily kind of put it like in my face like the I found this out as like a adult like uh Malcolm um Magneto and Professor X based off of like Malcolm X and Martin Luther King like roughly and how they like their approach to the Civil Rights Movement was the same way have those two U mutants have a different approach like the mutant epidemic which is like an interesting concept and then they kind of ched it in comic book terms but it's not like Magneto was leading a black lives matter March like you know what I mean like you had the kind of you haven't read Comics lately not not that that one but there's a lot of that now oh now it's all out honestly force-fed you're going eat this whether you want to or not yeah the there was a whole thing called Comic skate it it got pretty crazy that's crazy that's like I don't know be a better writer I'm sorry like I love it it's a hard job I'm there too with you guys but like it should be about the feeling it should be about exciting the reader to get excited to get motivated make them feel something not just Soap Box it I don't know it's just boring to me yeah agre all right last but not least I'm going preface this by saying the streets are trash and anybody who's dating out there I feel your pain I was like where are we going with this I went on a date and it's like it was good and then yet like I'm just tired of like I don't know the bill came the bill didn't come he asked for the bill and in French he said two bills and so they came and I was like if someone says I want to take you out then I want to be taken out which means to me to pay and whatever so we did that I paid and it's fine and then after I was I was honest and I just said it like I don't know cuz I I said like yeah I thought you were going to take me out and like to me that means pay and and then suddenly his English wasn't so good anymore when he was like I don't understand what you mean I was honest and like whatever what else do I have to lose I just want to be honest because there's a that I want to be treated and like I might as well just tell someone like what else do I have to lose I don't know and then like afterwards he was like next time I'll pay like unprompted he said that after we're having another conversation I said okay and then he said are you free this week and I said yeah and then I texted him after and I'm like I had a nice time thanks and then he read it and didn't respond and it's like okay I don't know like I'm just tired of I'm happy I was honest but like I just like want a [ __ ] gentleman all right uh I think it's very important for people to realize she is not crying that he asked for two bills she is crying because the streets are trash I believe is your quote uh yeah modern dating sounds brutal trash uh okay if you had to okay I love Lisa I no no no disrespect no nothing uh if you had to start over do you have a strategy of have you thought about this like if I had to date again now what would I do well so here's the real answer I okay nothing in my life has brought me more joy than my marriage nothing has brought me more mental health in my marriage like absolutely incredible but I have a really strong impulse to collapse inside of myself uh meaning I get obsessed with goals and things that I'm trying to do and so would I go out and date given my level of financial success I worry a lot about that man I worry a lot about it now look I think I'm a pretty good judge of character but I don't know that I would date very quickly I would have to really get profoundly lonely before I would do that again part of that my obsession with my wife so I'm uh let me let me be can I be a consultant to somebody who's dating I think that would be far more effective approach to this consult me I'm dating okay uh well so here is the key you want to meet them in real life so there was a period where I think online dating was the play and then it started to do something to the way that people think about other human beings when you're in a swipe mode there's a sense of there's always going to be somebody better and so when you meet them for a date or whatever and you're in that ecosystem of how they think about okay am I just trying to get the faux emergency call from my girlfriend saying I got to go like anybody wouldn't know that is total [ __ ] these days but um or like do I get time to act actually meet this person outside of the context of dating give them a chance to see what I'm really about give me a chance to see what they're really about and let it be a bit more of a slow burn I think that that is way more effective uh so my advice would be to find an area that you love that you would want to talk about that thing so it is not a mistake uh there's twofold reason why Lisa and I ended up working one she saw me I was her teacher school for adults nobody needs to freak out um but she I was her teacher so she saw me in this position of authority so women have a tendency to date across or up so me being in a position where all eyes in the room are on me and she's seeing me at my best so this is I mean this is a very long time ago so I'm broke um so me having an opportunity to flex in any way other than the fact that I'm highly verbal that I have maybe insights into film making that she found really interesting and so that pequ her curiosity intellectually um so you want to put yourself in a position where um you're G to shine and it's going to be a thing that you're going to want to talk about So Lisa and I bonded over film and storytelling in the beginning that was really where just immediately we knew we were going to have a lot of things to talk about uh and that we were able to spend time with each other like we had known each other for about a month before we went on our first date so that kind of thing where it's like the oldfashioned Slow Burn getting to know somebody time and all that yeah not only that but in the time that you have you're able to one be aggressively yourself which was the big thing that I learned because I used to show up on date one with custom written poetry date one custom written poetry and flowers okay don't do that boys and girls terrible [ __ ] play uh and I realized much like we were talking about earlier with negotiations you have leverage if you're willing to walk away and so I had to go into every exchange with a woman saying I don't care how beautiful she is I don't care how interesting whatever I I am willing to walk away in this exchange and that changed everything instantly on a dime and so bringing into the real world being aggressively yourself and saying I have no fear of loss with this person they're either interested in who I am because I don't want to fake who I am or not and I'm putting myself in a position where they're going to be able to see me at my best um and we're going to be able to take our time like those are the real things but that means you've got to be going out into charity is just an easy way to talk about it but what's like a charity that you really care about where you can interesting people that are there for the same kind of thing um that I think is the real play and then you've got to be really deaf at communication and um if I were really going to give you like assuming you do all of that stuff so that we're beyond the sort of setup of it all it's if you want to be interesting be interested just like ask them a ton of questions about themselves um it really does spark something in somebody to feel listen to to feel scene um and then if you can this is where it starts to sound red pill but I'm like the least red pill guy you're going to meet um but if you can create a context for them to be inside of hold frame that's what they call it if you can create the frame and keep them in it it it really is powerful and so you have to get very good at like I'm going to walk into this room I'm going to create the frame that we're going to be exploring and then I'm going to hold that with charm and wit that's the play all right I'm taking my notes I'm WR I'm writing some stuff down okay uh I'll I'll Circle back Valentine's Day is right around the corner we we'll see if I get any wins we'll see we'll see that's all I got all right everybody if you haven't already be sure to subscribe and until next time my friends be legendary take care peace if you like this conversation check out this episode to learn more emergency podcast everybody the markets went crazy today due to the Deep seek phenomenon that seems to prove that the age of AI has shifted from training models to a model's ability to reason I'll explain why I think that is very incomplete and why this is the worst possible time in