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What Is Really Happening? Trump, Le Pen, and the Battle for the West | Tom Bilyeu Show
spWt37M-9Ro • 2025-08-21
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Kind: captions Language: en Trump meets Putin in Alaska, flies a B2 bomber over his head. Trump and Zalinsky meet with European leaders in the White House, and Zalinsky wore a suit. Marine Le Pen is coming in hot on radical Islamists. Black conservatives collide with a black radical on Jubilee. French streamer dies in his sleep after physical abuse during a marathon stream. Mr. Beast raises $12 million for charity and gets called evil. man's wife stops having sex with him, so he stops doing anything nice for her. You guys are not going to want to miss today. Buckle up. Let's get to it. >> Let's jump right into it because I really want to talk about um Ukraine, Russia. So, there's been a lot of things happening. Trump brought Zillinski and the European leaders in most recently. But last week, Putin came in from Alaska. Um I thought that was funny. We talked about that yesterday. >> You said you thought he threatened him. >> Okay, Putin. Trump is flexing on Putin. >> Yes. >> As soon as you walk out the plane, I fly over you with a whole bunch of bombers on land that was yours that I got for a discount because you were broke. So, I feel like I like he was slapping him in the face, but you had a different take. >> Here's the thing. Uh I didn't see it as a threat. That's for sure. However, I do think if you listen to what Scott Besson said about this, Scott Besson was like, "Oh, he was trying to flex on him. he was trying to remind him like, "Hey, we've got all these toys." So, it's your read isn't crazy. I think the overall way that people are looking at this, if people think that Putin is going to be intimidated by that, they're out of their minds. It's like if um you're walking into my house and I have an arsenal with bazookas, AK-47s, Glocks, like literally gun on gun on gun, and then you walk in and show me uh that you've got a really nice sword collection. Now I know you also have a whole bunch of guns, but you're trying to flex on me with a sword. It's like what? Dude, these we have mutually assured global destruction aimed at each other with dead hand triggers. >> Like if they announce yours bombs, mine's going off detonation. Look, >> if you're going to do that flex on Paraguay, okay, but doing it on Russ, this is all political theater from top to bottom. If Trump had said, "Listen, there's this we're going to lift all the sanctions off of Russia. They're having a really hard time right now. Like, we're we're this is an economic game. We want to get these guys back into a good position. I can see how we're going to end this thing. It's going to be fantastic." I'd be like, "Interesting." If Putin is signaling that economically, like, "Look, I'm really tired of this. This is becoming a problem. I see an off-ramp." I would buy that maybe we were making progress. But when you start talking, the thing that's getting Zillinsky excited and bringing him to the table is that we're going to have some kind of article 5 like guarantee. Now, for people that don't know what article 5 is, admittedly it's very broad, but it says we'll we will if somebody attacks one of the members that has this protection, we will respond as we deem fit. We could come in and like [ __ ] drop troops on the ground and now this is really on. We could drop nuclear weapons, whatever we or we could send a strongly worded letter to the manager, >> like all of the above. >> It is the toothiest part of the reason to be in NATO. That's why you want to be a NATO. It's like my brothers are going to come and whoop your ass if you do anything untoward, and that's why I want to be a part of NATO. And so they're saying, okay, look, we're never going to let them into NATO, but we're still going to roll up as the brothers and like kick the [ __ ] out of anybody that messes with them. that is the thing that he has a problem with he Putin he does not have a problem with nat as letters. So it's like if if it is NATO in practice but just not in name he is still going to be like no. And so given that uh Putin's like cabinet I don't remember who the exact people are but there are people that are out there saying yeah we're never going to agree to this. Putin is completely silent. Only Trump and Zalinsky are like yay we're getting closer. Dude keeps saying that. So, uh, I think that Trump really wants it to be true. I am very glad that Trump legitimately seems to be pursuing peace. Uh, I don't know if it'll come up later, but I love that Trump believes that this is his way to get into heaven. This is why religion is so useful. Uh, people will stop bad behavior and do good things because they believe that there is an all-seeing eye in the sky that will punish you for all of eternity if you do the wrong thing. So, I've got no beef. If Trump is trying to end this war simply as a way to get into heaven, yay, I'm here for it. The bad news is I don't think Putin is interested in ending the war as a way to get into heaven. So he I I don't understand real politique people. Real politique. Putin is going to keep pushing until he reaches sufficient force that will push back. He's not going to go, "Oh yeah, I'm going to back out of my territorial ambitions, my desire to create this buffer zone of NATO because you guys are going to give him NATO protections without the name NATO on it." Th I'm not sure how people are mapping this. Th This is uh people want it to be true. I want it to be true. >> Rough numbers. We've lost over a million human souls. Brutal dead though. Like shouldn't that impact the leader of the country? a lot of young person you have to impact is Putin. >> So when you look at Russia's history and this is where people need to understand culture matters a lot. Russia will cram as many people as they need to into the m of death and destruction to make sure that they protect mother Russia. Period. And they've done it over and over and over. It is a thing for them. And that's where we're at. Like, yeah, they're losing people. They are prepared to lose a lot more. So says history. And if you don't make this good for them in some way, I don't see why they would ever agree to this. So what would Putin want to do to get his way? He wants to forestall as long as humanly possible deeper intervention on behalf of the US and Europe. So, what are you going to have to do? You're going to have to um show up to the meetings. You're going to have to be friendly. You're going to have to like uh hint towards positive things. You're going to have to lay the flowers on the soldiers that died when America and Russia were allies. Somebody just explained to me what does he get out of this? >> And if people think that like, oh my god, they're just so broken. Look at how much oil India is now buying from Russia. Like gobs and gobs of gobs. It went from like 1% to like 42%. And India's arbitrageing it. They're just reselling it on the market and they've made some untold number of billions of dollars just doing that arbitrage. So Russia's like, "Yeah, >> much like Nick Fuentes, we have found a way to make money despite all of your sanctions." Once the >> Russia is the Nick Fuentes of the world, >> they they they are the super bacteria that if you don't kill all the way like they they will only get stronger. they become resistant. Russia is now sanction resistant. And so maybe if you had done all these sanctions right out of the gate, you could have stopped them. But peacemealing it. And I've heard Trump like making noises to that effect. It's like or maybe it was Besset, but one of them was like, yeah, it takes a while for sanction. Oh, in fact, it was Marco Rubio. What am I saying? That it takes a while for sanctions to like really have bite. >> And so like I don't know that we're going to get anywhere with that. So, that probably explains this clip that Charlie Kirk retweeted that talked about that um Putin said that if Trump were president in 2022, there would have never been a war. I'd like to remind you that in 2022 during the last contact with a previous administration, I tried to convince my previous American colleague that it should not the situation should not be brought to the point of no return when it would come to hostilities and I said it quite directly back then that it's a big mistake. today when President Trump saying that if he was the president back then there will be no war and I'm quite sure that it would indeed be so. I can confirm that. >> So are you just saying he's just doing this as Trump Trump's ego? He's just trying to buy time. >> Man, that is a really good question because there's no way that he's unaware that that is like the thing that he could say to Trump that would be I mean this is like tickling his G-spot. Like this is wild. This is exactly what he >> scribbling this in a notebook later like Putin said. >> Uh yeah. So I that feels like a give. That feels like him mapping Trump relatively well of like okay I know what this guy wants to hear. You caught Trump on a hot mic. I don't think it was a big deal because this is exactly the kind of thing that he would say on knowing that he's being recorded to the world. But he was like, um, uh, he wants to do it for me. Like he wants to end the war for me. Like that admittedly, yeah, right. That admittedly is a pretty wild thing to say. Like he wants to stop killing people for me. No. Like if he's not encountering if he thinks that you are, you represent uh the sufficient force that's going to stop him. Okay. Like I guess you could say that's for you. But it's really just about I'm not going to get what I want by pushing into this. this is going to make things worse for me, so I'm going to back off. He's not going to do it for him. That's absurd. So, it just becomes a question of what's the like leverage that I'm going to get. And so, if he's buttering Trump up, great, smart tactic, exactly what I would advise anybody to do. I mean, this is 48 laws of power stuff. Uh so my guess is that's all this that uh the official words coming out of the Kremlin are like well this is going to take time and we're going to have to like slowly figure this out and but you know we do want to see if over time slowly slowly like we can find a path to be it's like oh my god so a lot of word salad stuff a lot of buy time stuff which is again in keeping with if you remove all the emotion and you don't listen to what people do but instead you just look for the pattern the pattern in all of this is say the right thing, buy time, keep bombing. >> Say the right thing, buy time, keep bombing. >> That's >> that's their pattern. >> So, there's a couple people in chat that are saying that you're misrepresenting the planes. Um, and it was a salute which has been done throughout history. Any thoughts on that? >> Hold on. Do a search for Bessant who literally a member of the cabinet saying this was a flex. He was trying like Besson's words were almost all the way to uh Drew's position of this was a threat. Now he was saying it like a little bit tongue and cheek, but if you type in uh I've got to imagine Bessant uh fly over something like that that you'll get this. So anyway, I love you guys, but don't be ridiculous. >> Here it is. >> I want to set the record straight on what went on in Alaska. Alaska was a show of force by President Trump. He invited President Putin to land that the Russians used to own. He displayed a huge amount of military hardware and then did a flyover. It It was kind of like inviting your uncontrollable neighbor uh to your house and showing him your gun case. So then >> the bad news is your neighbor has an equally large gun case. Uh but yeah, look, this was a flex for sure. This was a show of force. I don't think it goes all the way to threat. I don't think Trump is that dumb, but uh it is certainly he's he's trying to flex on you, man. That's just all there is to it. >> Okay. Over and under. The war ends before the end of the year. Like next 6 months. >> No way. >> 0%. >> Nope. Zero. >> Got it. Um well, we'll see. We shall see. All right. Let's jump over to France. >> Oh, let's talk about this. >> Mar was talking about this. >> Spicy. Uh I got the perfect moment. Okay, this is Marie Le Pen. For people that don't know, uh she is the uh leader currently of the farright party in France. I'm telling you, this is a sign of things to come. I do not know what people were thinking when they threw the borders open. Man, uh all right, we're going to talk about values, but uh we're going to read for you just in case you're not in front of your phone because she's going to be speaking in French. Uh we will translate but this get ready. Um boom radical moss will be shut down. Hate preachers expelled. The associations fused with southism and the Muslim Brotherhood will be dissolved with me. >> She wants to be elected president. >> Be sure that the rights of women today challenged by the Islamist obscuritism will be granted to all. the women of France. [Applause] >> With me, the security will not go against liberty. In any case, not against the liberty of honest people. Uh at the beginning of the speech, she also talks about stripping French citizenship from Islamists. Now, she uses the word Islamist. So, I'll choose to believe that she means extremist. M uh so stripping their uh French citizenship, expelling them from the country and punishing even people of French nationality if they have she doesn't say aid the enemy but like that's the vibe. >> Uh I forget the exact word she used. Forgive me because I'm she did not say that that exact phrase. So, um, she is supposedly, if the polls can be believed, she has 42%, uh, over people. I I believe it's voter intention over McCron's party. Uh, but the election doesn't happen until 2027. She is she has been convicted already of she's appealing a crime. >> Oh, that was that I remember that story. >> Yeah. of embezzlement. And so, uh, she's appealing it, but if she loses that, then she will be unable to run for office, which she herself has said would be political death. And, um, obviously she's saying that this is a political attack, that it isn't she wasn't the courts admit she wasn't personally, um, enriched by the supposed embezzlement. So, which is usually I think in the US like you have to show that the person was personally enriched for it to be a crime. I think I think someone would have to fact check me on that one and I don't feel confident in that. But anyway, the court system admitted that she wasn't personally enriched by it. She denies that there was any wrongdoing whatsoever. She's fighting it. Uh and so we'll see. But the thing to focus on here is this is also what you're seeing play out in the UK. And I I am literally shocked that people did not realize people will fight and die for their values. Values are the thing that people fight and die for. >> And if you thought you could import a ton of people that have different values and that >> the people holding the opposing views won't eventually clap back just as hard, like you you put yourself in a position where you have two sides that will kill and die for their values. Israel, Palestine. It's the same situation. So, you're now playing it out in Europe and people are going to fight back. So, we'll see. We'll see how far it goes, man. But, uh, you do this at your own peril. And this is why I'm saying you you can only bring people into your country at the rate that they will assimilate to the value system. >> But again, is this a just a populism thing? We need a bad guy. The Muslims are on the rise. They're the bad guy. Let's get mad at them. And >> doing this at a populist moment is how you magnify the effect 100fold. But it isn't just that. People will fight for their values. It it becomes a quantity thing. >> What do you mean by the first thing you said? Doing this at a pipelist moment makes it 100fold. >> So you're going to pour accelerant on the fire by introducing people with different values at a time where resentment is already through the roof and people whatever 20 million people think that Mr. Beast is evil. uh it in a moment that unhinged emotionally if you then import a bunch of people that are anathema to your values, they're going to go after them. So, in a way that they would be far less fast to go after them because in a time where everything is going good economically, people are having a good time, uh people just aren't going to react as hard and fast because like life is good. So, it's like you're going out of your way to find a problem. And that would be the push back that everybody would give you is like, bro, why are you obsessed about Islamists? Like they're like 2% of the country, bro. Like this chill. And then you go, "Yeah, but if you follow this out, they're going to be 10% and then they're going to be 15% and this is exactly how things go ary. They get political power. They start making demands. Uh, and this is all bad. PS, this is exactly how the Jews got Israel. So if you got beef with the Jews, then uh I don't understand how people don't recognize that this would be the same inflammatory problem uh in importing them into Europe. Like and this one I look at as an anthropologist. And I'm just like this plays out in a very knowable fashion, boys and girls. So, in one fashion, I've heard you talk in the past about like um we talk about corporate greed, tax rate greed, and you're like, you can't get mad that capitalism is the game and people know the game better than other people. Is this similar in the fact that like the Muslims wouldn't have their free immigration? They wouldn't have a stronghold in certain communities of the US if those communities weren't dying barren outside. Everybody talks about Dearbornne, Michigan. Everybody's like, "There's a whole Muslim population. We should have stopped that." Dearborn, Michigan used to be where the Ford factory was. So the Ford factory was still there if we didn't ship it out. There still would have been blue collar jobs there. Americans still would have been still there still would have been a diner. They would still would had 1950s there. They still would have been playing country music. But they they decimated the town. Everybody left. The Muslims came in for cheap. So we can't get mad that the you know what I mean? Like is there a >> So I really do love the way you encapsulate some things. Uh that's brilliant. I love everything about that. Uh you are saying very very true words. The catch is >> uh that there's a way to do immigration well and there's a way to do immigration poorly and uh Europe did immigration so poorly >> that we at least have the lead to go okay hold on a second >> based off of that experiment we can >> like you you can't do it devoid of checking for value system and you can't do it devoid of speed. So, um, if your English and you have, and I use that word very intentionally because my wife, who is a British citizen is not English, and I remember the first time I called her English. She was legitimately like bothered by it. She's like, I'm not English. And I was like, what the [ __ ] Like, you're from England. She's like, yes, but I'm Greek. And I was like, what what kind of weird ass distinction are we making? So, it would be like if I said to you, you're American. You're like, whoa, [ __ ] I'm Haitian. It's like, yeah, I live here though. I pay taxes. >> And that's how I felt about my wife. And so, but I was like, oh, I get it. Like, England is a thing. Being English is an identity. And unlike America that's 250 years old, England is thousands of years old. London itself is like over a thousand years old. It's crazy. >> So, these are civilizations that have been around for a very long time. So there really is like a distilled difference between being English and being French. So if you're a white English person, that's very different than being a white French person, they feel some kind of way when like if you say to a uh like if you have a French person in England and you said you're English, some percentage of them are going to take be like, "No, I'm not. I'm British. I'm not English." >> So I was like, "Okay, but here's why." like the Greek communities did not create as much because I'm sure if you imported too many of them you'd have a similar problem. But the reason that the Greeks were able to assimilate in a way that Islam is for sure going to struggle and possibly Muslims is that it's they're not the same religion. And so if you get secular people from the Middle East, I don't think it's going to matter at all. Like if they come to England, they're like, "Hey word, man. I'm here for finance, bro. Like this is dope. Uh I'm British. I love it the most. England is my home. Couldn't be any happier. I'm secular. No beef. But when you've got people coming in, ah, we've got we've got the criate Greek girl. Uh, just off camera. And so that's where this gets problematic. The Greek are Christian. So it's like you get Christian on top of Christian. Nobody's got beef. They've got different churches, but churches and everybody sort of gets it. Even the clergy like follow similar rankings and all that. So it's like, yeah, not a lot of friction there. But you start getting into now a totally different religion, you're going to have problems. So again, I think it's wise of people because I think it lowers a lot in predictive validity if if you just look at Muslims because if Muslims come in and they're like, "No, we're cool. We don't want Sharia law either. We also don't want um any form of religion to be baked into the government, secular, we're here for it." I don't there's not going to be a big clash, especially if the second generation kids are like, "I'm Muslim, but like I grew up in England. I see myself as British." >> You're not going to have a problem with that. Again, this is not a race problem. >> If though you get somebody who's like, "Yeah, we want Sharia law. We're going to be chill about it for now, but let me tell you, when we start hitting 7 8%, >> we're going to start saying something about it." And then we we hit 15%, you're really going to know about it. >> It's like, okay, you're going to get a clash. And that's literally what's happening. So, uh, be careful. This is a values thing. And when people try to rapidly change the values in a country, you will see fighting. It may not be like actual punching in the face, but you're going to see protests for sure. And then it can always escalate, especially if economic times get too difficult. We'll get back to the show in just a second, but first, I want to talk about how to make eating well a no-brainer. There's a massive difference between good protein and garbage protein. A lot of people have never experienced the good stuff. Instead, they're gambling with grocery store meat that's been sitting around for weeks. That's exactly why I'm a Butcher Box customer and have been for a very long time. I've got multiple freezers full of my favorites like filet minan, organic freerange chicken breast, wild caught salmon, and of course, a whole lot of applewood smoked bacon. These are the cuts that my wife Lisa and I reach for every day to fuel ourselves. And now ButcherBox is letting me send my favorites direct to your doorstep in the Bill Box. You get these selections plus a few more and free bacon for life. Right now, you can get the Bill Box plus free bacon for life and $20 off your first box. Just head to butcherbox.com/impact and use code impact. And now, let's get back to the show. >> All right, let's jump into this uh black radical versus black conservative. Okay, before we start this conversation, I need to just have some >> 45 minutes on this, everybody. >> I need to have some mild markers, please. It's like a debate. Like, let's do definitions. Let's just start at the very, very beginning. >> Um, Amanda Seals is a black radical. She's not a liberal. So, she is not a representative of the Democrat. She's not a Democratic ideology. Yes. Recently, the Democrats adopted black people so that way they can have them vote for them. >> Recently, >> since 1960. >> I was going to say, yeah. Yeah. If you're trying to say since 1920 I'm or 2020 I'm going to have a problem here. >> But uh so just so this a lot of people were like dunking in the comments like yeah this is what's wrong with the left. It's like yeah well she's not representing the left. So I just want to be respectful of the left in the audience. Secondly we have to um understand who Amanda Seals as is as a person. U a lot of people don't even know who she is. It's their first time interacting with her. She was like famously kicked out of Insecure, the Issa Ray show that was on HBO for a bunch of years because she was too like >> Oh yeah. >> Yeah. One of Emmys. Yeah. It was it was a good show. >> It was it was one of the number one or number two black shows out at the time. She was kicked out of it for being too uh problematic, too high maintenance. Like she is notorious for always arguing with people. She lost a radio show in Chicago cuz she used to argue with the callers all the time. So it's like having her in this position, it literally was like rage bait. And like a lot of the black community, black Twitter that knows her from that era, now seeing her as like a debater, as a commentator, it's all funny because you used to be the clapback queen and now you're sitting as a debater and doing all these things >> and you the black Twitter community thinks that's ridiculous because she can't be taken seriously as a debater. >> It's one of those things like she's the most argumentative person like on the on the >> Is that what you want in a debate? That's why it's like destiny is like >> Yeah. So it's like oh this is funny cuz all she's going to do is yell at people and do this thing. So when people were like, well, all she's doing is raising her voice and y like, yeah, that's what Amanda Seals does. So it's kind of like her charact almost like um Sarah Silverman is going to tell a dirty joke. Like that's her that's her stick. That's her funny in. >> Got it. Okay, cool. Now, is that a popular thing? Like are would if we took a poll on Black Twitter, would she be like wildly popular, wildly unpopular? Totally down the road. >> She's a character. So it's like we know who she is. There's people who love her people here. That's why I use Sarah Silverman because that's a very specific female comedian with a regular style. Like there's a thousand comedians, but not everybody's Sarah Silverman. There's a thousand black women who do comedy, but they don't do it like Amanda Seals does it. >> Um, all right. So, this was I think you said this was one of your favorites. Um, the James Nuclear Dude. Uh, Colin Wright retweeted, "This ideology is on its way out and it's still wildly believed and entrenched in many institutions, but it's intellectual viciousness is being exposed every day for all to see. They have no coherent argument, just snark and sanctimony. We had enough. >> So, in fairness to her, statistics really can be made to say just about anything that you want them to say. You can look at them from a different angle. You can frame them in a way uh that does not mean that you want to abandon statistics because there can be real revelations in the data. But you do need to be skeptical of the data. You do need to try to look at things from multiple different angles. When I'm writing my deep dives, a lot of times I'll get a stat and I'll be like, okay, that's way too convenient for my narrative. I need to like go look at this from different angles, like how did we end up here? What is this really? Uh how was the study framed? And I have no doubt in the fullness of time there are going to be stats that I've used where it's like, okay, there was some flaw in the underlying study or whatever. So I I concede her point. Um, but what I saw a lot of from her is when she's losing an argument that's based on stats, she will just switch to a pure like emotion or she'll tell like I can't remember if this kid I think it is this kid where she's like, "Think of me as your mom. Don't talk to me like that." >> It's like that's not an argument. Especially not when you're talking to people in a way where I'm just like a ghast. Uh, so one one thing that I really like about the way that Destiny debates and listen I know Destiny has his flaws and he will for sure go unhinged but when people are attacking him he just almost doesn't even acknowledge it. He just like keeps going. Here are the stats. Here are the figures and she says something at the very very very end of the debate. Literally after everybody goes they bring in a few more people. This is done. The debate's over. You've got like 3 minutes left on the Jubilee video. Most people are gone by now. Uh, and they brought a couple more people out solo just to like ask them a couple questions. And she's one of them. And she's basically like, um, we don't need to be having this debate or conversation, I forget which word she used, at the level of data. We need to be having this at the level of love. And I thought, uhoh, this is somebody who's like, I just I have a narrative that I believe. I have a set of values that I hold, and we're going to argue from that position. And then from there, if you map her as that, somebody that legitimately doesn't care what is sort of true, grounded in factual reality, and instead is like, this is going to be narrative driven to get to an outcome that I believe in. Then it's like, oh, all of a sudden the there's a point where she's like, I'll just keep raising my voice until you stop. >> Uh there is telling people they're not going to talk to her like that. Telling her to stop stop when they deliver a fact that she doesn't like. uh saying that they're incorrect when the fact checker is like, "No, they're not." Mhm. >> So it's uh once you start mapping someone like that, you realize that whole idea that I've talked about many times in a marriage where you'll be arguing about the tea versus like what's the actual thing like for this debate to work, they would have to pull into the conversation that I am Amanda Seals do not care about facts and figures. None of that is relevant to me. This is about leading with love and here's how I believe that we need to manifest to use a a very loaded word manifest that love. This is based on my beliefs, my values, and that's it. And then at least you can go, okay, well, I'm going to go after your beliefs and your values, or I'm going to go after the very fundamental nature of the premise and say this can only be had at the level of facts. Now, I get that that's boring as hell. Like, that's terrible TV. So, I understand why we're not going to do it, but that's the only way that you're going to get something productive out of this. >> Yeah. I I want to jump in onto the stats and figures thing for a second because I think what she's alluding to here where stats and figures can be manipulated is okay. So, I dated my first white woman um in college. I was like 22, 23 at the time. Um or after >> first OJ, now Coobe. That's it. No more white women. >> I remember that chant. That was hilarious. Uh, so I like went to her I went to her house. Um, she lived in like a super community. Her dad was loaded. So like his house was here, her uncle's house was down the street. Her aunt's house was around the corner. Like they were very ingrained in the community. I remember one time we were out one night drinking, got to her house at like 2:00 in the morning, whatever. We're sitting on the couch laughing and giggling. We see like a car pull up and a cop like come behind it. A cop knocks on the door. We kind of tense up cuz we were drinking like, "Oh snap, something happened." her pops walks up and the cop was like, "Yeah, sorry. Caught Mr. So and so at the pub again, you know, make sure he's good. Here's his keys." Whatever like that. And in that moment, I like smiled cuz I was like, "Oh, this is hilarious." But that's a thing that I often point to when we look at these crime stats and we look at certain things like that. In certain communities, when a police shows up, he's like, "How do I help this community? How do I take care of them? How do I do these things?" >> In other communities, when I go there, I'm not talking. I'm not asking questions. I'm throwing you in the patty wagon and I'm bugging you. If I was in that same exact position in that same exact neighborhood, I don't know if he would have been like, "Hey, do you know anybody here? How can I get you home? How can I make sure you're good?" >> Right? >> That same logic can be applied to early statistics as done in elementary education where black kindergarters and white kindergarters do the same thing. Black kindergarters get suspended, white kindergarters get talked to and put and put back into play. Same thing can be So there's all there's different tent poles that we can look through through different levels of society. So it's not even like murder stats. Yeah, you got me there. Black people kill a lot of black people. I'm not even going to argue that. But when you just say black people are inherently it's in their DNA, there's all these crime stats. Once you start teasing that out and actually start pulling apart, >> the second you say DNA, we have beef. So here here would be my thing just like as a because I know this is the big beef with my audience and I have a lot of empathy for people in the audience that roll up to the live who haven't seen me in years and they're like, "Oh my god, like he's going to be doing mindset stuff." And then I am not doing mindset stuff. Uh as the mindset guy uh I will say that you become what you repeat. >> And so we have a perpetual motion machine. And the perpetual motion machine is that we are in a world where through a whole series of obviously horrific things uh starting in slavery echoing through today. You've got a position where we have trapped people in poverty. and the just disproportionately by way of um population, you're going to see a lot of blacks especially, but minorities just in general end up in that cycle of poverty. Cycle is the right way to think of it. You can think of it as um like people being uh weighed down. Like it it is economically right now so hard to escape that. It's not impossible, but Jesus, it is like we've gone out of our way to really trap people there. So now we've got people stuck in this cycle of poverty. That cycle of poverty kicks off real statistics that people really should care about and they should ask like uh oh like that's not good. So if you have a cop that's coming into that situation and life has taught them that they they're not mapping it to poverty. They are mapping it to skin color. Mistake but nonetheless I get how they end up there. And so they walk into a room full of people that really are visually tied to like way elevated crime statistics. Now, if they're also geographically in that space, now the cop is like, "Okay, double whammy. They look like the people who did a thing and they're in the neighborhood of people who really do the thing." And so, it is wiser from a safety perspective for me to come in like way alert. >> So, all of those things make sense. Where it breaks down is how the hell do we get out of this? >> And that's where I'm saying you become what you repeat. And right now, what we are repeating ad nauseium is like this is all racism. uh the system is against you, it's all bad all the time. And this is why, and I think this is a fascinating part of the argument, when people point back and go, hold on a second. When we had first exited slavery, uh we very rapidly did better as a community than we're doing now. So, what I I look at that and I go, you can rule out as a thought experiment. I do this with entrepreneurs all the time. Run the thought experiment to see if you can rule out some options. You can rule out that racism is the thing that holds you back when you realize that things were better in the black community like 100 years ago. >> So something happened in the intervening 100 years. Now maybe I can't get you to buy into in the 60s the all the different welfare programs and stuff that just gutted the gutted >> poor families in general which because there was a disproportionate number of blacks is going to be disproportionately impactful. And so that creates this snowball effect. Even if I can't get you to buy that, you can just rule out that this is a problem of racism. Now, you may come back to, well, then what we have to do is be insular again. We have to be cloistered communities. We have to reject integration with with uh white society. >> Okay, that strikes me as a terrible idea, but at least that I would understand why you would come to that conclusion. And I don't have a thought experiment in America to rule that out. Cool. Now, we at least have a place that we can start. And this is what I think he's getting at with Mr. Nuclear here, which is really his Twitter name, >> uh, is trying to get at is he's like, the Chinese were put far briefer, but the Chinese were put through something equally horrible in America. Maybe not equally horrible, but bad. >> Uh, apartheid literally the system was against them. And now later down the road, massive success. Same with Nigerian immigrants, massive success. So like, >> yeah, >> as you start getting into trying to get to the cause and effect, my hope is that people look at those things and go, "Okay, cool." The narrative that we're using, A, just doesn't map to reality. And then B, if Tom is right, and you become what you repeat, we are making everyone obsessed with race >> by talking about it all the time. >> And I always forget her name. Satia something just did a whole breakdown of this on CNN. the increase in the word uh I think it was slavery and something else from like 2000 to 2020 goes up by like 5,000%. Now, we haven't had a 5,000% increase in slavery from 2000 to 2020. So, there's something else going on. And if I'm right, that you become what you repeat, the mere fact that we now obsess over race is making race a bigger problem. >> Um, you said something interesting about Chinese immigrants, how they were overcoming came through. I think one fallacy that we also have to let go of is that you can't compare immigrant communities to native black Americans. The United States is the unique situation out of any other country in the world that the people that they enslaved they then set free and those freed people stayed in the same spot. Usually it's like you set free then they migrate over here and they go stay over here or they set free and they leave Japan and they go back to Korea or something like that but it's not necessarily like okay you're free go across the street. So, I think comparing those types of people with people who are the best and brightest because I was nimble enough, I was ambitious enough, I was able-bodied enough to trans cross the an entire Atlantic Ocean to chase my dream, pursue a better life. That's a different level of ambition, intellect, and things like that. So, you're comparing the type slice of another population with the majority of the existing population. And you're saying, "Well, see, these exceptional 1% people do it. So, how come you guys aren't doing it when the people that we're pointing to, they also have their exceptional 1% who are doing it?" >> Okay, th this is amazing. I think you laid that out very eloquently. If at any point you think that I'm misrepresenting your view, please grab me because this is one where man, >> if if you and I can get on the same page about this, especially because you're the CEO of the black community, like this could really be transformational. >> We can make a deal here. We >> uh that would be incredible. Okay. So, um, here's what I see in that. What I see in that again is is literal evidence. This isn't a racism problem. >> A skin color problem you're saying? >> Correct. This is so interesting. I know you have a whole take on that and so does Amanda Seals for that matter. So, maybe we'll talk about that in a second, but for now, I'm just saying it is not a I can cue off of what you look like visually problem. >> Uh, and because I look at you and I see somebody who is different than me, I'm going to try to hold you back. I'm going to try to create systems that hold you back all that. Okay. So, uh point conceded that there is going to be a difference between uh people that were forcibly brought here and somebody who immigrates here. Meaning somebody who immigrates here, there's already a massive selection bias for risktaking um possibly for intellect like it may be a proxy for IQ, all of that. And so uh what I hear you putting forward and I think this is very valid is you've got a a whole group of people who knows it's going to be the whole gamut of uh intellectual capabilities whereas immigrant communities they come over and that's going to be more selected for for people that just have uh more success tied cor more success correlated individual traits. >> Okay, cool. What I'm saying is yes, there in lies the problem, but what we talk about is race. And I'm saying [ __ ] all that noise because it literally doesn't matter. If you keep reinforcing, reinforcing, reinforcing, reinforcing, then it becomes a mind virus. And then people are going to derail even more because people are legitimately, as far as I can tell, actually becoming more racist. It really didn't feel like this in the 80s and '90s, man. It really did not feel like this. As a white person, it did not feel like this. I didn't look around and see people like secretly being racist. Like you might have and honestly Yeah. Okay. Even I like you would hear like the occasional like >> you look s No, I never heard anything like that. But you you'd hear like comments from your whatever your great uncle, not even my uncles, but like my grandfather's brothers and sisters might say like a weird thing here or there, but it was so like just considered gross. So, nobody in my universe was like leaning into that. And I'm talking at school, everywhere. It just like it didn't feel like it feels now. Okay. So, from that perspective, I feel like we're moving in the wrong direction fast. People are legitimately becoming more racist. I think as an obsession with race, trying to classify everybody, then people team up, then they fight for their team. And so, you're pushing people where it's like, think of yourself as white first. Well, then you're going to get white nationalist and all that [ __ ] because you're pushing them to think of that as their team. very [ __ ] stupid in my opinion. Okay. So, but using going back to what you were saying, we have now delineated that this is not a skin color problem. This is a >> I mean intellect problem if we're really going to boil it down. No matter what your race is, if you don't have the intellectual horsepower to get out from under a system that's trying to hold you back, you're in trouble. But I think when you start looking at broader communities like uh Indian-Americans, Chinese Americans, uh Japanese Americans, Korean-Americans, like you start seeing a cultural trend because they've been here for generations and generations and generations. So this isn't just like uh Nigerian immigrants who are all going to be very recent. This is like not only do I not have a Chinese accent, my parents don't have a Chinese accent, their parents didn't have a Chinese accent. So now I think it maps far closer to culture than to intellect. And the culture in Asian communities right now today is you are going to work until your face falls off. Like from the time you're a little kid, you're going to be going to tutors. You are expected to excel academically. All of that. I don't know these stats, but I would be surprised if there isn't more two parent households. And so once people start going, okay, wait, hold on a sec. Like a core pillar of my entire belief system is that humans became the ultimate apex predator, the most dominant creature the world has ever seen. The ability to leave the planet for one reason and one reason only. We pass things on through culture. We don't try to hardwire everything the way that a horse does. A horse 20 minutes after it's born, it can do all the things that a horse is ever going to be able to do. A human is not like that. We've got 25 years of brain development. We can be dropped into any circumstance and it's going to wildly impact our lives. And so once you if I can get people to agree that that is true, then it's like okay then what you're transmitting to young kids which matters a a factor of a hundred more to uh indoctrinate people with high utility ideology when they are young is the entire game. And if you don't have two parent households, if you're having to put your kids in a bathtub, if the because of stray bullets, if your um uh school is absolutely god-awful, areas of the brain actually don't develop. They just don't develop. They don't hear the right number of words. My whole Jeffrey Canada speech, which anybody wants to hear, I can certainly go down. But it's like the matter, the number of words that you hear matters tremendously to your brain development. So now we've got Okay, here's real problem. Real problem is poverty is destroying brain development. Uh culturally there you don't have intact families. So you're not getting male and female influence. You need both. Again, brain development, seeing things from different sides, men teaching you to be tougher, to be more emotionally resilient. Mothers making you feel love like you can do anything. Like these are very necessary ingredients to the development of the human mind which is designed to react to its environment. Mhm. >> So now you take all of that, you in my estimation have proven this is not a skin color problem >> and now it becomes okay this is an intellect culture problem. Now I am certainly not making the argument which you will hear out on the internet that black people in general just don't have the intellectual horsepower. I think that's total horseshit. Just my own lived experience as cheesy as that is tells me that it just doesn't matter. walking up to somebody based on their skin color, I am not going to be able to tell whether they are uh smart, whether they are funny, whether they are good at name this, that or the other. But if you tell me that I'm looking at a Chinese person whose parents have an accent, I'm like, "Oh, that [ __ ] works hard." Guaranteed. There is so much pressure on them culturally because I can just guess what that culture is going to be like. And so to me, culture has massive predictive validity where in terms of how well that person's going to do. >> Uh, and skin color has extremely low predictive validity. >> We'll be back to the show in a second, but right now I want to talk to you about how investment apps can actually destroy your wealth. 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And now, let's get back to the show. >> French streamer Jean Parmmonov uh Oki Okkey Doki Sovie, let me know if I pronounced that right, has passed away in his sleep at the age 46 during a 10day a day 10 of a marathon stream. Now, for context, this was dude was getting beat up and all those things during his stream, but allegedly he died of natural causes in his sleep after the 10day. Um, there was a community note added, more context needed. Raphael Graven um was found dead in bed after enduring 10 days while being sleepd deprived, tortured, and fed, ingested different toxic products by other people that participated in the 10day stream marathon. >> This is super weird. Now, I don't know enough about this guy. So, it's entirely possible he's the problem that he's driving this, he's telling people to do this, that whatever, whatever. It's also possible that this guy is mentally ill or whatever and people are taking advantage of him. I don't know, but people here's one people choking him and there are a bunch of people choking him and so at one point people are like putting paint all over him. I mean this is just weird. So this is the I don't know if this is what people
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