Transcript
IbHiGzqfmpM • Trump Breaks Canada, The Dept of Ed Gets SLASHED & Are We Ready for What’s Next in AI? | Tom Bilyeu
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economic Warfare continues as Canada
threatens to turn off our electricity
prompting Trump to say the tariffs will
continue until morale improves the
Department of Education got radically
defunded and Larry Fink begs Trump to
keep the illegals here to work the
fields Ukraine agrees to a ceasefire
deep seek rocks the AI world again by
proving Size Matters and despite what
you've heard smaller is better Google
robotics demo a bot that can pack a
lunch and do origami anthropic CEO says
99% of all code will be written by AI in
just 12 months and I offer solutions to
Modern dating prompting chat to pay a
lot of money to tell me I'm wrong okay
yeah go a and play it outperforms GPT 40
and Claude 3.5 which is interesting
because 3.7 is already out on math
benchmarks here it is running on a phone
completely offline tiny 1.5 billion AI
model that will run on almost any
hardware even without internet are you
getting it yet here's why I like that
this is going to free up a level of
innovation like I am hungry for this
right now literally right now I am
working with manufacturers to help us
build um a toy that can sync up with an
in-game character so that players can
have a relationship with an in-game
character that's driven by AI which by
the way David Kim the guy in the feed is
the guy that has deployed that character
for us um so the early stages it's still
trash it will get better anyway uh so
you've got an AI character in game an AI
toy out of game in real life and the to
what what we're trying to do is sync
them up it may not be possible yet I
guarantee it will be possible in the
near future but the big thing is how
much is this thing going to cost because
you want to make this as cheap for
people as possible to make the
experience awesome to get it in as many
hands as possible so you need a a very
effective AI to have a very small
footprint so that you can put it inside
of these toys for very cheap so that you
need a very small chip uh that doesn't
have to be super powerful to run this
very powerful brain and what we're
seeing is that one of the ways that you
can really innovate in the world of AI
is to make the level of um compression
better and better and so the reason this
is a big deal is they're showing that
these things can remain incredibly
powerful with a really highly compressed
data set and that is awesome that will
unleash a ton of human creativity not
the least of which will be here at
impact Theory so uh I'm very excited
about this copy okay and then I just
liked Eric the the Gemma three which is
that was the Google one and that is
their most capable model yet it can run
on a single GPU or
TPU yeah so same idea here these are
getting more and more efficient can you
click that graph on the right that kind
now what I hope the guy is meaning when
he says are you getting it yet is that
this is becoming very cheap very potent
very fast and the rate of change is the
thing that people are not they're just
not not grappling with yet so from the
time that I launched my manufacturing
search till now this is already upgraded
so fast that I have to now broaden my
scope of who might be able to supply
this to us which is absolutely
incredible but this is why I say
companies are going to get smaller
they're going to be more dextrous
because whoever pulls the trigger on
something because at some point you have
to pick a chip buy it at a certain
amount of scale and you're going to want
to keep that scale tight inherently Mak
your um options small like the number of
people that would be able to get it
small because you're not going to be
waiting a year to launch the next one
you're going to be launching the next
one like in a month two months and so it
creates this this is why people freak
out about deflation by the way because
it creates this impulse well I'm just
going to wait I'm just going to wait I'm
just going to wait and so
um you want to you now have to think
about doing small order quantities make
them very cheap so that you can get
around that impulse to wait and you
create that sense of well I'll just buy
that one and then I'll upgrade every 6
months or whatever because they're cheap
and so um I just want them to get better
and better and better and I want to be
able to take advantage of that and so
that is going to have consequences that
we can't yet anticipate but
proliferation is one of the most obvious
where now if I can have something as
good as um GPT 40 put into my fridge so
that my fridge can run a constant scan
of what's in my fridge what I need to
reorder use a gentic AI running in my
fridge to go actually place the orders
on Amazon or send me a text and be like
hey I'm about to place this order
because you're out confirm or deny dude
it's going to be awesome bias bias bias
I have a freakish bias towards
Innovation but that is thrilling to me
this is going to be fun this is going to
be fun the thing that really jumps me
for this is we were talking about deep
seek being a big deal and that was a
month and a half ago you would have
thought deep seek came out 6 weeks 6
months ago like it was something that
happened like
we were they just disrupted the market
and I'm using air quotes January 27th we
or something we released our video and
then now March 12 we have a model that's
just as powerful if not more powerful in
a fraction of that size now so
immediately the form factors are
changing and since it's a Sprint there's
seven different companies all innovating
in different levels on different ways
and those are just the ones you know
about yeah there there's some
14-year-old right now coming up with
some crazy compression algorithm that's
going to make AI even smaller even
faster we just don't even know they
exist yet that's why right mental model
for what's happening right now is that
this is 1999 internet bubble and nobody
knows whether uh are any of the players
that are going to be major players in 10
years are they even out yet so we all
think it's AI or we are uh open AI this
could all be net suite and Netscape and
all those like we haven't got to the
chromes the app store yet all that
that's a great analogy correct so uh we
are all going to benefit as the people
that get to build with this use these
things
uh it's going to be incredible but Act
of Faith is required admittedly all
right this was I think this is probably
the best walking robot I've seen so far
um it just seems so fluid and like it
actually has the mechanics under it it
doesn't seem like it's always about to
fall or thinking too
much interesting he looks still very
stilted but when I saw this stuff I was
like oh damn like this is a bot that
knows how to control what are those
things called hoverboards hoverboards
yeah that's pretty impressive riding a
bike very impressive
so now you don't need Bots that like are
a bike you can get bots that are able to
adjust to the world the way that it is
now which means that you don't have to
abruptly build new infrastructure for
the Bots to be useful that's the part
that I don't like if anybody's asking
themselves why are they working so hard
to make them humanoid aren't they going
to come in a bunch of other flavors yes
over time they certainly will but right
now you have you know however many years
of building infrastructure that assumes
that you're a human with two legs and
two arms and so now if you've got a bot
that can navigate that world you're in
much better shape somebody's dropped in
the Google Deep Mind robotics video uh
Eric I just liked that to you I didn't
realize Google had a
robot this was directly from their
Twitter page and it's based off of
Gemini 2.0 they bring cap capabilities
such as better reasoning interactivity
dexterity and generalization into the
physical world a new generation of
helpful
robots see what we got family of Gemini
models for robotics they're able to
understand the physical world in a lot
of detail understand motion and be able
to act in that physical world Gemini
robotics is our most advanced Vision
language action model for robotics that
means that it takes natural language
input and images and then outputs
actions they're really dextrous they're
doing some really intricate stuff like
folding origami or like packing lunch
there's this one task where we to put
the bread slice in like a zip lock you
can talk to them and physically move
stuff around as the robot is moving and
you can see them reacting to you my
favorite application is on the optronic
humanoid we have this task where the
robot is asked to spell a word with the
Scrabble tiles it's this cross-
embodiment dexterity reasoning they all
come together in this very cool task the
other model really enhanced the world
understanding of Gemini for robotics so
it will do things like detect all the
objects in 3D space or maybe even
identify parts of an object with
semantic key points okay so right now
this stuff feels really awkward and it
is admitted impressive but the right way
I think to look at this stuff is to you
have to project out 5 years but five
years of something very specific all of
these things are going to learn from all
of the other robots so when these sort
of really lame uh versions of Gemini
robot or uh Tesla Optimus whatever as
they get deployed as each one of them
does a task and gets human feedback
about whether that was good or bad
instantaneously all of the network Bots
learn from that think of that imagine
drew that I don't just learn from the
things that I research that I learn from
the things that you research that Lisa
researches that will researches Eric
everybody and now go out not 50 people
go out 100,000 people and in real time
I'm getting updated with everything that
they're learning every Improvement that
they have is now spread across the
network dude like that's where you get
into this superh human rate of
improvement that we're seeing in
self-driving cars where the cars are
just having to make so many decisions
and updating the entire network so that
on that road a Tesla has driven a
thousand times and they see oh the owner
had to take over here and they had to do
this and so it's just learning and
learning and learning and learning and
learning and the more that you get them
out there the more feedback that they're
giving within the network these things
will improve at a rate that is freakish
and so if people stop thinking about oh
that a year that's going to be super
lame and you start going what's it going
to be in 10 years MH it's going to be
insane dude in 20 years I'm old in 20
years I'm not even going to be 70 yet
I'm going to be in my 60s in 20 years so
it's like this stuff is going to be
extremely relevant to my old ass in 20
years what's it going to be for somebody
that right now is 10 they're only going
to be 30 and so they're going to live in
a world where the the world is just
proliferated by
robotics that's where all of this stuff
like when you start looking at it
through that lens you really start going
whoa this is going to be a world that my
current thinking has low predictive
validity on and so staying involved
understanding where this is going and
asking yourself one question over and
over and over and over and over how do I
today engage with that thing such that
I'm always a little bit ahead of
everybody else and I know people do not
like to think of this is a competition
let's just say you want to get ahead of
everybody else so you can be the one
that's most helpful great but
understanding that you want to learn
this stuff you want to be at The Cutting
Edge you want to be pushing your own
thinking your own engagement all of that
stuff you will deal with a period of
disruption far better than everybody
else who's freaked out who put their
head in the sand didn't pay attention to
this
stuff hold standing still pretending as
if it isn't happening is the only
mistake I've been kneed deep in a show
called May Kingstown also on Paramount
um that one's not as good it's a little
bit gritty I don't know if you'll be
into it this is Jeremy rener yeah it was
about like the prison complex and the
system and then we seen this link this
past week about the meta putting Quest
twos into California prisons for inmates
and salitary confinement cuz I think our
prison system is broken we talked about
it briefly earlier like private prisons
don't make sense to me but I think that
this is could be a positive way to
reprogram is the wrong word but kind of
help people rehabilitate themselves in a
cool way however it does look like a
brainwashing uh cutscene from like a
dystopian future of people like sitting
in solitary confinement with a headset
on like what's your take on VR in the
prison system it's all going to be stats
and the stats here are absolutely
incredible now this is very early and
who knows this is one person making a
claim but if these can be believed zoom
in a little bit because it says right
there um crazy part is that VR quote
unquote programming uh in with the VR
programming inmate infractions have
fallen
96% um to explain why I think this is so
powerful and is the kind of thing that
is very worth testing I don't know that
it'll play out well in the long run
everything is a hypothesis it's all
physics of progress uh State what's your
goal we want to reduce recidivism we
want to dramatically decrease um
violence of the inmates while they're in
prison as well Okay cool so let's say
that that's our end goal uh and our
hypothesis is that if we can transport
these people to a different world so
that they um don't feel so isolated that
they have like this opportunity to be
expansive all while we can influence the
way that their brain is working to get
them to make better choices a lot of
people uh that are in uh prison for
violent crimes have suffered brain
damage and so there's like all this
brain wiring stuff becomes a part of
this okay cool that's the hypothesis
that's the end goal we've got our kpis
uh recidivism and uh violent incursions
while they're in prison cool so now
we're going to pull the lever the reason
that I think that this probably will
yield tremendous outcomes
is the very first time I put on VR the
emotional reaction I had was why am I
pursuing wealth and I was like whoa that
is a very interesting insight into my
mind because I'd worked so hard uh cool
house had always been something that
drove me
and when I put VR on and realized wait a
second while I'm in VR I actually feel
that I'm looking at something real and
so the Vista of a mountain range or what
ever now feels real and so imagine a
world where either through VR AR glasses
or Holograms whatever you live in a tiny
apartment in Manhattan but when you look
at your windows which actually aren't
windows they're green screens uh they
are or you know something you can turn
on and off they're now showing you a
Vista so you're looking out your window
and you see outer space or you're
looking out your window and you see um
Paris whatever whatever you're thing is
and it feels real that that is going to
have a profound impact on somebody's
psychology and for the same reason that
you can get somebody to walk on a board
that's only two inches off the ground
but in VR they look like they're
standing on a really small metal beam
over a thousand foot drop their amygdala
lights up goes crazy and is screaming at
them you really are in danger so the
brain from an evolutionary standpoint is
designed to say I see it and it's real
and
therefore the amount of positive or
negative impact that we could have using
VR reprogramming I think is going to be
pretty extreme so if we can all admit
that them being in prison is an outcome
that we do not want then we have to do
something to reprogram them and so you
don't want that to be um something that
is worse for them you want it to be
something that is better for them but
yes I want to see people truly
rehabilitated in prison I want to see
them educated I want to see them as much
as we can um humanely address whatever
literal brain trauma they have that has
led them to that place anything that we
can do to uplift the human spirit so
that they are not they don't want to
return to a life of crime which I get
some people are just going to and that
just is what it is from a brain wiring
standpoint but yeah anything we can do
to help I think it would be awesome yeah
the weird thing about it though is like
the images that are on the VR set so
right now I'm hoping that it's positive
and they're only getting good things but
it can also get the range really quick
if they're like horror and they're like
torturing people or I'm thinking like
Minority Report that black G mirror
episode where like the VR image is now
manipulated to make that person suffer
as opposed to educate them yes that
would be God awful and that's why we
have rules against that kind of thing um
obviously I don't want to see people do
um cruel and unusual punishment uh I
don't want people tortured so whatever
the VR equivalent is of like they were
saying the Bots you would feed them
noise like I don't want them putting
them in VR in a way that's like horrible
like this is why you have to say what's
the end goal and so if the end goal is
punishment well then it's going to be a
very different VR but that's not the end
goal that I want for people um in fact
that's really interesting it's not quite
true there is a level of punishment but
if I could do a thing that I knew a 100%
guaranteed that that person would um
embody deep
remorse and
never do said bad thing again would I be
okay with it my immediate reaction is no
so there's something I would have to
process through uh because that's
probably a level of brain manipulation
that triggers not probably that's a
level of brain manipulation that
triggers my the unknown second and third
order consequences make me nervous yeah
uh and so I would tread into those
Waters slowly nice yeah things have to
withstand the test of time all right and
in other news anthropic CEO the founder
of Claude my AI talked about how coding
will reev AI will be the majority of
coding in the very near future yeah like
3 to six months um on one hand I think
comparative advantage is a very powerful
tool if I look at coding programming
which is one area where AI is making the
most progress um what we are finding is
we are not far from the world I think
we'll be there in three to six months
where AI is writing 90% of the code and
then in 12 months we may be in a world
where AI is writing essentially all of
the code all right so assume that he's
wrong about the timeline and it's really
in five years
um the fact that AI is getting so good
at writing code which does not surprise
me because this is a very defined
outcome unlike creative writing where
it's like uh I want you to make me feel
a certain way when I read it or when I
see it animated or whatever that's
really squishy that's going to be really
hard for AI to get good you just need a
ton of patterns um for AI to get good at
coding there's a known it needs to run
this it needs to do this thing and every
time you code and go in and adjust that
code the AI is looking at that and going
oh cool I see how to do this right I see
how to do it right ah um that it's going
to get very good very
fast I am surprised that people try to
brush off the level of disruption that
AI is going to bring to the job market
even though as an Act of Faith I choose
to believe that the future will be
better than the present I recognize we
will move through a period of massive
disruption and it will be very cold
comfort for a middle-of the road
programmer who right now can support
their family um they're going to get
replaced by
Ai and that's real and not having a
sense of what do we do about that this
is where it's going to catch people off
guard you're going to get that major
push back because the emotional response
that people will have is [ __ ] Ai and
then they're going to get very
aggressive and they're going to Rally
around the government to make changes
and if we're talking like if he's even
remotely close and this happens in the
next 18 months um dude people are going
to feel some kind of way about this you
do not want to sweep this under the rug
this is one that you want to say okay
what are we going to do here what are we
going to do about this because this
one's this one's going to be a wrecking
ball so here's what I think that we do
about it uh dear everybody you are going
to have to take control of your own life
you are going to have to figure out how
not to get left behind by AI uh
this is also part of the reason I want
to onshore manufacturing there has to be
an off-ramp for people that are not
going to be able to or have the desire
to keep up with um the white color jobs
that are going to rapidly race away from
them and we've got to have a way for
people to have dignity meaning and
purpose through a trade of some kind so
not everybody has to work in a factory
but if we have this idea of we need to
make things do things here in the US I
think it's orientationally more
advantageous now will those jobs also be
replaced by robots many of them will for
sure um and that moves us into where I
was going in the beginning which is you
need to take control of your life you
need to ask yourself how can I use AI to
make things that people want that I'm
not going to be able to fold myself into
a company in the way that we've been
able to do historically companies are
going to become much smaller in scope
from a Personnel perspective more people
are going to have to step into the role
of not necessarily like an entrepreneur
in the way that we think about it now
but you're going to be become a part of
a very small group that serves a very
Niche population I've talked about
dropping the the world right now um the
economic world that we have right now is
all these companies of all different
sizes from very small to very large
that's going to break and it's going to
be mostly a bunch of very small
companies and then very large companies
and I think that the number of big
companies that will that will shatter
into uh thousands of little pieces is
going to be very extreme
and so you need to uh bone up on not
being not needing somebody to tell you
what to do you need to focus on becoming
self-directed um to shake off the notion
of when the cat's away the mice will
play there's not going to be anybody
looking over your shoulder you're going
to have to decide what outcome you're
trying to achieve and you're going to
have to figure out how to get yourself
there and for an education system that
teaches people to be good cogs in the
machine this is going to be very
disruptive uh bang drum for educational
reform so that's where we're at nice uh
I feel like his timeline was off to be
quite Frank because I feel like you
saying five years I think the year is is
a better Mark by next year if
everybody's not using AI especially in
the software engineering world you're
just shooting yourself in your foot I
feel like so I think I I think it is
true that everybody overestimates what
you can do in a year and you
underestimate what you can do in three
um yes yeah there there's no doubt now I
will say that he's very close to the the
problem uh
so he's probably overly ambitious but I
if you're thinking is much Beyond 18 if
you're a coder and you're thinking as
much Beyond 18 months you're probably
making a mistake I would just right now
today man just do it now and look listen
I see this at impact Theory to the point
where the executive team is talking
almost daily how do we get you guys to
embrace AI now some people do but there
are other people in the the company that
clearly there's an anxiety over it there
is a desire to poo poo it and say but it
it doesn't do it today my job is so
nuanced AI is not going to be able to do
it it's like bro that is just I get it
as a writer I'm looking at it going okay
it doesn't get me all the way across the
finish line but I'm constantly pushing
okay but how close can it get me how how
much can it extend my abilities how much
can it speed me up rather than lamenting
I'm not going to be sitting down and
writing the way that I always thought I
was going to be as a kid that that
reality gone MH
um if I could get people to distrust
that anxiety and say the only path
forward is to embrace this incredible
tool and I'm going to learn how to use
it that that would be my ideal but it is
very hard to get people when they're
scared to think clearly we'll get back
to the show in a moment but first the
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investing today and now let's get back
to the show Lisa in the chat um Eric I
just slacked you a picture that's
hilarious Drew don't judge a Woman based
on her husband the funny thing is babe I
thought the exact same thing I was like
oh my poor wife so we um we're working
with a company or we were considering I
can't remember if this is the one that
we moved forward with but anyway there
was going to be a company that was going
to help Lisa uh and the first thing that
they said was you need to create
distance between you and your husband
because now that your husband talks
politics it is hurting your channel and
I was like my poor wife because because
of me uh she is getting drugged down
it's all too true it's all too true
don't judge a Woman by her husband
actually I lie judge a Woman by her
husband 100% it is true because I was
literally just talking to oh God I won't
say who I was talking to I am certain
they will hear this and they will
recognize themselves and I said uh if
your woman is not in your ear pushing
you to be a better more aggressive man
you need to replace her I did a
screenshot so it's EAS to pull it up
boys and girls that is how in fact
gentlemen out there I'm saying right now
uh if you are if you're with somebody
who's not making you better stronger
more aggressive it's time to it's time
to swap out that's just real talk now
that is my wife
hardcore was pushing me when we were
living in her mother's house that woman
was nonstop trying to motivate me to be
a better person and uh I will eternally
be grateful to her for
that um okay so Robert Zane uh reposted
what Lisa posted yesterday if we can
zoom in on that so Tom can see
it so for those listening posted this
this was lisais yeah Lisa posted yeah on
the left side what do you see in him and
it's a old picture of Lisa and Tom
there's the caption dirt P what is hear
unemployed not youre and then on the
right you're so luy hot successful
stylish he so smart and it just shows
you don't makes me emotional like I
am I'm not a crier but if something were
going to move me I literally see I
literally see like the gloss on the eyes
this is beautiful uh man I am so glad
that we got together when we literally
had nothing God I look terrible uh and
you're wearing a man bag by the way well
okay okay hold on hold
on that was to carry a dog in my defense
so yes I will MERS it uh for my dog
shout out to Batman who was our our
first dog uh yes so hiding in that bag
is a little dog that you can't see but
um my wife then
girlfriend was
extraordinarily good at making me feel
good about who I was
ly and making it abundantly clear that I
better get
better how you pull that off like that
is tough because she had to make me feel
good about who I was otherwise uh I'm
not here for somebody that's hanging me
yeah uh she had to make me feel good
about who I was but at the same time had
to be pushing me in a direction to be
better now the crazy thing is I don't
know how consciously she was doing it it
would actually be very interesting uh
next Monday Lisa is going to be um being
she's going to be here with me in the
the co-host seat so it'll be interesting
to Reas this question chat please remind
me um but I don't know how consciously
she was doing it but she was doing it
and if I can just talk really nakedly I
often speak in uh in an oblique way on
this
but women when you're in a romantic
relationship with somebody you have many
tools that other people don't have the
most important of them is sex and you
have to be careful because you want to
walk a fine line you don't want to be
sexually
manipulative but using sex like one
thing my wife could always do for me
that has always been so
powerful when I did something that was
powerful in the world um stood up for
myself pushed for more was aggressive
she would give give me that look of like
oh my God you're really turning me on
right now and then would richly reward
me for my very masculine drive for the
pursuit um to work harder to push
farther to stand up for myself like
because my journey has been one of
learning to be stronger tougher more
aggressive that was not my default
State and by rewarding me in the ways
that only a wife can it really put me
down a path uh that I have
that has yielded tremendous results in
the world and it's like I want that
thing for people I want people to
understand the dynamic in a romantic
relationship that has existed for all of
human history where when you reward
behavior that you want to see more of
and you people are going to hate this
language punish behaviors you want to
see less
of it will shape somebody and when
you're a unit and you have the unit's
best interests at heart now it's like I
want something that's good for us and so
I'm not pushing you like this to be a
[ __ ] I'm pushing you like this because
this is what I believe is good for the
unit given that we have a stated goal of
what we're trying to achieve these
behaviors are or are not going to take
us there and I want to reward those and
so I am so glad that I found
a in my
wife not somebody who
um not somebody who I want to get away
from or I look down on like I was never
the guy that was like I just want to be
with my boys and my girl thinks so dumb
ball and chain yeah I was like man I
don't understand that approach to life
so having a peer somebody who wanted
what was good for the unit which also
happened to be good for me and knew how
to reward me boy oh boy and there was uh
speaking of not being a crier one of the
times in my life where I legitimately
wept was this was long before cameras
were a part of the picture I could see
what she was doing I could see she was
making me a better
person and I really broke down one day
because I was getting credit for
something I don't even remember what M
uh and I said no one you're never going
to get the credit you deserve for the
man that I'm
becoming and
and I was like really devastated by that
because I was like [ __ ] I don't know how
to articulate this I don't know how to
um because at that time she was a
housewife and so I was like [ __ ] like I
don't know how to pull this into the
world and say like yo I fully recognize
that you are my peer I fully recognize
that I'm married to my equal and I don't
know how to get you credit for
everything you've ever done I couldn't
predict that I'd be on camera one day
and be able to get to you know say
things like this for the world to
see that's what I want for people it's
awesome that's beautiful you give me
hope Tom love is still out there love is
out there I feel like I'm like your
single friend in like a romcom and
you're just like oh I'm just like yeah
okay then I go home and like eat snacks
on my couch or something and eat a tub
of ice cream um okay you want to talk to
teris uh I kind of want to talk about
you eating the chips and the ice cream
uh let's just real fast close that Loop
because because the streets are trash
social media and dating apps have really
created
delusion I think we've talked about this
before but if I could do a PSA for a
second okay I think the following is the
primary
problem because there are so many other
fish in the
sea people are trying to optimize for
the perfect match off the Jump
like not even the perfect match the that
they meet the checklist perfectly
yeah that was one thing Lisa and I did
not fall prey to and so in the beginning
I'm sure despite the initial attraction
in fact not I'm sure let me be very
specific when I decided when I was
thinking seriously about propos
proposing to
Lisa I actually wrote a pros and cons
list and there were cons and there were
things about her that I not only didn't
like that I was very worried about on a
long enough timeline would be so
problematic that I should not move
forward with her wow uh the one that I
remember so clearly she gets sick a
lot and I was like I'm not a caretaker
That's Not My Vibe I just hey I'm glad
that there are some people and I respect
the [ __ ] out of people that are
caretakers I'm not one of them and I was
like am I really going to uh move
forward with somebody that
is that is sick frequently am I actually
going to be able to deal with that and
there were other things I actually don't
remember them I'm not being koi if I
remember them I just [ __ ] say them
uh but when I looked at the pros list I
was like the the exact I said to myself
at the end of that list was I'm either
never getting married or I'm marrying
this woman but I would say to her
face I bet there are there are other
people out there that I could marry and
I would have just as wonderful of a
life and so I don't want you to feel
like you have to constantly be looking
over your shoulder to make sure that
there's nobody better than you what this
is is commitment so I have a tattoo that
I got when we got married as a ritual IC
scarification I know it sounds silly
because everybody gets tattoos now but
that's how I approached it it is the
only tattoo that I have despite my wife
practically begging me to get more
tattoos because she [ __ ] finds it
sexy and my thing is no I wanted to do
something painful to be a different
person the day after getting married
than I was the day before so we got
married and then uh after our honeymoon
for reasons that don't matter I ended up
getting the tattoo as a way to remind
myself I'm now a different man and there
are only four words on it and one of
them is commitment and commitment is
saying I get that there are other fish
in the sea I get that there are more
beautiful women than you and that
doesn't matter to me I'm in a
relationship with you we have chosen
each other I am committed to making this
relationship work not a relationship
work this relationship that's good and
so I understand that you're not perfect
as I understand that I am not perfect
and so each of us have a pros and cons
list on the other person but we draw a
line and for me that was The Proposal
The Proposal was hard for me I was like
am I really going to do
this the marriage was easy because once
I made a decision that was that I was
ready to get the tattoo as a part of The
Proposal I didn't and I think it's
better in terms of Pomp and
Circumstances ceremony to do it around
the wedding but that to me was the line
was like once I propose that's the end
game and now we're in this social media
and dating
apps have given people the exact
opposite understanding of what a
relationship is there's always somebody
I can swipe to and get to the next
person get to the next person get to the
next person
um you're going to be with somebody
who's going to shape
you shape and be shaped want that don't
want this is them right from the jump
now I get it people are like oh this
[ __ ] wants to change me yeah that's
Evolution welcome to the party yeah and
it's interesting to say that because I'm
also I'm starting to realize that you
have to want that level of
accountability because it does take uh
understanding of self to say I am okay
with being changed I want to be changed
um me having like a child early I was
forced to handle responsibility in a
different way than some of my friends
so right after I had Lyn my senior year
in college so I didn't have that
transition of like o now I have a
full-time job and I have like
discretionary spending like I'm still
living as a college student but I'm
getting paid 80 grand let me go do some
things like it was a different kind of
level so I went right from school to
like domestic mode so I took one
responsibility on and kind of carried on
another so I never had that like [ __ ]
boy phase of just like out here spending
money or just out here like traveling
going on vacation taking a bunch of
Instagram pictures and I think that a
lot of times what I'm been running
against is that I would meet somebody
that likes who they are and it's to your
point of take me as I am but then with
me have always like that well you know
we got to do this and we got to do this
like we have to go to the next
responsibility that can sometimes be a
trigger for certain people and that's
something that I didn't I had to
acknowledge in myself as well like okay
not everybody wants to become a better
version of themselves not everybody
wants to get better not everybody has
that mindset um so it's interesting that
you kind of put that nail of like change
and be changed because some people are
resistant to change some people want to
just be like this and have somebody who
loves them like this and they want to
stay in this box and but you can also do
it in a [ __ ] way that's really [ __ ]
horrible and makes the guy want to
donkey punch you and get the [ __ ] out so
this is where and I do see the red light
will um this is where like it is a dance
and if my wife did not make me feel if
my girlfriend did not make me feel
better about who I was when I was with
her than when I wasn't she would never
have become my wife MH so it's like you
have to earn the right to shape Somebody
by letting them know I'm Into You right
now today and I can't wait to see who we
can become together that was the vibe
that was the energy now there were
definitely times where people have heard
me tell the story a million times it was
ultimately shame that pushed me to make
change and my then Fon was not impressed
that she had a job I did not she would
come home and I would just be at like
12:30 or something and I would just be
crawling out of bed and I only got out
of bed so I could make her a sandwich I
mean it's really crazy when I tell the
story that it was actually true it was
actually true uh and that my hair wasn't
done and I was wearing my pajamas still
and she was just like this isn't cool
she was just like you don't even do your
hair and so there was this element of
like what are you doing and so all of
that leads to change but then if I do my
hair and I show up you got to be like yo
I love this this is so cool like thank
you you can't be like well finally like
you did the thing like she was just like
oh my God I love it your hair looks so
great like this is fantastic thank you
so much like this really means a lot to
me that you're up and you're excited and
so it was there were rewards think of it
like a bank account you can make
withdrawals if you've made enough
deposits if you have not made enough
deposits you can't make a withdrawal
yeah it's good way to put it good way to
put it oh this is a good one here we go
all right criticism I'll even read this
one out loud will uh Tom you are such a
cuck which I'm guessing spelled weird
because otherwise you would get grabbed
uh women date across and up agreed uh
she would have left you long ago had
your performance not accelerated
okay are we saying that's bad uh they
want the winners at the Finish Line yes
uh out of touch or mating out of touch
on mating dating other wise I love your
content Jake thank you so first of all
guys I I have no problem with criticism
whatsoever so by all means uh bring it
because if you see something that I
don't you're only going to make me
smarter so Jake here is what I would say
to
that the whole point of shaping and
being shaped is that you want a better
version I've gotten a better version of
Lisa over time and if Lisa did not have
a growth mindset and Lisa were a problem
and Lisa were making this I did make you
broke Lisa that is for sure um for a
while I made up for it uh if Lisa became
a problem I would have left Lisa So Lisa
and I have been very clear with each
other that this is not um unconditional
love that there are lines that can't be
crossed and if Lisa were making me
miserable and this were a Loveless
marriage and she didn't have a growth
mindset and she was dragging me down
then I wouldn't stay in that
relationship either so 100% if she were
still the same person that I married I
would have zero interest if I were still
the same person that she married I
assume she would have zero interest so
this is about having a shared goal that
you um have articulated and then you're
moving towards that goal now in Lisa's
defense she actually at one point really
pushed me to make a decision that was
financially terrible uh I came home one
day and she said okay you are now
damaging our marriage she didn't say in
the pursuit of wealth but that was the
thing hiding
I had become so unhappy at my job
because I was just showing up every day
trying to get rich trying to prove that
my father-in-law was wrong um I want to
read that comment from Lisa hold on uh
and she said look I don't care about the
money I want you to be happy and so she
has earned her stripes in that she has
proven when it really mattered she was
like we we were going to move to a small
town in Greece where we could rent like
a small little place and I could write a
screenplay because she believed one she
believed that I would be good enough at
that that we'd then be able to come back
to Hollywood and take it over so there
was still ambition hiding in all of that
she wasn't like yeah surrender your life
but she was like do do a thing that
you're fun to be around do a thing that
makes you happy she was like you used to
be so alive and she was like you're so
unhappy and you will come home and
you'll say literally don't ask me about
my day I I don't want to think about it
I don't want to talk about it when I
would drive into the office it was like
driving into a place with storm clouds
over it drew for years I couldn't go to
Marina del Rey without feeling like I
was going into that Darkness because
that period of my life was so dark and
my wife who wanted to see me do better
make more money be the guy that crosses
the Finish Line was like your happiness
and our shared love of day-to-day life
is so important to me I don't give a
[ __ ] if you have to step backwards I
don't care if we've got to be even
poorer for an unknown number of years MH
I want to be happy I want to enjoy today
now again this was still in pursuit of
being ambitious and going and doing the
thing that I loved and all of that but
she had a chance to be like [ __ ] you I'm
going to go find somebody else and
instead said I want you to be happy all
right uh Lisa Billy says Jake is seeing
it from his own lens of course as we all
do because it's so not true that I worry
why he thinks that in the first place so
In fairness to Jake the streets really
do strike me as trash right now and I
think that there is massive dysfunction
in the frame of reference of people who
always want to swipe Left Right which
one says uh right right right is I want
to find somebody else oh left left I
don't like right I'm I'm into it got it
so they want to swipe left to find
somebody else always more more swiping
left even on their own person
uh I get why people want to do that but
it is a mistake ultimately you're going
to realize that nobody is perfect and
that you are going to um either be alone
or a string of relationships or you're
going to find somebody who is as
imperfect as you and you're going to
find a way to navigate this life a
little better because you have somebody
that removes some of your blind spots
with the Department of educ
I would say look at the outcome of a
policies this is why I'm like you have
to
understand uh you need to State what
your goal is you need to say what the
kpi is that represents that goal and
then you say this is the thing that
we're going to try to do to affect this
so take the Department of Education
we're trying to uh move our standing in
the global rankings okay that would be a
very simple way to track this
uh since the Department of
Education got came into existence we
have held uh flat or moved backwards I
think there are very few places where
we've actually made very minor
improvements and so given that I would
say it has failed to do its job now is
getting rid of it the answer or do you
have to go in and make adjustments that
I will say we're about to find out
because they're I think they're going to
try to abolish it so 50% already cut
really yeah they got emails last night
that by Tuesday morning they have to
have their Tuesday evening they have to
have their stuff packed up uh what did
they use as the method of determining
what 50% to cut o that's a thing that we
need to go deeper on yeah so that'll be
interesting but I if you if we can't
agree that as of today the Department of
Education has failed to achieve its
goals now we're in trouble but if we can
agree that the Department of Education
has failed to achieve its goals then
it's like okay
what changes do we need to make in order
to get the outcomes that we want now I
think a lot of people believe that the
Department of Education is going to be
cut and then it's just like well good
luck um all of the things that are being
done are shifting off to other
departments um I've heard a breakdown I
don't have it memorized but we'd have to
look it up but it's like things are
going to be shifted over into different
departments to make sure that um for
instance I think the Department of
Justice is going to handle whether
um different communities are being
treated differently so like Racial
equality that's going to go through the
Department of Justice so the things that
we want the Department of Education to
do will be handed off to different
institutions it's right
now self-evident to me that we are not
achieving our goals and therefore we
have to do something different so the
definition of insanity is to do the same
thing and expect a different outcome now
what Eric Weinstein thinks about this I
have no idea I've not heard him talk
about it so uh if somebody wants to pull
up a tweet that he's done uh although he
does tend on the long side of tweets uh
so it might have to review for the next
one um but I'd be very interested to
know how they determined what 50% to uh
Slash because if they're doing that
poorly then you're not going to get any
positive outcome from all of
this and there it is there it is um
pulling it up right now the focus is to
reallocate the resources to the students
parents and the teachers and cutting
some of these extra programs it's
similar to the Dei roll back that been
doing across the government um that
still feels vague what does that mean
what do you know does it list what
programs were actually cut it's just
that the staff of 4100 is going to be
cut in half and that's with layoffs and
the buyouts that they did earlier in in
his administration got it so if it
follows that then it's basically who are
the people that will voluntarily go yeah
um who are the newest people hired so
it's a blunt instrument I don't expect
that to yield fantastic results it will
lower the cost of the Department of
Education that is not going to
automatically increase the output of the
Department of Education meaning that we
move up in stature in language and
Mathematics and all of that stuff um so
that makes me very sad now when I'm
advising business owners I always say is
there somebody that has done this well
before if it is go audit them figure out
what they did um I always round
everything to Kip schools and so forgive
me if it isn't specifically kip but
there are charter schools that are
absolutely crushing it and so looking at
the um Charter Schools I think it be a
very good way I will shorthand what I
have learned at my um surface enough
level of
analysis uh but it goes something like
this you have to hold kids accountable
to a very aggressive standard you have
to set expectations so from the moment
they come into a school uh charter
school students are told you are going
to college you are going to graduate um
and they have teachers that are held
accountable to the results of the
students in their class and if those
teachers are not able to deliver the
results those teachers are replaced uh
so you have evolutionary pressures on
the teacher you have evolutionary
pressures on the students uh you set the
expectation you hold people accountable
to a high standard we've really gotten
um into a weird place in America where
we think that holding a kid to a
standard is mean because not all kids
are going to be able to make the
standard but that that's just the
reality so for instance I was unable to
get into the advanced program when I was
in Middle School I managed to pull it
off when I got into high school but I
wasn't able to do it in middle school
was that mean I would say not if I
wasn't ready for it I wasn't ready for
it and that's just that so um it put me
in a position where I wanted to work
harder so that I could do better now
unfortunately the way that that all
plays out in my psychology was
absolutely terrible because I just end
up cheating like a fiend in high
school uh I learned my lesson by the
time I got to college boys and girls but
nonetheless uh putting those kinds of
expectations on people
allows for all of us to step back and
say who's hitting the standard who's not
remembering that skills have utility so
if you can do that thing it means you're
actually capable in the real world of
something that other people are not and
then um that will give us a much clearer
sense
of how we get the output that we want
and right now by lowering standards
lowering standards lowering standards we
have an invisible goal of I just want
kids to feel
good period Now new
paragraph I don't think that I think
that it is deeply embedded in the human
psyche that if our praise is contingent
on somebody protecting us from the
reality that we are not good at
something there is an internal feeling
of unease and I think a big part of
anxiety comes from uh knowing that you
need somebody else to defend you that
you're not able to defend your own
position and so when you're getting that
trophy for uh participation that some
part of you knows I'm not as good as the
other people and I know that and so uh
let's just take basketball as something
that I am just unbelievably bad
at when I was playing basketball as a
freshman I did not understand that if I
practiced I would get better so every
time I went out on the court it felt
like an indictment of who I was as a
person
and nobody was able to pierce my frame
of reference to get me to understand
that if I practiced I could get better
and since I could get better I needed to
be held accountable to every time I
stepped on the court that I was trying
to get a little bit smarter I was trying
to get a little bit better and that I
should be um listening to coaches and
taking the criticism as a way to improve
instead of as this indictment of myself
so if somebody had stood up for me and
said no no no you've got to give this
time this kid time on the court
everybody deserves time on the court I
would know every time I stepped on the
court but I suck and so why are you
putting me in and I would have this deep
unease uh around that and
so I would want people to learn how to
step into that Arena and say okay you
have a frame of reference that this is
an indictment of you but the reality is
that skills have utility and you can get
good at this you may not ever be as good
as other people uh because we all have a
starting we all have biologically
real our our skills are tied to our
biology call it roughly 50% cool but you
can get a hundred times better at
anything if that had been the frame of
reference that I had then uh it becomes
a very different game than feeling like
I need other people to step in on my
behalf which is a very fragile place to
live
period do you think that education
should be
privatized you have traumatized me with
PR
prisons so deeply
um I think that there should be a
private option that is for sure so that
we can see do private schools yield
better results if they yield better
results is there anything that stops the
governmental education from copying
those things but education is one of the
things that my knee-jerk reaction is
that should not be exclusively
privatized because I want my tax dollars
going to the Next Generation like that
if you
um if you want to make me feel good
about my
taxes take my money and make the next
generation of
just assassins that's I tried to get
around that word Drew and I just
couldn't that that is the word that my
mind born identity the whole Next
Generation yeah I but but obviously
intellect I get you yeah I get
you uh okay so as we're as I'm going
through it I'm on a rotor's article
right now I can drop the link in the
Discord so the Department of Education
it does not is not the source of bulk
public school funding so public school
funding comes from the state and local
governments more than 85% of that comes
from their local municipalities so
cutting the department of education does
not mean that education the state and
local schools is automatically done it's
only about
15% um also Linda McMahon who's Vince
McMahon's wife who leads the Department
of Education I just find that hilarious
um she said that to be honest they
cannot outright cut the department
without a vote from Congress so although
they're slashing it down and they're
reducing the size of it there's no way
it could go to zero without a
Congressional vote um a majority of the
department oversees student loans pel
grants and special need um funding for
special need programs funds the art
programs and outplaced out and replaces
outdated infrastructure so the
Department of Education as I'm reading
it and again I'll link this they're kind
of the stop Gap to help certain certain
schools and certain municipalities they
fund certain programs on top of the
existing School structure that's already
there and they also enforce Title 9
guidelines that prohibits sex
discrimination in
education
word in 2024 their budget was $251
billion which includes mandatory
spending along with the Student Loan
program pel grants and grants for
vacational
training so Department of Education
their funding and their allocation in a
nutshell thank you reuer link will be
posted in the dis chat in the Discord
yeah I just uh I don't understand why
more people aren't screaming from the
rooftops that we are not getting a good
outcome that is a crazy part to me um
Thomas Soul wrote a book called charter
schools and their
enemies I'm pretty sure that's the the
exact title uh but the the central
question of that book is why would
people push back against this idea where
you have one set of um principles that
yield an absolutely god- awful outcome
and then you have another set of
principles that yield a great
outcome that's where I want to see
people focus what is the desired output
and is that system yielding that output
and if not you need to be making changes
to that system and there needs to be a
cohesive um hypothesis on why the
changes that you're going to make are
actually going to yield that outcome and
it is really interesting America makes a
lot of sense or the left in America
makes a lot of sense when you understand
this idea of wanting to psychologically
protect children from the realities that
they're not as good as somebody else
um but that yields a really bad outcome
we'll get back to the show in a moment
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hire and now let's get back to the show
Trump with tariff or tariff with the
premiere of Ontario so you said you were
traveling you didn't catch up on this we
got to start at the beginning with this
one no no no the Tariff thing I well if
you have a clip please play it yes uh
but I am certainly at least headline
deep on the Tariff side let me be clear
I will not hesitate to inrease this
charge if necessary if the United States
escalates I will not hesitate to shut
the electricity off
completely believe me when I say I do
not want to do this I feel terrible for
the American people because it's not the
American people who started this trade
War it's one person who's respons
responsible that's president Trump I'd
rather be working together I want to
sell the us more energy more electricity
more critical minerals pause it I want
to make Canada and the United States
this is going to be interesting so this
is all part of the chaos that President
Trump is creating with the way that he
approaches negotiations I need to read
his the art of the deal because from
what I hear he says plainly in the art
of the deal that you want to create
chaos
uh that you want to be patient you want
to let people have their freak out but
ultimately if you have leverage they're
going to come back to the table um it is
my understanding that they have since
backed off of this so big talk and then
backed off it's very telling that Trump
said they've got a strong man uh I get
it this is these are the going to be the
kinds of things that they're going to
say but they've already backed off this
and I think he said I respect that they
backed off of it um so he likes tough
guys so when when people are freaking
out being like yo I'm going to [ __ ] you
up whatever uh he's not he's non plused
and he's going to ratchet up and I have
a feeling he's doing this cold
calculation behind the scenes of like
where's our leverage and if I have the
leverage [ __ ] these kids now the rest of
us like oh God like this is so chaotic
um the markets are freaking out because
they don't like chaos I think people are
very wrong to ATT tribute to Elon and
Trump that they're playing like some uh
[ __ ] tesser chess where it's like no
no no like we want it's all
anti-inflationary and we're going to pop
this bubble and we're going to drive the
economy uh in the tank so that the
average person can buy assets holy [ __ ]
that I buy that as much as I buy people
saying uh just shoot me in the air bro
uh [ __ ] that there's no way when you
freak out the um the
markets you don't know what way they're
going to go so there's no Universe in
which even if they get the outcome even
if that is what ends up playing
out ill advised you don't understand how
you might cause the market to freak the
[ __ ] out and cause Untold damage to
people no way uh don't buy that now do
they create chaos and then go oh
actually now that the economy is tanking
that's all right people will be able to
buy at a discount sure that I will
believe that they create a problem and
then go well but there's like a positive
that will come out of it always look on
the bright side of life but I don't buy
that this is Tess chess so um I think
Trump creates chaos I need to read the
art of the deal but I have heard people
say that that is a thing that he States
plainly in the book and so we are
watching we are living through that
chaos right now so
he wants to establish himself as the big
boy he looks at the world and I'm taking
this from things he's actually said he
looks at the world and says okay
previous governments have allowed us to
be taken advantage of because they this
that part he has said The Following part
is my um interpretation that they're
playing nice boy global politics and
they want to get along with everybody I
don't care about that in the slightest
um I'm going to
Flex our muscle I'm going to show people
that if they want access to the American
economy that they're going to give us
the quote unquote respect that we're due
um and what comes of that comes of that
and in the long term he believes that
that will be better for America uh he's
playing a game of chicken that that is
the right way in my estimation to look
at this and when you play chicken you
may crash headlong into the other person
not blinking and the other person in all
of this that I worry about is China so
I'm not worried about Canada Canada will
fold they just don't have as he would
say they don't have the cards so don't
have the cards yeah so Canada doesn't
have the cards so you can probably be
pretty ham-handed with Canada and still
get your way you can probably be pretty
ham-handed with Mexico and still get
your way can't be ham-handed with China
they are a pure competitor uh they are a
pure competitor militarily they are a
pure competitor economically and so uh
on that one you you could have a head-on
collision and so man I'll be real
[ __ ] careful with that so will will
they get something positive out of all
of this maybe uh would it be wise to
look back on this and be like separate
two things will it be wise to look back
on this and if asset prices going down
allows people to buy in and that would
be good by the way uh do we look back on
this and go they did that on purpose
well played no that would be a fo wait
shoot me in the ear that's exactly how I
feel about that that could go so [ __ ]
wrong it's just not worth the risk uh on
the other side
establishing America as a manufacturing
Force I think is important um in fact
this is the criticism that Destiny had
of me that uh he Tom does Tom not
understand I think he called it
comparative advantage does he not
understand he does understand
comparative advantage I know he does so
why is he saying this and I'm saying
this because I believe this map people's
base assumptions I believe we're in a
cold war with China uh I believe that we
must onshore certain critical
manufacturing the thing that I care most
about are what are the things that lead
to our modern way of life so that's
going to be energy that's going to be
chips that's going to be Rare Earth
minerals like we've got to find uh ways
of getting that stuff inhouse um that's
why I get what he's doing with the
Ukraine Andor Russia quite frankly
um having a larger degree of distrust
for China I think is
wise so not getting your Rare Earth
minerals from China I think is smart um
so with that base
assumption that's why I say you Trump's
tariffs will onshore certain things and
that is a good thing um but not to be
confused with I don't I think that Trump
is inviting a level of chaos that is so
high risk both are true yeah it's was
very chaotic Ontario clapped back with
their tariffs Trump was like okay 25 is
turning into 50 and then ultimately
Ontario walked their back Howard luik
went over there and they're allegedly
reworking the uh North America trade
deal so hopefully to your point of him
causing chaos is just a inciting
incident to bring everybody to the table
so that way they can sit down and then
start talking through and maybe get
better and fair trade deals but it it is
chaotic and the markets have reacted and
people are nervous um but you bought up
the destiny clip so it made me want to
pull that up to Destiny's point he did
say that across theboard Terra were bad
and you like yeah if he does across
theboard Terrace that would be like
[ __ ] crazy and Trump is doing across
theboard Terrace right now right so do
you hear me championing them now or do
you hear me being very consistent with
that because my hypothesis remains that
you're going to put yourself in a
position where you are now playing
chicken now admittedly I don't know how
it will play out and the more I look
into tariff
no he's not changing his he don't say it
no it's all roads all the roads every
sign falls away and all roads lead to
Rome no no he's not about to say it I'm
making a dramatic assumption for
literally no reason I'm just I'm making
a dramatic assumption for no reason he's
going to say the more I look into it the
more I'm realizing it is a really bad
thing but also he's already done the
tariffs but it's not even bad that he's
done the TS he's like I'm waiting to see
how this plays
out how long he already did them and the
more I look into tariffs the more I'm
like okay it it has one outcome which is
it will onshore manufacturing
no
no no I we just have to have a business
talk because Tom this is also a thing he
he Tom
knows Tom absolutely knows what
comparative advantage is I know he I
know from personal conversations not in
those economic words but like if I were
to go to Tom Tom I need business advice
I'm really really really good at
streaming I'm so bad at like managing my
um at my email and my finances okay help
me get better at managing my email and
my finances Tom would say why are you
wasting your time on emailing your
finances if you're really good at
streaming pay somebody to do that [ __ ]
why the [ __ ] would you waste your
[ __ ] time doing something you're not
that good at it's not even making that
much money for you you can make way more
money just stream more pay somebody else
to do it oh [ __ ] Tom good good idea
you're right
United States of America hi um we have
highly productive labor we're really
good at like last stage of assembly on
products and we lead the world in Tech
and
AI that is true but uh do you guys like
manufacture widgets well no but we just
like buy the wges from somewhere else
[ __ ] that why the [ __ ] would we hold on
have you thought about cutting back on
your most productive work and pulling
back on [ __ ] [ __ ] like Tech and Ai
and getting back into manufacturing
widgets Maybe wouldn't that be wouldn't
that be kind of cool if you made your
own widgets no actually it doesn't sound
cool at all it actually sounds like it
would be a major step back treating the
government like a business has wild
downsides so cue anybody freaking out
but wait that's what Trump and Elon are
doing yep so this is where
um nailing down somebody's base
assumptions is very important if you
take my base assumption to be that I
believe that we are in a potential
headlong Collision or head on collision
with China that they control too much of
our manufacturing base that not
controlling our manufacturing base puts
us in a weakened position that we are
racing towards thusi trap meaning China
and America right now have a
gravitational pull to
fight if we are going to fight China
cannot control our manufacturing
therefore even though I get what he
means by comparative advantage in a
company that is absolutely true but this
is all about what is the outcome that
you want my expected outcome of allowing
China to continue to manufacture
essentially everything for the world
including us is that we are in a
weakened position uh from a
manufacturing standpoint on a whole host
of levels not the least of which is
militarily we will therefore lose a
conflict with China certainly just to
keep it simple over Taiwan Taiwan as of
right now today controls chip
manufacturing which is your entire
modern way of life so once you
understand that as my base assumption
then even though I get comparative
advantage and hey it was a fun moment to
live through where we could disperse
everything around the globe uh and let
people specialize and they do the thing
that they specialize in we do the thing
that we specialize in and everybody's
happy the problem is that made China
strong which created through cidi trap
and so as America has declined for a
whole host of reasons not just because
of globalism but protecting your Empire
becomes incredibly expensive so as
America has declined and China Has Come
On The Rise you set up up through Cid's
trap where we are going to collide with
China and I'm saying you've got to be
prepared for that Collision so in a time
where globalism is the play yes you want
everybody to specialize as you set up
through the C's trap you cannot be in
that weekend
position okay now I've talked
extensively about Trump is playing a
game of chicken with the chaos that he's
creating with across the board tariffs
and I don't know if in the long run we
will be better off or worse off we will
find out but you must bring some
manufacturing back to the US and for the
reasons that I just talked about and the
fact another base assumption that I have
that deaths of Despair among young men
are largely due to the fact that there
is a large cohort of American men that
are not going to find white color jobs
and if there's no bluecollar jobs for
them to have you create a very big
problem and so another way that you
solve that is by bringing manufacturing
back to the US okay so there it is
that's my take
push back no I'm I'm formulating my
question because I think that having the
government run by a
businessman isn't he taking a business
as a government perspective but you
think when it comes to tariffs and this
specific case there's greater
implication so that's why it's an
exception I'm saying that you can draw
the parallel to business forever if you
want but you've got to come back out to
30,000 feet and say okay what makes a
business work what makes a business work
is you have a desired outcome that you
state you hold everybody accountable to
kpis and you try a thing I call it the
physics of progress and you see did it
move the kpi in the direction that we
wanted it to move running government
like that makes all the sense in the
world now as you drill in to treating a
government as a onetoone with a a
company you start getting things like in
a company you do want comparative
advantage I don't want you doing things
within the company that you don't do
well
I would rather you specialize and then
I've got somebody else in the company
that specializes in that other thing uh
and you each do what you specialize in
so he was talking about this with um one
of the things that you always advise a
young entrepreneur to do is how much
time are you spending on things that
you're not good at that somebody else
could do that you could throw money at
accounting bookkeeping becomes like the
first one where people just waste a lot
of time and so you say okay don't do
that and he uses a great example uh
Destiny you're really good at streaming
go do the streaming let an accountant
handle the book keeping the thing that
you do that generates money is the
streaming go do more of that 100% when
you start talking about a country where
you have global politics at play where
you have a potential war between you and
another country you have to say that is
an end state that you want to protect
against so if you come back out to the
30,000 foot View and you say okay uh
physics of progress known end state
known kpi so I'm saying one of the kpis
is you have to be able to control your
military manufacturing we don't do that
right now because the future of military
is largely drones China basically
controls all drones this is way
oversimplified but we'll give you an
example of what I'm talking about yeah
so now even though China is far more
efficient at creating drones than we are
we have an obligation to protect
ourselves from a future military
conflict that's largely drones and
controlled by China you don't want to be
in that position just like if we were
about to go to war with Canada I would
not that want them controlling our
electricity so even if they can supply
along the northern border for cheaper
than we can if I knew that we were going
to be in a potential conflict I mean
insert Israel and Gaza Gaza should
control its own electricity 100% you
should immediately go I can't have these
people who are wildly antagonistic
towards us controlling our electricity
that's [ __ ] crazy so we've got to
find a way to completely wean ourselves
off of them now people are going to
argue that there's reasons why they
can't whatever just you get the concept
so if you use business where the people
work for you and therefore you can do
the specialization across the country uh
sorry across the company uh that you
have other companies if you can trust
them to continue to supply you which
Speaking from experience you can't
always when we were small we couldn't
trust that other companies wouldn't try
to choke off our access to protein
therefore we've got to make sure that we
diversify that we've got it coming from
multiple
sources so um
depending on the level of analysis you
can parallel countries and companies if
you're not careful you will start making
decisions that don't make sense when you
try to try to draw a one forone
parallel Larry thinkink had some words
for Trump about deportation uh and about
this kind of goes back to our
conversation at the last live where we
talked about can is it a problem where
there's not enough American workers to
take those jobs or do we actually need
immigrants to fill in the gaps in the
American economy I do believe
deportations in the speed of which this
is happening is going to have severe
impact on the agricultural sector and
the construction sector um I've talked
to CEOs in in the EG sector and they
remind me that 70% of the men and women
who work in the agriculture were not
born in the United States many of them
are US citizens now many of them have
work permits and many of them don't and
uh 40% of the construction workers were
not born in the United States you add
that up and what's going on I think
we're going to start seeing especially
when spring and the spring crops arrive
are we going to have enough workers to
harvest the crops
and and now one one of the most
fascinating things to me about this era
where we're able to see all of these
talks because they're posted on um
YouTube or X in this case is that bro
there are [ __ ] laws what's happening
like this guy is literally just
admitting yeah the way the world works
is we all just completely ignore the law
and uh we want these people that come
into America that are working under the
table for uh lower wages and may it
better continue man I'm over here
warning Trump like bro you got to let
these people stay even though they're
illegal what the [ __ ] like this is where
I'm like Hey by all means go advocate
for different policies go to the
American people and say dear American
people we don't believe that you're
going to take these jobs and therefore
we're going to increase immigration from
places where we think we'll get a
generation of really cheap labor and you
guys are going to love it you're going
to benefit from it and let the American
people go either [ __ ] you or yep we're
here for it but this is nuts this like
quiet behind the scenes like well
everybody knows that you know these are
all being done by illegal immigrants
like what the [ __ ] policies people
policies like get the policies that you
believe in that you're willing to stand
up for and say yes this is the policy
like it's bananas that we want like look
laws are enforced selectively if someone
is rushing their wife to the hospital
and they are driving fast I would want
the cops to show up and be like hey get
behind us we're going to get you there
and make sure that your baby's safe so
there is a difference between the spirit
of the law and the letter of the law but
when you start scaling that [ __ ] it's
like bro like just say what it is like
say what the thing is and let people
decide this is that whole Elite
mentality of like all right we're gonna
have some laws on the books but we know
what's actually best for America and you
guys are going to be good like that's
crazy town so we are in a competition
right now where basically what we're
saying to the world is uh do you want
really cheap [ __ ] or do you want to be
able to work for a
living that's it because if you don't
let cheap labor into the country then
you have options option one we're going
to import our fruit from other places
and we say yeah we really aren't willing
to do these jobs so we're going to now
Outsource that kind of stuff put
yourself in a very dicey position
because now you don't make your own food
yikes don't love that but it's an option
um option number two is we don't let
these people in the country and um Now
farmers like uh [ __ ] I'm going to have
to pay more money to get people to come
deal with my crops or honestly what I
think would happen is you would see
investments into Innovation that would
allow us to drive the cost down and this
is why when you create these distortions
in the market um distortions in this
case being allowing illegal people to
come in and do it for
Less you don't get the Innovation The
Innovation here is turning a blind eye
to illegal immigrants mhm I would just
say either get people to say yeah I want
this stuff to be cheap and I want to do
it by importing immigrants then don't
make it illegal just say this is what it
is and let people in but if you're not
willing to say what you're actually
doing like this is
nuts free speech is one of the most
important things in the world and um the
guy uh mmud if he has not done anything
that violates the definition of free
speech as the US government has laid it
out then I say you protect the life out
of that and free speech is about letting
people say things that you think are
abor so as long as it doesn't uh become
a call for violence etc etc whether that
person is a citizen or not I think
people should be protected uh with free
speech laws now having said that I think
that immigration is a very important
question to get right I think we do have
a culture I think we want to acknowledge
that America has a culture and I think
you want to absolutely avoid with
aggression bringing people in and not
expecting them to assimilate you do not
want to invite
multiculturalism as very different from
being a mul multiethnic culture
multiethnic cultures yay love but if
you're coming to America you should be
coming here to become American as I
would be if I moved to Japan i' would be
going to Japan to embrace Japanese
culture otherwise I should stay in
America so uh I feel very strongly that
if if you are talking about who are the
people that we are going to invite into
the country uh who are the people that
we're going to give citizenship to yeah
I'm totally here for uh people saying
this is not even though they're
protected by Free Speech this is not
somebody that we want to give a green
card to this is not somebody that we
want to become a citizen uh because they
do not Embrace American values yeah cool
here for that um but having people say
whatever they believe to be true as long
as it doesn't violate the things that
the United States Supreme Court has
already um rended a verdict on that's
crazy to me that would be a huge
mistake um and a federal judge has
blocked Trump's attempt to from
deporting the green card holder and
palestin activists mmud khil he was the
one who led the protest at Columbia
University word so now it becomes a
question of what can you do uh what
legal standing would you use if you want
to not give somebody like that
citizenship the way that Lisa and I
think about this in the company is
everything needs to be done at the
policy level so don't do anything
specifically about this guy just say
this is what's true about green cards
these are the people that we're going to
give citizenship too if you meet these
qualifications whether you're saying
things that I don't like or not is
totally irrelevant uh th this is the
standard for a green card to get a green
card this is the standard for going from
Green Card to citizenship and then
either he meets those qualifications or
he doesn't you should not be targeting
people that you think I [ __ ] hate
their views um that is a mistake that is
quickly how you go all right the
president gets to decide um what
qualifies for a thing that can be said
and can't be said that that is
absolutely a path to
ruin yeah that was a tough one um all
right that tough why is that tough the
immigration side is way tougher for me
the free speech side is easy immigration
hard if call for violence no yeah if
saying thing I hate yes as long as
you're not calling for violence so if
this guy's saying down with America
capitalism's evil this should be a
communist country um all Christians uh
should repent and should um convert to
Islam cool if you say all Christians
should be killed
problem there's that
line it's just the thing of policing
protesters and there's no everybody
wants free speech until it's something
that you don't want to be said yeah
exactly this is why uh I think it was
the um ACL please fact check me but this
was in the 60s or 70s the ACL stood up
for the Clans right to march in a town
in Wisconsin somewhere in Middle America
where there were a bunch of
concentration camp survivors and the
clan wanted to March or the neo-nazis
what whatever they were they they were
very uh anti-jewish and they fought for
their right to be able to do that March
because they said even though we think
that their beliefs are abor they have
the right to say it dude I'm still on
that bandwagon let people say what they
believe to be true because I want to be
able to say what I believe to be true
and if one government is saying oh these
are the bad guys I know when they get
voted out of power which they will and
the other group comes in I might become
the bad guy so I want the people that I
believe are the bad guys to be able to
say whatever the [ __ ] they want as long
as it doesn't violate the things that
the Supreme Court has already ruled on
and I the the impulse to silence people
is so misguided and I get it it's strong
but your your government is not going to
be in power forever and and so you
should want a system that when the roles
are reversed protects
you full stop full stop but the
immigration one that gets trickier
should this guy be allowed to become a
citizen should he be allowed to keep his
green card woof that gets a lot tougher
that gets a lot tougher because you do
not want to invite a bunch of people
into your country who hate the values
that your culture stands for that to me
is bad mojo yeah that is very unwise
Ukraine has agreed to a 30-day ceas fire
um and this is on the backs of the
zalinsky Vance scuffle that happened um
so I'm glad that we were able to kind of
resolve and find something back to peace
um we had a video that uh Mark Rubio did
a press conference for CNN we have that
coverage offer that the ukrainians have
accepted which is to enter into a
ceasefire and into immediate uh
negotiations to end this conflict in a
way that's enduring and sustainable and
accounts for their interests their
security their ability to prosper as a
nation I I I want to personally thank we
both want to thank the Kingdom of Saudi
Arabia his majesty for hosting us for
making this possible they've been
instrumental in this process and we're
very grateful to them for hosting us
here today and you hopefully we'll we'll
take this offer now to the Russians and
we hope that they'll say yes that
they'll say yes to peace the ball is now
in their court and um but again the
president's objective here is number one
above everything else he wants the war
to end and I think today Ukraine has
taken a concrete step in that regard we
hope the Russians will reciprocate today
we made an offer that the ukrainians
have accepted which is to enter into a
SE yeah we're about to find out if
Russia is going to create a problem
because they've really stood on there
will be no
ceasefire um so they want like a proper
negotiated settlement period end of
story this is where we're at and this is
now done um so we'll see it it will be
very interesting to see what I like is
this paints Trump into a corner about
now are you just going to back Russia
and be like well you know having further
looked at this actually the deal that we
got um Ukraine to agree to that wasn't
really great God if he does that like
that really is a signal that homeboy is
just batting for Russia uh but if he's
like what the [ __ ] like Russia's been
offered something they really should
take we're going to start pressuring
them like they are now acting in bad
faith it'll be telling we're going to
see he did have that tweet a couple days
ago where he was talking tough to Russia
saying that they need to chill we got to
negotiations on on board so with with
all signs pointing it does seem like the
ball is in Russia's Court to end this
war if they want to well the ball's
always been in their Court in terms of
they could end the war at any moment the
question is now that Ukraine has said
okay this is actually something that
we'll take does Russia come to the table
and go okay cool like we're close let's
really negotiate this out and since I
can see that this is close let's agree
to a ceasefire um or do they go not
we're either going to get everything we
want or everybody can [ __ ] right off and
then it's like okay now now we know
where we're at this was nuts is this
what we're about to look at yes oh my
God to all the parents out there you are
really going to want to pay attention to
this this is banana all right little
girl goes on rampage inside of Walmart
take it
away absolute chaos broke out of of
Walmart today after a little girl was
rampaging in the store grabbing anything
she could see in sight and throwing it
across the floor or stomping on it
eventually parents are stopping and
wondering Hey where's this little girl's
parents and she wanders all the way to
the other side of the store these two
parents try to stop and restrain her so
she can stop destroying things but then
other parents come up and say hey it's
not your job it's not your child maybe
don't stop her so they say he I guess so
they let her go she keeps going on
rampaging throughout the store the
craziest part to me this white girl
keeps following her yelling hey don't
touch her don't yell at her don't touch
her don't yell at her she could one day
be the president now you can see here
the store employes are just watching
iten she could one day be the president
cool I it let's say that she does end up
being the president are people worried
that she's going to be like I remember
that [ __ ] that restrained me in Walmart
like [ __ ] that Shick I'm coming after
you and your whole family what I don't
understand that argument all right keep
playing it because the fun
continues the store tells them not to do
anything now eventually she walks over
these glass bottles starts throwing them
shattering glass and juice all over the
floor this man runs up to try to stop
her and the white girl shows up again so
say don't you touch don't you touch her
you don't know what she's been through
as if that's an excuse to let her go on
a rampage now I think the situation is
insane for two reasons one where are the
girl's parents and two this girl that
was following her around saying hey
nobody touch her nobody yell at her
nobody try to stop her is absolutely
insane as if the best thing to do to a
child that's freaking out is just let
them break everything around them that's
my opinion let me know what you think in
the comments make sure to follow if you
don't today with the latest news wait
that's the end of the video we don't
find out whose parent this is
this yeah
bro that is crazy town so speaking as a
gen xert let me just tell you how this
would have played out if that had been
me uh somebody would have grabbed me by
the arm and I want to read Shay's say so
don't go too far uh someone would have
grabbed me by the arm and been like
where's your mom and you're not touching
another thing this is madness uh they
would have gone to my mom and said
you're paying for the damage that this
kid did and so there was a whole thing
back then you break it you buy it and my
mom would have spanked my ass with a
wooden spoon and been like you're out of
your [ __ ] mind and uh she would have
been right that's crazy and so you hold
the parent accountable by making them
pay for the things that are broken you
hold the child accountable if you're the
parent and PS you restrain that child
not violently but as I think this is
where Jordan has the right idea the
minimum force necessary to restrain the
child
um that is lunacy all right I want to
see Shay who I know and love she says
okay parents speaking here uh there has
been proof that media and Tech
interaction has caused kids brains to
start reacting as addicts but yes it
takes a village inordinate inordinate
inordinate Behavior has to be stopped uh
let's say crazy behavior but also
attention to the child the Rampage
happened and no one is in sight that she
quote unquote belongs to yeah so there's
there's a lot of Madness going on here
but uh you can't let a child run right
like that that kid does not grow up to
be well adjusted I will just tell you
right now yeah it makes no sense to me
it's like I feel like I just watched
like a horror movie and like the killer
just and kills everybody and just walks
out the and then the credits roll I'm
like wait what like you want to know how
this yes like there's no what no way no
way crazy like I would have yoked her I
I don't care the the girl who was said
with President well you and the
president can get outside like that's
crazy that's you're throwing glass
bottles around like that's
yeah like that's nuts that's nuts that
that is unhinged uh yeah I'm not sure
Miggy they didn't necessarily learn it
from somewhere a kid will test the rules
what they learned is that they can get
away with absolute murder and nobody's
going to check them and they can just
keep going and keep going and keep going
Professor nii with mouse Utopia okay
I've actually done some research shout
out to uh please God what if all his uh
who I know has had his own troubles but
um he's the one that brought up Mouse
experiment that basically when things go
too well and populations are allowed to
grow unchecked without any sort of
restraining impulse they actually
implode and start like attacking each
other it is absolutely fascinating that
there is some sort of um trip wire that
makes the human psyche implode when it
doesn't have difficulty to deal with
and the Matrix got this right in the
movie if you haven't seen it I can't
believe how old it is now that there's a
lot of people that haven't seen it um in
the movie the creators of the Matrix who
have quote unquote slave enslaved
Humanity they say we built you a Utopia
and you rejected it like we lost entire
crops of humans because they could not
deal with a Utopia they couldn't deal
with things being okay they need
problems they need a thing to harden
them to push back I will also say trees
that you uh that grow up inside of a
dome will fall over because there's no
wind they're never tested and so they
don't have to go strong grow stronger so
they end up folding under their own
weight which is absolutely fascinating
the human immune system if it is not
assailed by germs it will grow weak and
so you actually need difficulty like I
am so grateful shout out to my
mom my mom is the only thing that kept
me from running Riot I have so much
respect for my mom because I would test
the limits and every time I tested the
limits with my mom I found a limit she
was like nope not doing that and
whatever it takes uh we're going to draw
a line and my favorite story of my mom
was I had a friend who came into school
one day we were 13 he comes into school
one day and he said my mom tried to slap
me and I blocked her and she just broke
down in tears and my mom's never going
to touch me again I now am in control
and I was like bro the next time I'm mom
tries to slap me I'm going to block her
this is going to be so gangster I can't
believe I never thought to do it so one
point I I remember where I was standing
at the front door about to leave for
school and I'm pushing my mom and
pushing and she's telling me to do
something I'm like no I'm not going to
do it no no no she goes to slap me boom
block it and I'm like gotcha and she
goes to slap me on the other side and I
was like whoa and I blocked that side
she caught me with the third one and I
remember standing there and being like
my mom's built different I was like
respect
and I was like oh got it cool okay my my
mom's not here for play like the when
she came with the third one I was like I
didn't expect it I was like I defeated
both sides what do you mean is that now
I won I'm the new champion and my mom
was just like noid we're not going to
play like this is the line and the thing
is in my mom's offense I was
legitimately being a little ass and I
was just seeing like how far I can push
it and uh there was a line and there was
not going to be any Crossing it for me
having a daughter I didn't want it to be
okay that like I'm allowed to hit her so
I have a weird like line of like beating
my like beating her well why wouldn't
beat that's a pretty terrible word I
would never say my mom beat me spank I
would I would yeah I wouldn't spank ly
but I have like a good like flick thing
that I do that kind of just annoys her
at the right amount and it just like dog
whispery [ __ ] like yeah yeah just a
little like thing my mom used to do like
a ear thing where like I'll be at the
church and she would like do this I'm
like ah and that's like it didn't hurt
but it was just like a public shaming
kind of thing cuz I'm like did other
people see that like it was different so
I think that there is levels but for a
child to do that in Walmart she has to
have done that at home she had like and
gotten away with it yes kids don't kids
don't just wake up one day like okay I'm
going to terrorize everything it's like
no I'm a test one limit okay I get away
with this I'm test this Limit Oh I can
do whatever I want at the house well
maybe I can do whatever I want at
Walmart so there's an escalation that
you should have this should have been
address years ago let alone to say look
at this video and say she's just
tripping or something bad happened or
there something that led up to this this
doesn't just come out of nowhere yeah I
think kids are programmed to push the
limits see where the boundaries are it
it from an evolutionary standpoint it's
good you want kids to push and like get
out there and try to take control of
Their Own Destiny and all that because
ultimately they are going to have to
completely reject their parents and
survive on their own um so it's good
that they test the limits to find out
where the limits are but if there are no
limits you now have a problem and this
used to be something that because people
were were
um they were in a a literal life and
death situation that you had to keep
people in check because they would die
or they would create a vulnerability in
the tribe and you couldn't have that uh
once that evolutionary pressure goes
away people start running some pretty
crazy
experiments if you guys haven't already
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